Starting Pitcher Chart – April 24th

Matt Blewett-USA TODAY Sports

In past seasons I’ve done this Daily SP Chart down the stretch and invariably there are comments asking why I don’t do it all season. I’ve never really had a great answer for that so now I’m doing it!

Once the season gets going, the chart will include their performance over the last five starts (for the first few weeks, it’ll be their 2023 stats), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. The opponent wOBA will remain blank for a while until we get some data and because there is so much lineup turnover year-to-year, I’m not going to include last year’s mark. I’ll start including wOBA data on April 17th.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Trying something new by splitting up the data a bit with the recos & comments in one chart and the recos and stats in another. Let me know if that’s preferable to putting it all in one. I decided this after writing it, but for the future this could give me a bit more space for deeper comments, too. At any rate, I’m open to any feedback even if it’s constructive criticism!

Pardon my Friday miss, btw. I was gone on a quick weekend trip that included some sizable flight delays due to inclement weather and they ate up the one window I had to get the piece down from the road. I started all the guys who dominated and sat all the dudes who got smoked. Source: just trust me, bro!

Monday, April 24th Starter Notes
RK PITCHER TM OPP THR 10 12 15+ NOTE
1 Spencer Strider ATL MIA R x x x A 13% BB is much more palatable when you have a 41% K rate and .158 AVG against
2 Sonny Gray MIN NYY R x x x I’d still start him if this was his only start of the wk… instead we get a KCR cherry on the wknd
3 Nathan Eovaldi TEX at CIN R x x x ERA will start sinking if these skills hold as the .422 BABIP levels out
4 Chris Sale BOS at BAL L x x x 1st gem of the yr has raised spirits
5 Jordan Montgomery STL at SFG L x x x 7 ER v. ARI is now 58% of his season total… duds happen
6 Chris Bassitt TOR CHW R x x x It’s now 3 straight QS, but the 9 ER opener will stink up the bottom line for a bit longer
7 Nick Lodolo CIN TEX L x x x Showed why it’s “Only studs v. TBR” w/12 H, 8 ER dud… back in the saddle w/a TEX/at OAK 2-step
8 Taj Bradley TBR HOU R x x x Always nice to get a gem out of the gate after spending big… this is a big test & I’m starting him
9 José Suarez LAA OAK L x x x My opinion hasn’t changed that much from drafts that I wouldn’t pick him up where available… I tried & came up short in my Main
10 Dean Kremer BAL BOS R x x Velo up nearly 2 mph & SwStr now up to 11%; in on 2-step to get at DET this wknd
11 Cal Quantrill CLE COL R x x Slated to go after leaving early from batted ball, thankfully 6 IP/0 ER in the bank already
12 Matthew Boyd DET at MIL L x x BB are becoming untenable so this at MIL/v. BAL is a big litmus test for me
13 Alex Cobb SFG STL R x x No guarantees that defense tangibly lowers his .407 BABIP unfortunately
14 Jhony Brito NYY at MIN R x Bounced back solidly from the dud but he’ll be working that off for some time
15 Lance Lynn CHW at TOR R x I have a general rule about cutting someone you won’t use in a 2-step, but I’m good sitting at TOR/v. TBR here
16 Colin Rea MIL DET R x Hideous 6% SwStr, but he’s been solid & gets a 2-step w/DET so I took the 15-tm shot
17 Brad Keller KCR at ARI R x I’d tolerate the BB if it brought more Ks and the WHIP will soar as the .245 BABIP rises
18 Edward Cabrera MIA at ATL R That 20% BB rate will come home to roost and obliterate that 4.08 ERA
19 Tommy Henry ARI KCR L Making his season debut, but even the good matchup isn’t enough to entice me
20 Ken Waldichuk OAK at LAA L He’ll have periods of streamer viability… we are not there currently
21 José Urquidy HOU at TBR R Only studs v. TBR… sorry, Jose!
22 Austin Gomber COL at CLE L Don’t get #Gombered
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

 

Monday, April 24th Starter Stats
RK PITCHER TM OPP THR 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB OPP L30 wOBA wOBA RK
1 Spencer Strider ATL MIA R x x x 22 2.45 1.05 28% 0.302 24th
2 Sonny Gray MIN NYY R x x x 22 0.82 1.18 19% 0.321 15th
3 Nathan Eovaldi TEX at CIN R x x x 21.2 5.40 1.48 22% 0.306 23rd
4 Chris Sale BOS at BAL L x x x 18 8.00 1.67 24% 0.358 6th
5 Jordan Montgomery STL at SFG L x x x 22.1 4.84 1.34 14% 0.271 27th
6 Chris Bassitt TOR CHW R x x x 21.2 5.40 1.34 9% 0.313 17th
7 Nick Lodolo CIN TEX L x x x 21.2 4.98 1.71 23% 0.282 25th
8 Taj Bradley TBR HOU R x x x 10.1 2.61 0.97 38% 0.312 19th
9 José Suarez LAA OAK L x x x 11.2 9.26 2.40 0% 0.316 15th
10 Dean Kremer BAL BOS R x x 19 6.16 1.37 10% 0.323 14th
11 Cal Quantrill CLE COL R x x 21.2 4.15 1.43 7% 0.307 20th
12 Matthew Boyd DET at MIL L x x 14 4.50 1.50 3% 0.269 29th
13 Alex Cobb SFG STL R x x 19.1 2.79 1.50 22% 0.325 13th
14 Jhony Brito NYY at MIN R x 15 5.40 1.40 6% 0.306 22nd
15 Lance Lynn CHW at TOR R x 7.59 1.83 18% 0.329 10th
16 Colin Rea MIL DET R x 10.2 4.22 0.94 12% 0.272 29th
17 Brad Keller KCR at ARI R x 21 3.00 1.29 6% 0.317 16th
18 Edward Cabrera MIA at ATL R 17.2 4.08 1.75 2% 0.328 11th
19 Tommy Henry ARI KCR L #N/A 0.294 22nd
20 Ken Waldichuk OAK at LAA L 20 7.65 1.85 6% 0.361 5th
21 José Urquidy HOU at TBR R 19.2 3.66 1.53 12% 0.382 1st
22 Austin Gomber COL at CLE L 16.1 12.12 2.14 4% 0.284 24th
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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robertcfoxmember
1 year ago

Hi Paul, thanks for doing this column. The new format makes it easier to read on a phone so I appreciate it 👍