Starting Pitcher Chart – May 27th, 2024

May 27, 2024

Daily SP Chart archive
Check out the May SP Rankings

Sorry there was no chart on Friday. I wasn’t feeling well Thursday night and by the time I got to feeling better, it was around noon on Friday.

2-Start Rankings for the Week

RANK	TYPE	PITCHER	MATCHUPS
1	1	Tarik Skubal	PIT/at BOS
2	1	Cole Ragans	at MIN/SDP
3	1	Freddy Peralta	CHC/CHW
4	1	Max Fried	WSN/OAK
5	1	Luis Castillo	HOU/LAA
6	1	Joe Ryan	KCR/at HOU
7	1	Framber Valdez	at SEA/MIN
8	2	Justin Steele	at MIL/CIN
9	2	Bryce Miller	HOU/LAA
10	2	Nick Lodolo	STL/at CHC
11	2	Chris Bassitt	at CHW/PIT
12	3	Nestor Cortes	at LAA/at SFG
13	3	Brayan Bello	at BAL/DET
14	3	Robert Gasser	CHC/CHW
15	3	Charlie Morton	WSN/OAK
16	3	Michael King	MIA/at KCR
17	3	Blake Snell	PHI/NYY
18	3	Gavin Stone	at NYM/COL
19	3	Zack Littell	OAK/at BAL
20	4	Brandon Pfaadt	at TEX/at NYM
21	4	Alec Marsh	at MIN/SDP
22	4	Griffin Canning	NYY/at SEA
23	4	Mitchell Parker	at ATL/at CLE
24	4	Cooper Criswell	at BAL/DET
25	4	Simeon Woods Richardson	KCR/at HOU
26	4	Lance Lynn	at CIN/at PHI
27	4	Cole Irvin	BOS/TBR
28	4	Trevor Rogers	at SDP/TEX
29	5	Taijuan Walker	at SFG/STL
30	5	Tylor Megill	LAD/ARI
31	5	Mitch Spence	at TBR/at ATL
32	6	Jake Irvin	at ATL/at CLE
33	6	Austin Gomber	CLE/at LAD
34	6	Nick Nastrini	TOR/at MIL
35	6	Xzavion Curry	at COL/WSN

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Starter Notes May 27, 2024

RK	PITCHER	GAME	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK L30/Season	NOTE
1	Framber Valdez	HOU at SEA	x	x	x	41	4.32	1.32	13%	18th/21st	Meltdown 5th inning torched his last outing as he allowed 7 base runners and they ALL scored; core stuff seemed fine & he’d been great the 2 before… not worried after 1 dud
2	Joe Ryan	MIN v KCR	x	x	x	60	3.15	0.98	23%	12th/10th	Not an easy 2-step (at HOU this wknd), but he never comes out of my lineup
3	Charlie Morton	ATL v WSN	x	x	x	51	3.35	1.20	15%	26th/22nd	Underrated him a bit in the May SP rankings update (92nd) and the 1.20 WHIP is a pleasant surprise
4	Nick Lodolo	CIN v STL	x	x	x	35	3.34	0.94	24%	27th/28th	The toughest part about CIN’s brutal record is that the arms are working out (Lodo: 3.34 ERA, Greene: 3.06, Abbott: 2.68)
5	Bryce Miller	SEA v HOU	x	x	x	58	3.53	0.97	17%	3rd/5th	A 270-pt. improvement in OPS vL has fueled a fantastic start, though that 1.7 HR9 is a bit concerning
6	Chris Bassitt	TOR at CHW	x	x	x	55	4.39	1.46	10%	22nd/30th	Still shaving down the 7-run nightmare to end Apr, but he’s at 2.88 ERA/1.00 WHIP in 4 May starts
7	Michael King	SDP v MIA	x	x	x	61	4.28	1.31	15%	20th/27th	Leads MLB in HR (12) & NL in BB (28) and yet I can’t get away from this start… if he flops here, might be waiver time in a lot of spots
8	Robert Gasser	MIL v CHC	x	x	x	17	2.65	1.12	7%	30th/19th	1st start w/6+ IP and 0 K/BB since Mike Clevinger’s in September of last yr (6 IP/5 H/2 ER/2 HR/0 K & BB)
9	Gavin Stone	LAD at NYM	x	x	x	50	3.60	1.30	8%	16th/13th	Had been rolling 4 ER in his L4 starts combined before this 6 IP/4 ER modest outing v. ARI; lack of Ks mitigated by W upside w/LAD
10	Justin Steele	CHC at MIL	x	x	x	25	5.68	1.18	16%	13th/18th	2 Bequeathed Runners scoring spoiled his outing, yielding a 3rd straight dud… sticking w/him for the 2-step, but this one scares me a bit
11	Alec Marsh	KCR at MIN	x	x	x	43	2.72	1.07	14%	10th/17th	Major dip in BB% (5 pts to 7%) paired w/a spicy .252 BABIP have fueled the success; improved 4-seamer is nice, but he’s not that different so keep close tabs on him start-to-start
12	Lance Lynn	STL at CIN		x	x	51	3.68	1.34	13%	30th/28th	Tough part about 3 straight 4 ER outings was that he’d allowed just 1 HR; also toting 0.6 HR9 since 3 HR v. MIA
13	Cole Irvin	BAL v BOS		x	x	45	3.15	1.09	12%	16th/13th	Touched up in STL, but gets a double dip at home (v. TBR this wknd) and so I’ll take a shot on his 0.71 HR9 there since last yr
14	Blake Snell	SFG v PHI		x	x	15	11.40	2.07	10%	7th/6th	I can’t cut him off 15 iP and w/2 home starts, I feel like he’s staying in the lineup in most spots for me
15	Mitchell Parker	WSN at ATL			x	38	3.32	1.16	16%	21st/10th	Just a relentless schedule to open his career (LAD, HOU, TEX, BAL, MIN) but he’s answered the bell and not allowed >3 in any start… now w/Acuña out and maybe still Riley, I could see taking a shot here in some formats
16	Cooper Criswell	BOS at BAL			x	34	2.86	1.13	18%	28th/18th	He’s been really good this yr and BAL’s offense is lagging, but I’m still not diving headfirst into this one
17	Taijuan Walker	PHI at SFG			x	26	5.06	1.54	10%	13th/12th	It’s not a bad lottery ticket if you’re W chasing and can handle some ratio risk
18	Trevor Rogers	MIA at SDP			x	45	6.11	1.84	8%	29th/26th	Great matchup, but plentyyy of risk
19	Austin Gomber	COL v CLE				58	2.76	1.11	10%	4th/2nd	Blazing hot lately (2.16 ERA/0.98 WHIP in L50 IP) but CLE in Coors and a trip to LAD this wknd could erase a lot of that
20	Tylor Megill	NYM v LAD				9	3.00	1.33	15%	11th/3rd	I know LAD hasn’t been themselves of late (just 3.3 R/G in L10), but I still can’t run Megill here
21	Nick Nastrini	CHW v TOR				11	11.91	2.56	-8%	15th/19th	Nope
22	Xzavion Curry	CLE at COL				9	1.93	1.07	11%	19th/20th	Doesn’t miss enough bats to run in Coors even against that weak offense

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.