The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 449 – Replacing Miggy & Marte
4/22/17
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Leading Off: Question of the Day
- Worried about Jake Arrieta? (3:45)
Strategy Section: Available Two-Start Arms
SHALLOW (pick 2 favorites)
- Michael Wacha v. TOR, v. CIN — 98% C, 68% Y!, 65% E (11:00)
- Amir Garrett at MIL, at STL — 89% C, 64% Y!, 41% E (12:30)
- Luis Severino at BOS, v. BAL — 87% C, 64% Y!, 21% E (12:09)
- Vince Velasquez v. MIA, at LAD — 82% C, 77% Y!, 53% E (21:40)
- Matt Shoemaker v. OAK, at TEX — 81% C, 58% Y!, 72% E (11:39)
- Francisco Liriano at LAA, v. TB — 76% C, 42% Y!, 23% E (9:30)
- Robert Gsellman v. ATL, at WAS — 67% C, 22% Y!, 17% E (15:44)
- My Custom SP Leaderboard
DEEP (pick 2 favorites)
- Patrick Corbin v. SD, v. COL — 44% C, 10% Y!, 8% E (33:44)
- Hyun-Jin Ryu at SF, v. PHI — 44% C, 16% Y!, 8% E (31:30)
- Tyler Anderson v. WAS, at ARI — 42% C, 19% Y!, 7% E
- Wade Miley v. TB, at NYY — 32% C, 11% Y!, 9% E (29:36)
- Chad Kuhl v. CHC, at MIA — 30% C, 7% Y!, 9% E (27:12)
- Brett Anderson at PIT, at BOS — 29% C, 7% Y!, 7% E (32:28)
- Wei-Yin Chen at PHI, v. PIT — 27% C, 10% Y!, 5% E (27:47)
SUPER DEEP (pick 2 favorites)
- Ricky Nolasco v. TOR, at TEX — 18% C, 7% Y!, 5% E
- Miguel Gonzalez v. KC, at DET — 17% C, 4% Y!, 2% E (39:51)
- Martin Perez v. MIN, v. LAA — 17% C, 8% Y!, 10% E
- Jhoulys Chacin at ARI, at SF — 10% C, 1% Y!, 2% E
- Jesse Hahn at LAA, at HOU — 9% C, 3% Y!, 1% E (38:45)
- Ty Blach v. LAD (v. Kersh), v. SD — 5% C, 1% Y!, 0% E (35:40)
Strategy Section: Other Arms
- Jason Vargas — 81% C, 74% Y!, 29% E (47:35)
- Andrew Triggs — 63% C, 46% Y!, 7% E (53:40)
- Shelby Miller — 50% C, 11% Y!, 8% E (56:04)
- Chris Devenski — 46% C, 55% Y!, 27% E (57:50)
- Chase Anderson — 46% C, 33% Y!, 6% E
- CC Sabathia — 62% C, 39% Y!, 22% E
- Antonio Senzatela check-in — 49% C, 23% Y!, 21% E (1:03:03)
Strategy Section: Pitchers to Cut (1:04:00)
Strategy Section: Hitters to Pickup
OUTFIELDERS (they go in order starting at 1:13:30)
- Avisail Garcia — 69% C, 66% Y!, 66% E
- Corey Dickerson — 56% C, 42% Y!, 39% E
- Michael Conforto — 56% C, 20% Y!, 17% E
- Adam Frazier — 13% C, 6% Y!, 5% E
- Aaron Hicks — 10% C, 7% Y!, 7% E
- Aaron Altherr — 5% C, 1% Y!, 1% E
INFIELDERS (1:15:34)
- Chase Headley — 59% C, 59% Y!, 43% E
- Joey Gallo — 50% C, 14% Y!, 13% E
- Mitch Moreland — 47% C, 26% Y!, 31% E
- Trey Mancini — 38% C, 21% Y!, 20% E
- Taylor Motter — 19% C, 12% Y!, 7% E (1:16:01)
Strategy Section: Hitters to Cut (1:20:45, except Marte who is stamped earlier))
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Approximately 87 minutes of joyous analysis.
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Do you like Holliday or C. Gomez better as a 6th OF in a 5 OF league. 10 tm 5×5 roto, no particular statistical need. 4 man bench so I don’t need to be starting them until an injury
Hey Paul,
Thanks for posting your leaderboard. I have two things to ask about it.
First, do you create your own formulas for the metrics that you track on your leaderboard? I have four that I created, like (k/9)-(b/9)? If you do, would you be to share those and tell us why you have those formulas?
Second, regarding sample size, FG has this article, http://www.fangraphs.com/library/principles/sample-size/, which talks about when sample sizes are large enough so that we can use them. Some of the sample sizes (GB%, FB% and LD%speak of balls in play (BIP). But, I don’t see a BIP metric in the custom leaderboards, except for BIP-wins and BABIP. Can you use your influence to have that metric put up for use in custom leaderboards?
Thanks.
I didn’t create any of the formulas, just selected them from the list at the bottom of the leaderboard page. I think K%-BB% would be more useful than K9-BB9 as we have that already – http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/new-stats-k-bb/
NFBC 12 team mixed: Making a move for Rosenthal, Wilson or Cain, in that order. Do I drop Ryu or Nelson? Thanks.
I have Marte, Miggy, Madbum, and Donaldson (4 of my 6 keeprs)
what do i do?
Find something soft and give it a hug.
I’d punch something. Then I’d prob try to trade one for high upside keeper to another competitive team. Hopefully it helps 80% this year and you can always try and sell 1 for 2 later.
Maybe Madbum for Urias? Or Marte for Benintendi (and pieces on either side)
How often should I clean my ears?
Chad Kuhl was a great pickup you guys!
Yes, definitely complain about misses on streamer calls, that’s very reasonable. We aim for 100% with these widely available players, those are usually the most bankable assets in fantasy baseball.
Very fair. It happens. I apologize.
Have you talked about Kenta Maeda in any of your chats or podcasts? I don’t know what to make of his slow start.
ESPN league. 10 games to establish position eligibility. I badly need a middle infielder and currently have Yoan Moncada on my bench. When he does come up is Moncada likely to play primarily at either middle field position?