Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
| 7:30 |
: Welcome
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| 7:31 |
: Here are the winning bids in the two 15-team Tout Wars mixed leagues:
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| 7:31 |
: 
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| 7:31 |
: Jasson Dominguez worth bidding high on? Is he gonna stay up for good or just up for a couple weeks?
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| 7:33 |
: I think it’ll be as long as Stanton is out. It might be until Volpe returns. It might just be a week.
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| 7:33 |
: One sec for Dominguez comps …
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| 7:35 |
: 
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| 7:36 |
: Here are some guys with similar abilities who performed similarly to how Jasson is performing in AAA
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| 7:36 |
: Some good, some bad
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| 7:36 |
: Hi! Desperate for a catcher in 2C AL only, OBP league. (I’ve now lost Kirk and O’Hoppe…) Pick up d’Arnaud or Garver, or try and trade Cantillo for Austin Wells?
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| 7:37 |
: I think you go for a trade because it’ll be easier to find a pitcher than a catcher
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| 7:37 |
: Burger is frustrating me…stay patient or replace with Cortes or Canzone?
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| 7:38 |
: Cortes and Canzone can also be frustrating. The only power guys are that way
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| 7:38 |
: I can pick 2 of Prielipp, Early, Schultz, and Weathers, McClanahan. Who’d you take?
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| 7:38 |
: Prielipp and Schultz
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| 7:38 |
: Drop Trevor Rogers for McClanahan or Ritchie?
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| 7:38 |
: For McClanahan
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| 7:38 |
: Thank you for the ever-essential waiver wire piece and breakdown of the callups. Curious where Cantillo (the arm I’d be cutting in my AL Only) would fall on the list?
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| 7:39 |
: He’d be near the top. I like him a lot.
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| 7:39 |
: is this Martian going to have much of a run here and is he worth starting over Cam Smith with all the righties on the Yankees schedule this week?
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| 7:39 |
: Hold Cam Smith
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| 7:39 |
: Need to drop one in 5×5 roto: Angel Martinez, Sam Antonucci, R. Laureano & Okamoto
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| 7:39 |
: Probably Antonucci
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| 7:39 |
: is Peter Lambert for real? would be dropping G Holmes
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| 7:40 |
: I would, Holmes has been struggling
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| 7:40 |
: Strategy Q: AL Only daily league, 3-man bench. I usually like to have 2 spare arms and and a bench bat to rotate in, but most of my guys are playing everyday right now. Better to use that 3rd bench spot for a save spec/ratio reliever/breakout arm (Jack Perkins, Silseth, Prielipp) or a sub bat (Schneeman, Leody Taveras)?
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| 7:40 |
: If playing, go with another arm
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| 7:40 |
: Ryan Walker, Jack Perkins, and Senzatela available in a 15 team league where I am hurting for saves. Any of them stick out to you for an aggressive bid?
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| 7:41 |
: I don’t know about aggressive bids, but I have it, Walker, Senza, Perkins.
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| 7:41 |
: Lambert or Prielipp for now and long term.
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| 7:41 |
: Prielipp for both
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| 7:41 |
: Hey Jeff, any juice in Carlos Cortes or does he fade away with Rooker’s return?
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| 7:42 |
: I’m worried about Rooker’s return since Cortes’s defense is horrible. Maybe hold for week
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| 7:42 |
: How heavy on FAAB are we going for Tolle and Ritchie in a 12 team OC? I’m a bit hesitant on them because the potential length of their stays, but the talent is so enticing.
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| 7:44 |
: I high on Tolle with comparable bids to Schultz last week. As for Ritchie, I’m not sold on his talent, especially with his 4.3 BB/9 in AAA.
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| 7:46 |
: In Ritchie’s one MLB start, he had a 39% Ball%, which typically equates to 4.5 BB/9.
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| 7:46 |
: have Muncy (ATH) and Burger? both seem to strike out every other AB. if you had to drop 1, who would it be? redraft
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| 7:46 |
: Drop Muncy
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| 7:47 |
: Who will Angels closer be now that Romano was DFA’d?
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| 7:48 |
: I would go with Pomeranz but I could be wrong. When it’s totally up in the air I look at who has the highest gLI (Leverage Index for when they threw) over the past 2 weeks. Here is the ranking: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&lg=all&season=2…
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| 7:49 |
: Pomeranz is crushing everyone else
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| 7:49 |
: The team already trusts him in high-leverage spots
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| 7:50 |
: Is Realmuto worth holding in 12 team NFBC? I don’t want to waste a bench spot but my other C’s are Rushing and Campusano. Best C’s available are Narvaez, Quero, Naylor, Amaya, Vazquez
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| 7:51 |
: Three catchers in NFBC, I never have more than two because the replacement level is so bad. In all fairness, I’d drop Camp and add a pitcher.
