Starting Pitcher Chart – September 23rd, 2022

September 23, 2022

Mandatory Credit: Kiyoshi Mio-USA TODAY Sports

I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful. The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Let’s go secure some titles!

Friday’s Starters

PITCHER	TM	OPP	THR	10	12	15+	L5 STATS	OPP wOBA L30 days	NOTE
Shohei Ohtani	LAA	at MIN	R	x	x	x	1.45 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 19% K-BB	.299 – 20th	The league’s most valuable player
Carlos Rodón	SFG	at ARI	L	x	x	x	2.63 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 31% K-BB	.248 – 29th	If the blister is OK, he shouldn’t have many issues
Gerrit Cole	NYY	BOS	R	x	x	x	3.38 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 29% K-BB	.336 – 4th	K% up at 37% over his L5
Alek Manoah	TOR	at TBR	R	x	x	x	1.29 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 14% K-BB	.313 – 12th	Just a 23% K% rate, but is he a top 40 pick next year?
Jeffrey Springs	TBR	TOR	L	x	x	x	2.39 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 19% K-BB	.317 – 14th	TOR is tough, but I just can’t envision benching him
Brady Singer	KCR	SEA	R	x	x	x	2.35 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 15% K-BB	.303 – 18th	Is there another step w/the 23% K%? Could be an ace if so
Chris Bassitt	NYM	at OAK	R	x	x	x	3.60 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 13% K-BB	.289 – 26th	Revenge gaaaame!!!
Aaron Nola	PHI	ATL	R	x	x	x	4.08 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 27% K-BB	.341 – 1st	Brutal matchup but of course no chance he’s sitting
Jose Quintana	STL	at LAD	L	x	x	x	1.91 WHIP, 1.03 WHIP, 14% K-BB	.380 – 2nd	Standard disclaimer: Don’t be afraid to fade LAD w/non-Aces
Andrew Heaney	LAD	STL	L	x	x	x	3.91 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 33% K-BB	.358 – 4th	High risk of not making it 5 IP which lowers his W chances
Lucas Giolito	CWS	DET	R	x	x	x	3.95 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 13% K-BB	.285 – 27th	You don’t have to, but I would in all formats
Cody Morris	CLE	at TEX	R	x	x	x	2.30 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 9% K-BB	.315 – 11th	Up to 81 pitches last time out & I’m a big fan of him
Marco Gonzales	SEA	at KCR	R	x	x	x	3.73 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 10% K-BB	.296 – 23rd	Great matchup as his HR weakness is unlikely to be tested by KCR (26th in HR v. LH)
Javier Assad	CHC	at PIT	R	x	x	x	3.63 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 5% K-BB	.289 – 25th	Matchup drives the interest, but BBs can get him if they’re patient
Braxton Garrett	MIA	WAS	L		x	x	4.15 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 18% K-BB	.301 – 20th	Went 65 pitches in his IL return, should have enough juice for 5+ IP here
Jon Gray	TEX	CLE	R		x	x	4.15 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 19% K-BB	.299 – 21st	The skills are there, but
José Urquidy	HOU	at BAL	L		x	x	5.10 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 16% K-BB	.228 – 30th	B2B 6 ER duds make this one scary, but BAL bats are icy
Dean Kremer	BAL	HOU	R			x	3.03 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 6% K-BB	.309 – 13th	Bradish just smoked HOU, but I’d still be very careful here
Cole Irvin	OAK	NYM	L			x	5.81 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 15% K-BB	.328 – 11th	I’m not brave enough to take this plunge
Eric Lauer	MIL	at CIN	L			x	5.13 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 11% K-BB	.326 – 13th	Blasted in Coors (7 ER), but has a 3.04 ERA/1.27 WHIP in the other 4
Rich Hill	BOS	at NYY	L			x	4.74 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, 15% K-BB	.291 – 24th	You know the risk: 0, 4, 5, 0, 4 ER in L5
Jake Odorizzi	ATL	at PHI	R			x	4.68 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 13% K-BB	.339 – 3rd	Risky matchup & hasn’t gone 5 in 2 starts since IL return
Eduardo Rodriguez	DET	at CWS	L			x	5.08 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 10% K-BB	.382 – 1st	3 up, 2 down in L5, but CWS toasting lefties gives me some pause
Tommy Henry	ARI	SFG	L			x	6.38 ERA, 1.75 WHIP, 6% K-BB	.271 – 26th	There’s been some intrigue
Josiash Gray	WAS	at MIA	R			x	6.66 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, 4% K-BB	.277 – 30th	The best possible matchup, but the HR problem makes him SO volatile
Louie Varland	MIN	LAA	R			x	5.23 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, 16% K-BB	.304 – 16th	Small chance at a solid 5 IP… feeling lucky?
Sean Manaea	SDP	at COL	L				7.11 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 19% K-BB	.383 – 6th (at Coors)	Bounced back in last start, but I’m not messing with Coors
Mike Minor	CIN	MIL	L				4.97 ERA, 1.71 WHIP, 5% K-BB	.316 – 17th	Not sure there’s enough upside to even gamble
Ryan Feltner	COL	SDP	R				6.46 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 10% K-BB	.290 – 24th	Of course not
Bryse Wilson	PIT	CHC	R				7.29 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, 9% K-BB	.283 – 28th	Way too much downside here