Starting Pitcher Chart – June 6th, 2025

by Paul Sporer

June 5, 2025

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.

ICYMI last night: Probably gonna be board-only pieces the rest of the week as I head out to Charlotte to catch a Savannah Bananas game with a couple friends and link up with our very own Jason Collette as well! I think I’m gonna make the Saturday and Sunday boards with the current probables and load them into the WordPress so I don’t have to do it on my laptop and then I will make any changes in-place meaning I won’t remake the boards. So let’s say a 1-x guy gets moved out and a stud is moved up in his place, I would put the 3-x stud in that 1-x guy’s row as it’s much easier on short notice during a vacation… so I’m choosing convenience over style in that case. But that’s only if there are changes.

Friday’s board is paper-thin, especially for a 30-arm slate!! Not only is it light on studs, but many of them are facing tough teams: Skubal v. CHC, Sonny v. LAD, Senga at Coors (COL sucks, but always a dangerous park), and Lodolo v. ARI.

NOTE: for board-only days I’m going to put a “W” in the box to indicate a Win-chase, someone you’re using because you think they’re team can support them enough to get a Win even if they give something like a 5 IP/4 ER start. This will be used as almost a half-x as I’m only advocating for them in a specific case so if you don’t care as much about the Win potential, you can ignore the reco.

You Aren't a FanGraphs Member

It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed.

We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member.

1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other.

2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off.

3. Dark mode and Classic mode!

4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them.

5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects.

6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.)

7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only.

8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO.

9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members.

10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features!

We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it.

Click Here To Become a Member

—

Starter Notes June 6, 2025

RK	PITCHER	GAME	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	2025 wOBA RK
1	Tarik Skubal	DET v CHC	x	x	x	75	2.26	0.79	32%	2nd
2	Spencer Schwellenbach	ATL at SFG	x	x	x	74	3.13	1.03	20%	23rd
3	Nick Lodolo	CIN v ARI	x	x	x	69	3.10	1.11	16%	11th
4	Sonny Gray	STL v LAD	x	x	x	69	3.65	1.12	22%	1st
5	Kodai Senga	NYM at COL	x	x	x	62	1.60	1.18	12%	29th
6	Seth Lugo	KCR at CHW	x	x	x	60	3.45	1.15	12%	30th
7	Bailey Ober	MIN v TOR	x	x	x	62	3.48	1.35	13%	18th
8	Bryce Miller	SEA at LAA	x	x	x	43	5.36	1.53	8%	24th
9	Michael Soroka	WSN v TEX		x	x	31	5.81	1.23	17%	28th
10	JP Sears	ATH v BAL		x	x	57	5.18	1.27	13%	30th
11	Chad Patrick	MIL v SDP		x	x	63	2.97	1.21	15%	19th
12	Hayden Birdsong	SFG v ATL		x	x	32	2.48	1.29	16%	7th
13	Zack Littell	TBR v MIA		x	x	74	3.86	1.10	12%	17th
14	Will Warren	NYY v BOS		W	x	52	5.19	1.42	19%	5th
15	Ben Brown	CHC at DET		W	x	56	5.72	1.46	20%	12th
16	Colton Gordon	HOU at CLE		W	x	19	5.95	1.37	20%	24th
17	Edward Cabrera	MIA at TBR			x	45	4.14	1.42	15%	16th
18	Justin Wrobleski	LAD at STL			W	9	8.00	1.33	13%	13th
19	Randy Vásquez	SDP at MIL			W	55	3.58	1.39	2%	25th
20	Eduardo Rodriguez	ARI at CIN				44	7.05	1.70	16%	19th
21	Walker Buehler	BOS at NYY				46	4.44	1.31	14%	2nd
22	Bailey Falter	PIT v PHI				66	3.14	1.08	7%	6th
23	Eric Lauer 라우어	TOR at MIN				19	2.75	1.02	17%	23rd
24	Dean Kremer	BAL at ATH				67	4.70	1.39	11%	10th
25	Patrick Corbin	TEX at WSN				53	3.71	1.26	10%	16th
26	Davis Martin	CHW v KCR				68	3.67	1.24	8%	26th
27	Logan Allen로건	CLE v HOU				49	4.22	1.59	6%	4th
28	Kyle Hendricks	LAA v SEA				59	5.34	1.29	8%	15th
29	Antonio Senzatela	COL v NYM				58	7.14	1.98	5%	6th
30	Joe Ross	PHI at PIT				28	4.50	1.32	11%	27th

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

3 Comments

Oldest

Newest Most Voted

alang3131982Member since 2016

1 year ago

How are you feeling about the recent Charlie Morton results?

Trotter76Member since 2018

Watch out for Patrick Corbin tonight, I picked him up strictly because he’s going against the Nats, who have a tremendously left-handed lineup (their usual starting 9 has 7 L’s and 2 S’s). I’m not usually a believer in Corbin, but between the lefty heavy lineup and a pitcher facing his former team, I think he’s going to have a great game.

AnonMember since 2025

Reply to Trotter76

Fun fact #1: Corbin has the most starts in the majors since the start of 2017 with 245 (Nola with 244, Berrios 242, then you drop down to 230). Dude may have sucked since 2020 but he just doesn’t miss his turn in the rotation.

Fun fact #2: Corbin has the most losses since 2017 with 101. Freeland is 2nd with 81.

Fun fact #3: Despite not being good since 2020, Corbin has the 9th most QS since 2017 with 116, more than both deGrom (106) and Kershaw (103) and more than Pivetta (62) and Glasnow (48) have combined.

I absolutely would not be shocked if he goes 6 and gives up 2-3 runs while putting on a couple more guys than you’d like while not striking out as many guys as you’d like.