Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the results from the two 15-team Tout Wars mixed leagues.

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:32
Jacks: 12 Team AL-Only, I’ve got $69 left (we allow $0 bids). Lost Urquidy and Luis Garcia this week leaving me with only Three Starters. Gausman, McClanahan and Bradish. How aggressive should I be on Bryce Miller? (Other SP on the wire are JP Sears, Louie Varland, JP France, Lorenzen, Battenfield, Pivetta, Kopech).

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: The $0 bids help a ton to fill voids

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: $30 to $40. Possibly more. I might set up my bids to go aggressive on Miller but get Varland and France/Sears as a backup

7:34
ryan: if pfaadt was not widely owned, where would he rank in your list of pitcher pickups this week?

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: Second SP behind Miller.

7:34
Greg: If I already have Brent Rooker, is JJ Bleday just too many A’s to have in a 15 team NFBC?  Maybe go for Tyrone Taylor instead?

7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: I don’t believe in the too many of a team if the player is producing. Both will probably end up streaming options in 12 and permanent guys in 15’s

7:36
Mark Kenzip: ROS saves plus holds league, bryan baker, graterol, Ian Hamilton? Thanks!

7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: Graterol, Baker, Hamilton

7:36
Guest: Pickup Mavis drop JD Davis?

7:37
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m guessing Mervis … I might like Davis in this instance

7:37
HappyFunBall: Good evening Jay Z! Paxton worth a bid? I’m a little worried about the characterization that he’s being activated because he’s run out of time on his rehab stint, rather than that he’s being activated because he’s ready to be a major league pitcher again

7:38
Jeff Zimmerman: He hit 5 IP twice and his fastball velocity is up to previous levels. There is nothing else to prove.

7:38
Guest: How often are your in-season batter rankings updated here on the site?

7:38
Jeff Zimmerman: They are to be done once a month and I did mine a week or two ago.

7:38
Jeff Zimmerman: done=updated

7:39
Guest: Any chance Manoah comes anywhere close to last years form? The underlying numbers say no and I didn’t realize until recently how much last year was smoke and mirrors. Your thoughts?

7:40
Jeff Zimmerman: The key will be getting that 5.2 BB/9 down. No pitcher will be the same with a +3.0 BB/9 jump

7:40
WilleMaysBday: Was ready to cut Matz in 17-team 5×5, but should his first good start change my mind?  Singer cuttable given his horrible start?

7:41
Jeff Zimmerman: Singer can be cut before Matz. I’d drop both for Miller

7:41
Norge: Is Brandon Lowe a drop in 12 team mixed roto?

7:42
Jeff Zimmerman: Those 7 HR are nice. I just don’t see anyone being an improvement

7:43
Robin Herch: Bibbee or Grayson Rodriguez ROS

7:44
Jeff Zimmerman: Close for me, Bibbee I guess.

7:44
lovethepod: Do you believe that Maikel Garcia has drastically improved both his power and plate discipline? If so, sky’s the limit, right?

7:45
Jeff Zimmerman: The power was legit in AAA but he hit way too many balls into the ground (56% GB%)

7:45
Jeff Zimmerman: AAA StatCast numbers: https://smw314.shinyapps.io/aaa_statcast/

7:46
Jeff Zimmerman: I think he has to be rostered to see if the changes stick

7:46
Felix: Holding Reid Detmers and Grayson Rodríguez or stream in 13 team?

7:46
Jeff Zimmerman: I feel like bench streamers

7:46
timdog56: Hi Jeff, need help with starting pitching. Please rank these options for rest of season, Quantril. Garrett, Varland, Ranger Suarez, Civale Urquidy. Thank you.

7:47
Jeff Zimmerman: Varland, Suarez, Garrett, Quantrill………………………………..Urquidy

7:48
Luis Ortiz: If you knew I was up, where would I rank in your SP pickups article? After Varland or Garrett?

7:48
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes, for sure. I’m not sold on him being a difference maker

7:48
Mike: I know you liked Bryce Miller before today’s start. Safe to say you are buying even more now?

7:49
Jeff Zimmerman: Some “idiot” dropped over $400 in Tout Wars. Who could that be?  That said, we can get $$$ back from injuries (I had Hoskins) and it has $0 bids.

7:51
Jeff Zimmerman: I have him valued at just over a 4.00 ERA pitcher. If he was on the wire, I’d pick him up without hesitation

7:51
Jimbo: Lost Yaz last week, Eloy this week.  Better rest of season choice: Tyronne Tayler, Robbie Grossman or Matt Vierling?

