Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
7:31 |
: Jeff, Thanks for doing these as always…..Which of Logan Allen and Bibee is likely to have the run in the rotation and what would you put for FAAB percentage wise in OC?
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7:31 |
: I’ll answer this and then drop the FAAB results
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7:33 |
: I ranked Allen over Bibee based on his “stuff” numbers. They are really close otherwise. I’m guessing we are in the Bradley/Miller range of 10% to 50% to get one of them
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7:33 |
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7:33 |
: Here are the results of the two 15-team Tout Wars leagues.
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7:34 |
: Trying to figure out a FAAB % on Myles Straw. What would be your range?
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7:34 |
: Min bid unless it’s an AL only and then maybe 5%
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7:34 |
: Is there an intellectually rigorous way to talk oneself into a Rooker breakout despite him putting up these numbers while also actually showing slightly *worse* contact/plate discipline than before?
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7:35 |
: The A’s are letting him play
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7:35 |
: He’s only hit for power and that’s all I’d expect going forward
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7:35 |
: Snell, Bibee and Grayson R are all on the waiver wire in one of my leagues. How would you rank them for ROS—probably more interested in ceiling than worried about floor
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7:36 |
: Grayson, Bibee, …………………………….Snell
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7:36 |
: TIme to cut bait on Abreu in 10 & 12 teamers where guys like Christian Walker and Josh Bell are available? He looks pretty bad.
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7:36 |
: Abreu is probably in streaming range with those WW options.
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7:36 |
: What’s your outlook on Jd Martinez ROS? Would you take any of the hot bats over him…Duran, Suwinski, or Rooker?
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7:37 |
: With those options, I’d be streaming based on that week’s matchup
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7:37 |
: Deciding between Yennier Cano or Yonny Chirinos to help fill in for a bombed out staff. Who’d your pick be?
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7:37 |
: Chirinos for the week
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7:37 |
: Seen enough from Bradish? Couldn’t get through 5 against Detroit. Hope to grab Bibee for him tonight
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7:38 |
: He was lucky to have the sub-4.00 ERA last year. Now the luck is gone and he’s heading downhill fast
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7:38 |
: 12 team AL only keeper league ($260 draft day). Time to give up on Torkelson $1. Raley on the wire. If so, how much to bid on him? $100 FAAB.
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7:38 |
: I’d stick with Tork for now
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7:38 |
: Didn’t see Varland (MIN) in your waiver article. If he’s up for Mahle who is out for awhile, where would he rank?
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7:39 |
: That news comes out after the article. I don’t go back to the article because I like to attempt to have a life.
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7:40 |
: Around Vince Velasquez. After Ober for sure
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7:40 |
: Does Lamonte Wade Jr. in an OBP league… hidden gem?
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7:41 |
: He’s interesting and the playing time isn’t set. I’d add and see how it goes against 6 righties next week
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7:41 |
: Hi Jeff! If I pick up C. Joe or C. Santana, would you recommend starting them this week over Jose Abreu? Thanks!
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7:43 |
: Here is what I do, I go to Razzball ($$ but just about $1 a week) and they are ranked: Abreu, Joe, Santana
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7:43 |
: J. Berti is a safe drop in a 12 teamer roto league, right? Dude is 33, done little this far, and J. Wendel is coming back imminently. G Perdomo is looking pretty good as an SS replacement
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7:45 |
: Berti is fine to drop but Perdomo is a horrible add. He’ll only play three games next week (just 5 games, 2 vs lefties).
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7:45 |
: You need to find another option
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7:45 |
: Battle of the underachieving – I need to start one this week, who is it… Snell, Flaherty, Sale
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7:45 |
: Sale
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7:45 |
: Any hope for David Villar? Drop for another MI option lilke McKinstry?
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7:46 |
: I see that as a linear move but there aren’t many MI options. Arcia might be back soon.
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7:46 |
: Paredes vs Drury? 12 team points league.
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7:46 |
: Drury for now but close
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7:47 |
: Cut JoseSuarez right before his solid start today. Question is: who do you want me to cut so he’ll suddenly be good again?
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7:47 |
: Snell
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7:47 |
: Louie Varland over Oviedo? Looking for upside. Varland stuff+ looks promising. Opportunity with Mahle out 4-6 weeks.
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7:47 |
: I’d try to get both. You might need to look at schedules
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7:47 |
: Hi Jeff
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7:47 |
: Hi Darth
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7:48 |
: In an AL only roto league I waited too long to drafta 1B guy. Do I now ditch Brandon Belt for Nick Pratto?
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7:48 |
: Maybe, that’s rough. Yea, I’d take the chance
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7:48 |
: Gavin Stone – spot start or does he get a longer look? Thx.
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7:49 |
: I can’t get a read on this
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7:49 |
: I don’t think they are going 6-man … maybe
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7:50 |
: Are either of us (Jarren and Ezekiel) 12 team mixed worthy
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7:50 |
: I think as streaming options but not as set and forget guys
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7:51 |
: Is Lance Lynn a drop at this point? 12 team points and 16 team 7×7 h2h.
