Starting Pitcher Chart – September 13th, 2024

- Daily SP Chart archive
- Check out the August SP Rankings (newish)
I’ve got a weekend board coming for y’all, so look for that on Friday evening. I’ll try to get one for each of these last 3 weekends.
I’m a huge Logan Webb fan, but he isn’t an unquestioned must-start here. His 1.28 WHIP v. teams over .500 is 14 pts higher than sub-.500 clubs, including a 1.53 in 19 IP v. the Padres. I’m more inclined to run him if I’m in chase mode hoping vintage Webb returns with 8 shutty in a low-scoring win.
Brant Hurter has sneakily been a big reason the Tigers are back in the wildcard mix. He has 33 innings with 3.00 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and 19% K-BB, often following an opener (1 start, 6 follows) for about 5 innings per outing. He has wins in each of his last 4 outings, including a traditional 5-inning start v. LAA.
Do not feel obligated to start Freddy Peralta. ARI is so scary. They are 1st in BB% v. righties since July 1st and 3rd on the year while Peralta has walked at least 2 batters in each of his last 10 starts (10% BB).
FRIDAY MORNING UPDATE: I agree w/the comment that Clarke Schmidt should be higher but I didn’t want to remake the chart so I just 2-x’d him and highlighted it to signify it was changed. I mistakenly thought this was his return from the IL, but w/the tune-up start at CHC (75 pitches, 4.7 IP), I feel good running him in a lot of spots today. He’s even borderline 3-x depending on your situation. View him more in the Webb/Hurter range.
—
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bailey Ober | MIN v CIN | x | x | x | 155 | 3.77 | 0.98 | 20% | 12th/18th |
| 2 | Dylan Cease | SDP at SFG | x | x | x | 170 | 3.71 | 1.09 | 21% | 19th/24th |
| 3 | Tanner Bibee | CLE v TBR | x | x | x | 154 | 3.56 | 1.13 | 20% | 29th/29th |
| 4 | Yusei Kikuchi | HOU at LAA | x | x | x | 156 | 4.31 | 1.24 | 22% | 25th/17th |
| 5 | Zach Eflin | BAL at DET | x | x | x | 148 | 3.65 | 1.14 | 18% | 6th/22nd |
| 6 | DJ Herz | WSN v MIA | x | x | x | 75 | 3.82 | 1.22 | 20% | 21st/29th |
| 7 | Aaron Nola | PHI v NYM | x | x | x | 177 | 3.41 | 1.18 | 17% | 15th/10th |
| 8 | Spencer Schwellenbach | ATL v LAD | x | x | x | 97 | 3.78 | 1.12 | 22% | 3rd/4th |
| 9 | Logan Webb | SFG v SDP | x | x | 189 | 3.46 | 1.23 | 14% | 5th/5th | |
| 10 | Brant Hurter | DET v BAL | x | x | 33 | 3.00 | 0.94 | 19% | 14th/6th | |
| 11 | Landon Knack | LAD at ATL | x | x | 54 | 3.00 | 0.96 | 18% | 27th/19th | |
| 12 | Alec Marsh | KCR at PIT | x | x | 116 | 4.66 | 1.22 | 15% | 24th/28th | |
| 13 | Freddy Peralta | MIL at ARI | x | x | 158 | 3.81 | 1.22 | 18% | 1st/2nd | |
| 14 | Jacob deGrom | TEX at SEA | x | x | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 13th/23rd | |
| 15 | Brady Basso | OAK at CHW | x | x | 9 | 1.93 | 0.75 | 24% | 30th/30th | |
| 16 | Tanner Houck | BOS at NYY | x | x | 169 | 3.24 | 1.17 | 15% | 11th/1st | |
| 17 | Luis L. Ortiz | PIT v KCR | x | 118 | 3.26 | 1.11 | 11% | 23rd/11th | ||
| 18 | Zack Littell | TBR at CLE | x | 138 | 3.89 | 1.33 | 15% | 26th/21st | ||
| 19 | Edward Cabrera | MIA at WSN | x | 83 | 4.88 | 1.40 | 13% | 18th/17th | ||
| 20 | Clarke Schmidt | NYY v BOS | x | x | 65 | 2.34 | 1.13 | 18% | 14th/3rd | |
| 21 | Erick Fedde 페디 | STL at TOR | x | 159 | 3.39 | 1.17 | 14% | 2nd/13th | ||
| 22 | Kevin Gausman | TOR v STL | x | 163 | 4.09 | 1.24 | 15% | 16th/14th | ||
| 23 | Garrett Crochet | CHW v OAK | 134 | 3.83 | 1.10 | 29% | 23rd/14th | |||
| 24 | Eduardo Rodriguez | ARI v MIL | 29 | 5.83 | 1.53 | 6% | 6th/9th | |||
| 25 | Samuel Aldegheri | LAA v HOU | 11 | 2.45 | 1.27 | 10% | 16th/13th | |||
| 26 | Austin Gomber | COL v CHC | 152 | 4.50 | 1.26 | 11% | 13th/16th | |||
| 27 | Javier Assad | CHC at COL | 131 | 3.14 | 1.34 | 10% | 21st/15th | |||
| 28 | Emerson Hancock | SEA v TEX | 45 | 4.76 | 1.32 | 7% | 17th/26th | |||
| 29 | Jose Quintana | NYM at PHI | 152 | 4.09 | 1.31 | 9% | 1st/1st | |||
| 30 | Julian Aguiar | CIN at MIN | 21 | 5.06 | 1.36 | 3% | 22nd/8th |
The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th) and over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.
Unless there was a change, I thought the Brewers were starting Montas Friday and Peralta Saturday.
Frankie dropped a gem on SF last night — 6 IP/0 ER/8 Ks!
I respectfully think Clarke Schmidt should be much higher. RESPECTFULLY
You’re right, I thought it was his first game back off the IL so I was being cautious. He got his tune-up last time out. He’s AT LEAST 2-x and maybe even back to 3-x status.
After yesterday’s debacle, I’m glad I have Ober. That’s an easy plug-and-play.
Which debacle?
I passed up Feltner’s 5.2 duel with Skubal against a non-threatening Tigers offense AND Cortes’ 9K/1ER start, and went with Gavin Williams who got lucky to escape with as little damage as he did. I also ran a Nats stack against Darren McCaughan of the Marlins and got bupkis.
I’m a Feltner fan and he’s been pretty nice on the road — 3.93 ERA/1.25 WHIP — but I do understand being cautious w/him. I didn’t see a TON of upside even against the modest Tigers lineup
Any idea whether the Tigers will be using an opener today? Or is Hurter the actual starter?
I haven’t seen word yet
Looks like Brieske as opener.
let’s gooo, that makes me like Hurter even more
How could you sleep at night putting Alec Marsh ahead of Jacob deGrom?
I do understand deGrom will be limited in PC – hopefully he goes 5 still.
Marsh has a MUCH easier matchup, to be fair. The Mariners have surged offensively over the past few weeks.
Just the unknown of deGrom is all!
There is nothing scarier.
“You’re not scared of the dark. You’re scared of not knowing what might be hiding there.”
😂
My deGrom line prediction: 4 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 5 K