Starting Pitcher Chart – September 27th, 2021
With the season winding down, I wanted to find something that would be useful for those still contending in their leagues. I decided to do something that isn’t particularly new, but we don’t have it here at the site: a starting pitcher chart for the day’s slate of games. I’ll include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.
Obviously these are general recommendations and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto. For the weekend, Justin & I will use the Friday podcast to discuss the relevant weekend streamers. By popular demand, these will start coming out the day before the slate in question.
Starting Monday September 20th, I’m loosening my thresholds for streamer gambles. If you are protecting ratios, you should continue to be careful and manage as you see fit, but these recommendations are catering more to a “go-for-it” attitude over these final two weeks.
| PITCHER | TM | OPP | 10 | 12 | 15+ | L5 STATS | OPP wOBA L30 days | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill | CLE | KCR | x | x | x | 2.12 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 12% K-BB | .305 – 20th | Has allowed more than 3 ER just once since 7/1 (2.12 ERA) |
| Chris Flexen 플렉센 | SEA | OAK | x | x | x | 3.68 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 11% K-BB | .324 – 11th | Has allowed more than 3 ER just 2 since 6/9 (3.03 ERA) |
| Brady Singer | KCR | at CLE | x | x | x | 3.03 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 16% K-BB | .290 – 27th | Good matchup, solid pitcher |
| Cole Irvin | OAK | at SEA | x | x | 5.76 ERA, 1.68 WHIP, 11% K-BB | .298 – 23rd | Found his footing again w/3 straight useful starts | |
| Reiver Sanmartin | CIN | PIT | x | potential MLB debut | .269 – 28th | Some outlets have him starting; 26% K, 14% SwStr in AAA | ||
| Germán Márquez | COL | WAS | 6.12 ERA, 1.68 WHIP, 7% K-BB | .339 – 5th | Toting a 7.51 ERA over his L8, lots of risk here | |||
| Josiah Gray | WAS | at COL | 9.26 ERA, 1.77 WHIP, 7% K-BB | .300 – 18th | I dare you to use a 2.7 HR9 in Coors | |||
| Matt Manning | DET | CWS | 5.32 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 7% K-BB | .322 – 12th | Solid in his last 2 but still too risky of a matchup for me | |||
| Dallas Keuchel | CWS | at DET | 8.27 ERA, 2.43 WHIP, 0% K-BB | .326 – 12th | B2B 2 ER outings not nearly enough to entice me here | |||
| Cody Ponce | PIT | at CIN | last GS was 1.7 IP on 7/3 | .317 – 13th | Has just 2 starts in 13 appearances this yr |