Starting Pitcher Chart – May 24th
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
|1||Joe Ryan||MIN||SFG||x||x||x||56||2.25||0.89||27%||14th||Has gone at least 6 IP in each of his 9 starts so far this year|
|2||Shane McClanahan||TBR||TOR||x||x||x||57||2.05||1.19||19%||16th||Had a fantastic bounce back from his lone dud this year|
|3||Zac Gallen||ARI||at||PHI||x||x||x||61||2.95||1.00||25%||7th||Looking to rebound from his worst start of the season… I’m definitely starting him everywhere|
|4||Bryce Miller||SEA||OAK||x||x||x||25.1||1.42||0.51||23%||27th||Has to be the best prospect call-up so far with those numbers (maybe Morel on the hitting side?)|
|5||James Paxton||BOS||at||LAA||x||x||x||11||2.45||1.09||25%||23rd||Looks great through 2, I’m trusting him pretty much everywhere|
|6||Sandy Alcantara||MIA||at||COL||x||x||x||57||5.05||1.23||16%||8th||I know it’s been tough, but I just don’t see a 5.00+ ERA pitcher here and I’m not sitting him anywhere; 1 of just 12 SPs w/3 gms of 9+ Ks|
|7||Marcus Stroman||CHC||NYM||x||x||x||56||3.05||1.14||13%||15th||He probably isn’t a true talent low-3.00s ERA but he’s still a pretty easy start in most situations|
|8||Michael Kopech||CHW||at||CLE||x||x||x||50.1||4.83||1.33||11%||30th||I’ll roll w/him in a great matchup after his best start of the season (8 IP/1 H/10 Ks)|
|9||Anthony DeSclafani||SFG||at||MIN||x||x||x||55.1||3.09||0.99||16%||6th||I do worry about that 8% HR/FB rate regressing (13% career), hopefully it doesn’t happen all in one game|
|10||Tyler Wells||BAL||at||NYY||x||x||52||2.94||0.79||18%||16th||That 1.7 HR rate is looming with the WHIP certain to go up|
|11||Kodai Senga||NYM||at||CHC||x||x||43||3.77||1.44||16%||17th||He’s succeeding with the high WHIP as he’s been able to work around the BB, but it does cut into his shallow lg value|
|12||Tony Gonsolin||LAD||at||ATL||x||x||24||1.13||0.92||11%||12th||Back on his grind with an insane .172 BABIP (.218 career)|
|13||Bryce Elder||ATL||LAD||x||x||52.1||2.06||1.15||14%||9th||Tough matchup but I’m having a hard time sitting Elder in many spots… I can see 10-tm staffs being good enough to make him a team streamer|
|14||Cal Quantrill||CLE||CHW||x||x||51||4.06||1.31||6%||29th||A .195 BABIP in May has his WHIP back down and allowing him to succeed w/his pitch-to-contact philosophy|
|15||Nestor Cortes||NYY||BAL||x||x||48.1||5.21||1.28||17%||12th||Kind of a coinflip streamer right now so I understand starting him if you’re a believer, but he’s no longer must-start status|
|16||Trevor Williams||WSN||SDP||x||44.1||4.26||1.26||12%||24th||Decent enough streamer and SD isn’t really scary right now|
|17||Martín Pérez||TEX||at||PIT||x||49.1||4.01||1.52||11%||14th||HRs have returned with a vengeance (1.5) making him particularly volatile|
|18||Ranger Suárez||PHI||ARI||6||10.50||2.67||12%||18th||Still working into form so he’s a lower end streamer at best right now, I’m sitting him virtually everywhere|
|19||Johan Oviedo||PIT||TEX||48||4.69||1.54||9%||11th||Has some gems, but his blowups sting|
|20||Adrian Houser||MIL||HOU||14.2||3.07||1.50||13%||22nd||Kind of an NL version of Cal Quantrill|
|21||Brandon Bielak||HOU||at||MIL||18.2||2.89||1.77||13%||25th||That WHIP can’t sustain that ERA for much longer; the .407 BABIP should regress but his 1.4 HR rate limits his upside|
|22||Zack Greinke||KCR||DET||52.1||4.82||1.20||13%||23rd||He’s been fine lately but his bad starts have a way of washing out 3-4 good ones so there is heavy risk if you stream him|
|23||Matthew Boyd||DET||at||KCR||37.2||6.21||1.46||10%||5th||HRs are back with a 1.9 in his last 6 starts (6.91 ERA) & KC is raking vL lately|
|24||Tyler Anderson||LAA||BOS||42.2||5.27||1.62||3%||6th||Hasn’t allowed more than 3 ER in any of his last 4 despite a meager 3% K-BB… this spot is too risky for me|
|25||Ben Lively 라이블리||CIN||STL||11||2.45||0.73||22%||3rd||Looked good v. NYY but I’m not ready push forward with a start|
|26||Steven Matz||STL||at||CIN||46.1||5.05||1.62||12%||15th||Not taking his 1.4 HR rate to Cincy|
|27||Ryan Weathers||SDP||at||WSN||23.2||3.42||1.14||5%||4th||Can’t start that 5% K-BB against anyone|
|28||Yusei Kikuchi||TOR||at||TBR||46.1||4.08||1.32||16%||2nd||Homers predictably came back to bite him making him a tough start in anything but the lightest of matchups|
|30||Ken Waldichuk||OAK||at||SEA||46||6.85||1.85||5%||25th||Just not showing enough command of his arsenal from inning-to-inning|
Paul, you owe Alex Cobb an apology.
lolol, process v. results. in fairness, he wasn’t a no-X guy, I just wasn’t starting him everywhere. He was still a streamer consideration for me
I must defend my guy against this disrespect.
He has a 3.26 xFIP and 3.48 SIERA through 58 IP and is projected for a 3.5 ERA by all systems except THE BAT. That’s not a guy that should only be started in 15+ team leagues against a middling MIN offense.