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7:52 |
: I’m holding but maybe not starting. He does have a 3.40 xFIP over the past three weeks
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7:52 |
: Nick Lodolo – what’s going on with this guy? 44 Ks in 30 innings, but continues to get blasted
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7:53 |
: It’ll happen to some pitchers, it’s too early to know if giving up a ton of runs is a skill Lodolo has.
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7:53 |
: deep only league which recently dropped SP to fill an injury: singer or boyd?
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7:54 |
: My system says Singer but it’s not happy about it
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7:54 |
: standard 5×5 roto dynasty. Who do you prefer Josh jung or brett baty
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7:54 |
: Baty long term
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7:54 |
: Drop Minter or Lopez for Y Cano or M Moore? 6×6, sv and holds are separate categories.
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7:54 |
: Drop Minter for Moore. I like Lopez the most
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7:55 |
: In a deep hole in era/whip. AL only. Better to try bulk innings/starters (Kikuchi, sears, Ober, Chirinos types) or better quality RPs (cano, will vest, wentz)?
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7:57 |
: You want to try to win three categories if he give up on going for all five. If you have closers (they can be bad), stream away. If you don’t have closers, get the best bullpen arms you can (make sure you can reach IP min) and hope for Saves from them
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7:57 |
: I’m in an OPS league and looking to upgrade over Ketel Marte. I want to package Marte and Josh Lowe for a 2nd baseman. Who should I be targeting? I already tried for Gorman but got rejected, Chisholm? Gleyber?
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7:58 |
: You are aiming way too high. Maybe go for the Rays other Lowe
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7:58 |
: How would you prioritize the following, Strahm, Bibee, Logan Allen, M. Miller, G. Stone?
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7:59 |
: Strahm, Allen, Bibee, Stone, Miller.
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7:59 |
: Think Leclerc can regain the closer role in Texas ?
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7:59 |
: Maybe. I could see him end up with 8-12 Saves at the season’s end
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8:00 |
: Do you believe Tyrone Taylor will provide productive stats upon his return? Would you drop Manual Margot, Max Kepler or David Villar for him?
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8:00 |
: I think he’ll be a streamable option, but I wouldn’t drop any of those three for him just yet
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8:00 |
: Do you expect Rodon to be effective as he has been last 2 seasons when returns?
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8:00 |
: No idea until he goes for a rehab start.
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8:01 |
: Hi Jeff. Need a power bat in 12 team points league. Suwinski, Gallo, or Haniger,
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8:01 |
: Gallo if just power
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8:01 |
: Could Gavin Stone stick with the team? will he play in 12 teamers?
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8:01 |
: No idea
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8:01 |
: varland or Ober?
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8:01 |
: Ober because I think he’ll stay up once others come off the IL
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8:01 |
: Are you holding Miguel Vargas?
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8:01 |
: Yes
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8:02 |
: Jarren Duran or Nick Senzel ROS? Duran drew the start today against Logan Allen (1/4 w a double) and continues to hit himself into potentially more than a platoon role
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8:02 |
: I agree it’s Duran but be ready to move on if he starts to lose playing time.
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8:02 |
: Please rank for rest of 2023…German, Ashcraft, Bradish
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8:03 |
: Ashcraft, Germain …………………………………………….Bradish
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8:03 |
: Would you drop $21 Lynn or one of my RPs (King or Swanson) and bid for Bibee in 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H even if Bibee may soon be sent back to AAA?
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8:04 |
: If Lynn is your worst option in an AL only, just sit tight. I would drop one of the RP
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8:04 |
: I see L Varland being added in industry leagues. Is a promotion imminent? Or are they just speculating on the stuff? Are you adding?
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8:05 |
: It’s with Mahle going to the IL for over a month and Maeda already on it, that Varland will get another start
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8:07 |
: Gavin stone is getting a call up… where do u rank him on ur waiver list
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8:07 |
: Around Bibee and Allen
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8:07 |
: Good evening Jeff.. always grateful for your knowledge. Should I place a bid on JD Davis and drop Josh Bell? 5×5 obp league
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8:07 |
: That’s fine
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8:08 |
: Where have Hayden Wesneski’s strikeouts gone? Any reason to hold in a shallow points league when starters like Velasquez, Hill, and Strahm are available?
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8:08 |
: Easy arm to move on from with those other options
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8:08 |
: Are you buying Josiah Grey? How do you like him versus popular rookies. 12 team w/ QS
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8:08 |
: Nope, never had
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8:08 |
: Jorge Soler was cut in my league – 12×12 mixed standard roto. Is he worth a waiver claim with other available outfielders like Friedl, Alek Thomas, Lane Thomas? Would drop Brendan Donovan for him
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8:09 |
: I would drop all of them for him, especially Donovan who isn’t playing much
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8:10 |
: It seems you and sporer have different opinions on bradish per his last Wednesday chat. Is it a matter of perspective or context to each specific area you both focus?
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8:11 |
: I have Bradish valued as a 4.71 ERA guy with the walks (5.4 BB/9) still being an issue.
