Starting Pitcher Chart – June 12th, 2024

- Daily SP Chart archive
- Check out the May SP Rankings (June update coming soon!)
Sorry for no post yesterday. I feel asleep early and then didn’t really have a window to write it today until it was too late.
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Starter Notes June 12, 2024
RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season | NOTE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Framber Valdez | HOU at SFG | x | x | x | 63 | 3.53 | 1.15 | 13% | 3rd/15th | One bad IP v. LAA is the only interruption in his L6: 3.29 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 13% K-BB in 41 IP |
2 | Logan Webb | SFG v HOU | x | x | x | 86 | 2.92 | 1.20 | 15% | 4th/5th | Back in a groove and I can’t wait to watch these 2 duel! (2.25 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 19% K-BB in 40 IP) |
3 | Bryce Miller | SEA v CHW | x | x | x | 75 | 3.81 | 1.02 | 17% | 26th/30th | A much-needed reprieve in opposition after a run of at BAL, at NYY, HOU, LAA, at KCR (5.72 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 12% K-BB in 28 IP); I like him to get right here |
4 | Tanner Bibee | CLE at CIN | x | x | x | 70 | 3.73 | 1.19 | 19% | 11th/21st | Righted the ship over his L5 w/a 2.12 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 22% K-BB |
5 | Sonny Gray | STL v PIT | x | x | x | 61 | 3.21 | 1.07 | 25% | 18th/29th | 2+ BB in each of his L5 has left his results on the knife’s edge: 4.44 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 22% K-BB… he’s a rotation staple, though |
6 | Nick Pivetta | BOS v PHI | x | x | x | 42 | 3.40 | 0.94 | 26% | 17th/8th | Revenge game is a nice challenge as he looks to stay hot after dominance v. ATL (7 |
7 | Michael King | SDP v OAK | x | x | x | 78 | 3.58 | 1.22 | 16% | 28th/26th | Steady waters of late: 1.90 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 17% K-BB in L4; hopefully you held through the choppiness early on |
8 | Nick Lodolo | CIN v CLE | x | x | x | 52 | 2.92 | 0.99 | 21% | 13th/12th | Rolling since his return from the IL, falling just 2 outs shy of 3 QS w/16 Ks and just 3 BB |
9 | Pablo López | MIN v COL | x | x | x | 71 | 5.45 | 1.23 | 21% | 15th/19th | This is now 3 flameouts in his L4, but the 4th was 7 IP/1 ER at HOU so he’s all over the place… espec. after 6 BB in NYY; all that said I’m betting on his 21% K-BB and hoping that Colorado is the Rx he needs |
10 | Reese Olson | DET v WSN | x | x | x | 65 | 3.43 | 1.20 | 13% | 25th/22nd | Trounced in his last 2 (13 ER) and yet I have a tough time sitting him here; still had an 11/2 K:BB in those duds and the velo & spin profiles are in line… stay the course |
11 | José Soriano | LAA at ARI | x | x | x | 64 | 3.64 | 1.21 | 11% | 16th/23rd | Sub-10% SwStr in 3 of his L4, but the surface results remain steady (3.51 ERA, 1.11 WHIP) |
12 | Chris Bassitt | TOR at MIL | x | x | x | 73 | 3.80 | 1.38 | 13% | 9th/2nd | MIL is tough, but he’s absolutely rolling: 2.51 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 16% K-BB in L7 (43 IP) |
13 | Walker Buehler | LAD v TEX | x | x | x | 28 | 4.82 | 1.46 | 15% | 30th/14th | Definitely not himself right now and yet TEX is a hot matchup right now so I’m inclined to stay the course |
14 | David Peterson | NYM v MIA | x | x | x | 11 | 3.09 | 1.29 | 4% | 25th/27th | Meager 4% K-BB hasn’t curbed results and MIA presents a good chance to keep getting away, but eventually he’ll need to improve to remain viable |
