RotoGraphs June Consensus Ranks: First Base
Okay, maybe I was wrong about the catchers (You can follow along using the rankings links on the right hand navigation bar). The top group definitely wasn’t performing well. I just never shop there, so maybe it was a blind spot.
But I do shop among the top first basemen. No shares of Miguel Cabrera — no number one picks, and no willingness to spend that much — and just a couple shares of Paul Goldschmidt, Edwin Encarnacion, Jose Abreu and the like. Hey! Those guys are doing fine!
Not everyone is doing fine, of course. Chris Davis always struck out a ton, but it was injury that felled him. Eric Hosmer always hit too many balls on the ground, but it was this aging curve that probably should cause the most consternation. We were supposed to be worried about Matt Adams‘ strikeout rate and the fact that he was being shifted, and then he totally changed his approach and lost all the power but gained batting average.
A few nice surprises have probably covered you at the position, even if you happened to pick a loser. Victor Martinez has shown great power for a man his age with his history. Brandon Moss has upped his contact rate and is playing every day. Justin Morneau is healthy!
Again, this is for 5×5 roto, and though Jeff Zimmerman mostly uses the rest of season projections, it’s not just a computer ranking. We’ve left off the color coding in favor of a simple up or down arrow — those arrows are only next to big movers. The table is designed to be sortable in case you prefer one of the rankings.
RG | Player | Jeff | Zach | Mike | Eno |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Miguel Cabrera | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
2 | Paul Goldschmidt | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
3 | Edwin Encarnacion | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
4 | Jose Abreu | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
5 | Freddie Freeman | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
6 | Chris Davis | 6 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
7 | Albert Pujols | 7 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
8 | Adrian Gonzalez | 9 | 10 | 7 | 9 |
9 | Anthony Rizzo | 8 | 12 | 10 | 7 |
10 | Joey Votto | 10 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
11 | Victor Martinez | 11 | 5 | 19 | 11 |
12 | Brandon Moss | 14 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
13 | Michael Cuddyer | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
14 | Buster Posey | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
15 | Eric Hosmer | 12 | 19 | 12 | 15 |
16 | Joe Mauer | 18 | 16 | 18 | 19 |
17 | Allen Craig | 17 | 20 | 15 | 20 |
18 | Justin Morneau | 16 | 15 | 26 | 16 |
19 | Adam Lind | 19 | 21 | 27 | 18 |
20 | Matt Adams | 26 | 28 | 16 | 17 |
21 | Michael Morse | 24 | 17 | 23 | 27 |
22 | Jonathan Lucroy | 35 | 18 | 17 | 24 |
23 | Adam LaRoche | 20 | 22 | 33 | 22 |
24 | Mark Trumbo | 21 | 34 | 20 | 23 |
25 | Mike Napoli | 30 | 24 | 22 | 26 |
26 | Mark Teixeira | 29 | 31 | 21 | 25 |
27 | Jon Singleton | 27 | 23 | 28 | 32 |
28 | Carlos Santana | 22 | 30 | 31 | 29 |
29 | Brandon Belt | 40 | 27 | 29 | 21 |
30 | Chris Carter | 28 | 42 | 25 | 31 |
31 | Mitch Moreland | 34 | 26 | 24 | 42 |
32 | Ryan Howard | 23 | 36 | 40 | 28 |
33 | Mark Reynolds | 25 | 42 | 35 | 30 |
34 | Yonder Alonso | 31 | 42 | 34 | 33 |
35 | Lucas Duda | 36 | 32 | 39 | 34 |
36 | James Loney | 41 | 25 | 38 | 37 |
37 | Adam Dunn | 37 | 37 | 36 | 36 |
38 | Ike Davis | 42 | 29 | 42 | 35 |
39 | Nick Swisher | 33 | 42 | 32 | 41 |
40 | Chris Johnson | 38 | 42 | 30 | 40 |
41 | Garrett Jones | 32 | 35 | 42 | 42 |
42 | Juan Francisco | 42 | 42 | 37 | 38 |
43 | Justin Smoak | 39 | 42 | 45 | 39 |
44 | C.J. Cron | 42 | 33 | 48 | 42 |
Ranked by one analyst: Daniel Nava, Conor Gillaspie, Logan Morrison, and Darin Ruf.
With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.
Where would Brandon Belt rank if he were healthy right now? Someone offered him to me for Jonathan Singleton in fantasy baseball.
That’s weird, I just got the same offer the other day in real-life baseball.
Brian Sabean uses “Andrew” as an alias? Neat!