Starting Pitcher Chart – April 25th

Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports

In past seasons I’ve done this Daily SP Chart down the stretch and invariably there are comments asking why I don’t do it all season. I’ve never really had a great answer for that so now I’m doing it!

Once the season gets going, the chart will include their performance over the last five starts (for the first few weeks, it’ll be their 2023 stats), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. The opponent wOBA will remain blank for a while until we get some data and because there is so much lineup turnover year-to-year, I’m not going to include last year’s mark. I’ll start including wOBA data on April 17th.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Trying something new by splitting up the data a bit with the recos & comments in one chart and the recos and stats in another. Let me know if that’s preferable to putting it all in one. I decided this after writing it, but for the future this could give me a bit more space for deeper comments, too. At any rate, I’m open to any feedback even if it’s constructive criticism!

Tuesday, April 25th Starter Notes
PITCHER TM OPP THR 10 12 15+ NOTE
Drew Rasmussen TBR HOU R x x x All 5 of his ER came in a single start at TOR
Joe Ryan MIN NYY R x x x Everything is a bit better… except the HR rate. Well, I guess it’s better in that there are fewer base runners to score from them
Logan Gilbert SEA at PHI R x x x Big test for the 26-yr old stud
Justin Steele CHC SDP L x x x He’s a full all formats start for me right now
Nestor Cortes NYY at MIN L x x x An easy Auto Start right now
Kyle Bradish BAL BOS R x x x Great in his IL return; not an easy matchup, but I’m all in on him this yr
Mason Miller OAK at LAA R x x x Start 2 for the phenom, here’s hoping he can go 5 IP this time out
Griffin Canning LAA OAK R x x x Solid through 2 starts, OAK could be the remedy for his modest 20% K rate
Charlie Morton ATL MIA R x x x BB and hit spike have WHIP soaring & MIA can take advantage if he isn’t sharp, but I can’t pass up this start
José Berríos TOR CHW R x x 2 sharp outings v. TBR and at HOU + an overall strong K-BB give him some intrigue
Peyton Battenfield CLE COL R x x x That 18% SwStr has to start delivering some Ks soon… right?
Noah Syndergaard LAD at PIT R x x He’s just going to be a nerve-wracking start all yr, so get used to it!
Eric Lauer MIL DET L x x Pumpkining back into 2018-19 Lauer? He had a lot of usable starts as that iteration (73% were 3 ER or fewer)
Johan Oviedo PIT LAD R x x I’m… *gulp* …so excited to start him! Jokes aside, I am taking the shot here w/an SP I believe in who’s dealing
Brady Singer KCR at ARI R x x Looks a lot more like 2020-21 Singer right now with 5 pt drop in K-BB
Corey Kluber BOS at BAL R x This is dicey, but a trip to BAL is one of the few instances where I’d even consider him right now
Bailey Falter PHI SEA L x SEA hasn’t been tough, but a single digit K-BB rate leaves him susceptible to a blowup
José Butto NYM at WSN R x Only allowed 1 ER at OAK despite 9 base runners; another great matchup, but be careful
Ryne Nelson ARI KCR R x Just doesn’t have a consistent swing-and-miss pitch (9% SwStr in 40 MLB IP)
Mike Clevinger CHW at TOR R 2 gems and 2 duds… feeling lucky?
Luis Garcia HOU at TBR R Only studs v. TBR… sorry, Luis!
Josiah Gray WSN at NYM R Just 1 HR in his L3 starts incl. a trip to Coors, but you know Pete Alonso is going bridge tonight!
Luke Weaver CIN TEX R I’ll stay tuned to this start after 8 Ks in his season debut, but no universe where I’d start him
Martín Pérez TEX at CIN L CIN offense hasn’t gotten going, but this park scares me… just not worth the risk
Blake Snell SDP at CHC L Flashes are there, but his command and control have been inconsistent
Sean Manaea SFG STL L Not nearly trustworthy enough to take on the top offense vL
Spencer Turnbull DET at MIL R Too inconsistent to trust right now
Bryan Hoeing MIA at ATL R MLB season debut
Jake Woodford STL at SFG R I just don’t see any real upside
Ryan Feltner COL at CLE R I just don’t see any real upside
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

 

Tuesday, April 25th Starter Stats
PITCHER TM OPP THR 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB OPP L30 wOBA wOBA RK
Drew Rasmussen TBR HOU R x x x 22.1 2.01 0.94 22% 0.313 17th
Joe Ryan MIN NYY R x x x 25 3.24 0.76 26% 0.314 16th
Logan Gilbert SEA at PHI R x x x 22.2 3.57 1.01 27% 0.351 4th
Justin Steele CHC SDP L x x x 25 1.44 0.88 17% 0.307 17th
Nestor Cortes NYY at MIN L x x x 23.1 3.09 1.03 19% 0.283 26th
Kyle Bradish BAL BOS R x x x 7.2 0.00 1.04 19% 0.334 8th
Mason Miller OAK at LAA R x x x 4.1 4.15 1.15 22% 0.307 19th
Griffin Canning LAA OAK R x x x 10.1 3.48 1.16 12% 0.284 27th
Charlie Morton ATL MIA R x x x 22.1 3.22 1.61 7% 0.303 23rd
José Berríos TOR CHW R x x 21.2 6.23 1.20 19% 0.304 21st
Peyton Battenfield CLE COL R x x x 10.2 1.69 0.94 12% 0.303 22nd
Noah Syndergaard LAD at PIT R x x 22 4.91 1.23 16% 0.326 11th
Eric Lauer MIL DET L x x 23 4.30 1.26 12% 0.246 30th
Johan Oviedo PIT LAD R x x 24.1 2.22 1.15 17% 0.359 2nd
Brady Singer KCR at ARI R x x 21 8.14 1.52 14% 0.318 15th
Corey Kluber BOS at BAL R x 18 8.50 1.50 11% 0.324 13th
Bailey Falter PHI SEA L x 22 4.50 1.18 9% 0.278 27th
José Butto NYM at WSN R x 5 1.80 1.80 -9% 0.274 28th
Ryne Nelson ARI KCR R x 22 4.91 1.18 7% 0.254 30th
Mike Clevinger CHW at TOR R 19.1 3.26 1.50 5% 0.326 12th
Luis Garcia HOU at TBR R 21 5.14 1.38 18% 0.381 1st
Josiah Gray WSN at NYM R 21.2 3.74 1.48 7% 0.329 10th
Luke Weaver CIN TEX R 6 6.00 1.00 26% 0.354 3rd
Martín Pérez TEX at CIN L 21.1 3.38 1.55 13% 0.291 25th
Blake Snell SDP at CHC L 18 6.00 1.89 9% 0.353 6th
Sean Manaea SFG STL L 13 5.54 1.23 18% 0.398 1st
Spencer Turnbull DET at MIL R 18.1 7.85 1.69 5% 0.342 7th
Bryan Hoeing MIA at ATL R #N/A 0.322 14th
Jake Woodford STL at SFG R 19.1 6.05 1.71 7% 0.350 5th
Ryan Feltner COL at CLE R 19 6.16 1.68 8% 0.293 26th
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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richgatlinmember
11 months ago

I love that you are doing this through the season!