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| 7:51 |
: Need a change in my infield. Claim Rocchio or Mauricio? Corresponding drop– Gorman or Stott? Thanks, Jeff.
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| 7:51 |
: Drop Gorman for either one
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| 7:54 |
: In AL Only my pitching has been wrecked with Eflin hurt, Shane Smith getting demoted and Bryan Bello being Bryan Bello. Out of Lambert, Urena and Young who is a better now and who is better long term in this Dynsaty league?
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| 7:54 |
: Now: Lambert, Young …………………..Urena
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| 7:54 |
: Long term: Young …………Urena……………Lambert
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| 7:54 |
: Where would you rank Antonacci on the waiver wire report?
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| 7:55 |
: Fairly high … somewhere in the top 4
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| 7:56 |
: Is this it for Eovaldi or do you see brighter days ahead this year?
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| 7:56 |
: His 15.6 K%-BB% (the best predictor of future performance) is 35th among qualified starters. If you can afford to drop the 35th overall pitcher, go ahead.
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| 7:57 |
: Who do you see getting saves for the Cubs in the short-term?
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| 7:57 |
: Assad or Brown. I don’t like the choices
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| 7:57 |
: If it didnt matter if you had a reliever or starter would you prefer Martin Perez or senzetela?
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| 7:57 |
: Senzatella
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| 7:57 |
: Thank you for acknowledging my existence in this weeks list! I won’t let you down! (Or will I?)
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| 7:58 |
: He’s been solid and not in a platoon. I have him on several of my bid lists
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| 7:58 |
: Who do you like better for the rest of this season: Vargas, Okamoto, Manzardo
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| 7:58 |
: Vargas
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| 7:58 |
: Is Varland the closer ROS or do you buy the claim that it’s temporary until Hoffman gets right?
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| 7:59 |
: I think there is a 40% chance Varland keeps the job all year. I think he’s better than Hoffman but Varland could get hurt and he just needs to falter for a week and the team could make the swap
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| 8:00 |
: Drop for Peter Lambert? Seems like the magic’s gone with Montero….
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| 8:00 |
: Sure
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| 8:00 |
: drop kwan for caglione?
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| 8:01 |
: That’s a shallow league.
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| 8:01 |
: I have Cags ahead
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| 8:01 |
: Drop any of these for Perkins? Hoffman, T.Scott, B.Keller? Probably not – Sewald or D.Santana 12T deep roto Saves only
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| 8:02 |
: Hold tight
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| 8:02 |
: Asked a few weeks ago about my (frustrating) $1 Jose Ferrer in 12 Team AL Only (S+HD). Should I still hold? I’ve (pretty succesfully) spend half my FAAB already, and the bids would be on Peter Lambert or Anthony Nunez
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| 8:02 |
: Got a Save today
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| 8:02 |
: I’d go just $1 on Lambert
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| 8:03 |
: Someone dropped Jarren Duran. Go nuts with FAAB, treat him like a high profile OF call up, or just let him sit? For reference, Lawrence Butler went for min bid a week or two ago.
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| 8:04 |
: I think he’s a 2% to 4% bid right now. Lower Contact%, power down also, less playting time
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| 8:04 |
: Are you buying Dollander. His game today was excellent.
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| 8:05 |
: 100% I am, Seems solid so far. Might be an ERA liability at home.
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| 8:05 |
: My SP are Bradish, McClanahan, Davis Martin, Gray (IL), Peipot (IL) and Kremer (IL). In a 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H keeper league using W+QS and $100 FAAB would you be desperate enough to throw a huge chunk of FAAB (we can trade them) to get Gilbert (his owner is willing to part with him for $40)?
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| 8:05 |
: I’d consider it
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| 8:05 |
: I’m available in a deep keeper league, how much will the winning bid be this week?
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| 8:06 |
: 10% to 30% of a team’s budget
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| 8:06 |
: It doesn’t look like my Angels have a Troy Percival or K-Rod lying around this year. I’m guessing that you’re not thrilled to pick up Silseth, Bachman, Pomeranz, or Zeferjahn. But if you were in a deep AL-only league, are any of these guys worth a shot?
