Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat – 4/28/16

Same time next week at 2:00 PM Central!

2:03
Paul Sporer: We’ll start soon! And it’s all Drake all day, so I don’t wanna hear it, haters. So geeked for Views from the Six

2:03
Mr. Wrestling IV: Hooray!!! 3 pm eastern = 2 pm central!

2:03
Paul Sporer: that is how time zones work!

2:03
Matt: Did we miss the window to sell on Lorenzo Cain?

2:03
Paul Sporer: I mean, if you’re super-worried, it’s probably not a good time to sell. But I’m not worried.

2:03
Matt: Was Tyler White merely just a mirage?

2:05
Paul Sporer: I mean, did you expect him to maintain a 1.500 OPS? Still has an .865. One thing I don’t love is the Ks are really high

2:05
Matt: What can we expect from Cesar Vargas going forward?

2:05
Paul Sporer: A giant shrug? I dunno, I don’t see much right now. I’ll have to see more starts tbh

2:05
David Wright: Should I be owned in deep 12 team OBP

2:06
Paul Sporer: Not automatically. You can be, but you seem like a on-off kinda guy that ends up on 3-4 teams throughout the year

2:06
Ben: What are the chances Colome keeps the job?

2:06
Paul Sporer: Pretty good, tbh

2:06
Jeet: Stroman+Lamb+Piscotty for DeGrom which side do you like

2:06
Paul Sporer: John or Jake?

2:06
Matt: Has Rick Porcello comfortably moved into SP2 status?

2:07
Paul Sporer: No. Nothing supporting the K%. I like Porcello, but I’m not getting too hyped on this just yet

2:07
Tony: Has your opinion of Rich Hill changed any since last week after two gems in NY and DET?

2:08
Paul Sporer: Yeah, I was probably too quick to jump off the bandwagon, but I feel justified given his history and Spring Training. I still think it’s going to be an up and down season. Just set it and forget in roto and take your boatload of Ks and a 3.60ish ERA

2:08
Matt: What happened to Lucroys power?

2:08
Paul Sporer: Injuries/catching wear on a guy

2:08
E: In a H2H 10-team points league, who would you rather keep ROS: Alex Gordon or Wil Myers. Love the upside of Myers, but love the consistency of Gordon. Have to drop one with both Blackmon and Kang coming off DL.

2:08
Paul Sporer: Myers. Take the upside in a 10-teamer

2:09
Marcus: Khris Davis seems to be coming on – 10-team mixed-worthy, or is that too shallow?

2:09
Paul Sporer: Yes he does. That pop is sexy. You can take a shot in 10-tm, sure. Who’s getting cut?

2:09
Paul Sporer: If you’re asking for a pick-up, mention teams in lg and who you’re cutting

2:10
The Real Drake: Changed the title to simply “Views”, homes…

2:10
Paul Sporer: Missed that.

2:10
Paul Sporer: I saw everyone using #VIEWS, but i didn’t know he chopped the end

2:10
Bob: Thanks for being so excited about Manaea. Other experts seem to be raining on this parade and I don’t like it!!!

2:11
Paul Sporer: LOL, well don’t just listen to me bc it confirms what you want. I get the downside: injuries and control. But the upside is substantial.

2:11
Matt: Is Howie Kendrick done?

2:11
Paul Sporer: Ya, he’ll probably retire.

2:11
Paul Sporer: C’mon mayne! It’s 50 PA.

2:11
Christian: Who’s the better pickup if you need saves? Joe Smith or Trevor May?

2:12
Paul Sporer: Smith. May still behind Jep

2:12
Nathan: Suarez or Story as a dynasty SS long term?

2:12
Paul Sporer: Story has warts, but Coors!

2:12
Seapple: Have you been paying any attention to Mike Zunino this year? Seems like he’s ripping it up in the minors. Should we expect to see him back up in the majors soon? If so, any chance he could be fantasy relevant, at least in an AL-only?

