Starting Pitcher Chart – April 14th, 2026

- Daily SP Chart archive
- 2-Start podcast episode
- Preseason SP Rankings (update coming soon!)
Welcome to the Daily SP Chart.
Note: 2026 data is now featured in the chart as of April 13th! We’re still dealing with small samples, but I’ve taken out the 2025 data and you will now see the pitcher’s current numbers and the wOBA rank for their opponent this year so far!
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations, you don’t really need a shiny stat to be convinced on starting guys like that. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment and I’ll get you an answer when I can. I try to do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
| Rk | PITCHER | Tm | Opp | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | opp wOBA RK | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | v. NYM | x | x | x | 18 | 2.50 | 0.89 | 18% | 26 | Modest 21% K rate hasn’t stopped him from posting dominant results |
| 2 | Bryan Woo | SEA | at SDP | x | x | x | 18 | 1.50 | 0.78 | 19% | 13 | |
| 3 | Framber Valdez | DET | v. KCR | x | x | x | 17 | 4.76 | 1.47 | 9% | 22 | |
| 4 | Jacob Misiorowski | MIL | v. TOR | x | x | x | 16.1 | 3.31 | 1.04 | 28% | 22 | |
| 5 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | at MIL | x | x | x | 17.1 | 2.08 | 0.63 | 38% | 5 | 2nd big test in a row after LAD last wk, but few SPs have pitched better than him this yr |
| 6 | MacKenzie Gore | TEX | at ATH | x | x | x | 16.1 | 2.76 | 0.86 | 32% | 26 | Early returns are excellent and enough to give me confidence in him at Sacramento |
| 7 | Cole Ragans | KCR | at DET | x | x | x | 10.2 | 5.91 | 1.69 | 20% | 19 | Not worried long-term but a little nervous for this one after a comebacker blasted his thumb last time out |
| 8 | Nolan McLean | NYM | at LAD | x | x | x | 16.2 | 2.70 | 0.84 | 22% | 1 | The toughest matchup you can get, but I’ll take his skills over better matchups for the rest of the 3-x guys |
| 9 | Robbie Ray | SFG | at CIN | x | x | x | 17.1 | 2.08 | 0.98 | 17% | 18 | Near-2.00 ERA is powered by a 92% LOB and .209 BABIP, but his skills can absorb regression w/mid-to-high 3.00s ERA indicators |
| 10 | Trevor Rogers | BAL | v. ARI | x | x | x | 19 | 1.89 | 1.05 | 12% | 12 | HR suppression drove return to prominence last yr and 0 so far this yr is helping survive a modest 12% K-BB |
| 11 | Aaron Nola | PHI | v. CHC | x | x | x | 17.1 | 3.63 | 1.10 | 21% | 19 | I want to believe in his every-other-yr-is-good pattern, but the bill has to come due on that 1.6 HR9; check the Philly wind before this one |
| 12 | Ryan Weathers | NYY | v. LAA | x | x | x | 16 | 2.81 | 1.38 | 19% | 7 | In a sea of small sample, vL ones stand out w/only 1 tm north of 200 PA & 3 under 100; as such I can’t put a ton of stock in LAA’s 16% BB over 113 |
| 13 | Michael King | SDP | v. SEA | x | x | 16.2 | 3.24 | 1.20 | 10% | 16 | Monitoring the elevated BB% as his 82 Pitching+ is dead ass last among 78 qualified starters | |
| 14 | Sonny Gray | BOS | at MIN | x | x | 16.1 | 2.76 | 0.98 | 11% | 17 | Ratio success keeping concerns at bay, but he didn’t have any 3-start run w/a 15% K last yr (7% SwStr, too) | |
| 15 | Joey Cantillo | CLE | at STL | x | x | 14.2 | 2.45 | 1.23 | 22% | 8 | Don’t really buy STL as a top 10 offense vL but Cantillo’s 12% BB is enough to keep him from must-start in shallow formats | |
| 16 | Brady Singer | CIN | v. SFG | x | x | 11.2 | 7.71 | 2.06 | 17% | 29 | Not gonna sit here & tell y’all it’s been good… damage is mostly last start at MIA, though, so we can reassess after the 2-step | |
| 17 | Mick Abel | MIN | v. BOS | x | x | 13.1 | 6.08 | 2.10 | 4% | 24 | Get back start against DET still had 3 BB amidst 6 scoreless IP; now has 3+ BB in all 3 starts | |
| 18 | Jeffrey Springs | ATH | v. TEX | x | x | 18.1 | 1.47 | 0.76 | 13% | 27 | Has mowed thru at TOR, v. HOU, at NYY so even understanding the Sacramento stadium risk, I’m willing to take the shot in a lot of spots | |
| 19 | Shane McClanahan | TBR | at CHW | x | x | 8.2 | 4.15 | 1.15 | 6% | 20 | Too many BB has led to his exit before 5 IP in both starts so I’m really only looking at him in weeklies for the 2-step right now | |
| 20 | Max Meyer | MIA | at ATL | x | x | 14.2 | 3.68 | 1.36 | 10% | 3 | Another intriguing young Florida-based SP with too many BB so far; unlike Sugar Shane, he draws a pretty tough opponent | |
| 21 | Reynaldo López | ATL | v. MIA | x | x | 15.2 | 1.15 | 0.96 | 13% | 4 | Cool suspension, MLB, you really showed him w/0 missed starts… fantastic deterrent! | |
| 22 | Reid Detmers | LAA | at NYY | x | x | 15.2 | 4.60 | 1.28 | 16% | 30 | I know NYY is 30th in wOBA vL, but I’m only starting this in weeklies to get the 2-step (SDP on the wknd) | |
| 23 | Noah Schultz | CHW | v. TBR | x | x | 15 | MLB debut for #36 prospect after a tiny-but-beauitful sample in AAA (40% K, 36% K-BB, 0.43 WHIP in 14 IP) | |||||
