Starting Pitcher Chart – September 1st, 2022
by Paul Sporer
August 31, 2022
I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful so it’s time to bring back the Daily SP Chart!
The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues. These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
Let’s go secure some titles!
Thursday’s Starters
| PITCHER | TM | OPP | THR | 10 | 12 | 15+ | L5 STATS | OPP wOBA L30 days | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Strider | ATL | COL | R | x | x | x | 2.73 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 29% K-BB | .294 – 20th | Has allowed just 3 ER in 3 starts since NYM got him a bit |
| Brandon Woodruff | MIL | at ARI | R | x | x | x | 2.70 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 19% K-BB | .329 – 6th | Elite since IL return: 2.35 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 23% K-BB in 65 IP |
| Shane Bieber | CLE | BAL | R | x | x | x | 1.62 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 24% K-BB | .309 – 12th | Has thrived despite 1.5 mph velo dip for the year |
| Logan Gilbert | SEA | at DET | R | x | x | x | 6.75 ERA, 1.72 WHIP, 5% K-BB | .277 – 28th | B2B duds v. NYY are his L5 #s stink; 3.63 ERA/1.33 WHIP since |
| Chris Bassitt | NYM | LAD | R | x | x | x | 1.62 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 12% K-BB | .370 – 2nd | I don’t blame folks dodging LAD, but Bassitt is a full-timer for me |
| Clayton Kershaw | LAD | at NYM | L | x | x | x | 2.76 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 23% K-BB | .288 – 24th | First start off IL & I’m rolling w/him even in the tough matchup |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | DET | SEA | L | x | x | x | 0.82 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 2% K-BB | .314 – 15th | Stats are L2 since return, no real value in his 3 before that in May |
| Kyle Bradish | BAL | at CLE | R | x | x | x | 3.14 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 12% K-BB | .287 – 27th | Hasn’t allowed >3 ER in 6 starts since returning from the IL |
| Merrill Kelly 켈리 | ARI | MIL | R | x | x | x | 3.34 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 16% K-BB | .317 – 8th | Has <6 IP just 1x in his L15 |
| Rich Hill | BOS | TEX | L | x | x | 4.94 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 13% K-BB | .363 – 5th | 2 gems in a row for the venerable southpaw; deeper lg spec | |
| Johnny Cueto | CWS | KCR | R | x | x | 3.28 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 8% K-BB | .293 – 22nd | Hit hard for just the 2nd time this yr; skills are light but matchup is, too | |
| Ken Waldichuk | OAK | at WAS | L | x | MLB Debut | .304 – 17th | Great MiLB #s (AA/AAA): 2.84 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 26% K-BB in 95 IP | ||
| Glenn Otto | TEX | at BOS | R | 2.93 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 1% K-BB | .308 – 14th | A .183 VBABIP is driving the L5 success; he’s just getting by right now | |||
| Daniel Mengden | KCR | at CWS | R | 1st MLB start this year | .312 – 11th | Had a 4.55 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 7% K-BB in MiLB | |||
| Paolo Espino | WAS | OAK | R | 5.92 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, 12% K-BB | .288 – 24th | I’m sure some deep lgers will try v. OAK, but it’s high risk/low reward | |||
| Chad Kuhl | COL | at ATL | R | 10.02 ERA, 2.23 WHIP, 3% K-BB | .334 – 4th | Substantially worse on the road: 6.02 ERA, 1.68 WHIP |