Starting Pitcher Chart – August 30th, 2022
by Paul Sporer
August 30, 2022
I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful so it’s time to bring back the Daily SP Chart!
The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues. These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
Let’s go secure some titles!
August 30th Starter Chart
| PITCHER | TM | OPP | THR | 10 | 12 | 15+ | L5 STATS | OPP wOBA L30 days | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane McClanahan | TBR | at MIA | L | x | x | x | 3.94 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 14% K-BB | .232 – 30th | Back on track after a couple hiccups |
| Aaron Nola | PHI | at ARI | R | x | x | x | 2.12 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 27% K-BB | .321 – 7th | Elite or meh: 5, 0, 5, 1, 1, 1, 5, 0 ER in L8 starts |
| Zac Gallen | ARI | PHI | R | x | x | x | 0.82 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 23% K-BB | .327 – 6th | Even better since the break: 0.80 ERA, 0.73 WHIP |
| Max Fried | ATL | COL | L | x | x | x | 2.12 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 20% K-BB | .322 – 11th | Coors inflates vL wOBA for COL |
| Kevin Gausman | TOR | CHC | R | x | x | x | 2.64 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 25% K-BB | .301 – 16th | Insane .373 BABIP holding him back from a Cy Young campaign |
| Jesús Luzardo | MIA | TBR | L | x | x | x | 2.67 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 18% K-BB | .297 – 20th | Excellent since returning from the IL & an easy start right now |
| George Kirby | SEA | at DET | R | x | x | x | 2.86 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 28% K-BB | .276 – 29th | Ugly .408 BABIP has stifled impact of elite 28% K-BB in L5 (30% K) |
| Brady Singer | KCR | at CWS | R | x | x | x | 1.83 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 20% K-BB | .309 – 12th | Best part of this summer breakout (2.40 ERA in L11) is <6 IP just 1x |
| Framber Valdez | HOU | at TEX | L | x | x | x | 2.36 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 15% K-BB | .360 – 5th | TEX recent success vL doesn’t scare me off Framberto |
| Matt Manning | DET | SEA | R | x | x | x | 2.40 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 15% K-BB | .283 – 25th | Slider growth driving this run: 26% SwStr, 40% Chase, 39% K |
| Andrew Heaney | LAD | at NYM | L | x | x | x | 3.22 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 31% K-BB | .281 – 24th | Only reached 5 IP once in L5 so not automatic if needing W/QS |
| Jameson Taillon | NYY | at LAA | R | x | x | x | 4.55 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 13% K-BB | .294 – 20th | 0 BB in his L3 starts (18 IP) |
| Blake Snell | SDP | at SFG | L | x | x | x | 3.81 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 31% K-BB | .319 – 15th | Had allowed 1 HR in 37.3 IP before 3 in 3.3 IP v. CLE |
| Logan Webb | SFG | SDP | R | x | x | x | 5.22 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 8% K-BB | .329 – 5th | Uncharacteristic 11% BB in L4, but I’m not sitting him |
| Lucas Giolito | CWS | KCR | R | x | x | x | 5.17 ERA, 1.64 WHIP, 12% K-BB | .289 – 21st | If you can’t start a 2-step that includes KC, it’s time to cut him |
| Cole Irvin | OAK | at WAS | L | x | x | 3.55 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 15% K-BB | .292 – 22nd | Heavy home (0.86 WHIP, 15% K-BB)/road (1.27, 10%) keeps him from a slam dunk start | |
| Cal Quantrill | CLE | BAL | R | x | x | 2.25 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, 15% K-BB | .317 – 8th | Keeps hitters off balance w/SI & CH, generating a lot of chases | |
| Spenser Watkins | BAL | at CLE | R | x | x | 3.81 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 13% K-BB | .286 – 24th | Has allowed >3 just 1x in L12 outings (58 IP) | |
| Marcus Stroman | CHC | at TOR | R | x | x | 4.34 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 11% K-BB | .297 – 17th | No standout fantasy category makes him a deeper lg tm streamer | |
| Dane Dunning | TEX | HOU | R | x | 3.49 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 11% K-BB | .301 – 15th | Helluva 2-step v. HOU & at BOS; only if I was in Hail Mary mode | ||
| Mike Mayers | LAA | NYY | R | x | 3.57 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 17% K-BB | .272 – 30th | Those stats are 4 extended outings incl. 1 start & a 96-pitch effort | ||
| Dakota Hudson | STL | at CIN | R | x | 4.74 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 4% K-BB | .289 – 22nd | Right tm for 53% GB%, but too many BB & no Ks yield volatility | ||
| Taijuan Walker | NYM | LAD | R | 6.86 ERA, 1.72 WHIP, 3% K-BB | .378 – 2nd | 1 IP/8 ER dud weighs #s down, but still avoiding LAD | |||
| Chris Archer | MIN | BOS | R | 5.24 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 20% K-BB | .312 – 11th | Sub-5 IP/start leaves little margin for error | |||
| Mitch Keller | PIT | at MIL | R | 4.30 ERA, 1.74 WHIP, 3% K-BB | .315 – 10th | Ups aren’t worth the pain of the downs | |||
| Kutter Crawford | BOS | at MIN | R | 7.46 ERA, 1.75 WHIP, 11% K-BB | .303 – 14th | Need to see something before trusting him again | |||
| Erick Fedde | WAS | OAK | R | 6.38 ERA, 1.71 WHIP, 3% K-BB | .278 – 28th | Even with the matchup, I just can’t do it | |||
| Justin Dunn | CIN | STL | R | 5.12 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 6% K-BB | .382 – 1st | Only 4 MLB starts this year | |||
| José Ureña | COL | at ATL | R | 7.88 ERA, 1.75 WHIP, -1% K-BB | .333 – 4th | MINUS 1 K-BB RATE! | |||
| Jason Alexander | MIL | PIT | R | 4.34 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, 1% K-BB | .280 – 26th | Not even v. PIT |
Re Fried: the Braves are at home.
Pardon me on that, the note was meant to imply that we shouldn’t care so much about COL’s high wOBA over the L30 bc it’s completely aided by Coors. My bad on that!