RotoGraphs June Consensus Ranks: First Base
Okay, maybe I was wrong about the catchers (You can follow along using the rankings links on the right hand navigation bar). The top group definitely wasn’t performing well. I just never shop there, so maybe it was a blind spot.
But I do shop among the top first basemen. No shares of Miguel Cabrera — no number one picks, and no willingness to spend that much — and just a couple shares of Paul Goldschmidt, Edwin Encarnacion, Jose Abreu and the like. Hey! Those guys are doing fine!
Not everyone is doing fine, of course. Chris Davis always struck out a ton, but it was injury that felled him. Eric Hosmer always hit too many balls on the ground, but it was this aging curve that probably should cause the most consternation. We were supposed to be worried about Matt Adams‘ strikeout rate and the fact that he was being shifted, and then he totally changed his approach and lost all the power but gained batting average.
A few nice surprises have probably covered you at the position, even if you happened to pick a loser. Victor Martinez has shown great power for a man his age with his history. Brandon Moss has upped his contact rate and is playing every day. Justin Morneau is healthy!
Again, this is for 5×5 roto, and though Jeff Zimmerman mostly uses the rest of season projections, it’s not just a computer ranking. We’ve left off the color coding in favor of a simple up or down arrow — those arrows are only next to big movers. The table is designed to be sortable in case you prefer one of the rankings.
| RG | Player | Jeff | Zach | Mike | Eno |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miguel Cabrera | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Paul Goldschmidt | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| 3 | Edwin Encarnacion | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
4![]() |
Jose Abreu | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 5 | Freddie Freeman | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
6![]() |
Chris Davis | 6 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Albert Pujols | 7 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 8 | Adrian Gonzalez | 9 | 10 | 7 | 9 |
| 9 | Anthony Rizzo | 8 | 12 | 10 | 7 |
10![]() |
Joey Votto | 10 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
11![]() |
Victor Martinez | 11 | 5 | 19 | 11 |
12![]() |
Brandon Moss | 14 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
| 13 | Michael Cuddyer | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | Buster Posey | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
15![]() |
Eric Hosmer | 12 | 19 | 12 | 15 |
| 16 | Joe Mauer | 18 | 16 | 18 | 19 |
| 17 | Allen Craig | 17 | 20 | 15 | 20 |
18![]() |
Justin Morneau | 16 | 15 | 26 | 16 |
| 19 | Adam Lind | 19 | 21 | 27 | 18 |
| 20 | Matt Adams | 26 | 28 | 16 | 17 |
21![]() |
Michael Morse | 24 | 17 | 23 | 27 |
22![]() |
Jonathan Lucroy | 35 | 18 | 17 | 24 |
23![]() |
Adam LaRoche | 20 | 22 | 33 | 22 |
24![]() |
Mark Trumbo | 21 | 34 | 20 | 23 |
| 25 | Mike Napoli | 30 | 24 | 22 | 26 |
| 26 | Mark Teixeira | 29 | 31 | 21 | 25 |
27![]() |
Jon Singleton | 27 | 23 | 28 | 32 |
| 28 | Carlos Santana | 22 | 30 | 31 | 29 |
29![]() |
Brandon Belt | 40 | 27 | 29 | 21 |
| 30 | Chris Carter | 28 | 42 | 25 | 31 |
| 31 | Mitch Moreland | 34 | 26 | 24 | 42 |
| 32 | Ryan Howard | 23 | 36 | 40 | 28 |
33![]() |
Mark Reynolds | 25 | 42 | 35 | 30 |
| 34 | Yonder Alonso | 31 | 42 | 34 | 33 |
| 35 | Lucas Duda | 36 | 32 | 39 | 34 |
| 36 | James Loney | 41 | 25 | 38 | 37 |
| 37 | Adam Dunn | 37 | 37 | 36 | 36 |
| 38 | Ike Davis | 42 | 29 | 42 | 35 |
39![]() |
Nick Swisher | 33 | 42 | 32 | 41 |
40![]() |
Chris Johnson | 38 | 42 | 30 | 40 |
| 41 | Garrett Jones | 32 | 35 | 42 | 42 |
42![]() |
Juan Francisco | 42 | 42 | 37 | 38 |
| 43 | Justin Smoak | 39 | 42 | 45 | 39 |
44![]() |
C.J. Cron | 42 | 33 | 48 | 42 |
Ranked by one analyst: Daniel Nava, Conor Gillaspie, Logan Morrison, and Darin Ruf.
With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.


Where would Brandon Belt rank if he were healthy right now? Someone offered him to me for Jonathan Singleton in fantasy baseball.
That’s weird, I just got the same offer the other day in real-life baseball.
Brian Sabean uses “Andrew” as an alias? Neat!
Ortiz? He qualifies in my league thanks to his 6 starts at 1B last year. Where would he slot? 10-11?
8-9
I know you love Duda, but how is he better than Ike Davis?
Plate appearances, plus did Ike trade power for contact?
What’s the reasoning for Hosmer being ranked #15? He doesn’t hit home runs and he doesn’t steal bases. Is this ranking assuming he’ll somehow turn ground balls into home runs? Add distance to his FB? He’s also 0 for 1 in stolen base attempts. I just dropped him and kept Morneau and now you jerks have me second guessing it…
He did equally poorly in Apr/May last year and went on to hit above .300 in each of the next 4 months with 16 HR and 8 SB–not necessarily predictive, but I wouldn’t say “he doesn’t hit home runs and he doesn’t steal bases” is a fair assessment
he did the same thing the year before too and the year before that…
Bring back Brett!
I bet Singleton is top 15 by seasons end.
He seems like a Chris Carter clone right now to me.
A lot of variables with Kendrys Morales but likely a player at 1b for the rest of the season. Thoughts?
Also Billy Butler is missing (or is just that bad?)
Butler’s a DH, bro.
In real life, yes, in Yahoo he is 1b eligible.
Sorry, guess I didn’t realize how loose Yahoo was.
Where would Ryan Zimmerman be on this list? Sounds like he might pick up 1B eligibility at some point.
I’d put him around 20 or so
For Cron out loud. Last?
Bench player or minor leaguer when Hamilton returns.
No way! Ibanez is crap and Cron gives them better chance to win as DH.
Unless you are saying Cowgill keeps playing regularly and Hamilton DHs… Which is slightly more buyable.
A little optimistic on Singleton, considering he has a history of not hitting leftys. I think Francisco has more value at this point.
It would be interesting to add a consensus pre-season rank column to these charts.
Think it would allow for some interesting discussions on what we believe or don’t believe has changed since the players were ranked just two months ago.
Fortunately, I had E3 as my third first basemen coming into the year (Behind Miggy and Goldschmidt, obv), and while April was dissapointing stuck with him and got rewarded, so very glad I didn’t go with Fielder, though the time I took Chrush Davis over E3…hasn’t gone well. Also managed to get Jose Abreu a good deal, but I never expected him to be this good!
First base hasn’t been a largely hard spot this year, but some definite dissapointments, made up for by a lot of overachievers. If I had one complaint with these rankings it would probably just be that Freddie Freeman is too high.
I managed to trade Fister and Davis for Goldschmidt.
Does Votto turn it on when he returns? Or is this just a dud year for the guy?
Eno, where would Todd Frazier be on your 1B rankings?