| 24 | Merrill Kelly 켈리 | ARI | at BAL | x | x | 12 | Debut off the IL; def worth a pickup, but I don’t mind passing on this one if you wanna see something first | |||||
| 25 | Mitch Keller | PIT | v. WSN | x | x | 18 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 9% | 11 | 6 IP in all 3 starts…no more than 4 Ks in any of ’em, though | |
| 26 | Michael McGreevy | STL | v. CLE | 16.2 | 2.16 | 0.78 | 13% | 18 | ||||
| 27 | Michael Lorenzen | COL | at HOU | 14 | 8.36 | 2.14 | 8% | 2 | ||||
| 28 | Miles Mikolas | WSN | at PIT | 12.1 | 12.41 | 2.35 | 6% | 8 | ||||
| 29 | Colton Gordon | HOU | v. COL | 25 | ||||||||
| 30 | Colin Rea | CHC | at PHI | x | x | 11.1 | 3.18 | 1.15 | 15% | 29 | Originally had their opener listed as I didn’t see Rea was following, I actually like him in that spot as long as Riley Martin doesn’t saddle him with a deficit off rip. |
For the Aaron Nola commentary note, the game is in Philly rather than Chicago.
Little known fact; The Wrigley Wind has a karmic effect on the Cubs, even when they are playing away. I am impressed that Paul knew that. 🙂
That’s the second-level knowledge you read for!
We really dont like Keller against a mid Nats team? Im surprised! i figured he’d be well above Reid and Reynaldo (i’m deciding on using one of them, lol)
Good matchup but I just find Keller so bland. He has amazing ratios thus far, but with TERRIBLE skills
Wind 10+:
PIT – across from R to L a 10
CIN – in from R at 11
DET – in from R at 10
NYY – out to L center at 10
CHW – in from R at 13
STL – out to L at 13
Some of that rain I mentioned yesterday is popping up – nothing too serious outside CHW:
BAL – 26%
PHI – 32%
PIT – 25% – but that’s in-game. Higher than that both before and after
CIN – 20%
DET – 25%
CHW – 50%
What is the deal with McGreevy? You didn’t mention him on the pod at all. We have 3 rate stats and QS in my 14-team H2H league, so I wonder if he is worth the pick up or just go with Lopez
I’d have said go Lopez had I seen this earlier and it seems like a draw as ReyLo’s extra Ks covers the extra ER he allowed v. McGreevy. I should make a little list of guys who ppl wanna hear us discuss and make that a pod. It’s so hard to do overarching topics early in season w/these tiny samples. But I like investigating individual players to see how the skills are evolving, with all the necessary small sample size caveats in place.
The gaudy sub-3.00 ERA can be such a siren song on the waiver wire but if it’s attached to poor skills, chances are you’ll eat all downside. McGreevy’s been painting with a 114 Location+ (t-6th highest) so it’s not all just “luck”, but he is undoubtedly running hot at a level that he (nor anyone else) can sustain with a .188 BABIP. But he in particular can’t because he doesn’t dominate hitters in any way. His Stuff+ is 76 (dead ass last by 6 pts)! You can have nice runs by keeping hitters off balance and being tough to square but when the ball is in play this much, it will eventually yield damage. Some outliers can go on extended runs, but a sub-20% K rate and 5% SwStr brings a hammer eventually.
Where can we start compiling that list?
Keller being that disrespected when Aaron Nola showed out once this year, Valdez 10 8 ER last game? And man any Mets pitcher vs the dodgers besides back when we had Degrom is a bad pick. Keller being so consistent that it’s a bad thing is a bad take
Can’t just react sharply to each game. Framber had 1 bad inning at MIN. And yes, he needs to start missing some bats or he’ll be susceptible to another nickel & dime inning like that when the ball is in play that much. But even in a 1:1 comparison w/Keller, he at least has his elite GB rate to fall back on. Keller has similarly weak skills this year (9% K-BB) with a middling GB rate. It wasn’t a lock that WAS would rock him, but nothing about his first three starts has changed my outlook on him. He was picked around 350th and he’s still very much that guy.
All 3 of Nola’s starts prior to today were good. He’s more than 2x Keller’s K-BB. He was the clear pick over Keller even w/the caution I expressed about his HR rate. He survived.
If you’re paying a top 75 pick for Nolan McLean, which was his Main Event ADP, you’re not sitting him anywhere. Yeah, it’s tough in LA and never what you want, but if you believed that he was a top 20 SP (not you specifically, but the drafters of him) at the draft table, he plays everywhere. It’s too cute to try and perfectly time a supposed elite talent’s bad starts. He was an auto start everywhere.
If you’re consistently average, it’s still average. The 6 IP are good, never more than 4 Ks is bad. It’s average.
Also don’t understand Lopez, especially going at a Marlins team. List is wacky
I don’t understand the critique here. Are you saying he should’ve been 3-x? 1-x?