Stream, Stream, Stream: #2xSP (6.15-6.21)

We continue to make headway in #2xSP with almost 0.30 sliced off the ERA, 0.2 added to the K/9 swiped from the WHIP and another 0.2 added to the K/BB as well. The record made a lateral move, but so far this at least represents progress. This week we’re bringing you three righties that are pretty far off the radar, in hopes that you can actually use them for a competitive advantage. We’ll see, huh?

Here are the totals through half of week seven:

10-28 record
5.14 ERA
6.2 K/9
2.3 K/BB
1.42 WHIP

Here’s a look at this week’s recs, with team wOBA in parentheses. Y! ownership numbers pulled courtesy of twitter pal @PandaPete21, whom you should give a follow:

RHP Trevor May – 9.5% ESPN/7% Y! – @STL (.314), v. CHC (.311)

May has quietly been brilliant for the Twins, pitching to a 4.16 ERA backed by a 2.80 FIP and 3.61 XFIP. He’s bumped his groundball rate into the 40s and has absolutely slashed his walks without letting it hurt his bottom line — the strikeout — too terribly much. The purveyor of a pretty good changeup (16.8% whiff rate, .654 OPS against), May has been beaten up a bit by a rough strand rate (69%, not nice) as well as a .335 BABIP, which is especially odd for a guy who is more fly ball-centric, though the Twins outfield defense isn’t exactly adept at chasing ‘em down. That’ll improve in short order — envision an outfield of Byron Buxton, Aaron Hicks and Eddie Rosario — and may in fact help May move even further towards his peripheral ERA marks. Interleague play allows May to see a couple teams he’s never seen before, and it’s my general perception — feel free to differ in the comments — that this usually benefits the pitcher at first.

RHP Chad Bettis – 23.5% ESPN/12% Y! – @HOU (.308), v. MIL (.288)

I wrote this elsewhere, but I’d like to see someone smarter than me break Bettis down in depth, because a groundball guy with 7.8 K/9 would seem to stand a pretty good chance of succeeding at Coors Field. For Bettis, incidentally I like the harder matchup coming on the road, just from the sheer standpoint that streaming ANYONE at Coors is still pretty terrifying, including a lineup that still has Carlos Gomez, Adam Lind and Ryan Braun. That’s a chance I’ll take, but I still don’t love it even though the Brewers have the No. 29 team wOBA. This is a guy with three pitches that are over 16% in SwStr%, though one is a seldom-used slider. Still, that kind of stuff with a groundball penchant can play up anywhere — even Coors.

RHP Jesse Hahn – 17.9% ESPN/35% Y! – @SDP (.297), v. LAA (.301)

I rather like Hahn, and think that two bottom-10 offenses is a really nice matchup for anyone, so he gets the nod over Carlos Rodon (that was a tough one), Wei-Yin Chen and a second go-round with Taijuan Walker, who got bumped when we rec’d him last week. Hahn’s still not striking anyone out — literally zero strikeouts in his last 3.2 inning start — but I think if he can get his curveball back, he could ratchet that up in relatively quick order. The Padres — Hahn’s old squad — might be a good test for that, with the sixth-highest strikeout rate in baseball among offenses, though the Angels are much further down at No. 18 on the list.





In addition to Rotographs, Warne writes about the Minnesota Twins for The Athletic and is a sportswriter for Sportradar U.S. in downtown Minneapolis. Follow him on Twitter @Brandon_Warne, or feel free to email him to do podcasts or for any old reason at brandon.r.warne@gmail-dot-com

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Frankie
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Frankie

Very high probability these picks go 0-6. 1-5 seems a lock.