Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:31
Hill: Jeff, Thanks for doing these as always…..Which of Logan Allen and Bibee is likely to have the run in the rotation and what would you put for FAAB percentage wise in OC?

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: I’ll answer this and then drop the FAAB results

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: I ranked Allen over Bibee based on his “stuff” numbers. They are really close otherwise. I’m guessing we are in the Bradley/Miller range of 10% to 50% to get one of them

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the results of the two 15-team Tout Wars leagues.

7:34
Guest: Trying to figure out a FAAB % on Myles Straw. What would be your range?

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: Min bid unless it’s an AL only and then maybe 5%

7:34
Oddball Herrera: Is there an intellectually rigorous way to talk oneself into a Rooker breakout despite him putting up these numbers while also actually showing slightly *worse* contact/plate discipline than before?

7:35
Jeff Zimmerman: The A’s are letting him play

7:35
Jeff Zimmerman: He’s only hit for power and that’s all I’d expect going forward

7:35
Schilling & Pence: Snell, Bibee and Grayson R are all on the waiver wire in one of my leagues.  How would you rank them for ROS—probably more interested in ceiling than worried about floor

7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: Grayson, Bibee, …………………………….Snell

7:36
Jose Abreu: TIme to cut bait on Abreu in 10 & 12 teamers where guys like Christian Walker and Josh Bell are available?  He looks pretty bad.

7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: Abreu is probably in streaming range with those WW options.

7:36
Old vs New: What’s your outlook on Jd Martinez ROS? Would you take any of the hot bats over him…Duran, Suwinski, or Rooker?

7:37
Jeff Zimmerman: With those options, I’d be streaming based on that week’s matchup

7:37
Travioli: Deciding between Yennier Cano or Yonny Chirinos to help fill in for a bombed out staff. Who’d your pick be?

7:37
Jeff Zimmerman: Chirinos for the week

7:37
Cory: Seen enough from Bradish?    Couldn’t get through 5 against Detroit.   Hope to grab Bibee for him tonight

7:38
Jeff Zimmerman: He was lucky to have the sub-4.00 ERA last year. Now the luck is gone and he’s heading downhill fast

7:38
KCbbq: 12 team AL only keeper league ($260 draft day). Time to give up on Torkelson $1. Raley on the wire. If so, how much to bid on him? $100 FAAB.

7:38
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d stick with Tork for now

7:38
Richard Ryder: Didn’t see Varland (MIN) in your waiver article. If he’s up for Mahle who is out for awhile, where would he rank?

7:39
Jeff Zimmerman: That news comes out after the article. I don’t go back to the article because I like to attempt to have a life.

7:40
Jeff Zimmerman: Around Vince Velasquez. After Ober for sure

7:40
Django: Does Lamonte Wade Jr. in an OBP league… hidden gem?

7:41
Jeff Zimmerman: He’s interesting and the playing time isn’t set. I’d add and see how it goes against 6 righties next week

7:41
Jason: Hi Jeff! If I pick up C. Joe or C. Santana, would you recommend starting them this week over Jose Abreu? Thanks!

7:43
Jeff Zimmerman: Here is what I do, I go to Razzball ($$ but just about $1 a week) and they are ranked: Abreu, Joe, Santana

7:43
Bert is the word: J. Berti is a safe drop in a 12 teamer roto league, right? Dude is 33, done little this far, and J. Wendel is coming back imminently. G Perdomo is looking pretty good as an SS replacement

7:45
Jeff Zimmerman: Berti is fine to drop but Perdomo is a horrible add. He’ll only play three games next week (just 5 games, 2 vs lefties).

7:45
Jeff Zimmerman: You need to find another option

7:45
Ricon: Battle of the underachieving – I need to start one this week, who is it… Snell, Flaherty, Sale

7:45
Jeff Zimmerman: Sale

7:45
Greg: Any hope for David Villar? Drop for another MI option lilke McKinstry?

7:46
Jeff Zimmerman: I see that as a linear move but there aren’t many MI options. Arcia might be back soon.

7:46
Guest: Paredes vs Drury? 12 team points league.