2:13
Paul Sporer: No, I haven’t. Feels like another Jesus Montero where we get hyped every time he gets on a run in the minors. He had 1000+ horrible MLB PA. He has to show me something in the majors and if that means I miss him, so be it. Catchers are butt in fantasy anyway

2:13
Mookie: What can we expect upon Blackmon’s return?

2:13
Paul Sporer: Whattya mean? He should be himself, yeah?

2:14
Rookies Rock: With all the stud arms getting called up already, when can we expect the bats to start coming? More specifically, how much longer do we have to wait for A.J. Reed?

2:14
Paul Sporer: Call-up season rules! It’ll probably last another few weeks and then tamp down. Valbuena sucking should expedite Reed. I’d say mid-May at the latest

2:14
John: Keeper League – Rank the following on the same $1 contract for the 2016-2018: Berrios, Velasquez, Eickhoff, Manaea, Cody Reed, Conley?

2:15
Paul Sporer: VV, Berrios, Manaea, Eick, Conley, and Reed

2:15
Austin Vegan: Thoughts on Justin Upton in redraft and keeper? I was just offered him for basically nothing in a shallow 8 tm keeper

2:15
Paul Sporer: We discussed him on yesterday’s pod. We’re not too worried so I’d buy.

2:15
Johnny Bench: Who’s the better bet ROS, Matt Wieters or Russell Martin? Are you worried about either?

2:17
Paul Sporer: They’re really kinda similar for me. I don’t have much separation so personal preference is the way to go. Martin’s K% is pretty insane, so I’m not loving that. But not quite in freak-out mode yet

2:17
Twinkie: Should anyone other than Jepsen and May be owned in the Twins bullpen? Seems like both have struggled since Perkins went down.

2:17
Paul Sporer: Nah, they’re the guys, IMO

2:17
Nikky T: Thoughts on Tropeano so far? Think he’ll stick in the Angels’ rotation all season?

2:17
Paul Sporer: He’s been solid, if unspectacular. I think he can stick

2:18
MVart: VMart has looked pretty stellar so far. Excluding the likelihood of an injury, can fantasy owners feel confident in his skills going forward?

2:18
Paul Sporer: Ya, it’s all about injury

2:20
Paul Sporer: Don’t repeat questions please, y’all. it doesn’t make it more likely to get answered. Quite the opposite, in fact.

2:20
Nathan: Matz or Cody Reed in a dynasty? I know the Mets defense isn’t very good and I keep hearing incredible things about Reed…

2:20
Paul Sporer: I like Reed, but I haven’t really gotten to see much of him, so I’m going Matz here

2:20
Jake: How long you think Joe Smith is the Angels closer for?

2:20
Paul Sporer: until Street gets back?

2:20
Manly Hanley: What do you make of Hanley’s first month? Should we be feeling good about him the rest of the way?

2:21
Paul Sporer: Yeah honestly as long he’s healthy, I feel he will contribute

2:21
Alf: Is Stephen Piscotty THIS GOOD?

2:21
Paul Sporer: He’s REALLY good. So yeah, pretty much.

2:22
Manta: Has the bell rung for B.J. Upt?

2:22
Paul Sporer: No one in the majors with that name

2:22
Paul Sporer: If you were buying the .280+ AVG, that’s kinda your fault. But I think he can be a .240-250 with power-speed usefulness

2:23
tbj05: Have to say that you are great at what you do – favorite voice in fantasy by a mile. That said, petrified about Rendon. Will it be OK? Thx!

2:23
Paul Sporer: Thank you so much! Slow start, but the skills are still there. Buy.

2:23
Matt: I feel like we are best friends now.

2:24
Paul Sporer: LOL bc I answered like nine of your questions? I don’t always look at the name. And you asked good ones

2:25
Paul Sporer: Dude, no.

2:25
MikeMilligan: Drop Rosario for Hazelbaker ?

2:26
Paul Sporer: Ya, ride out Hazelbaker. He’s been a monster.

