Starting Pitcher Chart – June 3rd, 2025

June 3, 2025

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.

Added Sánchez to the 2-start chart for Wheeler (paternity leave); saw some stuff suggesting Landen Roupp was joining the 2-start party in place Verlander as now it looks like Verlander is just throwing a pen today and is penciled in for Sunday. Thus, it won’t be Roupp for 2 so I didn’t add him. That would line him up for a hideous at COL/at LAD next week. I still think there’s a decent chance Roupp gets the weekend start, too, if Verlander isn’t ready and since we’re Roupp tonight anyway, we’ll get the 2-step if it comes to pass in weekly lineup leagues.

JUMP TO 2-START CHART

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Starter Notes June 3, 2025

RK	PITCHER	GAME	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	2025 wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Paul Skenes	PIT v HOU	x	x	x	75	2.15	0.92	20%	19th
2	Hunter Greene	CIN v MIL	x	x	x	54	2.63	0.91	26%	25th
3	Carlos Rodón	NYY v CLE	x	x	x	72	2.60	0.94	23%	23rd
4	Drew Rasmussen	TBR v TEX	x	x	x	58	2.33	0.93	16%	28th
5	Cristopher Sánchez	PHI at TOR	x	x	x	59	3.32	1.31	19%	7th
6	Pablo López	MIN at ATH	x	x	x	55	2.75	1.04	20%	12th
7	Freddy Peralta	MIL at CIN	x	x	x	65	2.77	1.17	15%	5th
8	Tyler Mahle	TEX at TBR	x	x	x	66	1.64	1.05	9%	15th	Skills aren’t exactly blazing of late so the 1.95 ERA/1.13 WHIP aren’t terribly well-supported by his 7% K-BB in those 46.3 IP
9	Lance McCullers Jr.	HOU at PIT	x	x	x	18	5.89	1.69	16%	27th	Solid 22% K-BB in 16 IP outside of that insane 1 out/7 ER meltdown v. CIN incl. 20 Ks in his L2
10	Shane Smith	CHW v DET	x	x	x	57	2.68	1.16	13%	17th	5 BB really stung him at NYM
11	Cade Horton	CHC at WSN	x	x	x	20	3.98	1.23	14%	11th	Hasn’t allowed >3 ER in any of his 4 MLB starts
12	Spencer Strider	ATL v ARI	x	x	x	14	4.50	1.29	15%	2nd	He’s been OK and this is a tough matchup but he’s a rotation staple
13	Chase Dollander	COL at MIA		x	x	38	6.28	1.42	12%	18th	Solid on the road in 4 starts: 4.29 ERA/1.10 WHIP/27% K in 21 IP
14	Sawyer Gipson-Long	DET at CHW		x	x	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	30th	Looking good in MiLB rehab and remember, SGL had a sharp little 4-start run to end 2023: 2.70 ERA/1.10 WHIP/22% K-BB
15	Landen Roupp	SFG v SDP		x	x	56	3.54	1.43	15%	16th	Deserved more than 1 W in May w/a 1.73 ERA/1.19 WHIP/13% K-BB in 26 IP; Ks were light, but I love the 5% BB
16	Michael Lorenzen	KCR at STL		x	x	62	4.33	1.40	12%	7th	I’ll definitely take on this start to get the at CHW on the wknd; more of a toss-up as a one-off
17	Zac Gallen	ARI at ATL		x	x	66	5.54	1.40	12%	9th	We just have to divorce ourself from his name value as he’s at 4.78 ERA/1.37 WHIP since 2H of 2024; rosterable for sure, but no longer set-it and forget-it
18	Tanner Bibee	CLE at NYY		x	x	63	3.86	1.27	11%	3rd	Sort of an AL Gallen and he’s been pitching pretty well of late but this is skippable
19	Tomoyuki Sugano	BAL at SEA		x	x	64	3.23	1.06	10%	13th	Settled down after 3 ER in first 2 IP w/3.3 of 2-hit ball; no Ks and low W potential make mostly a ratios play
20	Andre Pallante	STL v KCR		x	x	61	4.23	1.36	7%	26th	Essentially a poor man’s Sugano trading better W potential for worse ratios
21	George Kirby	SEA v BAL		x	x	8	11.42	1.85	12%	14th	Let’s see where he’s at after 5-6 starts; at least hold even if you don’t start
22	Yusei Kikuchi	LAA at BOS		x	x	64	3.06	1.52	8%	8th	Survived 5 BB v. NYY and allowed just 7 ER all of May… schedule stays challenging though
23	Tylor Megill	NYM at LAD				53	3.52	1.36	19%	1st	No longer slated for the step that would’ve included a trip to COL so I’m skipping this
24	Sandy Alcantara	MIA v COL				51	8.47	1.67	5%	29th	You cannnn bc it’s COL, but what are we really chasing here?
25	Bowden Francis	TOR v PHI				55	5.04	1.36	12%	10th
26	Trevor Williams	WSN v CHC				55	5.69	1.45	11%	4th
27	Jacob Lopez	ATH v MIN				15	6.32	1.85	10%	24th
28	Brayan Bello	BOS v LAA				40	3.83	1.63	4%	24th
29	Clayton Kershaw	LAD v NYM				11	4.91	1.55		10th
30	Ryan Bergert	SDP at SFG				4		0.25	14%	23rd

