Starting Pitcher Chart – July 7th, 2025
by Paul Sporer
July 7, 2025
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
Starter Notes July 7, 2025
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HOU v CLE | W | x | x | 104 | 1.82 | 0.90 | 25% | 26th | ||
| 2 | Cristopher Sánchez | PHI at SFG | x | x | x | 100 | 2.68 | 1.13 | 19% | 27th | |
| 3 | Jacob deGrom | TEX at LAA | x | x | x | 101 | 2.13 | 0.89 | 20% | 20th | |
| 4 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD at MIL | x | x | x | 96 | 2.51 | 1.01 | 20% | 24th | |
| 5 | SDP v ARI | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0% | 1st | Darvish makes his season debut! Definite pickup, but no shot I’m starting him here. | ||||
| 6 | Yusei Kikuchi | LAA v TEX | x | x | x | 102 | 2.81 | 1.37 | 14% | 29th | |
| 7 | Freddy Peralta | MIL v LAD | x | x | x | 99 | 2.91 | 1.09 | 17% | 2nd | |
| 8 | José Berríos | TOR at CHW | x | x | x | 106 | 3.64 | 1.24 | 13% | 30th | Perfect matchup to build a nice base before heading to ATH on the wknd |
| 9 | Brady Singer | CIN v MIA | x | x | x | 88 | 4.36 | 1.34 | 11% | 17th | MIA/COL coming to Cincy is a fantastic setup for him |
| 10 | Richard Fitts | BOS v COL | x | x | x | 28 | 4.50 | 1.25 | 11% | 27th | Solid in 7 IP since his return, but that’s 4 and 3 IP starts |
| 11 | Noah Cameron | KCR v PIT | x | x | x | 56 | 2.56 | 1.01 | 11% | 28th | Has topped 90 pitches just 2x making mostly a 5-and-dive so more a ratio streamer |
| 12 | Andrew Heaney | PIT at KCR | x | x | x | 93 | 4.16 | 1.20 | 10% | 25th | Good chance to stay hot w/a trip to KCR |
| 13 | Shane Baz | TBR at DET | x | x | 97 | 4.33 | 1.25 | 15% | 9th | Baz-Bibee are really tough calls given their matchups; Baz is much better on the road at least (2.91 ERA/1.09 WHIP) | |
| 14 | Zac Gallen | ARI at SDP | x | x | 104 | 5.45 | 1.37 | 13% | 22nd | Just as a bunch of ppl finally cut him in deeper formats, he has an amazing 10-K start… can he keep it going v. this modest SDP lineup? | |
| 15 | Janson Junk | MIA at CIN | x | 37 | 3.62 | 1.13 | 21% | 7th | Bounced back after a dud at SFG and he’s truly been excellent outside of his 2 duds | ||
| 16 | Landen Roupp | SFG v PHI | x | 85 | 3.48 | 1.48 | 11% | 8th | Lucky to have a 1.19 ERA in his L3 w/a horrendous 1.59 WHIP tied to it | ||
| 17 | Tanner Bibee | CLE at HOU | x | 98 | 4.20 | 1.24 | 14% | 16th | Maybe the righty-heavy HOU lineup will favor him? (85 pt. OPS split) | ||
| 18 | Sean Burke | CHW v TOR | 87 | 4.03 | 1.40 | 9% | 15th | ||||
| 19 | Keider Montero | DET v TBR | 56 | 4.02 | 1.39 | 8% | 6th | Unconfirmed, but some sort of bullpen-type gm is happening for the opener | |||
| 20 | Austin Gomber | COL at BOS | 19 | 5.49 | 1.53 | 2% | 2nd |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues |
KEY –
x: Standard Recommendation
W: Win Chase meaning we accept ratio risk for a W opportunity
2-START CHART
2-Start Chart for the Week of July 7th
