Shortstop ADP Market Report: 2/23/21

With drafts beginning to ramp up, it is important to monitor where players are being draft on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day. You can find all the pieces in this series here.

Top 100 Players Rising

None

 

Top 100 Players Falling

None

 

Top 200 Players Rising

Marcus Semien (+20.59)- Semien is clearly moving up in drafts after signing in Toronto. He had a down season in 2020, but I think he would have been better in a full season. He is a season removed from a 33/10 with .285 average and will be batting second in a better park with a stacked lineup. 

Andres Gimenez (+29.9)- Gimenez’s value has been on the rise since being traded to Cleveland, but there has been a lot of talk that he could start the year in the Minors. I don’t buy that personally. I love Gimenez’s ability to be a 10/25 kind of player with eligibility at three different positions. If he drops in a draft, I will be there to grab him and while his ADP has risen over the last month, it has dropped over the last two weeks. 

 

Top 200 Players Falling

Jonathan Villar (-23.31)- See the article in this series on second basemen. 

Ha-Seong Kim (-28.67)- Kim a month after a huge jump in ADP which was directly tied to his signing in San Diego, the resigning of Jurickson Profar has his price tumbling. He has shown power and speed in the KBO, hitting 30 home runs and stealing 23 bases, with a .306/.397/523 triple slash in 138 games in 2020. I feel pretty confident that the speed and hit tool will carry over after watching him during the MLB shut down last spring. However, I do have some concerns that the power won’t translate as well and it now seems like he doesn’t have a full path to playing time. The upside is huge, but there is risk considering how stacked this Padres team has become. 

 

Top 300 Players Rising

Amed Rosario (+94.41)- Rosario’s huge rise in ADP has everything to do with his trade out of New York and hopefully a larger role in Cleveland. Right now he is projected to be on the short side of the platoon, but if the Indians do send down Gimenez or trade Rosario again as has been rumored, he could have a huge rebound season. He is only a year removed from being a a 15/19 season and reportedly retooled his swing early in the offseason. He is a worthy gamble, especially as a Giminez handcuff. 

 

Top 300 Players Falling

Jake Cronenworth (-55.22)- See the article in this series on second basemen. 

Willi Castro (-22.33)- The market on Castro is beginning to crash after emerging as a popular sleeper among fantasy players early in draft season. He had a surprising power burst in 2020 considering that he was expected to be more of a hit tool and speed kind of asset. I am not sold on the power considering his StatCast data and now the talk of a deadened ball could hurt guys like him. The speed is definitely there and I buy into the hit tool, but I do worry that the speed won’t translate into a ton of stolen bases at the Major League level. The Tigers were tied with the fifth fewest stolen bases in the Majors and new manager A.J. Hinch did not have his guys steal much in Houston when he was manager there. Add in the fact he is likely hitting at the bottom of the lineup is just another reason to fade him. 

 

