Starting Pitcher Chart – May 25th

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Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Thursday, May 25th Starter Notes
1 Logan Gilbert SEA OAK x x x 52 3.81 1.00 26% 27th He’s putting batters away brilliantly; his 23% PutAway rate (Ks/2-strike pitches) is 13th in the lg, up 5 pts from last yr when he ranked 66th (min. 500 BF)
2 Zach Eflin TBR TOR x x x 47 3.45 1.00 26% 10th Unmoved by the 5.21 ERA in his L3 bc it comes with a 26% K-BB and 1.05 WHIP
3 Lucas Giolito CHW at DET x x x 59.2 3.62 1.12 20% 23rd He looks like himself again as a strong mid-rotation arm in all formats
4 Aaron Nola PHI at ATL x x x 62.2 4.31 1.07 16% 12th The WHIP is still helping you so while the ERA is less than ideal, he is still an easy Top 40-50 SP making him an easy start
5 JP Sears OAK at SEA x x 48.2 4.99 1.15 20% 25th An ugly 2.0 HR rate has his ERA at 4.99 despite solid 20% K and 12% SwStr rates; the nearly non-existent win probability makes hurts his streaming viability, though
6 Braxton Garrett MIA at COL x 43 4.60 1.35 19% 26th It’s always risky to venture into Coors, but I’ve been comfortable enough to start all 3 MIA SPs here in deep lgs at the very least
7 Miles Mikolas STL at CIN x 54.2 4.77 1.48 12% 18th Had a 10.05 ERA in his first 3 and is now toting a 2.90 ERA in his L7 basically putting him back where he belongs according to his skills (4.77 ERA, 4.59 SIERA)
8 Clarke Schmidt NYY BAL x 45 6.00 1.62 18% 13th The 3.82 SIERA is alluring but until he cuts into the 1.6 HR and .386 BABIP, he’s going to struggle to put together QS
9 Kyle Freeland COL MIA x 53.1 3.88 1.24 12% 11th He has 2 sub-3 IP outings this yr but also 6 QS as well as a 5 IP/0 ER gem
10 Blake Snell SDP at WSN x 45 5.40 1.56 10% 4th WSN is 2nd in K% v. LH making this an even tougher start as he relies on Ks to soften the blow of his high ER games
11 Alek Manoah TOR at TBR 50.2 5.15 1.74 3% 4th Last start instills some confidence & it might’ve gone longer w/out his mgr’s blunder… does it instill enough to take this shot?
12 Kyle Gibson BAL at NYY 59 4.27 1.36 9% 16th He’s gonna drop his gems pretty regularly but it’s a sharp downside w/those 17% K and 9% SwStr rates
13 Dylan Dodd ATL PHI 15.1 6.46 1.83 4% 30th It hasn’t been all bad in his 3 MLB starts and this is a good matchup, but I’m still skeptical
14 Carlos Carrasco NYM at CHC 18.2 8.68 1.55 1% 17th SwStr rate has plummeted and BB rate has soared making him a really tough start anywhere right now
15 Kyle Hendricks CHC NYM #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 15th Season debut!
16 Alex Faedo DET CHW 15.2 4.60 0.83 18% 29th Has never been able to bring his MiLB swing-and-miss to the majors (17% in MiLB; 10% in 93 MLB IP)
17 Luke Weaver CIN STL 31.2 6.54 1.52 16% 3rd Has 15 Ks in his L4 starts after 16 in the first 2
18 Jake Irvin WSN SDP 18 5.50 1.61 4% 24th 4% K and SwStr rates
19 Julio Teheran MIL SFG #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 14th This is not confirmed and he’s been far too hittable at AAA to start him if he does get the nod
20 Bullpen Game SFG at MIL #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 27th Scott Alexander is penciled in to open this one


Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and contributes to ESPN's Daily Notes. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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7 days ago

Kyle Hendricks starting for Cubs.