Starting Pitcher Chart – September 15th, 2022
by Paul Sporer
September 14, 2022
The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues. These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
Let’s go secure some titles!
Thursday’s Starters
| PITCHER | TM | OPP | THR | 10 | 12 | 15+ | L5 STATS | OPP wOBA L30 days | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | CWS | at CLE | R | x | x | x | 0.85 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, 28% K-BB | .279 – 27th | He’s back with a 28% K-BB in his L10 |
| Kevin Gausman | TOR | TBR | R | x | x | x | 3.90 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 28% K-BB | .314 – 11th | Looks like the season might run out before the .371 BABIP regresses |
| Carlos Carrasco | NYM | PIT | R | x | x | x | 3.86 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 19% K-BB | .286 – 25th | Great chance to stay hot after rocking MIA last start |
| Miles Mikolas | STL | CIN | R | x | x | x | 3.38 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 12% K-BB | .302 – 16th | Elite at home: 2.23 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 16% K-BB in 88.7 IP |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | HOU | OAK | R | x | x | x | 2.20 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 9% K-BB | .291 – 22nd | Rough WHIP w/the 13% K-BB, matchup too good to pass |
| Corey Kluber | TBR | at TOR | R | x | x | x | 4.21 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 17% K-BB | .320 – 9th | His L5 #s are impressive given that he allowed 6 ER in 2/3rds of an inn. last start |
| Pablo López | MIA | LAA | R | x | x | x | 6.66 ERA, 1.74 WHIP, 9% K-BB | .295 – 21st | 2 gems, 2 duds, 1 meh in L5; starting him despite the ugly 6.52 2H ERA |
| Noah Syndergaard | LAA | at MIA | R | x | x | x | 4.50 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 10% K-BB | .269 – 29th | Matchup drives the interest despite modest work w/PHI (10% K-BB) |
| Dylan Bundy | MIN | KCR | R | x | x | 4.38 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 6% K-BB | .274 – 28th | Allowed 10 ER in 34 IP before 7 ER dud v. CLE; 1st GS v. KC this yr | |
| Sean Manaea | SDP | at ARI | L | x | x | 7.77 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 17% K-BB | .263 – 29th | Skipped last time to clear his head a bit; great matchup gives some conidence | |
| Hunter Gaddis | CLE | CWS | R | x | 4.15 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 23% K-BB in MiLB | .303 – 14th | Brutal MLB debut (3.3 IP/8 ER v. HOU), but I could see going for this in a Hail Mary scenario | ||
| Daniel Lynch | KCR | at MIN | L | 7.40 ERA, 1.87 WHIP, 6% K-BB | .318 – 14th | Confidence from summer surge (2.94 ERA, 17% K-BB in 34 IP) has dissipated | |||
| James Kaprielian | OAK | at HOU | R | 6.46 ERA, 1.94 WHIP, 3% K-BB | .313 – 12th | Ran hot for the summer w/a 2.88 ERA in 11 GS, but 7% K-BB preached caution | |||
| JT Brubaker | PIT | at NYM | R | 3.90 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 18% K-BB | .333 – 5th | Piching well of late; NYM too scary, though | |||
| Chase Anderson | CIN | at STL | R | 9.00 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 5% K-BB | .347 – 1st | Stats are 9 IP in MLB, but this an easy no even if they were good | |||
| Madison Bumgarner | ARI | SDP | L | 8.42 ERA, 1.87 WHIP, 6% K-BB | .345 – 6th | He had a 3.71 ERA thru 20 starts; 7.68 in his L8 (43.3 IP) |
I think McClanahan might be starting for TB on Thursday instead of Kluber?