Starting Pitcher Chart – June 17th, 2024
- Daily SP Chart archive
- Check out the May SP Rankings
Back in town a bit late after the Astros-Tigers game in Houston on Sunday, so I owe y’all a 2-start chart in the morning!
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| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Max Fried | ATL v DET | x | x | x | 78 | 3.20 | 1.06 | 15% | 18th/16th |
| 2 | Paul Skenes | PIT v CIN | x | x | x | 33 | 2.43 | 0.96 | 31% | 14th/24th |
| 3 | Sonny Gray | STL at MIA | x | x | x | 68 | 3.01 | 1.03 | 26% | 24th/27th |
| 4 | Yusei Kikuchi | TOR v BOS | x | x | x | 77 | 3.26 | 1.23 | 18% | 12th/7th |
| 5 | Jordan Hicks | SFG at CHC | x | x | x | 71 | 3.01 | 1.20 | 13% | 26th/22nd |
| 6 | Jon Gray | TEX v NYM | x | x | 62 | 2.17 | 1.20 | 17% | 17th/19th | |
| 7 | Nick Pivetta | BOS at TOR | x | x | 46 | 3.88 | 1.08 | 23% | 13th/17th | |
| 8 | Cristopher Sánchez | PHI v SDP | x | x | 70 | 3.07 | 1.39 | 13% | 15th/2nd | |
| 9 | José Soriano | LAA v MIL | x | x | 72 | 3.48 | 1.18 | 11% | 15th/4th | |
| 10 | Braxton Garrett | MIA v STL | x | x | 31 | 6.10 | 1.26 | 18% | 22nd/12th | |
| 11 | Javier Assad | CHC v SFG | x | x | 73 | 2.81 | 1.24 | 13% | 18th/25th | |
| 12 | Reese Olson | DET at ATL | x | 71 | 3.68 | 1.28 | 13% | 23rd/10th | ||
| 13 | Carson Spiers | CIN at PIT | x | 19 | 2.33 | 1.19 | 14% | 22nd/29th | ||
| 14 | Carlos Rodriguez | MIL at LAA | x | 3 | 4.91 | 2.18 | 16% | 25th/20th | ||
| 15 | David Peterson | NYM at TEX | x | 16 | 4.32 | 1.50 | 1% | 21st/15th | ||
| 16 | Cal Quantrill | COL v LAD | 79 | 3.30 | 1.25 | 8% | 11th/3rd | |||
| 17 | James Paxton | LAD at COL | 59 | 3.92 | 1.41 | 1% | 4th/18th | |||
| 18 | Randy Vásquez | SDP at PHI | 38 | 4.93 | 1.51 | 11% | 20th/8th |
The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.
Any detailed thoughts on Spiers? Seems kind of intriguing…terrible team and rough home park…and not sure he’s totally a starter…but…
Slightly intrigued hence the 1-x.
PROs: great in the minors this year w/a healthy 18% K-BB in 47 IP; capable 5-pitch mix; good control in his MiLB & MLB samples this year
CONs: control gains are new and might not stick; missing very few bats in MLB (19% K, 9% SwStr); brutal park/team support; IP concerns like you mentioned
A trip to PIT isn’t too bad given how anemic their offense has been so while the W chance isn’t high facing off v. Skenes, he isn’t a terrible bet for 3-5 useful IP… hence deep lgs only. If we see a solid 6-IP type start here, it’ll add to the confidence level for sure