7:46
Jeff Zimmerman: Drury for now but close

7:47
Digging a hole: Cut JoseSuarez right before his solid start today. Question is: who do you want me to cut so he’ll suddenly be good again?

7:47
Jeff Zimmerman: Snell

7:47
Guest: Louie Varland over Oviedo? Looking for upside. Varland stuff+ looks promising. Opportunity with Mahle out 4-6 weeks.

7:47
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d try to get both. You might need to look at schedules

7:47
Vader: Hi Jeff

7:47
Jeff Zimmerman: Hi Darth

7:48
Jim: In an AL only roto league I waited too long to drafta 1B guy. Do I now ditch Brandon Belt for Nick Pratto?

7:48
Jeff Zimmerman: Maybe, that’s rough. Yea, I’d take the chance

7:48
Dude: Gavin Stone – spot start or does he get a longer look? Thx.

7:49
Jeff Zimmerman: I can’t get a read on this

7:49
Jeff Zimmerman: I don’t think they are going 6-man … maybe

7:50
Duran Duran: Are either of us (Jarren and Ezekiel) 12 team mixed worthy

7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: I think as streaming options but not as set and forget guys

7:51
Guest: Is Lance Lynn a drop at this point?  12 team points and 16 team 7×7  h2h.

7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m holding but maybe not starting. He does have a 3.40 xFIP over the past three weeks

7:52
Lololo: Nick Lodolo – what’s going on with this guy? 44 Ks in 30 innings, but continues to get blasted

7:53
Jeff Zimmerman: It’ll happen to some pitchers, it’s too early to know if giving up a ton of runs is a skill Lodolo has.

7:53
Darin Ruf House: deep only league which recently dropped SP to fill an injury:  singer or boyd?

7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: My system says Singer but it’s not happy about it

7:54
YSoSerious: standard 5×5 roto dynasty. Who do you prefer Josh jung or brett baty

7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: Baty long term

7:54
A.: Drop Minter or Lopez for Y Cano or M Moore? 6×6, sv and holds are separate categories.

7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: Drop Minter for Moore. I like Lopez the most

7:55
Digging a hole: In a deep hole in era/whip. AL only. Better to try bulk innings/starters (Kikuchi, sears, Ober, Chirinos types) or better quality RPs (cano, will vest, wentz)?

7:57
Jeff Zimmerman: You want to try to win three categories if he give up on going for all five. If you have closers (they can be bad), stream away. If you don’t have closers, get the best bullpen arms you can (make sure you can reach IP min) and hope for Saves from them

7:57
Jon: I’m in an OPS league and looking to upgrade over Ketel Marte. I want to package Marte and Josh Lowe for a 2nd baseman. Who should I be targeting? I already tried for Gorman but got rejected, Chisholm? Gleyber?

7:58
Jeff Zimmerman: You are aiming way too high. Maybe go for the Rays other Lowe

7:58
Guesty: How would you prioritize the following, Strahm, Bibee, Logan Allen, M. Miller, G. Stone?

7:59
Jeff Zimmerman: Strahm, Allen, Bibee, Stone, Miller.

7:59
Liam: Think Leclerc can regain the closer role in Texas ?

7:59
Jeff Zimmerman: Maybe. I could see him end up with 8-12 Saves at the season’s end

8:00
Jimbo: Do you believe Tyrone Taylor will provide productive stats upon his return?  Would you drop Manual Margot, Max Kepler or David Villar for him?

8:00
Jeff Zimmerman: I think he’ll be a streamable option, but I wouldn’t drop any of those three for him just yet

8:00
Steve: Do you expect Rodon to be effective as he has been last 2 seasons when returns?

8:00
Jeff Zimmerman: No idea until he goes for a rehab start.

8:01
Justin: Hi Jeff. Need a power bat in 12 team points league. Suwinski,  Gallo, or Haniger,

8:01
Jeff Zimmerman: Gallo if just power

8:01
Travis: Could Gavin Stone stick with the team? will he play in 12 teamers?

8:01
Jeff Zimmerman: No idea

8:01
Guest: varland or Ober?

