Starting Pitcher Chart – May 22nd

Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a very risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Monday, May 22nd Starter Notes
RK PITCHER TM OPP THR 10 12 15+ NOTE
1 Luis Castillo SEA OAK R x x x BOS made him look human w/5 ER and 3 HR, this is a great chance to erase that damage in one fell swoop
2 Cristian Javier HOU at MIL R x x x Absolutely cruising right now, having allowed more than 3 ER just once this yr
3 Bailey Ober MIN SFG R x x x Skills have been there throughout his MLB career, now suppressing HRs (0.6) makes him a legit stud
4 Zack Wheeler PHI ARI R x x x Hasn’t lived up to expectations, but I can’t envision sitting him anywhere
5 Corbin Burnes MIL HOU R x x x Essentially in that Zack Wheeler camp of studs that aren’t doing all we had hoped and yet no chance they’re sitting in any format
6 Chris Bassitt TOR at TBR R x x x Tough matchup isn’t deterring me from the start, especially in a weekly lg where I have to commit to this for the 2-step (at MIN this wknd)
7 Dane Dunning TEX at PIT R x x x PIT averaging just 2.8 runs/gm in 17 May games after a 5.4 mark in April… Dunning’s ratios will regress, but not necessarily in this start
8 Brady Singer KCR DET R x x Better his last 2x out w/just 3 ER in 12 IP (2 UER, too) though the 7 Ks and 4 BB temper the excitement… matchup makes him a worthy streamer
9 Michael Lorenzen DET at KCR R x x Rolling in May w/3 straight gems (0.90 ERA & WHIP in 20 IP) despite a meager 9% K-BB… at least he had 7 Ks last time out
10 Jordan Montgomery STL at CIN L x x A pair of duds accounting for more than half his season earned runs (13 of 24), pretty easy start w/the 2-step (at CLE this wknd)
11 Brandon Williamson CIN STL L x x Nice outing in Coors for his MLB debut but some brutal AAA work this yr & last keep my expectations in check… STL/at CHC isn’t a bad 2-step for deeper lgs
12 Charlie Morton ATL LAD R x x WHIP says that ERA will head upward soon and that could begin w/a LAD, PHI 2-step, but that doesn’t mean I’m sitting him everywhere
13 Gavin Stone LAD at ATL R His rough MLB debut doesn’t play a role in me sitting here as I have plenty of longer term hope for him, but at ATL/at TBR is a brutal 2-step
14 Tanner Houck BOS at LAA R Just a 60% LOB rate for the yr (incl. 48% in his L4) is really hurting him especially since his 13% K-BB doesn’t give much margin for error
15 Luis L. Ortiz PIT TEX R Can’t take this gamble… still see some summer upside in this arm
16 Josh Fleming TBR TOR L Had a sharp 5-IP start last time out, but still just 2 Ks and 2 BB… not enough skill support to take on this killer 2-step (TOR, LAD)
17 Edward Cabrera MIA at COL R That command (or lack thereof) in Coors is a recipe for disaster despite the 6 shutout IP there to open his 2022 season
18 Jaime Barría LAA BOS R I’ve always had a soft spot for him & he’s been great in the pen this yr, but no chance we’re taking the shot v. BOS
19 Tommy Henry ARI at PHI L Not doing enough to feel confident trying to take advantage of this matchup
20 Hunter Gaddis CLE CHW R Far too hittable to trust in any format, even w/this great matchup
21 Jesse Scholtens CHW at CLE R 29-yr old non-prospect put up a 20% K-BB at AAA, but w/a 2.1 HR rate & HRs have been a consistent issue since 2018
22 Chase Anderson COL MIA R Gotta be tough going from TBR to COL
23 Kyle Muller OAK at SEA L There is no matchup that makes him enticing
24 Bullpen Game SFG at MIN R John Brebbia is going to start this pen game for SF
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

 