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

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2-START CHART

2-Start Chart for the Week of June 2nd

RANK	PITCHER	TYPE	MATCHUPS	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	Pitch+
1	Paul Skenes	1	HOU/PHI	75.1	2.15	0.92	20%	110
2	Cristopher Sánchez	1	at TOR/at PIT	59.2	3.32	1.31	19%	94
3	Logan Webb	1	SDP/ATL	73.1	2.82	1.21	22%	108
4	Joe Ryan	1	at ATH/TOR	63	2.57	0.83	26%	105
5	Carlos Rodón	1	CLE/BOS	72.2	2.60	0.94	23%	98
6	Pablo López	1	at ATH/TOR	55.2	2.75	1.04	20%	114
7	Drew Rasmussen	2	TEX/MIA	58	2.33	0.93	16%	101
8	Tyler Mahle	2	at TBR/at WAS	66	1.64	1.05	9%	112
9	Spencer Strider	2	ARI/at SFG	14	4.50	1.29	15%	87
10	Dustin May	3	NYM/ at STL	55.2	4.20	1.24	16%	100
11	Shane Smith	3	DET/ KCR	57	2.68	1.16	13%	101
12	Michael Lorenzen	3	at STL/ at CHW	62.1	4.33	1.40	12%	103
13	Zac Gallen	3	at ATL/at CIN	66.2	5.54	1.40	12%	103
14	Tanner Bibee	3	at NYY/HOU	63	3.86	1.27	11%	97
15	Brady Singer	3	MIL/ ARI	58.2	4.60	1.33	10%	98
16	George Kirby	3	BAL/ at LAA	8.2	11.42	1.85	12%	102
17	Tylor Megill	3	at LAD/ at COL	53.2	3.52	1.36	19%	99
18	Lance McCullers Jr.	4	at PIT/ at CLE	18.1	5.89	1.69	16%	91
19	Richard Fitts	4	LAA/ at NYY	20	2.70	1.10	11%	104
20	Cade Horton	4	at WAS/ at DET	20.1	3.98	1.23	14%	99
21	Tomoyuki Sugano	4	at SEA/ at ATH	64	3.23	1.06	10%	105
22	Bowden Francis	4	PHI/ at MIN	55.1	5.04	1.36	12%	103
23	Stephen Kolek	4	at SFG/ at MIL	30.2	4.11	1.30	11%	99
24	Justin Verlander	4	SDP/ ATL	52	4.33	1.40	9%	91
25	Jonathan Cannon	4	DET/ KCR	60.2	4.15	1.35	11%	102
26	Tyler Anderson	4	at BOS/ SEA	61	3.39	1.21	8%	96
27	Sawyer Gipson-Long	5	at CHW/ v. CHC	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
28	Luis Severino	5	MIN/ BAL	71.2	3.89	1.23	10%	98
29	Jacob Lopez	5	MIN/ BAL	15.2	6.32	1.85	10%	101
30	Logan Allen로건	5	at NYY/ HOU	49	4.22	1.59	6%	94
31	Germán Márquez	5	at MIA/ NYM	53	7.13	1.64	5%	95
32	Trevor Williams	6	CHC/ TEX	55.1	5.69	1.45	11%	104
33	Mike Burrows	6	HOU/ PHI	8.1	8.64	1.56	3%	102