Starting Pitcher Chart – September 6th, 2022 by Paul Sporer September 6, 2022 Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful so it’s time to bring back the Daily SP Chart! The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues. These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto. Let’s go secure some titles! Tuesday Starters PITCHER TM OPP THR 10 12 15+ L5 STATS OPP wOBA L30 days NOTE Gerrit Cole NYY MIN R x x x 2.16 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 21% K-BB .298 – 19th Has 5 starts of 5+ ER, but went 6+ in 4 of ’em mitigating the damage Framber Valdez HOU TEX L x x x 2.04 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 16% K-BB .354 – 6th Reeled off five straight Wins in August Kyle Wright ATL at OAK R x x x 2.53 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 18% K-BB .286 – 23rd Great chance to stay hot (3 ER in last 26 IP) Aaron Nola PHI MIA R x x x 4.22 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 28% K-BB .272 – 28th 8 ER v. upstart ARI lineup that has been crushing vR (111 wRC+ in L3) Drew Rasmussen TBR BOS R x x x 1.59 ERA, 0.53 WHIP, 28% K-BB .336 – 3rd Hasn’t allowed >3 ER in L11: 1.99 ERA, 0.95 WHIP Shane Bieber CLE at KCR R x x x 1.83 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 25% K-BB .302 – 17th Has allowed just 10 ER in 7 starts since 6 ER at CWS out of the break Jesús Luzardo MIA at PHI L x x x 2.87 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 15% K-BB .377 – 3rd Tough draw, but he’s been too good to sit Merrill Kelly 켈리 ARI SDP R x x x 2.78 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 19% K-BB .323 – 7th Quietly continuing to have just a fantastic season Johnny Cueto CWS at SEA R x x x 3.00 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 10% K-BB .306 – 15th It’s become clear that a bad start v. ARI isn’t a sign of trouble Logan Gilbert SEA CWS R x x x 4.61 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 14% K-BB .314 – 10th Has fully rebounded from the 2 duds v. NYY Joe Musgrove SDP ARI R x x x 3.07 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 21% K-BB .333 – 4th ARI is dangerous vR, but not enough to sit someone this good Kyle Bradish BAL TOR R x x x 2.64 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 12% K-BB .297 – 20th Toting just a 2.66 ERA in 40.7 IP since return from IL Joe Ryan MIN at NYY R x x x 4.55 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 18% K-BB .253 – 30th Nerve-wracking matchup, but they’ve been SO bad lately Jose Quintana STL WAS L x x x 3.86 ERA, 1.82 WHIP, 3% K-BB .309 – 17th Surviving the BABIP regression w/StL Tyler Anderson LAD SFG L x x x 1.95 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 10% K-BB .332 – 10th 1 of 27 SPs with a 60%+ QS rate (61%) Eduardo Rodriguez DET at LAA L x x x 3.60 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 6% K-BB .276 – 27th SEA got him a bit last time out, but this matchup is worth the shot Taijuan Walker NYM at PIT R x x x 6.98 ERA, 1.68 WHIP, 3% K-BB .263 – 29th Has 3.44 ERA, 1.37 WHIP in 4 GS since 1 IP/8 ER dud v. ATL Brandon Woodruff MIL at COL R x x x 3.68 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 21% K-BB .313 – 16th (at Coors) He’s part of the club I’d still start at Coors Mike Mayers LAA DET R x x 4.98 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 15% K-BB .281 – 25th Stats are from 3 relief app. & 2 starts; DET unlikely to leverage his HR issue Cole Irvin OAK ATL L x 4.45 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 17% K-BB .385 – 2nd Remarkably difficult matchup will test his 1.94 home ERA Mitch White TOR at BAL R x 7.04 ERA, 1.74 WHIP, 11% K-BB .307 – 13th Poor fastball leaves him susceptible to blowups Justin Dunn CIN at CHC R x 4.63 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 9% K-BB .302 – 18th Showing some flashes of late: 2.40 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 12% K-BB in 15 IP Rich Hill BOS at TBR L 5.48 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 12% K-BB .314 – 15th Has only made it 5 IP in 9 of 20 starts Mitch Keller PIT NYM R 4.70 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, 10% K-BB .336 – 4th Too volatile to stream in this tough of a matchup Glenn Otto TEX at HOU R 3.38 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 2% K-BB .292 – 22nd Upside limited by 5 IP cap, mistakes also magnified Paolo Espino WAS at STL R 4.26 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 15% K-BB .361 – 1st Been OK of late, but StL is way too scary to risk it Kris Bubic KCR CLE L 6.12 ERA, 2.08 ERA, 3% K-BB .293 – 22nd Downside is too severe for me Wade Miley CHC CIN L 2.84 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 5% K-BB .325 – 12th First start since June 10th Chad Kuhl COL MIL R 10.02 ERA, 1.98 WHIP, 10% K-BB .293 – 21st It has to be SO hard to pitch in that park BASEBALL FUN I tried to take the Baltimore Orioles to the playoffs in Out of the Park Baseball 23: