Quick Looks: Bundy, Harvey, Graveman, Appel, Warren

A couple of changes for Spring Training. I am going to be doing more players, but with less information. Some pitchers I watch will only throw an inning or two. Also, some broadcasts don’t have radar readings. Finally, the camera angles are horrible.

Another change I will be implementing is grading the players on the scouting scales of 20-80. I will Kiley McDaniels scale he discussed in this article.

Grade Hitter Starting Pitcher Relief Pitcher  WAR
80 Top 1-2 #1 Starter —- 7
75 Top 2-3 #1 —- 6
70 Top 5 #1/2 —- 5
65 All-Star #2/3 —- 4
60 Plus #3 High Closer 3
55 Above Avg #3/4 Mid Closer 2.5
50 Avg Regular #4 Low CL/High SU 2
45 Platoon/Util #5 Low Setup 1.5
40 Bench Swing/Spot SP Middle RP 1
35 Emergency Call-Up Emergency Call-Up Emergency Call-Up 0
30 *Organizational *Organizational *Organizational -1

I will give a value for where I think the pitcher could currently fit in on the average team (CV=current value) and where they could end up (FV=future value). I am sure I will disagree with some grades from others, but I am only looking at one game.

Note: If I say a pitch moves 11-5, it is from the pitcher’s perspective.

 

3/16/15 Orioles vs Phillies

Dylan Bundy (30 CV/55 FV)
• He was horrible. No control and or any decent pitches. He is not close at all to the majors. I based the 55 FV on just this start and I think that I may have been generous. He may have a ton of upside, but he needs to find the strikezone first.
• His fastball was 88-94 mph was generally straight with some possible sink. At 93-94 mph, he had no control of the pitch. He was finally able to throw strikes in the 88-91 mph range.
• He had a loopy 72-73 mph 12-6 curveball.
• He has walked quite a few batters during spring training (13 BB vs 9 K in 15 IP). If you are wondering if it is time to buy in with him, check his MiLB walk rate and see if it has improved.

Hunter Harvey (50 CV/60 FV)
• His fastball is 93-95 mph with some release side run. The pitch movement makes it a plus pitch.
• His 12-6 curve was 78-81 mph
• He may have a 2-seamer with a bit of sink.
• He just seemed afraid/cautious of LHH and issued two walks to them.
• He didn’t show a second breaking ball and the lack of it is why I am not higher on him. Too bad he got hurt, or I think he could have made an impact early this season.

 

3/16/15 A’s vs Dodgers – Horrible camera angle and the no velocities

Kendall Graveman (45 CV/50 FV) – Recent take by our own Owen Watson.
• He used basic ¾ release point.
• He had a two seam-fastball which has a nice sink to it and allows him to generate a good number of groundballs.
• He may have had a four seamer with some release side run. The camera angle made it tough to tell.
• He had a pitch with 12-6 movement and good amount of deception. It was either change or hard curve.
• He is a nibbler. Painfully so. He is just hoping the hitter chase out of the zone. In the 4+ innings of work, he had 1K and 2BB. I don’t know if he has the ability to attack hitters though. I see him a career 5th starter unless he finds a way to strikeout a few more batters.

 

3/16/15 Astros vs Nationals

Mark Appel (45 CV/60 FV)
• His fastball was 92 to 95 mph with some release side run. He lost a bit of velocity from the first inning he threw to the next.
• He also threw a 83-85 mph change which came in high with usually no drop. He had no feel/control for this pitch One sort of looked acceptable.
• Finally he threw a 89-91 mph slider with some glove side break (more of a cutter in my opinion) a couple times.
• He looked like he was told to work on the change and it needs work. It was horrible and he struggled because of it. He was always behind in the count.
• He needs work, so it will be off to the minors. He needs to just throw each pitch consistently, but who knows when that will happen.

 

3/26/15 Rays vs Yankees – Horrible camera angle and no radar gun

Adam Warren (50 CV/55 FV)
• His fastball was straight and quite hittable.
• His slider broke down and was a good swing-and-miss pitch
• His change is a plus pitch with a good 12-6 drop.
• He also threw a curve, but it was tough to tell the difference with bad angle (Eno Sarris did a nice breakdown of his pitches with .gifs here).
• He lives on the edges, but in the zone with his fastball.
• He should be solid against left-handed hitters with the various breaking pitches.
• He may need to pitch backwards without a dominating fastball.
• I like what I have seen, but I am not in love with it. If he can get ahead in the count, his breakers are good and varied enough to get some swing-and-misses. The problem will be getting to two strikes. There is not a ton to love, but the sum may be better than the parts.





Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR once, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

4 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
vslykemember
7 years ago

Nice write-ups. Any chance you profile Shelby Miller? This Braves fan is going to be furious if he fails to pan out given the high cost to get him and his ST results have been all over the place.