Starting Pitcher Chart – September 4th, 2024
- Daily SP Chart archive
- Check out the August SP Rankings (NEW!)
Some really scary spots in the streamer pool for Wednesday’s slate. Be careful out there!
—
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Kirby | SEA at OAK | x | x | x | 161 | 3.63 | 1.11 | 20% | 12th/20th | |
| 2 | Shota Imanaga | CHC v PIT | x | x | x | 146 | 3.14 | 1.05 | 21% | 22nd/19th | |
| 3 | Seth Lugo | KCR v CLE | x | x | x | 179 | 3.12 | 1.12 | 15% | 24th/21st | |
| 4 | Zac Gallen | ARI at SFG | x | x | x | 121 | 3.87 | 1.31 | 15% | 27th/24th | |
| 5 | Albert Suárez 수아레즈 | BAL v CHW | x | x | x | 109 | 3.14 | 1.27 | 11% | 26th/30th | |
| 6 | Bowden Francis | TOR v PHI | x | x | x | 78 | 3.66 | 0.99 | 18% | 21st/12th | PHI can still clip someone, but they just aren’t the same offense we saw in the 1H so I’m sticking w/Francis |
| 7 | Tanner Houck | BOS at NYM | x | x | x | 164 | 3.12 | 1.17 | 14% | 16th/10th | Came unglued in the 5th-6th innings v. ARI but rebounded w/6 shutout IP v. DET ; sticking w/him despite NYM being solid |
| 8 | Spencer Arrighetti | HOU at CIN | x | x | x | 124 | 4.63 | 1.38 | 17% | 11th/18th | His season numbers mask how good he’s been since late-June: 3.31 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 22% K-BB in 70.7 IP |
| 9 | JP Sears | OAK v SEA | x | x | x | 151 | 4.21 | 1.21 | 12% | 26th/26th | Bounced back from MIL dud w/another 7 IP gem, his 5th in 6 starts |
| 10 | Sonny Gray | STL at MIL | x | x | x | 147 | 3.96 | 1.10 | 24% | 4th/6th | A 2.3 HR9 has saddled w/a 4.50 ERA on his L6 and it’d be worse if not for his 22% K-BB; MIL is scary but he’s in most lineups for me |
| 11 | Cristopher Sánchez | PHI at TOR | x | x | x | 152 | 3.49 | 1.28 | 14% | 17th/25th | ARI clipped him badly and spoiled what was otherwise a solid run (2.36 ERA in the 4 non-ARI starts) v. a brutal schedule (at LAD, at ARI, WSH, at ATL, ATL) |
| 12 | Bobby Miller | LAD at LAA | x | x | x | 44 | 7.25 | 1.66 | 9% | 30th/27th | Smoked TBR (6 IP/3 ER/9 Ks) and survived v. BAL (5 IP/3 ER/3 Ks) so I’ll take the shot against a meager Angels club |
| 13 | Charlie Morton | ATL v COL | x | x | 137 | 4.26 | 1.31 | 15% | 13th/15th | 4 straight starts of 3 or fewer ER after the 8 ER dud v. MIL and this is a fantastic matchup to stay hot | |
| 14 | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX v NYY | x | x | 140 | 3.60 | 1.06 | 19% | 6th/1st | Definitely not a must-start in this matchup but the 1.05 WHIP and 23% K-BB in his L7 are encouraging despite the 4.17 ERA | |
| 15 | Yu Darvish | SDP v DET | x | x | 56 | 3.20 | 1.07 | 17% | 23rd/22nd | Returning afer 3-month hiatus so there may be some rust but this DET lineup, while better, doesn’t instill fear | |
| 16 | Colin Rea | MIL v STL | x | x | 146 | 3.70 | 1.16 | 13% | 14th/14th | A little bumpy of late (5.32 ERA in L4) but even that run includes a 7 IP/0 ER outing v. CLE so STL is streamable | |
| 17 | MacKenzie Gore | WSN at MIA | x | x | 137 | 4.45 | 1.55 | 15% | 11th/29th | B2B gems at ATL and v. NYY reinvigorates interest especially with MIA here… yes, even w/their surge over the L30 | |
| 18 | Tylor Megill | NYM v BOS | x | 52 | 4.82 | 1.39 | 16% | 17th/3rd | Strong return at CHW doesn’t mean I’m diving into a BOS start, but it’s not completely off the table | ||
| 19 | Ben Lively 라이블리 | CLE at KCR | x | 131 | 3.92 | 1.23 | 12% | 9th/11th | KCR just scares me so I’d be very careful here | ||
| 20 | Louie Varland | MIN at TBR | x | 36 | 6.14 | 1.64 | 12% | 29th/29th | The matchups make Varland and Stroman possible streamers, but there’s plenty of risk | ||
| 21 | Marcus Stroman | NYY at TEX | x | 139 | 3.81 | 1.39 | 8% | 25th/26th | |||
| 22 | Keider Montero | DET at SDP | 69 | 5.17 | 1.35 | 12% | 3rd/5th | ||||
| 23 | Nick Martinez | CIN v HOU | 109 | 3.78 | 1.13 | 16% | 8th/9th | ||||
| 24 | Tyler Alexander | TBR v MIN | 85 | 5.48 | 1.30 | 14% | 15th/8th | ||||
| 25 | Domingo Germán | PIT at CHC | 17 | 6.11 | 1.58 | 4% | 2nd/16th | ||||
| 26 | Hayden Birdsong | SFG v ARI | 49 | 5.14 | 1.43 | 14% | 1st/2nd | ||||
| 27 | Griffin Canning | LAA v LAD | 144 | 5.19 | 1.39 | 9% | 5th/4th | ||||
| 28 | Valente Bellozo | MIA v WSN | 41 | 4.32 | 1.34 | 9% | 10th/17th | ||||
| 29 | Jonathan Cannon | CHW at BAL | 95 | 4.70 | 1.41 | 8% | 20th/7th | ||||
| 30 | Bradley Blalock | COL at ATL | 21 | 4.98 | 1.62 | 5% | 19th/19th |
The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th) and over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.
I understand why Kirby may be a reasonable choice but recent history shows that he’s been awful and the Oak offense in the second half has not.
True, but Kirby’s underlying skills are still strong. It’s kind of hard to fade a guy like that against a team that’s only average against RHP.
He has no doubt been bumpy in 3 of his L4, but still managed 2 Ws (mostly bc LAA sucks so bad that he got a W in a 5.7 IP/5 ER outing, lol) and while I respect that OAK isn’t a total pushover, I still see Kirby as a full-on lineup lock. I can maybe see pushing down 2-3 spots if you’re not loving him recently, but I can’t see sitting him anywhere. And outside of a true meltdown today, I’m still running him for the 2-step next wk