Starting Pitcher Chart – May 4th
In past seasons I’ve done this Daily SP Chart down the stretch and invariably there are comments asking why I don’t do it all season. I’ve never really had a great answer for that so now I’m doing it!
Once the season gets going, the chart will include their performance over the last five starts (for the first few weeks, it’ll be their 2023 stats), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. The opponent wOBA will remain blank for a while until we get some data and because there is so much lineup turnover year-to-year, I’m not going to include last year’s mark. I’ll start including wOBA data on April 17th.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
I’ll include the Wednesday SP review in the Friday piece.
| RK | PITCHER | TM | OPP | THR | 10 | 12 | 15+ | NOTE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pablo López | MIN | at | CHW | R | x | x | x | Off to his best start and MIN seems to be getting an extra level out of all their starters |
| 2 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | at | BOS | R | x | x | x | Running a 14-inning scoreless streak with 24 Ks and 1 BB; has 11+ Ks in 3 of his L4 |
| 3 | George Kirby | SEA | at | OAK | R | x | x | x | Ks haven’t moved forward as hoped, but 2 BB all yr has delivered a microscopic WHIP |
| 4 | Zach Eflin | TBR | PIT | R | x | x | x | Displaying fantastic skills that should cover the regression of his 87% LOB rate | |
| 5 | Justin Verlander | NYM | at | DET | R | x | x | x | Season debut in his old stomping grounds |
| 6 | Grayson Rodriguez | BAL | at | KCR | R | x | x | x | On a streak of 14 straight scoreless innings with a 40% K and 10% BB |
| 7 | Jesús Luzardo | MIA | ATL | L | x | x | x | A career-high .345 BABIP has his WHIP elevated; everything else looks great so he’s a must start even in this tough matchup | |
| 8 | Lucas Giolito | CHW | MIN | R | x | x | x | Has been great since the 7 ER dud at PIT: 2.45 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 20% K-BB in 25.7 IP | |
| 9 | Griffin Canning | LAA | at | STL | R | x | x | x | Hasn’t made it 6 IP yet, but pitching well thru 3 starts including a career-best 15% SwStr |
| 10 | Eduardo Rodriguez | DET | NYM | L | x | x | x | His 4.07 SIERA says the ERA is headed upward, but he’s a firm start right now (at CLE next wk) | |
| 11 | Jameson Taillon | CHC | at | WSN | R | x | x | Returning from the IL with a soft matchup, just don’t expect many Ks as WSN has the lowest K% in the league | |
| 12 | Jack Flaherty | STL | LAA | R | x | Don’t get caught up in the name value, he’s just a standard streamer at this point | |||
| 13 | Vince Velasquez | PIT | at | TBR | R | Has allowed just 3 ER in his L4, but can we really start Vince Velasquez against TBR?! No… no we cannot. | |||
| 14 | Wade Miley | MIL | at | COL | L | Solid streamer in a lot of spots, but not Coors | |||
| 15 | Brayan Bello | BOS | TOR | R | A .406 career BABIP has overshadowed some otherwise decent work from Bello (4.04 SIERA) | ||||
| 16 | Dylan Dodd | ATL | at | MIA | L | I just don’t see any real upside | |||
| 17 | Patrick Corbin | WSN | CHC | L | I just don’t see any real upside | ||||
| 18 | Drew Rucinski 루친스키 | OAK | SEA | R | Did some great work in the KBO, would need to string together 3-4 solid starts before being trusted | ||||
| 19 | Jordan Lyles | KCR | BAL | R | I just don’t see any real upside | ||||
| 20 | Connor Seabold | COL | MIL | R | I just don’t see any real upside |
| RK | PITCHER | TM | OPP | THR | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | OPP L30 wOBA | wOBA RK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pablo López | MIN | at | CHW | R | x | x | x | 36 | 4.00 | 1.11 | 25% | 0.284 | 26th |
| 2 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | at | BOS | R | x | x | x | 38.2 | 2.33 | 1.01 | 31% | 0.343 | 6th |
| 3 | George Kirby | SEA | at | OAK | R | x | x | x | 30.2 | 2.93 | 0.95 | 18% | 0.283 | 27th |
| 4 | Zach Eflin | TBR | PIT | R | x | x | x | 21 | 3.00 | 1.14 | 21% | 0.339 | 9th | |
| 5 | Justin Verlander | NYM | at | DET | R | x | x | x | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 0.281 | 29th |
| 6 | Grayson Rodriguez | BAL | at | KCR | R | x | x | x | 24.1 | 4.07 | 1.40 | 22% | 0.273 | 30th |
| 7 | Jesús Luzardo | MIA | ATL | L | x | x | x | 33.2 | 3.48 | 1.34 | 19% | 0.400 | 2nd | |
| 8 | Lucas Giolito | CHW | MIN | R | x | x | x | 34.2 | 4.15 | 1.18 | 19% | 0.320 | 15th | |
| 9 | Griffin Canning | LAA | at | STL | R | x | x | x | 15.1 | 4.11 | 1.17 | 16% | 0.301 | 22nd |
| 10 | Eduardo Rodriguez | DET | NYM | L | x | x | x | 36.2 | 2.21 | 0.87 | 17% | 0.315 | 18th | |
| 11 | Jameson Taillon | CHC | at | WSN | R | x | x | 14 | 4.50 | 1.36 | 19% | 0.296 | 21st | |
| 12 | Jack Flaherty | STL | LAA | R | x | 32 | 3.94 | 1.44 | 9% | 0.321 | 12th | |||
| 13 | Vince Velasquez | PIT | at | TBR | R | 32.1 | 3.06 | 1.18 | 15% | 0.362 | 1st | |||
| 14 | Wade Miley | MIL | at | COL | L | 29 | 1.86 | 1.00 | 13% | 0.301 | 22nd | |||
| 15 | Brayan Bello | BOS | TOR | R | 12.1 | 6.57 | 1.86 | 15% | 0.321 | 14th | ||||
| 16 | Dylan Dodd | ATL | at | MIA | L | 9.1 | 7.71 | 1.82 | 12% | 0.340 | 10th | |||
| 17 | Patrick Corbin | WSN | CHC | L | 31.1 | 5.74 | 1.66 | 8% | 0.373 | 3rd | ||||
| 18 | Drew Rucinski 루친스키 | OAK | SEA | R | 5.2 | 4.76 | 2.12 | 0% | 0.314 | 17th | ||||
| 19 | Jordan Lyles | KCR | BAL | R | 35.1 | 6.11 | 1.36 | 10% | 0.311 | 18th | ||||
| 20 | Connor Seabold | COL | MIL | R | 13.2 | 5.27 | 1.54 | 15% | 0.323 | 13th |
No May 3rd SP review notes like we saw yesterday?
🙁
Coming in tonight’s piece. I was up against a deadline for a mtg this morning, but I will still review them along w/today’s guys!
You’re the GOAT, Sporer! Really appreciate the piece either way. 🙂
🙂