2:26
Jordan: Tillman’s an ace now, right?

2:26
Paul Sporer: LOL, unquestioned

2:26
Joe: Odubal for real??? in OBP keeper league..

2:26
Paul Sporer: Yessss, I told y’all about Odubel in the offseason! That’s my dude

2:26
Paul Sporer:

2:26
Nyjer: Chris Carter gonna keep this up?

2:27
Paul Sporer: Does he ever?

2:27
Javier Baez: Am I a hold in dynasty leagues or not worth it?

2:27
Paul Sporer: I’ve never been your biggest fan, bud.

2:27
CameronDaClub: Puig. Hot: start. Not: since. Going forward: hot or not hot?

2:28
Paul Sporer: That’s the problem with labeling things a hot start. Like, what’s the cutoff? These are the ebbs and flows of a season.

2:28
degrassi high: which OF do I cut in a standard 5×5 h2h 12 team league – beltran or mazara?

2:29
Paul Sporer: Gotta hold Maz’s upside in a 12-teamer. Yes, he’s likely to come down, but what if he doesn’t? What if he can go .310-15 w/good R-RBI on Texas

2:29
Austin Vegan: Thoughts on what you have seen from Joc? He was just dropped in my shallow keeper and trying to decide if I should use top waiver claim on him

2:30
Paul Sporer: I haven’t seen nearly as many LAD games as I’d like to yet, but I’m def watching tonight’s sick matchup. His K% is worse, but i still like the power-speed upside

2:30
Shawn: Looking to buy J-UP and Abreu. You on board with that?

2:30
Paul Sporer: Definitely

2:31
Paul Sporer: BTW, how crazy is it that CWS is rolling and Abreu is hitting .190? He will heat up and I wanna be there for it. He was one of my misses this year and now is the time to buy

2:31
Paul Sporer: misses meaning zero shares

2:31
Sean: Chances that Welington Castillo ends up as top fantasy catcher this year?

2:31
Paul Sporer: 14.802%

2:31
Paul Sporer: which is a lot higher than it was 4 weeks ago

2:32
Andrew: Can will Myers be a top 25 OF ROS? Possible 24-14 combination?

2:32
Paul Sporer: I love Myers this year. I can see it

2:32
Loren: Is Jason Hammel all of a sudden an SP2?

2:33
Paul Sporer: Hamstring stalled him last year, but I’m in. (wrote this last yr: http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/jason-hammel-pretty-much-a-beast/)

2:33
Cory: Paul, Meso is scuffling a bit (I’m polite because I’m Canadian). Trade Fiers or Karns to get Vogt? Or just dump outright to grab Cervelli. I have Descla coming off DL soon

2:33
Paul Sporer: I’m ok dumping for Cerv, but also like either trade option. try to make it Fiers first

2:33
Thompson: Erasmo, Hill, Graveman… who do you like the best off the wire? And should I be worried about Iglesias, Corbin and Iwakuma?

2:34
Paul Sporer: Hill’s K upside is alluring. Worried a bit about Corbin. Just getting clobbered around the yard

2:34
Gordo: Would you buy on odorizzi or do you have some control concerns for him?

2:35
Paul Sporer: Was one of my faves this season. Tabbed him as a breakout in The SP Guide (*cough* thespguide.com *cough*)

2:35
Matt: What is going on with Justin Upton?

2:35
Paul Sporer: Fanning a lot. Pressing it seems to me just from observation

2:36
Paul Sporer:

2:36
Ben: In a keeper. Trying to consolidate, am I being greedy to offer Sano (r23), Carlos Gomez and J. Papelbon (no keeper value to either) for Kershaw (ineligible to be kept)? H2H roto, with k/9 and OPS as 6th cats. Thanks!

2:36
Paul Sporer: No I really like that offer if you can make it stick. See if it works.

2:37
Robbie Ray: Am I better than Brandon Finnegan ROS in a H2H points league? Asking for a friend.

2:37
Paul Sporer: Ehhh, y’all aren’t THAT different. Still think Finny has more upside

2:37
Detroit Tigers Fan: Would you grab Fulmer over Karns or Fiers in a keeper league?

2:37
Paul Sporer: Not sure how many tms, but I could cut Fiers to take a shot. Fiers himself or something similar likely on the wire if Fulmer flops

2:37
MikeMilligan: ROS Kazmir or one of the unknowns; Manaea, Fulmer, Berrios ?

2:38
Paul Sporer: how many tms? I think one of them will pop, but I’m not sure which obviously. Berrios my favorite overall, but you honed in on three prospects I’m very big on

2:38
MikeMilligan: Drop Strickland for Zych ?

2:38
Paul Sporer: I mean, you can, but SF>SEA. Both a step closer to SVs w/Benoit & Romo out. I’d probably hold Strick

2:39
Shawn: Matt Moore – any new thoughts after last night’s start? Basically made one mistake to Joey Rickard, otherwise looked good. Has he been promoted beyond streamer in shallow loeagues?

2:39
Paul Sporer: I was at softball, but that’s Jason’s assessment, too. In fact, that’s been the theme – one bad inning… hell, one bad pitch for Moore per start has kept him from flat out beasting. I’m holding for sure, even in shallow lgs. It’s coming along

2:39
Cowdisciple: Cut who for Aledmys Diaz? Rendon?

2:39
Paul Sporer: No, not Rendon

2:41
Paul Sporer:

2:41
Joe T: What are your thoughts on Raisel Iglesias so far?

2:41
Paul Sporer: Solid. I cooled on him after the price skyrocketed. As much as I like him, I know there will be bumps and likely an IP limit. He’ll have a hot run at some point for sure. Still LOVE long-term

2:41
AL Guy: Tillman or Porcello?

2:44
Paul Sporer: Gah, y’all killin me with having to choose between guys you know I like!! I’ll take Tilly

2:44
schmesh: Should I drop Addison Russell for Diaz at this point?

2:45
Paul Sporer: GET OUT!

2:45
Kyler: 14 team league, bating lineup mimics real life (8 defensive positions 1 UTIL), would you drop Deshields for Jarrod Dyson?

2:46
Paul Sporer: Nahhhh

2:46
Mike: IS Cozart for real at all?

2:46
Paul Sporer: I buy the pop since we started seeing it last year, but no way on the AVG

2:47
Mucho Maas: With DeSclafani coming off the DL soon, who would you drop for him between Berrios, Nola, Hill, Pomeranz? Or drop Disco himself?

2:47
Paul Sporer: I think Disco himself in that grouping.

2:47
Sam: I’m rooting for the Yankees to send Severino to the minors for a month to get sorted out. You think he needs that or is just that his babip is extremely high. Got him in a keeper league so I’d rather he get fixed if that’s what he needs.

2:47
Paul Sporer: I wasn’t super-high on him coming in. Needs seasoning and I’m not sure they can afford for it to be on the job http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/tipping-pitches-cutting-bait-on-three-top-60-arms/

2:47
Gordo: I know it’s hard to evaluate, but how legit do you think Steven wright is?

2:48
Paul Sporer: So hard to evaluate knucklers. Let’s just ride the wave.

2:48
Mr. Wrestling IV: 11 team league processes waivers weekly Sunday night. No bench, all players stats count while they’re owned. Worth putting in claims for Berrios/Manaea/Fulmer and cut Shark?

2:48
Paul Sporer: Do y’all even read or listen to my stuff? πŸ™‚ kidddddddiiiinnnggg: http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/the-sleeper-and-the-bust-episode-338-its-call-up-season/#more-83971

2:49
Eric: The pitching prospects are coming! When does Turner finally arrive? What about Crawford?

2:49
Paul Sporer: Trea and JP? Not sure. Honestly, I didn’t see half these arms coming up this early, so I’m def useless in this avenue.

