Starting Pitcher Chart – September 10th, 2021

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September 10, 2021

With the season winding down, I wanted to find something that would be useful for those still contending in their leagues. I decided to do something that isn’t particularly new, but we don’t have it here at the site: a starting pitcher chart for the day’s slate of games. I’ll include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.

Let me know what y’all think about this. Obviously these are general recommendations and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto. I’m still marinating on ideas for the weekend as I won’t be able to commit to separate Saturday & Sunday ones due to time.

September 10th Starter Chart
PITCHER TM OPP 10 12 15+ L5 STATS OPP wOBA L30 days NOTE
Robbie Ray TOR at BAL x x x 1.51 ERA, 0.74 WHIP, 36% K-BB .290 – 23rd Has allowed >3 ER just once in L18 starts
Shohei Ohtani LAA at HOU x x x 2.81 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 25% K-BB .328 – 6th SP work is overlooked bc of elite bat
Framber Valdez HOU LAA x x x 2.76 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 16% K-BB .284 – 26th Has reached 6 IP in each of L5
Tyler Mahle CIN at STL x x x 3.64 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 20% K-BB .303 – 21st Hasn’t allowed >2 ER in 3 starts v. STL
Julio Urías LAD SDP x x x 1.69 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 20% K-BB .259 – 30th MLB-best 16 Ws fueling his top 10 SP season
Joe Musgrove SDP at LAD x x x 2.87 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 20% K-BB .288 – 27th ERA hasn’t gone above 3.14 at any pt this yr
Carlos Rodón CWS BOS x x x 3.52 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 22% K-BB .342 – 11th Hasn’t gone >5 IP since July 18th
Tanner Houck BOS at CWS x x x 4.13 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 21% K-BB .325 – 10th 0 W as SP bc they manage his IP so tightly
Ian Anderson ATL MIA x x x 4.30 ERA, 1.70 WHIP, -6% K-BB .276 – 30th 0 Ks in 8.7 IP since the ASB
Trevor Rogers MIA at ATL x x x 4.09 ERA, 1.64 WHIP, 12% K-BB .345 – 9th Standout LH from 1H has been hurt for 2H
Glenn Otto TEX at OAK x x x 1.86 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 28% K-BB .327 – 7th Interesting RHP looking nice early on
Josiah Gray WAS at PIT x x 6.84 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 14% K-BB .286 – 28th Great matchup, can he curb the severe HR9?
Germán Márquez COL at PHI x x 7.77 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 13% K-BB .311 – 18th Rough stretch incl. 3 road starts
Jordan Montgomery NYY at NYM x x 2.13 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 11% K-BB .294 – 22nd K% down 4 pts to 21% in 8 2H starts
Marco Gonzales SEA ARI x x 3.06 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 12% K-BB .342 – 10th Has allowed <=3 ER in 15 of 20 starts
Tylor Megill NYM NYY x x 5.96 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 21% K-BB .334 – 4th 4 HR outing v SF inflating the L5 numbers
Michael Wacha TBR at DET x 6.39 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 2% K-BB .299 – 24th Downside is severe, be careful
Madison Bumgarner ARI at SEA x 4.83 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 8% K-BB .300 – 20th 3 straight duds after 7 gems from 7/16-8/19
Adrian Houser MIL at CLE x 1.88 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 7% K-BB .312 – 17th ShO v. STL doing a lot of work on L5 stats
Paul Blackburn OAK TEX x 4.12 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 9% K-BB .323 – 12th Only has 4 MLB starts on the season
Eli Morgan CLE MIL 4.30 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 11% K-BB .356 – 2nd Sub-5 IP in 3 of L5; watch out here
Matthew Boyd DET TBR 5.14 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 12% K-BB .398 – 1st Only two 4-IP starts since return from IL
Jon Lester STL CIN 2.70 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 2% K-BB .286 – 25th WHIP tamps down hype on L5 ERA
Griffin Jax MIN KCR 8.20 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, 11% K-BB .295 – 25th Nothing to see here
Daniel Lynch KCR at MIN 4.50 ERA, 1.75 WHIP, 6% K-BB .276 – 29th Solid 3.35 ERA in 43 IP since late-July recall
Steven Brault PIT WAS 6.23 ERA, 1.75 WHIP, 7% K-BB .324 – 11th Not enough upside to gamble on
Chris Ellis BAL TOR 2.16 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 7% K-BB .339 – 3rd Skills don’t match ERA thru first 4 MLB app.





 

Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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will1331member
2 years ago

SF @ CHC in 2 hours, thoughts on Hendricks today? Has he been so bad he doesn’t make the list (kidding… mostly)?

Is he droppable in 15 team?

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Paul Sporermember
2 years ago
Reply to  will1331

No chance I’m starting him v. SF and I’m OK to cut him in 15s if someone on the wire strikes your fancy

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