Starting Pitcher Chart – September 6th, 2022

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful so it’s time to bring back the Daily SP Chart!

The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues. These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Let’s go secure some titles!

Tuesday Starters
PITCHER TM OPP THR 10 12 15+ L5 STATS OPP wOBA L30 days NOTE
Gerrit Cole NYY MIN R x x x 2.16 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 21% K-BB .298 – 19th Has 5 starts of 5+ ER, but went 6+ in 4 of ’em mitigating the damage
Framber Valdez HOU TEX L x x x 2.04 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 16% K-BB .354 – 6th Reeled off five straight Wins in August
Kyle Wright ATL at OAK R x x x 2.53 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 18% K-BB .286 – 23rd Great chance to stay hot (3 ER in last 26 IP)
Aaron Nola PHI MIA R x x x 4.22 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 28% K-BB .272 – 28th 8 ER v. upstart ARI lineup that has been crushing vR (111 wRC+ in L3)
Drew Rasmussen TBR BOS R x x x 1.59 ERA, 0.53 WHIP, 28% K-BB .336 – 3rd Hasn’t allowed >3 ER in L11: 1.99 ERA, 0.95 WHIP
Shane Bieber CLE at KCR R x x x 1.83 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 25% K-BB .302 – 17th Has allowed just 10 ER in 7 starts since 6 ER at CWS out of the break
Jesús Luzardo MIA at PHI L x x x 2.87 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 15% K-BB .377 – 3rd Tough draw, but he’s been too good to sit
Merrill Kelly 켈리 ARI SDP R x x x 2.78 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 19% K-BB .323 – 7th Quietly continuing to have just a fantastic season
Johnny Cueto CWS at SEA R x x x 3.00 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 10% K-BB .306 – 15th It’s become clear that a bad start v. ARI isn’t a sign of trouble
Logan Gilbert SEA CWS R x x x 4.61 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 14% K-BB .314 – 10th Has fully rebounded from the 2 duds v. NYY
Joe Musgrove SDP ARI R x x x 3.07 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 21% K-BB .333 – 4th ARI is dangerous vR, but not enough to sit someone this good
Kyle Bradish BAL TOR R x x x 2.64 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 12% K-BB .297 – 20th Toting just a 2.66 ERA in 40.7 IP since return from IL
Joe Ryan MIN at NYY R x x x 4.55 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 18% K-BB .253 – 30th Nerve-wracking matchup, but they’ve been SO bad lately
Jose Quintana STL WAS L x x x 3.86 ERA, 1.82 WHIP, 3% K-BB .309 – 17th Surviving the BABIP regression w/StL
Tyler Anderson LAD SFG L x x x 1.95 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 10% K-BB .332 – 10th 1 of 27 SPs with a 60%+ QS rate (61%)
Eduardo Rodriguez DET at LAA L x x x 3.60 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 6% K-BB .276 – 27th SEA got him a bit last time out, but this matchup is worth the shot
Taijuan Walker NYM at PIT R x x x 6.98 ERA, 1.68 WHIP, 3% K-BB .263 – 29th Has 3.44 ERA, 1.37 WHIP in 4 GS since 1 IP/8 ER dud v. ATL
Brandon Woodruff MIL at COL R x x x 3.68 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 21% K-BB .313 – 16th (at Coors) He’s part of the club I’d still start at Coors
Mike Mayers LAA DET R x x 4.98 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 15% K-BB .281 – 25th Stats are from 3 relief app. & 2 starts; DET unlikely to leverage his HR issue
Cole Irvin OAK ATL L x 4.45 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 17% K-BB .385 – 2nd Remarkably difficult matchup will test his 1.94 home ERA
Mitch White TOR at BAL R x 7.04 ERA, 1.74 WHIP, 11% K-BB .307 – 13th Poor fastball leaves him susceptible to blowups
Justin Dunn CIN at CHC R x 4.63 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 9% K-BB .302 – 18th Showing some flashes of late: 2.40 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 12% K-BB in 15 IP
Rich Hill BOS at TBR L 5.48 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 12% K-BB .314 – 15th Has only made it 5 IP in 9 of 20 starts
Mitch Keller PIT NYM R 4.70 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, 10% K-BB .336 – 4th Too volatile to stream in this tough of a matchup
Glenn Otto TEX at HOU R 3.38 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 2% K-BB .292 – 22nd Upside limited by 5 IP cap, mistakes also magnified
Paolo Espino WAS at STL R 4.26 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 15% K-BB .361 – 1st Been OK of late, but StL is way too scary to risk it
Kris Bubic KCR CLE L 6.12 ERA, 2.08 ERA, 3% K-BB .293 – 22nd Downside is too severe for me
Wade Miley CHC CIN L 2.84 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 5% K-BB .325 – 12th First start since June 10th
Chad Kuhl COL MIL R 10.02 ERA, 1.98 WHIP, 10% K-BB .293 – 21st It has to be SO hard to pitch in that park

 

BASEBALL FUN

I tried to take the Baltimore Orioles to the playoffs in Out of the Park Baseball 23:

 





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and contributes to ESPN's Daily Notes. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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