Starting Pitcher Chart – September 7th, 2022

No chat today, I’ll be out of town for the afternoon. Back next week!

I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful so it’s time to bring back the Daily SP Chart!

The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues. These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Let’s go secure some titles!

Thursday’s Starters
Jacob deGrom NYM at PIT R x x x 2.01 ERA, 0.55 WHIP, 41% K-BB .272 – 27th Ooh this could get ugly for PIT!
Jordan Montgomery STL WAS L x x x 1.71 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 21% K-BB .301 – 19th He’s been amazing for STL
Spencer Strider ATL at OAK R x x x 2.28 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 32% K-BB .287 – 23rd Might make a bid for 20 Ks against this team!
Patrick Sandoval LAA DET L x x x 1.39 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 15% K-BB .289 – 24th 1.66 ERA in L6 after a 4-start lull in July (7.11 ERA in 19 IP)
Alex Manoah TOR at BAL R x x x 2.61 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 19% K-BB .308 – 12th Hasn’t gone fewer than 5 IP this yr; 6+ IP in 20 of 26
Luis Castillo SEA CWS R x x x 2.03 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 24% K-BB .311 – 10th 5 pt. K-BB jump w/SEA to 23% along w/a 2.39 ERA, 1.06 WHIP
Chris Bassitt NYM at PIT R x x x 2.23 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 11% K-BB .272 – 27th Great chance for NYM to sweep the DH
Jeffrey Springs TBR BOS L x x x 2.96 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 21% K-BB .332 – 12th Most impressive part of this emergence is no IP limit
Clayton Kershaw LAD SFG L x x x 3.04 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 18% K-BB .335 – 11th Sharp in his return after a year off
Yu Darvish SDP ARI R x x x 3.15 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 22% K-BB .334 – 4th Has quietly had a brilliant yr: 3.26 ERA, 0.97 WHIP
Cristian Javier HOU TEX R x x x 2.42 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 20% K-BB .303 – 18th Has put up a 2.79 ERA in 42 IP over the 2nd half
Domingo Germán NYY MIN R x x x 2.01 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 12% K-BB .297 – 20th Has allowed >3 ER in 8 starts since 5 ER at HOU in his season opener
Trevor Rogers MIA at PHI L x x 5.61 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 16% K-BB .349 – 6th Solid in return to MLB: 6 IP/1 ER/5 K
Bailey Falter PHI MIA L x x x 3.38 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 20% K-BB .224 – 30th Elite matchup for interesting young arm
Dean Kremer BAL TOR R x x 2.84 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 17% K-BB .305 – 17th 3.14 ERA/1.16 WHIP in 43 IP at home
Cody Morris CLE at KCR R x x Has 1 MLB start .292 – 22nd Love his upside, but not sure what how many IP he’s going to get
Nick Pivetta BOS at TBR R x 3.71 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 13% K-BB .320 – 8th 4.04 ERA in L8, but with a 1.51 WHIP… be careful
Michael Kopech CWS at SEA R x 5.24 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 11% K-BB .305 – 15th 4 ER w/0 outs last time out really stung; he’s risky but still has upside
Javier Assad CHC CIN R x Has 10 MLB IP .305 – 16th Some intriguing MiLB numbers: 2.66 ERA, 1.24 WHIP in 108 at AA/AAA
Ken Waldichuk OAK ATL L x Has 1 MLB start .409 – 1st I like Waldichuk, but ATL is terrifying even in OAK
Zack Greinke KCR CLE R x 3.46 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 10% K-BB .283 – 24th Has a 2.93 ERA over his L8, but it is a bit scary to start him this late
Eric Lauer MIL at COL L 3.34 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 10% K-BB .412 – 3rd (at Coors) Could see a decent start here, but Coors is just too scary
Tommy Henry ARI SDP L 4.39 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 6% K-BB .316 – 15th 11% SwStr says there is some K% upside, but 12% BB keeps me away
Alex Cobb SFG at LAD R 2.12 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 18% K-BB .349 – 1st Can’t take the shot against the Dodgers this late
Louie Varland MIN at NYY R MLB Debut .253 – 30th Nice 2-level season. AA: 18% K-BB in 105 IP; AAA: 29% in 21 IP
Drew Hutchison DET at LAA R 3.42 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 10% K-BB .281 – 25th LAA not as appealing to stream against w/Trout back
Johan Oviedo PIT NYM R Has 2 MLB starts this year .323 – 6th Interesting arm, but not trying him v. NYM
Cole Ragans TEX at HOU L 4.42 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, -1% K-BB .344 – 7th Just not showing enough early on
Kyle Freeland COL MIL L 5.60 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, 6% K-BB .292 – 23rd No thanks.
Cory Abbott WAS at STL R 5.79 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 5% K-BB .348 – 2nd No one but superstars v. STL
Mike Minor CIN at CHC L 5.53 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 8% K-BB .302 – 18th No.
Bryse Wilson PIT NYM R 5.91 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 10% K-BB .323 – 6th Nope.

Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and contributes to ESPN's Daily Notes. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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2 months ago

What was that again about Springs and no innings limits? 😉