Second Base ADP Market Report: 2/21/21

With drafts beginning to ramp up, it is important to monitor where players are being draft on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day. You can find all the pieces in this series here.

Top 100 Players Rising

Jose Altuve (+8.15)- Altuve is rising back up the ADP as a bit of a correction after dropping in the last two editions of this series. Altuve had an atrocious regular season, but was fantastic in the playoffs which helps us overlook the struggles in the shortened season. The problem is he’s just not running anymore. He was 2-for-5 on the base paths in 2020 and 6-for-11 in 2019. I think he gets back to 20-25 home runs in 2021, but I don’t know that we see double digit steals, which limits his upside. 

Top 100 Players Falling

Cavan Biggio (-7.59)- Biggio is falling in part due to the concerns of where he will be hitting in the lineup. The signing of Semien means he will likely be hitting sixth instead of second. That being said, the Blue Jays are very right handed and he could find himself higher up against a fair amount of righties if the team wants to have a more balanced top of the order. 

Top 200 Players Rising

Nick Madrigal (+12.51)- Madrigal is beginning to rise up the draft board as fantasy managers look for cheaper speed than what is available earlier in the draft. Madrigal can definitely hit for average as his 29 game sample and his minor league track record shows, but he has no power whatsoever. I have some concerns about his speed potential as well. He is projected to hit at the bottom of the lineup in Chicago and the White Sox are not a team that is overly aggressive on the base paths. The White Sox only stole 20 bases as a team and almost half of them were by one player. I am fading Madrigal this year especially with some really interesting players going after him. 

Jean Segura (+18.23)- Segura is a bit of a surprising riser in the ADP, but I am kind of here for it. He is eligible at both second and third which is nice that he can fill both MI and CI. He is an above average contributor in all the categories, though I do have some concern he could be hurt by a deadened ball. That being said, he is an affordable 15/15 candidate that will not hurt you average and is still very affordable. 

Top 200 Players Falling

Dylan Moore (-17.43)- Moore has one of the widest splits between his minimum and maximum picks in the ADP and it reflects his wide range of outcomes. There are some that believe in the 38 game sample where he hit .255 with eight bombs and 12 stolen bases. Others see that if he struggles, he could end up back in a platoon where he would be the short side. I have drafted Moore a few times, but only when his price is right. 

Jonathan Villar (-20.08)- Speaking of a wide split and range of outcomes, Villar has a wider split in both then Moore. He has been a top 30 player in his career and one that burned fantasy owners. He currently looks like he is going to be a super utility player for the Mets, but he is an addition of the DH or an injury away from some regular playing time. The way I feel about Villar is very similarly about Moore. I don’t mind drafting him, but the price has to be right. 

Top 300 Players Rising

Ryan McMahon (+22.95)- See the article in this series on first basemen

Garrett Hampson (+14.72)- It is a little bit surprising to see Hampson to rise up the ADP considering it appears he is likely on the short side of the platoon right now. Ian Desmond opting out is good for him, but he still needs an injury or the DH to find regular playing time. However, we have seen him catch fire in short stretches and I do believe in his ability to be an impact player if he gets a full run. I am ready to be hurt again. 

Kolten Wong (+62.38)- Wong is an example of the reason I love to do early drafts. He was going outside of the top 300 and now that he has signed, his price is skyrocketing. Wong could not have ended up in a better place either. Milwaukee is not only a better place to hit, but he is projected to lead off for the Brewers and while they did not run much in 2020, they were seventh in stolen bases in 2020. 

Top 300 Players Falling

Jake Cronenworth (-52.72)- Cronenworth is falling due to playing time concerns in San Diego after the Padres very active off season. Cronenworth was very good in 2020, but he doesn’t have a carrying tool in fantasy that can overcome a lack of consistent playing time. He would be an injury away from full time playing time and his multi-positional eligibility makes him worth the gamble if he falls in your drafts. 

Jurickson Profar (-40.25)- Profar resigning in San Diego was disappointing for a lot of different players. Right now Roster Resource projects him to be a bench bat, but I have a hard time believing that considering they paid him. He had a very nice season in 2020, but he also had a full time role then as well. He needs the DH or an injury to find full time playing time, but I think he isn’t a bad gamble considering how late he is going in some drafts.