Starting Pitcher Chart – July 22nd, 2026
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- I’m always nervous taking on PIT with righties, but Cole has been strong over his L3 (27% K-BB) so I can’t see sitting him.
- Jax’s last start got away from him in 6th with 4 of the 7 ER but even with that, he has a 3.51 ERA/1.10 WHIP/21% K-BB in his L8.
- The tough part about Detmers is that he’s great or terrible, no in between, at least from an ER standpoint: 1-3-0-1-0-5-2-5-5-0. The composite run is still excellent: 3.34 ERA/0.96 WHIP/23% K-BB so he remains in the lineup. Plus, each of the Duds in that run came against teams who hit lefties well – at ATH, BOS, at TEX – and the trip to ATH could’ve easily been skipped given how tough that park has been this year.
- Ober is still a soft-tossing HR machine so his downside remains severe, but there’s been enough good to get him back in the lineup consistently. His last 2 Duds were very skippable, too, coming against two of the breakout offenses of the year: at PIT and at WAS.
- Fried is coming off the IL so I get it if you want to see one especially against a tough PIT offense. They’ve ascended vL, sitting 4th in wOBA over the L30 days so it’s not just righties we have to worry about with the Pirates. I generally run my aces off rip once they’re healthy, but this is one where I could see myself being cautious (I don’t have Fried anywhere to make the decision myself).
- After a bit of a June Swoon (that kinda started with his last 2 in May – 5.45 ERA in 7 starts from 5/24-6/28), King has rebounded on the surface with a 2.12 ERA/1.00 WHIP in his L3, but just a 10% K-BB supporting it. So we’re not totally out of the woods with King concerns and I can see some skips here, even if ATL’s offense has come back to Earth recently: 24th in wOBA vR since June 1st after sitting 1st from Opening Day through May.
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Starting Pitcher Chart July 22nd
| Rk | PITCHER | Team | Opponent | T | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K% | K-BB | OPP K% | opp wOBA RK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson Hancock | SEA | v. CIN | R | x | x | x | 99.1 | 3.17 | 1.01 | 24% | 18% | 25% | 26 |
| 2 | Logan Henderson | MIL | v. NYM | R | x | x | x | 33.1 | 2.97 | 0.93 | 30% | 24% | 22% | 29 |
| 3 | Sandy Alcantara | MIA | at HOU | R | x | x | x | 136.2 | 3.89 | 1.22 | 19% | 12% | 22% | 14 |
| 4 | Gerrit Cole | NYY | v. PIT | R | x | x | x | 55 | 3.93 | 1.16 | 24% | 19% | 23% | 2 |
| 5 | Ranger Suarez | BOS | v. BAL | L | x | x | x | 91.1 | 3.15 | 1.16 | 26% | 19% | 26% | 19 |
| 6 | Kyle Bradish | BAL | at BOS | R | x | x | x | 107.1 | 3.61 | 1.35 | 23% | 12% | 22% | 27 |
| 7 | Landen Roupp | SFG | at KCR | R | x | x | x | 104 | 3.98 | 1.27 | 24% | 14% | 21% | 19 |
| 8 | Griffin Jax | TBR | at TOR | R | x | x | x | 75 | 4.08 | 1.27 | 25% | 16% | 19% | 16 |
| 9 | Reid Detmers | LAA | v. STL | L | x | x | x | 114.2 | 4.16 | 1.12 | 27% | 20% | 18% | 12 |
| 10 | Jake Bennett | BOS | v. BAL | L | x | x | x | 53.2 | 2.35 | 0.88 | 19% | 14% | 26% | 19 |
| 11 | Dean Kremer | BAL | at BOS | R | x | x | x | 26 | 4.15 | 1.12 | 28% | 21% | 22% | 27 |
