Starting Pitcher Chart – September 9th, 2021

With the season winding down, I wanted to find something that would be useful for those still contending in their leagues. I decided to do something that isn’t particularly new, but we don’t have it here at the site: a starting pitcher chart for the day’s slate of games. I’ll include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.

Let me know what y’all think about this. Obviously these are general recommendations and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto. I’m still marinating on ideas for the weekend as I won’t be able to commit to separate Saturday & Sunday ones due to time.

September 9th Starter Chart
Marcus Stroman NYM at MIA x x x 3.38 ERA, 1,20 WHIP, 17% K-BB .279 – 30th He’s been a fantasy ace (2.93 ERA, 1.15 WHIP)
Cal Quantrill CLE MIN x x x 3.19 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 16% K-BB .327 – 9th Strong 2H could fuel a ’22 hype machine
Carlos Hernandez KCR at BAL x x x 2.30 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 12% K-BB .334 – 4th Great since joining rotation after ASB
Néstor Cortes Jr. NYY TOR x x x 3.34 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 18% K-BB .338 – 14th Now at 2.83 ERA, 1.07 WHIP as SP (48 IP)
José Berríos TOR at NYY x x x 5.19 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 20% K-BB .327 – 10th B2B high-K, quality starts (1.98 ERA, 18 Ks)
Ranger Suárez PHI COL x x x 2.08 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 13% K-BB .344 – 9th Can’t wait to see his ’22 price tag
Huascar Ynoa ATL WAS x x x 4.61 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 17% K-BB .325 -12th Strong off the IL and back to all-formats SP
Reynaldo López CWS at OAK x x x 2.45 ERA, 0.73 WHIP, 19% K-BB .327 – 8th He can see… I’m back in!!!
Antonio Senzatela COL at PHI x x x 2.45 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 11% K-BB .310 – 17th Hot hand play I like on the road here
John Means BAL KCR x x x 5.96 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 19% K-BB .326 – 17th 3 straight strong outings, worth it here
Sean Manaea OAK CWS x x x 7.54 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 16% K-BB .368 – 3rd Plenty of 10s where I’d sit him right now
Tony Gonsolin LAD at STL x 2.75 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 8% K-BB .304 – 21st Could be a shortened start
Jake Woodford STL LAD 4.71 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 16% K-BB .293 – 26th Great at MIL last time out, but LAD too scary
Randy Dobnak MIN at CLE 8.88 ERA, 1.74 WHIP, 2% K-BB .308 – 20th Lack of whiffs has fully caught up to him
Jesús Luzardo MIA NYM 6.29 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, 10% K-BB .284 – 27th Too risky with limited upside right now
Erick Fedde WAS at ATL 5.70 ERA, 1.77 WHIP, 17% K-BB .321 – 14th High blowup potential every time out

Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and contributes to ESPN's Daily Notes. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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Here’s my (admittedly thin) case for Dobnak:

– he was pretty successful vs RH bats last year with the heavy GB tilt
– CLE lineup starts a fair amount of RH bats and they’ve been ice cold
– his WHIP over his last two starts (12 innings) is south of 1.0

If the league is deep and you’re truly desperate, he’s not the worst lottery ticket you can grab. Hopefully he avoids giving up a couple of moon shots to Ramirez or Bradley.


So much for my defense, Dobnak was scratched due to a finger injury, maybe he hurt it trying to press “like” to my comment.