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| 8:06 |
: Maybe Doyle
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| 8:07 |
: Are you starting Trey Yesavage for 2x if you have him?
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| 8:07 |
: No chance with his 5.3 BB/9 during his rehab starts
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| 8:07 |
: Drop flaherty for Ritchie?
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| 8:07 |
: Yes
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| 8:07 |
: Time to move on from Cags or Luis Robert? I could pick up Herrera or Moises
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| 8:07 |
: No and no
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| 8:08 |
: ROS saves: Latz, Perkins, Senzatala or Bachman?
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| 8:08 |
: Senza, Latz …………Perkins, Bachman
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| 8:08 |
: When looking at starters what stats are you looking at most. I know it’s still early in the season but what sways you the most when deciding who to pickup as a starter?
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| 8:11 |
: Everything but actual ERA. I have a spreadsheet that has numbers from projection, season, results, recent results, and STUPH. I count the values under 4.00 and average them. The final value is what I look at. Here is the final value for some pitchers on my teams.
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| 8:11 |
: 
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| 8:12 |
: Erceg is not long for the closer role and struggling with control. Drop now for Dollander or Arrighetti while still on the wire. No other closers on the wire.
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| 8:12 |
: If you need Saves, hold Erceg, otherwise move on.
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| 8:13 |
: Before going MAX BID i like to think about who I’m saving for. What names are you holding back FAAB to see if they get called up soon?
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| 8:14 |
: For me, it’s the hurt starters who might not be available right now. Greene, Burnes, Greene, Schwellenbach.
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| 8:14 |
: Is this kid legit? Thinking of dropping a $1 B. King for him in deep al only roto (SV+HOLDS).
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| 8:14 |
: Go for it
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| 8:15 |
: Am I crazy to drop Nola for Tolle over guys like Roupp/Randy V/Cantillo?
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| 8:15 |
: Move on from Nola
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| 8:15 |
: Any hope for Devers? Keaschall also very disappointing.
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| 8:16 |
: Devers might be done, can’t hit fastballs
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| 8:17 |
: As for Keashall, he needs to find his power
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| 8:17 |
: Hi Jeff, thanks for doing these, they’ve been a huge help. I’m in a 14-team H2H roto league with Yainer Diaz at backstop since the beginning of the season. He had a slow start but seems to be picking up the last week or two. Ballesteros is on my wire though and he’s been consistently producing as DH for the Cubs. Is it worth it to add him and drop Diaz? TIA
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| 8:18 |
: I think this swap is fine
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| 8:18 |
: Im convinced Altuve is done, convince me he’s not.
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| 8:20 |
: He has a 117 wRC+, far from done. I think the issue with him is that while he’s useful in real life, the home runs and steals are down
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| 8:20 |
: Thinking about moving on from Abbott. In a league that counts k/9, would you cut him for Mlodzinski, Prielipp or Jake Irvin?
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| 8:20 |
: I’d drop Abbot for all three
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| 8:21 |
: any hope for basallo?
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| 8:22 |
: He has a .722 OPS with 4 HR. That’s a solid catcher
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| 8:22 |
: Cant believe we’re debtating rockies closers, but does Vodnik clean inning today temper expectations for Senza?
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| 8:23 |
: A little.
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| 8:23 |
: Vodnick has been so bad
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| 8:23 |
: Nathan Church…..anything to see here?
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| 8:23 |
: A good game yesterday, how about another one
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| 8:24 |
: you think latz becomes a closer here?
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| 8:25 |
: There is a chance, 50%. I’m worried there will never be a set closer
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| 8:25 |
: Yates looking bad in rehab. Cooked or rusty?
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| 8:25 |
: <why_not_both.gif>
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| 8:26 |
: Would he close for cubs right off IL?
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| 8:27 |
: Possibly … probably
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| 8:27 |
: I’m calling it a night.
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| 8:28 |
: Good luck with your leagues
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Links don’t work
Isn’t Devers streaky? Cooked at 29?
Thanks Jeff! What is the difference between “season”, and “results” in your answer below? Or just misused Comma?
Jeff Zimmerman: Everything but actual ERA. I have a spreadsheet that has numbers from projection, season, results, recent results, and STUPH. I count the values under 4.00 and average them. The final value is what I look at. Here is the final value for some pitchers on my teams.
Maybe I’m just dense, but who is “Doyle” in the second answer at 8:06?