| 12 | Christian Scott | NYM | at MIL | R | x | x | x | 59.2 | 2.87 | 1.22 | 28% | 18% | 21% | 5 |
| 13 | Bailey Ober | MIN | at CLE | R | x | x | 77 | 4.32 | 1.19 | 18% | 12% | 22% | 25 | |
| 14 | Max Fried | NYY | v. PIT | L | x | x | 61.2 | 3.21 | 1.01 | 21% | 13% | 26% | 10 | |
| 15 | Michael King | SDP | at ATL | R | x | x | 113.1 | 3.34 | 1.16 | 21% | 11% | 21% | 13 | |
| 16 | Peter Lambert | HOU | v. MIA | R | x | x | 92 | 3.03 | 1.11 | 24% | 15% | 21% | 22 | |
| 17 | Spencer Miles | TOR | v. TBR | R | x | x | 64 | 3.52 | 1.13 | 23% | 16% | 20% | 7 | |
| 18 | Gage Jump | ATH | at ARI | L | x | x | 52.1 | 3.78 | 1.32 | 25% | 18% | 17% | 5 | |
| 19 | Slade Cecconi | CLE | v. MIN | R | x | 99 | 4.55 | 1.41 | 18% | 11% | 22% | 6 | ||
| 20 | Keider Montero | DET | at CHC | R | x | 100.2 | 3.22 | 0.98 | 18% | 12% | 21% | 9 | ||
| 21 | Martín Pérez | ATL | v. SDP | L | x | 81.1 | 3.54 | 1.19 | 19% | 9% | 22% | 27 | ||
| 22 | Seth Lugo | KCR | v. SFG | R | x | 110.2 | 4.39 | 1.41 | 19% | 11% | 20% | 15 | ||
| 23 | Colin Rea | CHC | v. DET | R | x | 100.2 | 4.74 | 1.42 | 17% | 9% | 23% | 23 | ||
| 24 | Brady Singer | CIN | at SEA | R | x | 96.2 | 4.56 | 1.41 | 19% | 12% | 23% | 12 | ||
| 25 | Hunter Dobbins | STL | at LAA | R | x | 22.1 | 4.03 | 1.39 | 24% | 14% | 25% | 18 | ||
| 26 | Eric Lauer 라우어 | LAD | at PHI | L | x | 76.2 | 4.81 | 1.28 | 14% | 6% | 24% | 25 | ||
| 27 | Cade Cavalli | WSN | at COL | R | 104.2 | 3.78 | 1.31 | 26% | 19% | 22% | 4 | |||
| 28 | Bubba Chandler | PIT | at NYY | R | 94.1 | 4.77 | 1.45 | 20% | 7% | 23% | 3 | |||
| 29 | Cal Quantrill | TEX | v. CHW | R | 50.1 | 3.93 | 1.29 | 14% | 8% | 24% | 21 | |||
| 30 | Gabriel Hughes | COL | v. WSN | R | 14.1 | 3.14 | 1.12 | 25% | 16% | 21% | 17 | |||
| 31 | Anthony Kay | CHW | at TEX | L | 93.1 | 4.24 | 1.37 | 18% | 9% | 25% | 6 | |||
| 32 | Mitch Keller | PIT | at NYY | R | 103.1 | 5.14 | 1.33 | 17% | 9% | 23% | 3 | |||
| 33 | Aaron Nola | PHI | v. LAD | R | 103 | 5.68 | 1.45 | 24% | 16% | 21% | 1 | |||
| 34 | Merrill Kelly 켈리 | ARI | v. ATH | R | 98.2 | 5.20 | 1.49 | 14% | 5% | 21% | 8 |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
Intro
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and recently added opponent’s K% (also v. SP handedness), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
Color Coding:
- Green – Good Matchup (lower OPS output by SP opponent) – 21st to 30th
- Yellow – OK – 11th to 20th
- Red – Bad – 1st to 10th
Wind:
NYY – game 1: out to L center at 10, game 2: down to 9
Fenway – out to L center at 12, game 2: down to 9
Wrigley – in from center at 9, cooler too at 70* to start, 67* by game end. Bump to arms
Rain:
Coors – 25% to start, 56% by game’s end
ATL – 35-40% all day
Fenway – 26% game 1, down to 15% for game 2
Slight chances in NYY, PHI and CLE
Fun fact: the Pirates have a .324 team BABIP. The Rockies are next at .307. That .324 is the 7th highest in the last 20 years and the 4th highest non-Rockies number over that span.
How in the world is Cavalli so low?!
Coors!
And I know he handled a trip to ATH very well, but I’m not really excited to run him in Coors
Orrr he’ll cook!! I was scared off, but he and Hughes are dealing.