15 | Cristopher Sánchez | PHI at BOS | x | x | x | 66 | 2.71 | 1.34 | 14% | 17th/7th | Took some time settle and it’s always tough in Fenway, but he’s toting a 1.48 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 18% K-BB in his L3 |
16 | Jake Irvin | WSN at DET | x | x | x | 75 | 3.12 | 1.03 | 17% | 12th/20th | Biggest hiccups were skippable (at LAD, at PHI — would’ve missed the 6 scoreless v. LAD, too), but I’m starting to gain confidence in even tougher setups… definitely playable everywhere at DET |
17 | Hogan Harris | OAK at SDP | x | x | 20 | 2.21 | 1.13 | 12% | 21st/3rd | Scooped him in the Main Event after somce nice work in 2 starts since joining the rotation… not a must start bc I still respect SDP’s offense, just don’t overlook him | |
18 | Bailey Falter | PIT at STL | x | x | 68 | 3.69 | 1.04 | 10% | 24th/10th | May hot streak couldn’t carry into June after LAD start; worth a look at STL | |
19 | Jon Gray | TEX at LAD | x | 59 | 2.12 | 1.18 | 17% | 22nd/4th | Not confirmed here after a 9-out relief app. in his return from the IL; I’m OK skipping this even w/LAD sputtering in the L30 days | ||
20 | Cody Poteet | NYY at KCR | x | 15 | 1.72 | 0.96 | 11% | 10th/9th | On the radar after this nice run, but let’s be careful against a very solid KCR lineup… tough part is Cole takes his spot so probably needn’t hold if you’ve got him | ||
21 | Braxton Garrett | MIA at NYM | x | 26 | 5.81 | 1.22 | 18% | 5th/16th | He’s run the gamut since returning w/a shutty at ARI and 3 starts of 5+ ER… intriguing STL/SEA 2-step next wk if he excels here | ||
22 | Cade Povich | BAL v ATL | x | 5 | 10.13 | 1.69 | -8% | 16th/11th | This will be a really interesting matchup as both rookies have upside that could pay dividends given their strong supporting casts… startable, but high-risk | ||
23 | Spencer Schwellenbach | ATL at BAL | x | 9 | 8.38 | 1.55 | 13% | 5th/6th | |||
24 | Tobias Myers | MIL v TOR | x | 34 | 4.15 | 1.24 | 13% | 6th/13th | Had the Tigers off balance all day w/only 3 batted balls carrying a .400 or better expected AVG and 2 of ’em were outs | ||
25 | Javier Assad | CHC at TBR | x | 69 | 2.74 | 1.22 | 14% | 29th/28th | Was never going to stay that hot and that’s OK… I will say I’m impressed by his 26% K during this regression run (5.66 ERA, 1.68 WHIP in L4), but can it hold w/a 6% SwStr? | ||
26 | Aaron Civale | TBR v CHC | x | 67 | 5.51 | 1.36 | 17% | 13th/17th | The 1.8 HR9 is killing him, but if he can fix that then the 17% K-BB (ranked 31st) can definitely bring some good results | ||
27 | Slade Cecconi | ARI v LAA | x | 41 | 5.66 | 1.14 | 12% | 27th/25th | Far better v. sub-.500 clubs: 4.15 ERA/0.97 WHIP so he’s worth considering here | ||
28 | Austin Gomber | COL at MIN | 66 | 3.38 | 1.20 | 9% | 26th/18th | A couple wobbly starts after a brilliant May, but his 1-3 record underscores his nearly non-exsitent Win probability | |||
29 | Jonathan Cannon | CHW at SEA | 16 | 5.94 | 1.62 | 17% | 21st/24th | ||||
30 | Daniel Lynch IV | KCR v NYY | 16 | 5.63 | 1.19 | 9% | 9th/1st | It’s aces-only against NYY at this juncture |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
How much do you value the predictive stats (xERA, xFIP, xFIP-, SIERA) when they differ significantly from what has taken place (ERA)? Which is your favorite?