Starting Pitcher Chart – May 27th, 2024

Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports

Sorry there was no chart on Friday. I wasn’t feeling well Thursday night and by the time I got to feeling better, it was around noon on Friday.

2-Start Rankings for the Week
RANK TYPE PITCHER MATCHUPS
1 1 Tarik Skubal PIT/at BOS
2 1 Cole Ragans at MIN/SDP
3 1 Freddy Peralta CHC/CHW
4 1 Max Fried WSN/OAK
5 1 Luis Castillo HOU/LAA
6 1 Joe Ryan KCR/at HOU
7 1 Framber Valdez at SEA/MIN
8 2 Justin Steele at MIL/CIN
9 2 Bryce Miller HOU/LAA
10 2 Nick Lodolo STL/at CHC
11 2 Chris Bassitt at CHW/PIT
12 3 Nestor Cortes at LAA/at SFG
13 3 Brayan Bello at BAL/DET
14 3 Robert Gasser CHC/CHW
15 3 Charlie Morton WSN/OAK
16 3 Michael King MIA/at KCR
17 3 Blake Snell PHI/NYY
18 3 Gavin Stone at NYM/COL
19 3 Zack Littell OAK/at BAL
20 4 Brandon Pfaadt at TEX/at NYM
21 4 Alec Marsh at MIN/SDP
22 4 Griffin Canning NYY/at SEA
23 4 Mitchell Parker at ATL/at CLE
24 4 Cooper Criswell at BAL/DET
25 4 Simeon Woods Richardson KCR/at HOU
26 4 Lance Lynn at CIN/at PHI
27 4 Cole Irvin BOS/TBR
28 4 Trevor Rogers at SDP/TEX
29 5 Taijuan Walker at SFG/STL
30 5 Tylor Megill LAD/ARI
31 5 Mitch Spence at TBR/at ATL
32 6 Jake Irvin at ATL/at CLE
33 6 Austin Gomber CLE/at LAD
34 6 Nick Nastrini TOR/at MIL
35 6 Xzavion Curry at COL/WSN
TYPE Key:
1 – Auto-Start | 2- All Formats | 3 – Most Formats |
4 – Some Formats | 5 – YOLO | 6 – Hard Pass

 


Starter Notes May 27, 2024
RK PITCHER GAME 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB wOBA RK L30/Season NOTE
1 Framber Valdez HOU at SEA x x x 41 4.32 1.32 13% 18th/21st Meltdown 5th inning torched his last outing as he allowed 7 base runners and they ALL scored; core stuff seemed fine & he’d been great the 2 before… not worried after 1 dud
2 Joe Ryan MIN v KCR x x x 60 3.15 0.98 23% 12th/10th Not an easy 2-step (at HOU this wknd), but he never comes out of my lineup
3 Charlie Morton ATL v WSN x x x 51 3.35 1.20 15% 26th/22nd Underrated him a bit in the May SP rankings update (92nd) and the 1.20 WHIP is a pleasant surprise
4 Nick Lodolo CIN v STL x x x 35 3.34 0.94 24% 27th/28th The toughest part about CIN’s brutal record is that the arms are working out (Lodo: 3.34 ERA, Greene: 3.06, Abbott: 2.68)
5 Bryce Miller SEA v HOU x x x 58 3.53 0.97 17% 3rd/5th A 270-pt. improvement in OPS vL has fueled a fantastic start, though that 1.7 HR9 is a bit concerning
6 Chris Bassitt TOR at CHW x x x 55 4.39 1.46 10% 22nd/30th Still shaving down the 7-run nightmare to end Apr, but he’s at 2.88 ERA/1.00 WHIP in 4 May starts
7 Michael King SDP v MIA x x x 61 4.28 1.31 15% 20th/27th Leads MLB in HR (12) & NL in BB (28) and yet I can’t get away from this start… if he flops here, might be waiver time in a lot of spots
8 Robert Gasser MIL v CHC x x x 17 2.65 1.12 7% 30th/19th 1st start w/6+ IP and 0 K/BB since Mike Clevinger’s in September of last yr (6 IP/5 H/2 ER/2 HR/0 K & BB)
9 Gavin Stone LAD at NYM x x x 50 3.60 1.30 8% 16th/13th Had been rolling 4 ER in his L4 starts combined before this 6 IP/4 ER modest outing v. ARI; lack of Ks mitigated by W upside w/LAD
10 Justin Steele CHC at MIL x x x 25 5.68 1.18 16% 13th/18th 2 Bequeathed Runners scoring spoiled his outing, yielding a 3rd straight dud… sticking w/him for the 2-step, but this one scares me a bit
11 Alec Marsh KCR at MIN x x x 43 2.72 1.07 14% 10th/17th Major dip in BB% (5 pts to 7%) paired w/a spicy .252 BABIP have fueled the success; improved 4-seamer is nice, but he’s not that different so keep close tabs on him start-to-start
12 Lance Lynn STL at CIN x x 51 3.68 1.34 13% 30th/28th Tough part about 3 straight 4 ER outings was that he’d allowed just 1 HR; also toting 0.6 HR9 since 3 HR v. MIA
13 Cole Irvin BAL v BOS x x 45 3.15 1.09 12% 16th/13th Touched up in STL, but gets a double dip at home (v. TBR this wknd) and so I’ll take a shot on his 0.71 HR9 there since last yr
14 Blake Snell SFG v PHI x x 15 11.40 2.07 10% 7th/6th I can’t cut him off 15 iP and w/2 home starts, I feel like he’s staying in the lineup in most spots for me
15 Mitchell Parker WSN at ATL x 38 3.32 1.16 16% 21st/10th Just a relentless schedule to open his career (LAD, HOU, TEX, BAL, MIN) but he’s answered the bell and not allowed >3 in any start… now w/Acuña out and maybe still Riley, I could see taking a shot here in some formats
16 Cooper Criswell BOS at BAL x 34 2.86 1.13 18% 28th/18th He’s been really good this yr and BAL’s offense is lagging, but I’m still not diving headfirst into this one
17 Taijuan Walker PHI at SFG x 26 5.06 1.54 10% 13th/12th It’s not a bad lottery ticket if you’re W chasing and can handle some ratio risk
18 Trevor Rogers MIA at SDP x 45 6.11 1.84 8% 29th/26th Great matchup, but plentyyy of risk
19 Austin Gomber COL v CLE 58 2.76 1.11 10% 4th/2nd Blazing hot lately (2.16 ERA/0.98 WHIP in L50 IP) but CLE in Coors and a trip to LAD this wknd could erase a lot of that
20 Tylor Megill NYM v LAD 9 3.00 1.33 15% 11th/3rd I know LAD hasn’t been themselves of late (just 3.3 R/G in L10), but I still can’t run Megill here
21 Nick Nastrini CHW v TOR 11 11.91 2.56 -8% 15th/19th Nope
22 Xzavion Curry CLE at COL 9 1.93 1.07 11% 19th/20th Doesn’t miss enough bats to run in Coors even against that weak offense
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

 

The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

3 Comments
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powermax1999
18 days ago

Thanks, I’m not familiar with the 2-start chart, what does “Type” mean?