Monday, May 22nd Starter Stats
RK PITCHER TM OPP THR 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB OPP L30 wOBA wOBA RK
1 Luis Castillo SEA OAK R x x x 51.2 3.31 1.05 23% 0.296 23rd
2 Cristian Javier HOU at MIL R x x x 52.2 3.25 0.97 23% 0.297 21st
3 Bailey Ober MIN SFG R x x x 30.1 1.78 0.96 18% 0.316 14th
4 Zack Wheeler PHI ARI R x x x 51 4.06 1.20 22% 0.353 2nd
5 Corbin Burnes MIL HOU R x x x 51.2 3.48 1.16 13% 0.294 25th
6 Chris Bassitt TOR at TBR R x x x 56 3.05 1.02 11% 0.344 3rd
7 Dane Dunning TEX at PIT R x x x 37.1 1.69 0.88 11% 0.296 24th
8 Brady Singer KCR DET R x x 45.2 7.09 1.53 12% 0.284 29th
9 Michael Lorenzen DET at KCR R x x 34 3.44 1.21 12% 0.299 22nd
10 Jordan Montgomery STL at CIN L x x 51.1 4.21 1.34 16% 0.322 18th
11 Brandon Williamson CIN STL L x x 5.2 1.59 0.71 20% 0.307 21st
12 Charlie Morton ATL LAD R x x 47.1 2.85 1.37 15% 0.332 7th
13 Gavin Stone LAD at ATL R 4 9.00 2.50 -4% 0.313 15th
14 Tanner Houck BOS at LAA R 42.2 5.48 1.31 13% 0.345 4th
15 Luis L. Ortiz PIT TEX R 8 5.63 2.38 -2% 0.330 8th
16 Josh Fleming TBR TOR L 36.2 3.68 1.36 2% 0.355 6th
17 Edward Cabrera MIA at COL R 40.1 5.13 1.59 14% 0.324 10th
18 Jaime Barría LAA BOS R 23 1.96 0.96 17% 0.357 1st
19 Tommy Henry ARI at PHI L 27 5.00 1.48 1% 0.275 29th
20 Hunter Gaddis CLE CHW R 19.2 6.86 1.42 8% 0.292 26th
21 Jesse Scholtens CHW at CLE R 3 3.00 2.00 13% 0.281 30th
22 Chase Anderson COL MIA R 10 0.00 0.50 9% 0.285 28th
23 Kyle Muller OAK at SEA L 42 7.71 1.95 4% 0.301 25th
24 Bullpen Game SFG at MIN R #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 0.336 5th
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and contributes to ESPN's Daily Notes. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

6 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Trevor May Care Attitude
10 days ago

I agree with you that, given his recent run of results, most owners will probably be starting Bassitt in St. Pete, but I was looking under his hood yesterday and it’s a real good news/bad news situation. The good news is that he has a consistent history of outperforming his FIP by nearly half a run. The bad news is that his FIP is currently 4.53, his xFIP is 4.70, and his tERA is 4.59.

Moeliciousmember
9 days ago

Bassitt doesn’t appear to be doing anything to justify the shiny ERA/WHIP except limiting hard contact (.197 BABIP) and I don’t know if that is a skill or luck. Curious to see what the peripherals look like if you remove the opening 9 ER game when it appears that he wasn’t 100% ready to begin the season.

WARonEverything
9 days ago
Reply to  Paul Sporer

Has anyone ever looked at SP who throw a lot of effective (plus) different pitch types have a better chance of better FIP vs ERA numbers? I know this would be tough to quantify, but Bassitt kind of reminds me of a guy like Ryu where he might not have huge K numbers year over year and often had FIP fairly higher than ERA, but when you watch him pitch it kind of makes sense that hitters have a tough time with him. so many pitches to chose from get them guessing and lead to not great contact, but more contact than a big K guy because of lack of overpowering stuff.

airforce21one
9 days ago

By the end of the year I think Bassitt will be exactly who we thought he would be.