Starting Pitcher Chart – June 6th
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
Tuesday, June 6th Starter Notes
| RK | PITCHER | TM | OPP | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK | NOTE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitch Keller | PIT | OAK | x | x | x | 74.2 | 3.25 | 1.08 | 25% | 29th | It’d be a little on the nose to make this Keller’s worst start in a breakout season so just don’t do it, baseball gods! | |
| 2 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | HOU | x | x | x | 75 | 2.76 | 1.12 | 27% | 15th | He’s an all formats Auto-Start, of course, but even if he wasn’t this matchup just hasn’t been as scary this year | |
| 3 | Zach Eflin | TBR | MIN | x | x | x | 60 | 3.30 | 1.00 | 21% | 16th | Hasn’t allowed more than 4 ER in any start this yr and just 4 ER twice | |
| 4 | Logan Gilbert | SEA | at | SDP | x | x | x | 64 | 4.08 | 0.98 | 24% | 26th | Obvious Auto-Start… I was definitely stunned to see SDP so low over the L30 days |
| 5 | Jesús Luzardo | MIA | KCR | x | x | x | 66.2 | 4.05 | 1.35 | 21% | 17th | 31% K-BB in his L3 so I’m not worried about the 7.04 ERA that included a couple tough gms where 11 of 12 base runners scored despite 16 K & 2 BB | |
| 6 | Joe Musgrove | SDP | SEA | x | x | x | 36.1 | 4.71 | 1.38 | 14% | 14th | Not doing what we hoped for, but I don’t see myself sitting him anywhere right now | |
| 7 | Bryce Elder | ATL | NYM | x | x | x | 65.2 | 1.92 | 1.16 | 14% | 12th | Your MLB ERA leader is a must start right now, just like we all drew it up before the season! | |
| 8 | Freddy Peralta | MIL | BAL | x | x | x | 60.1 | 4.62 | 1.41 | 14% | 17th | Bounced back with a decent QS in a tough matchup after his worst start of the season | |
| 9 | James Paxton | BOS | at | CLE | x | x | x | 19 | 4.26 | 1.26 | 25% | 26th | 3 gems and a dud w/the dud coming against a strong offense worth avodiing regularly (LAA) |
| 10 | Hunter Brown | HOU | at | TOR | x | x | x | 62.1 | 3.61 | 1.24 | 21% | 2nd | He’s not somebody I ever consider sitting, even in matchups as tough as this one |
| 11 | Lucas Giolito | CHW | at | NYY | x | x | x | 68.1 | 4.08 | 1.26 | 17% | 3rd | Weird 7 BB gm at DET 2 starts ago but has otherwise been nails over his L10 w/a 3.34 ERA & 1.15 WHIP |
| 12 | Clarke Schmidt | NYY | CHW | x | x | 55.2 | 5.01 | 1.51 | 18% | 27th | Closing the gap between his ERA and SIERA with a 1.72 mark in his L3 outing, going 5 IP in each with a 19% K-BB | ||
| 13 | Shane Bieber | CLE | BOS | x | x | 75 | 3.72 | 1.29 | 10% | 10th | I’ve been steadfast in my support, but I’m wavering a bit after 16 ER in his L4 espec. w/his Ks even lower than normal at 13% during the run | ||
| 14 | Zack Greinke | KCR | at | MIA | x | x | 62.1 | 4.19 | 1.14 | 15% | 22nd | Running well lately w/a 19% K-BB in his L6 and while there is always heavy risk w/him, I’m willing to go for the dcent matchup here | |
| 15 | Louie Varland | MIN | at | TBR | x | 41 | 3.51 | 1.15 | 19% | 7th | Full disclosure: I’m a Varland guy so I’m rolling w/him, but I can’t blame anyone for sitting out v. TBR; he has more HR (9) than BB (8) which is definitely worrisome | ||
| 16 | Tony Gonsolin | LAD | at | CIN | x | 35.2 | 1.77 | 0.90 | 9% | 13th | BABIP/LOB excellence has returned yielding a silly 1.77 ERA & 5.07 SIERA… this is a spot where I might play it extra safe | ||
| 17 | Dane Dunning | TEX | STL | x | 48 | 2.06 | 1.04 | 11% | 8th | 0 HR this yr has given him a margain for error that his modest 11% K-BB can’t so there is regression coming, but if he excels here, I might roll w/the LAA-TOR 2-step next wk | |||
| 18 | Kyle Gibson | BAL | at | MIL | x | 71.2 | 3.89 | 1.31 | 8% | 25th | Nice 2.93 ERA in his L5 plus a good matchup but his flameouts are unpredictable so it’s always a high-risk stream while the upside is a bit light (6% K-BB in those 5 GS) | ||