| RANK | PITCHER | TYPE | MATCHUPS | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | Pitch+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacob deGrom | 1 | at LAA/at HOU | 95.1 | 2.08 | 0.88 | 20% | 110 |
| 2 | Cristopher Sánchez | 1 | at SFG/at SDP | 93.2 | 2.79 | 1.16 | 19% | 96 |
| 3 | Nick Pivetta | 1 | ARI/PHI | 91 | 3.36 | 1.03 | 21% | 114 |
| 4 | Nathan Eovaldi | 1 | at LAA/at HOU | 72.1 | 1.87 | 0.87 | 22% | 106 |
| 5 | Shota Imanaga | 1 | at MIN/at NYY | 49.2 | 2.54 | 1.03 | 11% | 112 |
| 6 | Ryan Pepiot | 2 | at DET/at BOS | 96.1 | 3.36 | 1.15 | 16% | 102 |
| 7 | Merrill Kelly 켈리 | 2 | at SDP/at LAA | 98 | 3.49 | 1.07 | 19% | 104 |
| 8 | Brady Singer | 2 | MIA/COL | 85.2 | 4.31 | 1.33 | 11% | 100 |
| 9 | José Berríos | 2 | at CHW/at ATH | 102 | 3.26 | 1.21 | 13% | 100 |
| 10 | Jack Flaherty | 3 | TBR/SEA | 84.1 | 4.80 | 1.23 | 18% | 100 |
| 11 | Will Warren | 3 | SEA/CHC | 80.1 | 4.37 | 1.32 | 20% | 101 |
| 12 | Yusei Kikuchi | 3 | TEX/ARI | 96.2 | 2.79 | 1.37 | 13% | 104 |
| 13 | Nick Martinez | 3 | MIA/COL | 94 | 4.12 | 1.16 | 13% | 109 |
| 14 | Shane Baz | 3 | at DET/at BOS | 90.2 | 4.37 | 1.26 | 13% | 98 |
| 15 | Tanner Bibee | 4 | at HOU/at CHW | 94.2 | 3.80 | 1.18 | 14% | 96 |
| 16 | Joey Cantillo | 4 | at HOU/at CHW | 28.1 | 3.81 | 1.38 | 18% | 99 |
| 17 | Janson Junk | 4 | at CIN/at BAL | 31.1 | 3.73 | 1.15 | 19% | 119 |
| 18 | Richard Fitts | 4 | COL/TBR | 25 | 4.68 | 1.28 | 12% | 101 |
| 19 | Simeon Woods Richardson | 4 | CHC/PIT | 58.1 | 4.63 | 1.39 | 12% | 97 |
| 20 | Landen Roupp | 4 | PHI/LAD | 81.1 | 3.43 | 1.44 | 11% | 106 |
| 21 | Jeffrey Springs | 4 | ATL/TOR | 92 | 4.30 | 1.24 | 11% | 97 |
| 22 | Noah Cameron | 4 | PIT/NYM | 51.2 | 2.79 | 1.01 | 10% | 101 |
| 23 | Zac Gallen | 4 | at SDP/at LAA | 97 | 5.75 | 1.41 | 11% | 104 |
| 24 | José Soriano | 4 | TEX/ARI | 97 | 3.99 | 1.47 | 9% | 110 |
| 25 | Andrew Heaney | 4 | at KCR/at MIN | 86.1 | 4.48 | 1.25 | 9% | 101 |
| 26 | Eury Pérez | 4 | at CIN/at BAL | 16 | 6.19 | 1.50 | 6% | 91 |
| 27 | Jake Irvin | 4 | at STL/at MIL | 99 | 4.73 | 1.30 | 10% | 106 |
| 28 | Yu Darvish | 5 | ARI/PHI | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A |
| 29 | Brandon Young | 5 | NYM/MIA | 12.2 | 7.11 | 1.97 | 3% | 105 |
| 30 | Aaron Civale | 5 | TOR/CLE | 38 | 4.74 | 1.50 | 8% | 86 |
| 31 | Didier Fuentes | 5 | at ATH/at STL | 8.1 | 10.80 | 1.80 | 8% | 101 |
| 32 | Sean Burke | 6 | TOR/CLE | 81 | 4.22 | 1.42 | 9% | 101 |
| 33 | Andre Pallante | 6 | WAS/ATL | 87.1 | 4.43 | 1.35 | 8% | 103 |
| 34 | Kyle Freeland | 6 | at BOS/at CIN | 77.2 | 5.56 | 1.60 | 12% | 103 |
| 35 | Austin Gomber | 6 | at BOS/at CIN | 14.2 | 6.14 | 1.43 | 3% | 101 |
TYPE Key:
1 – Auto-Start | 2 – All Formats | 3 – Most Formats |
4 – Some Formats | 5 – YOLO | 6 – Hard Pass
1 – Auto-Start | 2 – All Formats | 3 – Most Formats |
4 – Some Formats | 5 – YOLO | 6 – Hard Pass
Curious about Flaherty vs TB today? Thanks!
I think he was pushed back to Tues for his start….
Ya Kieder & RP today