Stream, Stream, Stream: #2xSP (8.3-8.9)

Hey, sorry for the late posting but I wanted to make sure we got through the trade deadline unscathed, and I’m also amidst moving into a new home over the weekend. As a result, those two things conspired to make this a late submission, but it’s the best I could do.

Here are the totals halfway through week 15 (with updates from previous listing):

22-39 record (1-3)
4.67 ERA (+0.13)
6.6 K/9 (+0.1)
2.2 K/BB (no change)
1.42 WHIP (+0.01)

Here’s a look at this week’s recs, with team wOBA in parentheses. Y! ownership numbers pulled courtesy of twitter pal @davidwiers, whom you should give a follow:

RHP Ervin Santana – 47.3% ESPN/50% Y! – @TOR (.337), @CLE (.310)

Big Erv’s been good in three starts and brutal in a pair over his first five starts with the Twins. Still, he’s the kind of talent that is rarely available in these sorts of things, as he is rarely owned in under 50% of leagues. Having watched all five starts so far, I’m not quite sure what to expect from Santana this week. At times he’s flashed a good penchant for inducing grounders and getting strikeouts, and and at other times he’s struggled to work within the strike zone while relying heavily on fly balls. Santana is a gamble this week — especially in Toronto — but it’s one I’m oddly more comfortable with than most over the course of this rough season.

You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed.
We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member.
1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other.
2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off.
3. Dark mode and Classic mode!
4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them.
5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects.
6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.)
7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only.
8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO.
9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members.
10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features!
We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it.

RHP Nate Karns – 26.8% ESPN/29% Y! – @CWS (.297), v. NYM (.291)

Six of Karns’ last seven starts have resulted in two or fewer earned runs, though if memory serves his blowup — seven earned runs against the Royals — came in a week where I had recommended him as well. Karns has put together a nice season — 3.37 ERA, 3.74 FIP — and I absolutely love both of these matchups for him. Even though the Mets have improved their offense considerably since the trade deadline, it’s still a team that is dead last in team wOBA. Yoenis Cespedes obviously helps, though.

LHP Patrick Corbin – 32.5% ESPN/25% Y! – @WAS (.309), v. CIN (.315)

Aside from a three home run blowup against the Mets, Corbin has been solid in his five-start run since returning from Tommy John surgery. He’s got more than a strikeout per inning — 29 in 28 frames — with good groundball rates (50.7 percent), and is getting a couple of middle-of-the-road offenses. Cincinnati on the road helped sway me, but if you’re wondering the other names considered this week were Zack Godley, Mike Foltynewicz, Jesse Chavez and Danny Duffy.





In addition to Rotographs, Warne writes about the Minnesota Twins for The Athletic and is a sportswriter for Sportradar U.S. in downtown Minneapolis. Follow him on Twitter @Brandon_Warne, or feel free to email him to do podcasts or for any old reason at brandon.r.warne@gmail-dot-com

12 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Carl Weathers
10 years ago

I like the other 2 options well enough, but I don’t get the Santana rec. On the road, against the best offense in the league, with David Price as the opposing starter. None of that is at all appealing, and Santana is neither K’ing people like he did last year nor projected to be better. I don’t get it.

Ullu ka Patta
10 years ago
Reply to  Brandon Warne

What about the inexplicably underowned Brett Anderson with his mid 3 FIP and one of his starts against the Phillies? ESPN shows him at 19% for me.