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8:11 |
: Deeper needs than available in your article. Nl only just want the best player no specific need. Ozuna, Hampson, Jesus sanchez. How do you order them?
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8:12 |
: That’s garbage
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8:12 |
: Ozuna, Sanchez, Hampson
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8:12 |
: Hate seeing HR sitting on the wire when my guys aren’t hitting them. Would you drop LeMahieu or Steer for Burger or JD Davis?
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8:12 |
: No on DJLM, but yes on Steer for either one.
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8:13 |
: Should we be dropping Taj in 12T redrafts?
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8:13 |
: Would you pick him up if you saw him on the wire in other leagues? If the answer is no, drop him. If yes, hold on.
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8:13 |
: re: Recent Minor Leagers. Know when to hold ’em: Jordan Walker / Know when to fold ’em: Jake McCarthy. Do you agree?
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8:14 |
: Hold Walker for a couple more weeks. The Cards will need to promote him soon to get the possible ROY draft picks. If that date passes, drop him
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8:15 |
: Drop K. Hayes for R. Laureano (5×5 12 team roto)…I need OF and the potential for the A’s trading him to a better line up sounds intriging…
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8:15 |
: Yes and if Hayes is you worst player, congrats on your dominating team
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8:16 |
: So what % of FAAB for Gavin Stone in a 12 team mixed roto?
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8:16 |
: 10% to 50%. It’ll be huge
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8:16 |
: Razzball projections had Longo as top 50ish this weekend and he homered today. Just sayin.
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8:16 |
: Selling Ashcraft for Gallo a good play? OBP/QS league and I have lots of SP but sluggers are struggling
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8:16 |
: Seems fair and team needs out weigh everything
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8:17 |
: Need an OF. Will likely drop an SP. Which should go: Bradish or Oviedo.
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8:17 |
: Oviedo
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8:17 |
: FAAB bid % on Wesneski and Megill? Both have 2 start weeks.
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8:19 |
: 1% at most. A manager can’t be dropping more on two weekly streamers. It’ll end up costing more than 52% of FAAB by season’s end.
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8:19 |
: Interesting that you would prioritize Bibee over Stone. Is it because you feel Bibee is the better pitcher or just that he has a better chance to stick in the majors right now?
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8:20 |
: It’s all sticking in the majors. Also, Plesac sucks and is obvious demote.
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8:20 |
: Hi Jeff, thanks for the last minute advice. 15 team roto, got Gallegos and Jorge Lopez as RP2/3 (shit) Carlos Estevez is available on the wire, who would you drop for him?
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8:20 |
: Drop Gall for Estevez
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8:20 |
: Hey don’t talk like that about me
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8:20 |
: Who’s the first drop among D. German, Detmers, Bibee, Eflin, and Steele? Would you drop any of them for Strahm?
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8:21 |
: I’d drop Eflin or German for Strahm
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8:21 |
: hello! Continue to hold Austin Meadows? 15 team, OBP, FA replacements would be Vierling, Colas, Grossman types. Thanks!
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8:22 |
: I’d probably drop and go with Vieling, especially with Carpenter hurt
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8:22 |
: Canning, Jon Gray or B.Elder. Who would you cut to add Stone ?
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8:22 |
: Elder
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8:22 |
: 10 team AL Only – Clarke Schmidt or Michael Kopech? Drop either or both for speculative saves (Bryan Baker, Jason Foley) or short-term upside (Varland)?
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8:22 |
: I’d move on from Kopech to Varland
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8:23 |
: In a vacuum, if you can only keep one of Taj or Walker, who would you hold? (12 tm. 5×5 OBP)
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8:23 |
: Walker
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8:23 |
: Brantley should return soon. Would you rather have him vs Will M or Brian A in an OPS league?
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8:23 |
: Anderson
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8:23 |
: Drop singer for ober at this point?
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8:23 |
: Yes
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8:23 |
: Suwinski for Andres Munoz a fair trade?
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8:23 |
: Love the Suwinski side
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8:24 |
: Would you drop Ashcraft in a 10t h2h with qs for a reliever like Abreu in a NSH when you’ve been sporting Romero and Hader and winning that category against teams with 4+ relievers? Been losing era and whip consistently so far too but I always heavily invest in SPs to start before slowly coming around to RPs for balance. Just don’t want to lose out on either player rn
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8:25 |
: I think both options are streamable in a 10-teamer. I’d try to just win each week and don’t get tied to either one.
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8:25 |
: Always appreciate the chat Jeff. I’m a Mahle owner in NFBC. Drop him for a Bibee, Allen, Ober? Apologies if you answered a Mahle question already. Thanks
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8:26 |
: I haven’t on the drop. I would for Ober for sure.
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8:26 |
: The others are close. I think it matters if it is a 12 or 15 team league
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8:27 |
: Hi Jeff. Melendez is struggling. Should I pick up Heim for C and play him until Melendez works things out? Thanks.
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8:27 |
: If Hiem is an options, sure.
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8:28 |
: That’s it for this week. I need to check the news and my bids before calling it a night
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.