Shortstop ADP Market Report: 2/23/21
1/20/21-2/23/21 Player Team Position(s) 10/1/20-10/31/20 11/1/20-11/30/20 12/1/20-1/19/21 Change
2.41 Fernando Tatis Jr. SD SS 3.5 3.26 2.7 0.29
7.31 Trea Turner WAS SS 6.5 7.07 7.05 -0.26
12.09 Trevor Story COL SS 10.75 11.56 11.62 -0.47
17.69 Francisco Lindor CLE SS 15.25 17.04 16.45 -1.24
20.47 Adalberto Mondesi KC SS 31 28.59 22.68 2.21
24.52 Bo Bichette TOR SS 18.75 19.15 23.02 -1.5
34.26 Xander Bogaerts BOS SS 35 36.67 35.37 1.11
37.38 Corey Seager LAD SS 32.25 28.59 35.05 -2.33
40.43 Tim Anderson CWS SS 42.75 38.33 40.67 0.24
68.43 Gleyber Torres NYY SS 68.25 66.33 69.17 0.74
68.78 Javier Baez CHC SS 74.75 73.19 71.96 3.18
100.24 Dansby Swanson ATL SS 116.25 103.07 103.27 3.03
126.12 Tommy Edman STL 2B, 3B, SS, OF 133.75 145.04 127.66 1.54
126.21 Carlos Correa HOU SS 131.25 128.56 126.88 0.67
126.86 Marcus Semien OAK SS 139.75 142.3 147.45 20.59
158.45 Andres Gimenez NYM 2B, 3B, SS 223.75 214.78 188.35 29.9
164.72 Didi Gregorius PHI SS 161.5 154.78 167.41 2.69
164.79 Jonathan Villar TOR 2B, SS 119.25 130.52 141.48 -23.31
194.29 Ha-Seong Kim FA SS 271.25 211.3 165.62 -28.67
208.4 Paul DeJong STL SS 233.25 216.7 222.17 13.77
210 Jake Cronenworth SD 1B, 2B, SS 160.75 157.81 154.78 -55.22
217.69 Jorge Polanco MIN SS 206 195.63 209.87 -7.82
222.78 Chris Taylor LAD 2B, SS, OF 250 232 217.78 -5
230.38 David Fletcher LAA 2B, 3B, SS 221.25 219.74 217.76 -12.62
237.59 Amed Rosario NYM SS 350.75 358.78 332 94.41
253.29 Willi Castro DET 3B, SS 239 245.33 230.96 -22.33
274.88 Mauricio Dubon SF 2B, SS, OF 347.5 311.37 282.57 7.69
296.36 Isiah Kiner-Falefa TEX 3B, SS 378.25 314.78 290.32 -6.04
314.47 Joey Wendle TB 2B, 3B, SS 323.75 309.78 303.01 -11.46
315.21 Wander Franco TB SS 200.25 231.11 295.18 -20.03
327.64 Willy Adames TB SS 286.25 286.96 314.38 -13.26
349.03 Nick Ahmed ARZ SS 353.25 386.3 378.1 29.07
368.91 Miguel Rojas MIA SS 378.75 390 375.1 6.19
374.78 Niko Goodrum DET 2B, SS 430.5 434.22 398.28 23.5
376.12 Elvis Andrus TEX SS 337 360.67 447.12 71
376.34 J.P. Crawford SEA SS 426 422.26 415.1 38.76
386.33 Andrelton Simmons LAA SS 472 466.81 467.1 80.77
388.36 Luis Urias MLW 2B, 3B, SS 394 401.96 395.85 7.49
407.78 Jose Iglesias LAA SS 379 393.11 392.56 -15.22
411.22 Nico Hoerner CHC 2B, SS 500 461.96 425.57 14.35
421.48 Freddy Galvis CIN 2B, SS 580 583.7 599.89 178.41
438.12 Orlando Arcia MLW SS 505.25 513.93 502.99 64.87
448.81 Jazz Chisholm MIA 2B, SS 404 419.7 439.48 -9.33
453.93 Kevin Newman PIT 2B, SS 503.5 505.33 521.21 67.28
491.33 Brandon Crawford SF SS 582 515.56 532.32 40.99
500.09 Pat Valaika BAL 1B, 2B, SS 575 550.33 508.82 8.73
521 Jeter Downs BOS SS 529.25 510.41 502.29 -18.71
539.91 Anderson Tejeda TEX SS 503.25 493.74 525.7 -14.21
548.76 Erik Gonzalez PIT 3B, SS 697.5 636.3 596.54 47.78
589.81 Leury Garcia CWS SS 639.5 628.96 664.61 74.8
602.02 Jose Garcia CIN SS 542.75 560.19 623.98 21.96
630.62 Royce Lewis MIN SS 586.25 605.33 627.41 -3.21
666.1 Tyler Wade NYY 2B, SS 723.25 681.19 701.07 34.97
685.9 Kyle Farmer CIN 2B, SS NA 748.78 745.27 59.37
718.26 Oneil Cruz PIT SS 742.5 735.74 735.24 16.98
721.09 Bobby Witt Jr. KC SS 730 664.41 728.13 7.04
731.69 Joe Panik TOR 2B, 3B, SS 720.25 734.3 742.28 10.59
734.16 Taylor Walls TB SS NA NA NA NA
734.66 Richie Martin BAL SS NA NA 739.68 5.02
738.55 Tyler Freeman CLE SS 669.75 704 706.49 -32.06
739.16 Eric Sogard MLW 2B, 3B, SS 735.5 749.3 741.23 2.07
740.09 Ramon Urias BAL SS NA 747.3 730.13 -9.96
746.95 Austin Martin TOR SS 686.5 725.44 737.9 -9.05
747.48 Marco Luciano SF SS NA 745.93 748.98 1.5
748.09 Andrew Velazquez BAL SS, OF NA NA NA NA
748.45 Owen Miller CLE SS 695.5 724.63 728.39 -20.06
748.71 CJ Abrams SD SS 735.25 744.93 750.62 1.91
749.6 Ehire Adrianza MIN 3B, SS NA 750.59 745.21 -4.39
750.6 Ryan Vilade COL SS NA NA 749.51 -1.09
750.72 Santiago Espinal TOR SS NA NA 749.37 -1.35
750.86 Nick Gordon MIN SS NA 747.15 748.39 -2.47
NA Yu Chang CLE SS NA 750.37 740.16 NA
SOURCE: https://nfc.shgn.com/adp/baseball
ADP is from NFBC Draft Champions leagues from 1/20/21-2/23/21





Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as random topics that float into his juvenile brain. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational, and a fantasy football and baseball writer for Fantasy Alarm. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.

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Kevbot034
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Kevbot034

I’m fading Willi Castro too, but if he falls that far, I’ll take a gamble. Speed is rare and that late he won’t hurt you, but could really help.