8:01
Jeff Zimmerman: Ober because I think he’ll stay up once others come off the IL

8:01
Rj: Are you holding Miguel Vargas?

8:01
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes

8:02
Duran Duran: Jarren Duran or Nick Senzel ROS? Duran drew the start today against Logan Allen (1/4 w a double) and continues to hit himself into potentially more than a platoon role

8:02
Jeff Zimmerman: I agree it’s Duran but be ready to move on if he starts to lose playing time.

8:02
Ken: Please rank for rest of 2023…German, Ashcraft, Bradish

8:03
Jeff Zimmerman: Ashcraft, Germain …………………………………………….Bradish

8:03
KCbbq: Would you drop $21 Lynn or one of my RPs (King or Swanson) and bid for Bibee in 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H even if Bibee may soon be sent back to AAA?

8:04
Jeff Zimmerman: If Lynn is your worst option in an AL only, just sit tight. I would drop one of the RP

8:04
Philly Special: I see L Varland being added in industry leagues.  Is a promotion imminent? Or are they just speculating on the stuff?  Are you adding?

8:05
Jeff Zimmerman: It’s with Mahle going to the IL for over a month and Maeda already on it, that Varland will get another start

8:07
Stoner: Gavin stone is getting a call up… where do u rank him on ur waiver list

8:07
Jeff Zimmerman: Around Bibee and Allen

8:07
Chris M: Good evening Jeff.. always grateful for your knowledge.  Should I place a bid on JD Davis and drop Josh Bell? 5×5 obp league

8:07
Jeff Zimmerman: That’s fine

8:08
Daniel Bardo Pond: Where have Hayden Wesneski’s strikeouts gone? Any reason to hold in a shallow points league when starters like Velasquez, Hill, and Strahm are available?

8:08
Jeff Zimmerman: Easy arm to move on from with those other options

8:08
MM Quince: Are you buying Josiah Grey? How do you like him versus popular rookies. 12 team w/ QS

8:08
Jeff Zimmerman: Nope, never had

8:08
Cliffy: Jorge Soler was cut in my league – 12×12 mixed standard roto. Is he worth a waiver claim with other available outfielders like Friedl, Alek Thomas, Lane Thomas? Would drop Brendan Donovan for him

8:09
Jeff Zimmerman: I would drop all of them for him, especially Donovan who isn’t playing much

8:10
Steve: It seems you and sporer have different opinions on bradish per his last Wednesday chat.  Is it a matter of perspective or context to each specific area you both focus?

8:11
Jeff Zimmerman: I have Bradish valued as a 4.71 ERA guy with the walks (5.4 BB/9) still being an issue.

8:11
Dave in slc: Deeper needs than available in your article. Nl only just want the best player no specific need. Ozuna, Hampson, Jesus sanchez. How do you order them?

8:12
Jeff Zimmerman: That’s garbage

8:12
Jeff Zimmerman: Ozuna, Sanchez, Hampson

8:12
Thomas: Hate seeing HR sitting on the wire when my guys aren’t hitting them.  Would you drop LeMahieu or Steer for Burger or JD Davis?

8:12
Jeff Zimmerman: No on DJLM, but yes on Steer for either one.

8:13
Jake The Snake: Should we be dropping Taj in 12T redrafts?

8:13
Jeff Zimmerman: Would you pick him up if you saw him on the wire in other leagues? If the answer is no, drop him. If yes, hold on.

8:13
Kenny Rogers in a 12 team: re: Recent Minor Leagers.  Know when to hold ’em: Jordan Walker / Know when to fold ’em: Jake McCarthy.  Do you agree?

8:14
Jeff Zimmerman: Hold Walker for a couple more weeks. The Cards will need to promote him soon to get the possible ROY draft picks. If that date passes, drop him

8:15
Ed: Drop K. Hayes for R. Laureano (5×5 12 team roto)…I need OF and the potential for the A’s trading him to a better line up sounds intriging…

8:15
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes and if Hayes is you worst player, congrats on your dominating team

8:16
Mike: So what % of FAAB for Gavin Stone in a 12 team mixed roto?

