Starting Pitcher Chart – April 22nd, 2024
Daily SP Chart archive
Talked a bit in my chat about doing a full week ranking at some point and while I wasn’t able to do that this weekend, I do have a new feature: a 2-start ranking board!
Monday Morning Update:
- Added Grayson Rodriguez because he is probably getting Baltimore’s 2-step instead of Albert Suarez.
- Added Michael King, didn’t see that he and Cease were both getting 2-steps this wk
| RANK | TYPE | PITCHER | MATCHUPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tarik Skubal | at TBR/at KCR |
| 2 | 1 | Jared Jones | MIL/at SFG |
| 3 | 1 | Dylan Cease | at COL/PHI |
| 4 | 1 | Logan Gilbert | at TEX/ARI |
| 5 | 1 | Grayson Rodriguez | at LAA/OAK |
| 6 | 1 | Tanner Houck | at CLE/CHC |
| 7 | 1 | Hunter Greene | PHI/at TEX |
| 8 | 1 | Carlos Rodón | OAK/at MIL |
| 9 | 2 | Reid Detmers | BAL/MIN |
| 10 | 2 | Zack Littell | DET/at CWS |
| 11 | 2 | James Paxton | at WSN/at TOR |
| 12 | 2 | Michael King | at COL/PHI |
| 13 | 2 | Cristopher Sánchez | at CIN/at SDP |
| 14 | 2 | Ranger Suárez | at CIN/at SDP |
| 15 | 2 | Marcus Stroman | OAK/at MIL |
| 16 | 2 | Yusei Kikuchi | at KCR/LAD |
| 17 | 3 | Brady Singer | TOR/at DET |
| 18 | 3 | Michael Wacha | TOR/at DET |
| 19 | 3 | Dane Dunning | SEA/CIN |
| 20 | 3 | Brandon Pfaadt | at STL/at SEA |
| 21 | 3 | Andrew Abbott | PHI/at TEX |
| 22 | 4 | Bryce Elder | MIA, CLE |
| 23 | 4 | Albert Suarez maybe? | at LAA/OAK |
| 24 | 4 | Lance Lynn | ARI/at NYM |
| 25 | 4 | Keaton Winn | NYM/PIT |
| 26 | 4 | Jose Quintana | at SFG/STL |
| 27 | 4 | Jordan Wicks | HOU/at BOS |
| 28 | 4 | Wade Miley | at PIT/NYY |
| 29 | 4 | Chris Paddack | CWS/at LAA |
| 30 | 4 | Jonathan Cannon | at MIN/TBR |
| 31 | 5 | Ben Lively 라이블리 | BOS/at ATL |
| 32 | 5 | Joe Ross | at PIT/NYY |
| 33 | 5 | Paul Blackburn | at NYY/at BAL |
| 34 | 5 | Taijuan Walker | perhaps at CIN/at SDP |
| 35 | 6 | Bailey Falter | MIL/at SFG |
| 36 | 6 | JP Sears | at NYY/at BAL |
| 37 | 6 | Patrick Corbin | LAD/at MIA |
1 – Auto-Start | 2- All Formats | 3 – Most Formats |
4 – Some Formats | 5 – YOLO | 6 – Hard Pass
And now, Monday’s board:
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarik Skubal | DET at TBR | x | x | x | 23 | 2.28 | 0.80 | 23% | 17th | |
| 2 | Jared Jones | PIT v MIL | x | x | x | 23 | 3.13 | 0.78 | 34% | 2nd | |
| 3 | Reynaldo López | ATL v MIA | x | x | x | 18 | 0.50 | 0.94 | 18% | 22nd | |
| 4 | Carlos Rodón | NYY v OAK | x | x | x | 19 | 3.66 | 1.68 | 8% | 24th | At least he’s giving you a decent ERA (3.66)… whattya gonna do, sit him v. OAK? |
| 5 | Hunter Greene | CIN v PHI | x | x | x | 20 | 4.35 | 1.31 | 23% | 26th | |
| 6 | Zack Littell | TBR v DET | x | x | x | 21 | 2.14 | 1.33 | 19% | 27th | |
| 7 | Ranger Suárez | PHI at CIN | x | x | x | 26 | 1.73 | 0.77 | 24% | 9th | |
| 8 | Chris Paddack | MIN v CHW | x | x | x | 14 | 8.36 | 2.07 | 6% | 30th | |
| 9 | Yusei Kikuchi | TOR at KCR | x | x | x | 21 | 2.08 | 1.15 | 24% | 18th | Gotta start him everywhere while he’s rolling, especially w/the modest 0.4 HR9 |
| 10 | Dylan Cease | SDP at COL | x | x | x | 22 | 1.99 | 0.93 | 18% | 10th | I’ll never blame anyone for fading Coors, I still run top end talent there & Cease’s stuff can survive there |
| 11 | Reid Detmers | LAA v BAL | x | x | 22 | 1.19 | 0.97 | 27% | 19th | Love Detmers, but BAL does scare me so I don’t mind some sits, especially in daily moves leagues | |
| 12 | Albert Suárez 수아레즈 | BAL at LAA | x | x | 5 | 0.00 | 0.53 | 19% | 14th | Jumped on the radar in Spring Training in return from KBO, sharp debut & coooould get a 2-step, but the off-day makes GrayRod going Tue/Sun more doable so don’t bet on it | |
| 13 | Brady Singer | KCR v TOR | x | x | 23 | 1.54 | 0.86 | 18% | 20th | ||
| 14 | Brandon Pfaadt | ARI at STL | x | x | 23 | 5.32 | 1.23 | 20% | 24th | This is the kind of volatility that HR-happy pitchers bring | |
| 15 | Lance Lynn | STL v ARI | x | x | 20 | 2.18 | 1.21 | 14% | 16th | Speaking of HR-based volatility… | |
| 16 | Keaton Winn | SFG v NYM | x | x | 22 | 4.09 | 1.09 | 10% | 18th | Logged at least 5 IP in each of his 4 starts | |
| 17 | Jose Quintana | NYM at SFG | x | x | 20 | 3.05 | 1.50 | 5% | 14th | Hasn’t allowed more than 3 ER in any start, need that 6% K-BB to start pushing up | |
| 18 | Ryan Weathers | MIA at ATL | x | 20 | 2.70 | 1.35 | 15% | 8th | Coming off the 10-K gem, I could see taking the swing here w/WSH this wknd | ||
| 19 | Jonathan Cannon | CHW at MIN | x | 5 | 1.80 | 0.80 | 11% | 29th | Miiight take a deep-league shot on the 2-step (v. TB this wknd) in deep lgs | ||
| 20 | Joe Ross | MIL at PIT | x | 14 | 4.91 | 1.64 | 9% | 13th | |||
| 21 | JP Sears | OAK at NYY | 20 | 4.35 | 1.16 | 0% | 11th | ||||
| 22 | Austin Gomber | COL v SDP | 20 | 4.95 | 1.50 | 11% | 10th |
The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them (notes will be more statistical-based once we get some sample to work with). Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
Jon Gray vs SEA, CIN ?
Love the 2 start ranks though! Thanks, Paul!
I think Dunning got Texas’s 2-start instead