Starting Pitcher Chart – September 7th, 2022

September 7, 2022

No chat today, I’ll be out of town for the afternoon. Back next week!

I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful so it’s time to bring back the Daily SP Chart!

The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues. These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Let’s go secure some titles!

Thursday’s Starters

PITCHER	TM	OPP	THR	10	12	15+	L5 STATS	OPP wOBA L30 days	NOTE
Jacob deGrom	NYM	at PIT	R	x	x	x	2.01 ERA, 0.55 WHIP, 41% K-BB	.272 – 27th	Ooh this could get ugly for PIT!
Jordan Montgomery	STL	WAS	L	x	x	x	1.71 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 21% K-BB	.301 – 19th	He’s been amazing for STL
Spencer Strider	ATL	at OAK	R	x	x	x	2.28 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 32% K-BB	.287 – 23rd	Might make a bid for 20 Ks against this team!
Patrick Sandoval	LAA	DET	L	x	x	x	1.39 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 15% K-BB	.289 – 24th	1.66 ERA in L6 after a 4-start lull in July (7.11 ERA in 19 IP)
Alex Manoah	TOR	at BAL	R	x	x	x	2.61 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 19% K-BB	.308 – 12th	Hasn’t gone fewer than 5 IP this yr; 6+ IP in 20 of 26
Luis Castillo	SEA	CWS	R	x	x	x	2.03 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 24% K-BB	.311 – 10th	5 pt. K-BB jump w/SEA to 23% along w/a 2.39 ERA, 1.06 WHIP
Chris Bassitt	NYM	at PIT	R	x	x	x	2.23 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 11% K-BB	.272 – 27th	Great chance for NYM to sweep the DH
Jeffrey Springs	TBR	BOS	L	x	x	x	2.96 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 21% K-BB	.332 – 12th	Most impressive part of this emergence is no IP limit
Clayton Kershaw	LAD	SFG	L	x	x	x	3.04 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 18% K-BB	.335 – 11th	Sharp in his return after a year off
Yu Darvish	SDP	ARI	R	x	x	x	3.15 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 22% K-BB	.334 – 4th	Has quietly had a brilliant yr: 3.26 ERA, 0.97 WHIP
Cristian Javier	HOU	TEX	R	x	x	x	2.42 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 20% K-BB	.303 – 18th	Has put up a 2.79 ERA in 42 IP over the 2nd half
Domingo Germán	NYY	MIN	R	x	x	x	2.01 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 12% K-BB	.297 – 20th	Has allowed >3 ER in 8 starts since 5 ER at HOU in his season opener
Trevor Rogers	MIA	at PHI	L		x	x	5.61 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 16% K-BB	.349 – 6th	Solid in return to MLB: 6 IP/1 ER/5 K
Bailey Falter	PHI	MIA	L	x	x	x	3.38 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 20% K-BB	.224 – 30th	Elite matchup for interesting young arm
Dean Kremer	BAL	TOR	R		x	x	2.84 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 17% K-BB	.305 – 17th	3.14 ERA/1.16 WHIP in 43 IP at home
Cody Morris	CLE	at KCR	R		x	x	Has 1 MLB start	.292 – 22nd	Love his upside, but not sure what how many IP he’s going to get
Nick Pivetta	BOS	at TBR	R			x	3.71 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 13% K-BB	.320 – 8th	4.04 ERA in L8, but with a 1.51 WHIP… be careful
Michael Kopech	CWS	at SEA	R			x	5.24 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 11% K-BB	.305 – 15th	4 ER w/0 outs last time out really stung; he’s risky but still has upside
Javier Assad	CHC	CIN	R			x	Has 10 MLB IP	.305 – 16th	Some intriguing MiLB numbers: 2.66 ERA, 1.24 WHIP in 108 at AA/AAA
Ken Waldichuk	OAK	ATL	L			x	Has 1 MLB start	.409 – 1st	I like Waldichuk, but ATL is terrifying even in OAK
Zack Greinke	KCR	CLE	R			x	3.46 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 10% K-BB	.283 – 24th	Has a 2.93 ERA over his L8, but it is a bit scary to start him this late
Eric Lauer	MIL	at COL	L				3.34 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 10% K-BB	.412 – 3rd (at Coors)	Could see a decent start here, but Coors is just too scary
Tommy Henry	ARI	SDP	L				4.39 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 6% K-BB	.316 – 15th	11% SwStr says there is some K% upside, but 12% BB keeps me away
Alex Cobb	SFG	at LAD	R				2.12 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 18% K-BB	.349 – 1st	Can’t take the shot against the Dodgers this late
Louie Varland	MIN	at NYY	R				MLB Debut	.253 – 30th	Nice 2-level season. AA: 18% K-BB in 105 IP; AAA: 29% in 21 IP
Drew Hutchison	DET	at LAA	R				3.42 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 10% K-BB	.281 – 25th	LAA not as appealing to stream against w/Trout back
Johan Oviedo	PIT	NYM	R				Has 2 MLB starts this year	.323 – 6th	Interesting arm, but not trying him v. NYM
Cole Ragans	TEX	at HOU	L				4.42 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, -1% K-BB	.344 – 7th	Just not showing enough early on
Kyle Freeland	COL	MIL	L				5.60 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, 6% K-BB	.292 – 23rd	No thanks.
Cory Abbott	WAS	at STL	R				5.79 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 5% K-BB	.348 – 2nd	No one but superstars v. STL
Mike Minor	CIN	at CHC	L				5.53 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 8% K-BB	.302 – 18th	No.
Bryse Wilson	PIT	NYM	R				5.91 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 10% K-BB	.323 – 6th	Nope.

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