Starting Pitcher Chart – May 9th, 2025
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their performance for 2025 (I changed over from 2024 #s on April 15th), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this changed as of April 14th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
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RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK | NOTE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Tarik Skubal | DET v TEX | x | x | x | 40 | 2.21 | 0.98 | 27% | 21st | |
2 | Hunter Brown | HOU v CIN | x | x | x | 43 | 1.67 | 0.88 | 25% | 17th | |
3 | Max Meyer | MIA at CHW | x | x | x | 39 | 3.92 | 1.36 | 20% | 30th | |
4 | Aaron Nola | PHI at CLE | x | x | x | 41 | 4.61 | 1.32 | 18% | 19th | |
5 | Clay Holmes | NYM v CHC | x | x | x | 36 | 2.95 | 1.28 | 17% | 5th | |
6 | Luis Castillo | SEA v TOR | x | x | x | 38 | 3.29 | 1.33 | 8% | 27th | Just 1 ER in 12 IP over his L2, though still w/a meager 7 K/4 BB output; ERA is masking some mediocrity, but the track record keeps him in the rotation for now espec. in a matchup like this |
7 | Kevin Gausman | TOR at SEA | x | x | x | 40 | 3.83 | 0.93 | 16% | 3rd | I can’t see sitting Gaus w/his sub-1.00 WHIP even if this wasn’t a light board |
8 | Jose Quintana | MIL at TBR | x | x | x | 28 | 2.83 | 1.22 | 10% | 28th | A 3rd straight lefty for TBR making it hard for them to take advantage of their homestand; lack of many options elevates Q to even some shallow lg consideration |
9 | Nick Martinez | CIN at HOU | x | x | x | 38 | 4.19 | 1.24 | 13% | 24th | An out shy of 3 straight QS after a sluggish start (6.00 ERA in 4 starts); catching HOU at a good time, too |
10 | Jameson Taillon | CHC at NYM | x | x | 39 | 3.86 | 1.03 | 14% | 11th | Has just a 2.80 ERA w/a capable 16% K-BB in 6 starts after ARI cooked him for 6 ER in his season debut | |
11 | Hunter Dobbins | BOS at KCR | x | x | 16 | 3.78 | 1.32 | 12% | 25th | Some solid work in 3 starts plus a juicy matchup give Dobbins some streamer intrigue, especially on this weak slate (yes, I’m going to keep hammering how few options there are!) | |
12 | Mitchell Parker | WSN v STL | x | 41 | 3.48 | 1.21 | 1% | 12th | Still toting a mid-3.00s after B2B duds underscores how good his first 5 were (1.39 ERA) | ||
13 | Eduardo Rodriguez | ARI v LAD | x | 38 | 5.92 | 1.47 | 19% | 4th | Rebounded from 8 ER/1 K gm to fan 10 Phillies though still allowed 3 ER in 5.3 IP; core skills have been nice, still very tough to run v. LAD | ||
14 | Gavin Williams | CLE v PHI | x | 32 | 5.06 | 1.75 | 12% | 6th | Gav and Roki were chased heavily throughout draft season and now both are rightly starting to pop up on some shallower lg waiver wires… a few more starts like we’ve seen thus far could put them on the deep lg chopping block | ||
15 | Roki Sasaki | LAD at ARI | x | 30 | 3.86 | 1.45 | 3% | 2nd | I can barely muster confidence for Gav or Roki on a board featuring just nine 3-x options and I was a huge Williams fan in draft season | ||
16 | Michael Lorenzen | KCR v BOS | x | 38 | 4.23 | 1.41 | 11% | 8th | High-risk, modest-reward with a really tough matchup | ||
17 | Tomoyuki Sugano | BAL at LAA | x | 39 | 3.00 | 1.13 | 8% | 23rd | I don’t see how the ERA stays this good w/an 8% K-BB and 1.6 HR9 | ||
18 | Osvaldo Bido | ATH v NYY | x | 36 | 4.71 | 1.46 | 4% | 4th | His first 5 highlight the volatility of these types: after allowing just 6 ER in his first 4, he allowed 8 ER to TEX and completely spoiled the good work, so like Lorenzen it’s a high-risk, modest-reward proposition with an even tougher matchup | ||
19 | Will Warren | NYY at ATH | 28 | 5.65 | 1.53 | 15% | 12th | Similar to Bido where his lack of IP (~4/start) gives him very little margin for error so while I think he will have bouts of streamer viability throughout the yr, it’ll always be risky w/substantial blowup potential | |||
20 | Zack Littell | TBR v MIL | 41 | 4.61 | 1.10 | 10% | 20th | ||||
21 | Jordan Hicks | SFG at MIN | 37 | 6.03 | 1.45 | 12% | 21st | ||||
22 | Erick Fedde 페디 | STL at WSN | 37 | 4.78 | 1.46 | 18th | |||||
23 | Chris Paddack | MIN v SFG | 32 | 5.57 | 1.48 | 6% | 13th | ||||
24 | Randy Vásquez | SDP at COL | 32 | 3.90 | 1.67 | -7% | 28th | COL is so bad you might feel compelling to run him, but you can’t get mad if he gets trounced because you’re still running a -7 K-BB%, regardless of the matchup quality | |||
25 | Bryce Elder | ATL at PIT | 32 | 5.06 | 1.38 | 7% | 29th | ||||
26 | Kyle Hendricks | LAA v BAL | 30 | 5.28 | 1.17 | 3% | 7th | ||||
27 | Bailey Falter | PIT v ATL | 37 | 5.06 | 1.21 | 11% | 23rd | ||||
28 | Patrick Corbin | TEX at DET | 24 | 3.28 | 1.50 | 8% | 5th | ||||
29 | Bryse Wilson | CHW v MIA | 22 | 5.56 | 1.90 | 4% | 22nd | ||||
30 | Antonio Senzatela | COL v SDP | 34 | 5.50 | 1.86 | 6% | 16th |
Stop the Sugano hate. He’s beautiful