7:51
Jeff Zimmerman: Vierling

7:52
Guest: Do you have a preference on Grisham, Ozuna, T. Trammell, T. Taylor as a pick up in a 15 team league. Bench is filled with Call, Wiemer and Doyle (ducks).

7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: Whoa, big bench. I usually max out one or hitters on my bnech

7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d go for Ozuna on the upside

7:52
daro: Seiya was dropped in my 12 teams league. would you pick him up over Friedl/Kirillof to replace Eloy?

7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes

7:53
Timboslice: 12 team roto h2h, struggling at 3rd, dropped hayes for senzel, any other options? Duran on tex a better choice?

7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: Senzel is top. Garcia in KC will get 3B later this week.

7:54
Peter: Can you make any sense of the current Yankees closing situation?  Is King the guy?  Saves only league.

7:55
Jeff Zimmerman: King is in some of my bid lists for sure. For any team needing Saves, he must be a consideration this week

7:56
Debbie Downer: Not to rain on anyone’s parade, but the projections for ROS for B. Miller are basically 8-9 K/9 and a 4.00 ERA. Good but not great.

7:58
Jeff Zimmerman: I’ll pull tonight’s start later, but I have him closer to 3.00 than 4.00.

7:58
ROBOCOP: Time to drop Oviedo for either of Gore / Berrios?

7:58
Jeff Zimmerman: With those options, stream the better matchups

7:58
Gunnar Henderson: What should owners do with me?

7:58
Jeff Zimmerman: Nothing for another another three weeks.

7:59
Guest: Am I nuts for thinking about picking up G. Arias this week? Or at least putting him down as a contingent bid. Close to eligible at 1B with possibility of OF with Gonzalez sent down and a handful of LHP on the schedule? 15 team

7:59
Jeff Zimmerman: I think you’re been too cute and should just add Gavin Sheets and then find someone else to stream next week

7:59
Which one: Drop Eddie Rosario for Harrison Bader in a 12tm league?   If so how much FAAB?

8:00
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes, but 1%, maybe 2%. Both are looking like 12-team streamers

8:00
Jay: Roster crunch coming with Seager and Altuve. 2 of Jazz Chisholm, Thairo Estrada and Willy Adames have to go. Should I just try hard for a 2 for 1 trade?

8:01
Jeff Zimmerman: Hold up.

8:01
Jeff Zimmerman: This was either the worst draft strategy to load up on all elite MI

8:02
Jeff Zimmerman: Or you and your two friends need to find more friends and get in a deeper league

8:02
KCbbq: Cut Jansen for Conner Wong in a 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H league.

8:03
Jeff Zimmerman: I think Wong need to be considered as a catcher improvement in all 2-catcher leagues (or one catcher onlys)

8:03
Chris: Is rodon droppable or do you just stash him on IR and prioritize him over others?

8:03
Jeff Zimmerman: I see my two Rodon shares and don’t know what to do.

8:04
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m worried he’s throwing but just not getting previous results

8:04
Bob: When you say 30% – do you mean 30% of what you had at the beginning of the season (1000 nfbc) or 30% of what you have left?

8:05
Jeff Zimmerman: 30% from beginning but that can be lower if the league is spending like drunken sailors

8:05
Pops: Asked a question about Strahm earlier, but I also have a hitter question. Do I have these guys ranked correctly: H Ramirez, Taylor Walls, JD Davis, Josh Naylor

8:05
Jeff Zimmerman: I might have Davis number one based on more playing time

8:06
Steve in NYC: 15 tm NFBC, need SBs.  How much would you bid on M Garcia?  Same amount on E Valdez per your TOUT bid?

8:07
Jeff Zimmerman: I stole Valdez in Tout Wars, I had to hold back because of the high Miller bid. I suspect both to go around 20% to 40%, maybe more if some really needs SB

8:08
Rick: In a 10 team yahoo league with 23 man rosters, would you drop Taj to pick up Bryce Miller? It’s “fastest finger” and Miller is still out there. Taj just on my bench obviously…

8:08
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes, hell yes

8:08
Decisions: Strahm or Bradish in a keeper points lg with holds? Will Strahm go back to the rotation or is Bradish a better long term bet?

8:09
Jeff Zimmerman: I might hold Strahm in a keeper league and see his usage. I could see him follow Suarez later this week and get the W

8:09
Vic: I appreciate you doing these each week

8:09
Jeff Zimmerman: You’re welcome

8:10
Pedro: Jeff:  Siri or Leody T rest of season.  AL only 5×5. Thanks.

8:11
Jeff Zimmerman: Both are streamable in 12’s but in AL only, I’d go Taveras based on a recent hot streak. He might just be getting healthy after the injury to start the season.

