Starting Pitcher Chart – September 4th, 2024

by
September 4, 2024
Kyle Ross-USA TODAY Sports

Some really scary spots in the streamer pool for Wednesday’s slate. Be careful out there!
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Starter Notes September 4, 2024
RK PITCHER GAME 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB wOBA RK L30/Season NOTE
1 George Kirby SEA at OAK x x x 161 3.63 1.11 20% 12th/20th
2 Shota Imanaga CHC v PIT x x x 146 3.14 1.05 21% 22nd/19th
3 Seth Lugo KCR v CLE x x x 179 3.12 1.12 15% 24th/21st
4 Zac Gallen ARI at SFG x x x 121 3.87 1.31 15% 27th/24th
5 Albert Suárez 수아레즈 BAL v CHW x x x 109 3.14 1.27 11% 26th/30th
6 Bowden Francis TOR v PHI x x x 78 3.66 0.99 18% 21st/12th PHI can still clip someone, but they just aren’t the same offense we saw in the 1H so I’m sticking w/Francis
7 Tanner Houck BOS at NYM x x x 164 3.12 1.17 14% 16th/10th Came unglued in the 5th-6th innings v. ARI but rebounded w/6 shutout IP v. DET ; sticking w/him despite NYM being solid
8 Spencer Arrighetti HOU at CIN x x x 124 4.63 1.38 17% 11th/18th His season numbers mask how good he’s been since late-June: 3.31 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 22% K-BB in 70.7 IP
9 JP Sears OAK v SEA x x x 151 4.21 1.21 12% 26th/26th Bounced back from MIL dud w/another 7 IP gem, his 5th in 6 starts
10 Sonny Gray STL at MIL x x x 147 3.96 1.10 24% 4th/6th A 2.3 HR9 has saddled w/a 4.50 ERA on his L6 and it’d be worse if not for his 22% K-BB; MIL is scary but he’s in most lineups for me
11 Cristopher Sánchez PHI at TOR x x x 152 3.49 1.28 14% 17th/25th ARI clipped him badly and spoiled what was otherwise a solid run (2.36 ERA in the 4 non-ARI starts) v. a brutal schedule (at LAD, at ARI, WSH, at ATL, ATL)
12 Bobby Miller LAD at LAA x x x 44 7.25 1.66 9% 30th/27th Smoked TBR (6 IP/3 ER/9 Ks) and survived v. BAL (5 IP/3 ER/3 Ks) so I’ll take the shot against a meager Angels club
13 Charlie Morton ATL v COL x x 137 4.26 1.31 15% 13th/15th 4 straight starts of 3 or fewer ER after the 8 ER dud v. MIL and this is a fantastic matchup to stay hot
14 Nathan Eovaldi TEX v NYY x x 140 3.60 1.06 19% 6th/1st Definitely not a must-start in this matchup but the 1.05 WHIP and 23% K-BB in his L7 are encouraging despite the 4.17 ERA
15 Yu Darvish SDP v DET x x 56 3.20 1.07 17% 23rd/22nd Returning afer 3-month hiatus so there may be some rust but this DET lineup, while better, doesn’t instill fear
16 Colin Rea MIL v STL x x 146 3.70 1.16 13% 14th/14th A little bumpy of late (5.32 ERA in L4) but even that run includes a 7 IP/0 ER outing v. CLE so STL is streamable
17 MacKenzie Gore WSN at MIA x x 137 4.45 1.55 15% 11th/29th B2B gems at ATL and v. NYY reinvigorates interest especially with MIA here… yes, even w/their surge over the L30
18 Tylor Megill NYM v BOS x 52 4.82 1.39 16% 17th/3rd Strong return at CHW doesn’t mean I’m diving into a BOS start, but it’s not completely off the table
19 Ben Lively 라이블리 CLE at KCR x 131 3.92 1.23 12% 9th/11th KCR just scares me so I’d be very careful here
20 Louie Varland MIN at TBR x 36 6.14 1.64 12% 29th/29th The matchups make Varland and Stroman possible streamers, but there’s plenty of risk
21 Marcus Stroman NYY at TEX x 139 3.81 1.39 8% 25th/26th
22 Keider Montero DET at SDP 69 5.17 1.35 12% 3rd/5th
23 Nick Martinez CIN v HOU 109 3.78 1.13 16% 8th/9th
24 Tyler Alexander TBR v MIN 85 5.48 1.30 14% 15th/8th
25 Domingo Germán PIT at CHC 17 6.11 1.58 4% 2nd/16th
26 Hayden Birdsong SFG v ARI 49 5.14 1.43 14% 1st/2nd
27 Griffin Canning LAA v LAD 144 5.19 1.39 9% 5th/4th
28 Valente Bellozo MIA v WSN 41 4.32 1.34 9% 10th/17th
29 Jonathan Cannon CHW at BAL 95 4.70 1.41 8% 20th/7th
30 Bradley Blalock COL at ATL 21 4.98 1.62 5% 19th/19th
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th) and over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.





 

Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

7 Comments
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booondmember
8 days ago

I understand why Kirby may be a reasonable choice but recent history shows that he’s been awful and the Oak offense in the second half has not.

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EonADS
7 days ago
Reply to  booond

True, but Kirby’s underlying skills are still strong. It’s kind of hard to fade a guy like that against a team that’s only average against RHP.

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Paul Sporermember
7 days ago
Reply to  booond

He has no doubt been bumpy in 3 of his L4, but still managed 2 Ws (mostly bc LAA sucks so bad that he got a W in a 5.7 IP/5 ER outing, lol) and while I respect that OAK isn’t a total pushover, I still see Kirby as a full-on lineup lock. I can maybe see pushing down 2-3 spots if you’re not loving him recently, but I can’t see sitting him anywhere. And outside of a true meltdown today, I’m still running him for the 2-step next wk

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