The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 957 – Time to Cut Ryan McMahon?

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July 20, 2021

7/20/21

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Approximately 75 minutes of joyous analysis.

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Anon
2 years ago

I have McMahon so this is timely. It’s not just the numbers you cited but the fact that he has returned to being a high-K guy who hits too many GB. He made some changes at the outset of the year and was hitting more FB and by being more aggressive was cutting down on K’s (though to be fair, also on BB). But over that 40-ish game span you cited his K% has been 31.2% and he has gone back to a 1.33 GB/FB with only a 31.0% FB%. And the fact that his LA in that time is a still good 13.5* probably doesn’t help because if he’s hitting more GB the only way to keep that LA up is to hit a lot of really high FB which is really bad. I mean, this kind of reminds of of Hosmer making big changes last year and then reverting back this year to the same guy.

I’m probably holding here with his triple position eligibility but with the Rox heading out on a 10 game road trip starting Friday (LAD, LAA, SDP) and no extended homestands until the end of September, I may have to reconsider.

As for Cruz, I have him also. I have to figure it’s 95+% likely he goes to the Rays, Jays or A’s. I figure the Rays is a slight downgrade and the A’s is not much worse than where he is now while the Jays would be an enormous boost, both in ballpark and lineup, so I’m rooting for the Jays. They have pretty obvious needs on the mound but maybe they lean into the offense and decide to see if they can just outscore teams the rest of the way.

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