8:11
Guest: Berrios dropped; whats appropriate bid for him?   More/less than Bryce Miller?

8:12
Jeff Zimmerman: A bit less but it could be decent. I had the situation last week and had the exact same bids for Allen and Berrios

8:12
Guest: Is Torkelson starting to happen?

8:13
Jeff Zimmerman: He might be, I’m surprised on how bad he’s been

8:13
Vader: Sorry Jeff I’m late, so someone may have asked already…I know Mervis is up already but I’m in love with Encarnacion-Strand, and i think he’s forcing his way up perhaps this week. Would you take a chance on E-S or grab Mervis?

8:14
Jeff Zimmerman: Simply, no fing idea. I stay away from all the prospect stuff. If I told you anything I’d just be pulling it out of ass.

8:14
KCbbq: Do you value Bryce Miller more than Bibee or Logan Miller in a 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H keeper league? Trying to gage what to bid based partly on what they went for….$8 and $12 respectively using $100 FAAB.

8:15
Jeff Zimmerman: That little in an AL only? I’d go $20 in a blink of an eye.

8:15
Steve Longley: Andrew Abbott worth stashing?

8:15
Jeff Zimmerman: There are some interesting things going on with him.

8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: Another guy who popped in my system was Sears. Bad team context but solid arm

8:16
Jay: Its a 10 teamer with 4 bench spots. Jazz got dropped, Adames was dropped and Thairo was not drafted and was my first waiver grab.

8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: wtf.gif

8:17
ROX: Daniel Bard droppable in 12s or hold to see if he gets the closer role back?

8:17
Jeff Zimmerman: Hold for another week but he’s getting close to droppable

8:17
Greg: Is Kent Battenfield a guy who can stick in CLE rotation?

8:18
Jeff Zimmerman: No once everyone gets healthy and there are no trades. Just too much talent in front of him. He’ll go to the pen or AAA once Civale returns

8:18
Adbert Fan Club: Hi Jeff, do you see Alzolay working his way into the closer role for CHC?

8:19
Jeff Zimmerman: In 15’s or deeper, Alzolay should be added by some team. He’s a fine streaming option who is better than most starters. And if he gets Saves, the bonus is huge.

8:21
KCbbq: My SPs are Gausman, Ryan, Lynn, Jon Gray and Wells. 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H using W+QS. Would you go hard after Bryce Miller to replace one of them? Could also stash him on my bench

8:22
Jeff Zimmerman: I wouldn’t go hard with those options but put in a bid and see what happens.

8:22
Closer Crazy: Pierce Johnson was dropped with his terrible ratios … % bid (if any) of desperate for saves in NL only

8:22
Jeff Zimmerman: 5%

8:22
Bruce Live in 2023: Please rate for a FAAB Bid %( highest to lowest bid %) : Lane Thomas, Leody Taveras, Luis Garcia (Nats) or Maikel Garcia?

8:23
Jeff Zimmerman: M Garcia (20% to 40%), the other at 1% or less in a 12. If in a 15 or deeper, you might need to 20% on all three

8:24
Percy Miracles: Jeff would you drop R Castro or Meneses for either Torkelson or L Gurriel?

8:24
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d go Meneses for Gurriel

8:24
Guest: Adam or Alzolay in 16 team, 5×5?

8:24
Jeff Zimmerman: Adam

8:24
Pedro: What would be a fair bid for Varland?  Seems like he could return 80% of Miller’s value at 1/3 of the cost

8:25
Jeff Zimmerman: Varland was going for 1% to 6% last week. Where he remains available, I expect similar ranges.

8:25
Rob: Would you drop M.Perez for Wesneski… Also have been holding J. Walker but he is not doing well in Triple A… Should he be cut now ?

8:26
Jeff Zimmerman: The Perez drop is fine. I’d probably drop Walker knowing I can’t beat myself up next week if he’s recalled.

8:26
Tommy: Is Drury’s season a mirage or is he worth an add in 10-12 team 10cat h2h?

8:26
Jeff Zimmerman: He’s streamable in those formats

8:27
Jeff 4 Prez: Tavares or Kirillof ROS?

8:27
Jeff Zimmerman: Taveras, I don’t trust Kirillof staying helathy

8:28
Johnny5Alive: Any hope left for stripling in an NL only

8:28
Jeff Zimmerman: Probably not.

8:28
Jeff Zimmerman: That’s it for this week. I need to check my bids and not think about FAAB bids.





Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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phlowtron
9 months ago

2 questions if not too late: Tovar or M Garcia? Moreno or C Wong? TB and OBP replacing HR and AVE