| 19 | Hayden Wesneski | CHC | at | LAA | 43 | 4.81 | 1.28 | 12% | 9th | Not sure 2 AAA starts will fix him, but I remain interested in him… though not for this start | |||
| 20 | Luke Weaver | CIN | LAD | 43.2 | 5.36 | 1.35 | 18% | 5th | Has shown some intriguing flashes, but it just feels like he’s a 7 ER bomb waiting to happen | ||||
| 21 | Matthew Liberatore | STL | at | TEX | 11 | 4.91 | 1.36 | 6% | 4th | I’m still interested in Liberatore, but we haven’t seen anything different from last yr early on so he’s riding my bench right now | |||
| 22 | Taijuan Walker | PHI | DET | 57.1 | 5.65 | 1.45 | 8% | 19th | He has been so tough to time with just a 4.64 ERA/1.39 WHIP in 33 IP against sub-.500 tms | ||||
| 23 | Carlos Carrasco | NYM | at | ATL | 31.1 | 5.74 | 1.37 | 4% | 18th | OK, that’s 2 good ones in a row (though just a 10% K-BB) buuttt I’m not sure I can do it in this matchup | |||
| 24 | Tommy Henry | ARI | at | WSN | 41 | 3.73 | 1.24 | 5% | 6th | His 5.43 SIERA says his skills aren’t supporting his solid ERA | |||
| 25 | Garrett Hill | DET | at | PHI | 7 | 10.29 | 1.71 | 6% | 21st | Too many BB to trust in any format | |||
| 26 | Tyler Anderson | LAA | CHC | 52.2 | 5.47 | 1.59 | 3% | 15th | Has reverted to a level below what he was before the Dodgers, just hasn’t found any measure of consistency this year | ||||
| 27 | Jake Irvin | WSN | ARI | 27 | 5.67 | 1.63 | 4% | 4th | Nah | ||||
| 28 | James Kaprielian | OAK | at | PIT | 37.2 | 8.12 | 1.81 | 9% | 28th | There is no matchup that could be good enough to start Kap | |||
| 29 | Dinelson Lamet | COL | SFG | 13.2 | 13.17 | 2.41 | 7% | 23rd | Would love to see a Lamet rebirth, but it’s not happening in Coors | ||||
| 30 | John Brebbia | SFG | at | COL | 23.2 | 3.80 | 1.06 | 27% | 1st | Bullpen game in Coors |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
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Keller on top – would’ve been surprising at the start of the year, but not now considering the season he has had.
I’d like to see the breakdown of the night before’s pitchers again. It was nice to get the preview and the post mortem.
I ax’d it because the piece was taking too long each night, but I like being able to comment on the guys who threw that night so I’m considering a 2nd piece for the morning/early-PM the day after that looks at the previous night. I apologize for dropping it w/out putting a note about it, but stay tuned for something to take its place
Appreciate the reply PS. Any form of that would be great. I’d be game even for a weekly feature/piece recap instead of daily if that is easier to write up.
It’s weird to see Varland near the top of a lot of Draft Kings/Yahoo DFS ranks. I like him too, but isn’t TB still pretty scary? I would’ve imagined him more where he’s ranked here.
Yeah, I’m sitting him in my somewhat deep, salary dynasty.
TBR’s still just too scary while Varland’s also too homer-prone for the matchup. Too little realistic upside for the risk…
I’m starting him in 12 H2H, but don’t feel great about it. More of a justification for rostering him, because if I’m not starting him today, and his shelf life in the rotation might not be long with Maeda returning soon (big if), why keep him? A nice start tonight would go a long way for him to stick around.
The risks TheUncool raises are clearly valid something to strongly consider.
TB def scary and Uncool raises completely fair points that coincide w/my light reco. At the risk of fence sitting a bit, I can see both sides clearly and thus wouldn’t push anyone strongly toward starting (which I am) if they want to sit out
Nothing wrong with fence sitting when it truly is a toss up!