Starting Pitcher Chart – September 29th, 2022
I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful. The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
Let’s go secure some titles!
Note: Pitchers recommended in 12/15 but not 10 doesn’t mean I wouldn’t start them in 10s, but rather that it’s a more open choice as opposed to a slam dunk.
| PITCHER | TM | OPP | THR | 10 | 12 | 15+ | L5 STATS | OPP wOBA L30 days | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | OAK | R | x | x | x | 1.13 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 21% K-BB | .309 – 15th | Had a 3.99 ERA thru 9 starts; has a 1.79 in 17 starts since (105.7 IP) |
| Jeffrey Springs | TBR | at CLE | L | x | x | x | 1.78 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 18% K-BB | .319 – 16th | Came out of the bullpen & posted a season to take pride in |
| Carlos Rodón | SFG | COL | L | x | x | x | 4.01 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 27% K-BB | .223 – 27th (road only) | Modest bookends to his L5, but nothing that’d make me sit him here |
| Andrew Heaney | LAD | at SDP | L | x | x | x | 5.09 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 29% K-BB | .310 – 18th | Couple bumps in his L5 incl. 6 ER v. SF, but I’m still starting him easily |
| Braxton Garrett | MIA | at MIL | L | x | x | x | 2.67 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 17% K-BB | .288 – 23rd | Should be good to go at least 5 IP after 80 pitches in his last start |
| Jon Gray | TEX | at SEA | R | x | x | x | 2.08 ERA, 0.62 WHIP, 17% K-BB | .327 – 8th | Stats are L3 since IL return; has navigated injury-riddled season pretty well |
| Ranger Suárez | PHI | at CHC | L | x | x | x | 3.42 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 9% K-BB | .327 – 11th | 6+ IP in L3 after a pair of sub-5 IP outings |
| Cal Quantrill | CLE | TBR | R | x | x | x | 3.42 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, 14% K-BB | .294 – 23rd | 36 H in last 26.3 IP have pushed the WHIP up but still hasn’t allowed >3 ER in any of the L5 |
| Eric Lauer | MIL | MIA | L | x | x | x | 6.14 ERA, 1.73 WHIP, 8% K-BB | .323 – 14th | Anyone v. MIA |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | DET | KCR | L | x | x | x | 5.72 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 12% K-BB | .323 – 15th | Couple 5 ER duds around 3 QS in L5, I’m starting him here |
| Nathan Eovaldi | BOS | BAL | R | x | x | 1st start since Aug. 12th | .333 – 6th | Did get a 3 IP rehab start, but likely capped around 75 pitches | |
| Lucas Giolito | CWS | at MIN | R | x | x | 4.67 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 19% K-BB | .300 – 21st | He has been showing the downside regularly this yr, but still has real upside | |
| Jonathan Heasley | KCR | at DET | R | x | x | 4.08 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 5% K-BB | .275 – 30th | Has shown flashes, but the downside is severe incl. a 7 ER dud v. DET | |
| Javier Assad | CHC | PHI | R | x | 5.01 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 5% K-BB | .336 – 3rd | We’ve seen a few good starts, but PHI is not who I want to attack outside of desperation | ||
| Marco Gonzales | SEA | TEX | L | x | 4.45 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 9% K-BB | .310 – 19th | Has a 5.16 ERA/1.35 WHIP in 29.7 IP v. TEX this yr | ||
| Cole Irvin | OAK | at LAA | L | 8.48 ERA, 1.74 WHIP, 8% K-BB | .348 – 6th | Spoiled a wonderful season w/5 duds in L8 (6.99 ERA); 2.70 ERA in 20 IP v. LAA | |||
| Louie Varland | MIN | CWS | R | 5.06 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 13% K-BB | .298 – 22nd | If something like 5 IP/3 ER/4 Ks helps you, go for it | |||
| Sean Manaea | SDP | LAD | L | 9.50 ERA, 1.83 WHIP, 13% K-BB | .317 – 17th | Has season-ending downside (see also: Bradish, Kyle) | |||
| Mike Baumann | BAL | at BOS | R | 3rd MLB start | .341 – 2nd | Sox running too hot to take this risk | |||
| Ryan Feltner | COL | at SFG | R | 6.00 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 13% K-BB | .318 – 11th | Not even outside of Coors (5.86 road ERA) |