RotoGraphs Audio: The Sleeper and the Bust 5/2/13

by
May 2, 2013

Episode 7
Today’s episode of The Sleeper and the Bust stars yours truly and features RotoGraphs editor Eno Sarris. It’s a very special edition of the show as we discuss the latest round of tiered rankings published this week.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @mikepodhorzer or @enosarris on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via the feed. iTunes coming soon.

Approximately 42 min of joyous analysis.

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Mike Podhorzer is the founder of ProjectingX IQ, an advanced fantasy baseball analytics platform that transforms projection data and in-season performance signals into actionable intelligence. He is the 2015 Fantasy Sports Writers Association Baseball Writer of the Year and three-time Tout Wars champion. He is the author of the eBook Projecting X 2.0: How to Forecast Baseball Player Performance, which teaches you how to project players yourself. Follow Mike on X@MikePodhorzer and contact him via email.

4 Comments
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Wes
13 years ago

Yay Jaime Garcia!

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James
13 years ago

If you look deep enough into the numbers, you can find something to cast doubt into a potential breakout player. Now that Buchholz is proving his skeptics wrong by exhibiting a vastly improved K rate, too many of his strikeouts are looking. It’s always something. Buchholz allowed 2 ER and struck out 22 in 22 2/3 Spring IPs this season, but the experts, yourselves included, still weren’t buying. Both of you missed on Buchholz, your rankings were way, way off. Stop trying to save face.

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Mike PodhorzerFanGraphs Staff
13 years ago
Reply to  James

These are Buchholz’s looking strike rates over his career:

2007: 29%
2008: 32%
2009: 28%
2010: 26%
2011: 28%
2012: 27%
2013: 37%
Career: 28%
MLB Avg: 28%

Hmm, which season sticks out like a sore thumb? He has been league average his entire career, yet suddenly his looking strike rate has jumped 9 percentage points this year. There is literally no way this is sustainable. Unfortunately, B-Ref has no leaderboards in the metric I can find, but I would bet this rate would shatter previous season highs.

1
jcxy
13 years ago

Love it guys! Keep up the good work!

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