8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: 10% to 50%. It’ll be huge

8:16
Guest: Razzball projections had Longo as top 50ish this weekend and he homered today.  Just sayin.

8:16
Get Crafty: Selling Ashcraft for Gallo a good play?  OBP/QS league and I have lots of SP but sluggers are struggling

8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: Seems fair and team needs out weigh everything

8:17
Chicks Dig The Long Ball: Need an OF. Will likely drop an SP. Which should go: Bradish or Oviedo.

8:17
Jeff Zimmerman: Oviedo

8:17
Creamsicle: FAAB bid % on Wesneski and Megill? Both have 2 start weeks.

8:19
Jeff Zimmerman: 1% at most. A manager can’t be dropping more on two weekly streamers. It’ll end up costing more than 52% of FAAB by season’s end.

8:19
Dude: Interesting that you would prioritize Bibee over Stone. Is it because you feel Bibee is the better pitcher or just that he has a better chance to stick in the majors right now?

8:20
Jeff Zimmerman: It’s all sticking in the majors. Also, Plesac sucks and is obvious demote.

8:20
Seanold: Hi Jeff, thanks for the last minute advice. 15 team roto, got Gallegos and Jorge Lopez as RP2/3 (shit) Carlos Estevez is available on the wire, who would you drop for him?

8:20
Jeff Zimmerman: Drop Gall for Estevez

8:20
Zac plesac: Hey don’t talk like that about me

8:20
Porcho Villa: Who’s the first drop among D. German, Detmers, Bibee, Eflin, and Steele? Would you drop any of them for Strahm?

8:21
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d drop Eflin or German for Strahm

8:21
Rob: hello! Continue to hold Austin Meadows? 15 team, OBP, FA replacements would be Vierling, Colas, Grossman types. Thanks!

8:22
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d probably drop and go with Vieling, especially with Carpenter hurt

8:22
Bruce Live in 2023: Canning, Jon Gray or B.Elder. Who would you cut to add Stone ?

8:22
Jeff Zimmerman: Elder

8:22
Jesse: 10 team AL Only – Clarke Schmidt or Michael Kopech? Drop either or both for speculative saves (Bryan Baker, Jason Foley) or short-term upside (Varland)?

8:22
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d move on from Kopech to Varland

8:23
Porcho Villa: In a vacuum, if you can only keep one of Taj or Walker, who would you hold? (12 tm. 5×5 OBP)

8:23
Jeff Zimmerman: Walker

8:23
Schilling & Pence: Brantley should return soon.  Would you rather have him vs Will M or Brian A in an OPS league?

8:23
Jeff Zimmerman: Anderson

8:23
Matt: Drop singer for ober at this point?

8:23
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes

8:23
Erik: Suwinski for Andres Munoz a fair trade?

8:23
Jeff Zimmerman: Love the Suwinski side

8:24
Cd: Would you drop Ashcraft in a 10t h2h with qs for a reliever like Abreu in a NSH when you’ve been sporting Romero and Hader and winning that category against teams with 4+ relievers? Been losing era and whip consistently so far too but I always heavily invest in SPs to start before slowly coming around to RPs for balance. Just don’t want to lose out on either player rn

8:25
Jeff Zimmerman: I think both options are streamable in a 10-teamer. I’d try to just win each week and don’t get tied to either one.

8:25
Walt: Always appreciate the chat Jeff.  I’m a Mahle owner in NFBC.  Drop him for a Bibee, Allen, Ober?  Apologies if you answered a Mahle question already.  Thanks

8:26
Jeff Zimmerman: I haven’t on the drop. I would for Ober for sure.

8:26
Jeff Zimmerman: The others are close. I think it matters if it is a 12 or 15 team league

8:27
Heim: Hi Jeff. Melendez is struggling. Should I pick up Heim for C and play him until Melendez works things out? Thanks.

8:27
Jeff Zimmerman: If Hiem is an options, sure.

8:28
Jeff Zimmerman: That’s it for this week. I need to check the news and my bids before calling it a night





Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

Comments are closed.