2:49
Andrew: Paul! please pick 3. Samardja, Gausman, Berrios, Manea, Porcello, Pineda, Matt Moore? ROS,10 team H2H league.

2:49
Paul Sporer: Why do you repeat every question you ask like nine times? I’m not answering this as punishment. I’m sorry, but it’s frustrating.

2:50
tbj05: with velo down we have to cut bait w/ McGee asap, right?

2:50
Paul Sporer: On the one hand, it sucks bc his velo is down. On the other hand, it’s 7 IP. RPs can turn on a dime. until his job is threatened, I’m staying the course

2:51
Shawn: Belt,Piscotty, Souza, or Dickerson? The Drop would be Mazara. No specific need

2:51
Paul Sporer: Wait those are all on the wire?? Well get Pisc

2:51
Mucho Maas: Would you trade VV for Blackmon if your best sources of steals are Heyward, Braun, and Burns? (I would cut Burns if I got Blackmon)

2:51
Paul Sporer: Yes

2:51
Michelle: 9-team 45-man roster NL Only League… Is Nicolino worth rostering?

2:51
Paul Sporer: I really don’t like him. He couldn’t K us.

2:52
Mike: If I have Kang, Dev Travis, and now D’arnaud on the DL. Do I cut one to create a bit more lineup flexibility? 12th h2h 3 bench, 1 DL spot. Options to pickup are K Kiermeyer, Khris Davis, other assorted junkers.

2:52
Paul Sporer: ya, in a 12 tm you don’t have to hold ’em all. 2 C? if 1 C, dump TDA. Hell, if 2 C, you can dump him. Scoop Davis and see if he’s gonna stay hot with his recent power surge. seems to be feelin it a bit and cutting into that K% (though it’s still high bc it was SOOOOO bad early on)

2:52
Dave: Can you rank Rodon, Eickoff, and Aaron Sanchez?

2:54
Paul Sporer: I think you just did. I’m coming around on Eick. A couple weeks ago, I’d have said Sanchez then Eick. Those 2 are really close and have the same issue (lefties).

2:54
Paul Sporer:

2:55
Michael: Stephen SOOZ worth hanging on to in 10-team?

2:55
Paul Sporer: Borderline for sure. If you like someone better, he’s cuttable. Still K’ing too much to avoid major cold streaks

2:55
Simon mcpherson: You done with Cashner? Maybe if he shaved I might not recognize him and never draft him again….otherwise I’m done

2:55
Paul Sporer: You mean Andrew Trashner?

2:56
Paul Sporer: Joking aside, I’m pretty much done, yeah.

2:56
Paul Sporer: Andrew, changing your name to PAULLLLY and then repeating your question 79435 times doesn’t fool me.

2:56
Carlos Gomez: 10 team league, would you drop me today for DeShields or Odubel? If so, preference of either?

2:59
Pat the Bat: Hey Paul thanks for doing this. Any bats you’re really trying to buy low on? Likewise, any Drake song that didn’t really do it for you at first but came on strong and made moves into your rotation?

3:01
Paul Sporer: I didn’t vibe Trophies initially for some dumb reason, but now I think it’s so fire. I think seeing it live at ACL did it for me. Bc the light show with it was so damn cool.

Buy low hitters: Abreu, Rendon, Votto, Cain

3:03
Austin Vegan: Did you write up your thoughts on Manaea?

3:03
Paul Sporer: Not yet. I wrote glowingly of him in the SP guide, though. Wanna see him before writing more

3:03
Matt: I have Berrios and Manaea and Glasnow were picked up yesterday. Who is the next guy out of those three to target? Giolito?

3:03
Paul Sporer: Gio is the next big stud

3:04
Domingo: Sup Paul. I got offered Aroldis for my J Garcia and McGee. I’m deep on sp, so jump on it right?

3:04
Paul Sporer: Definitely

3:04
Kevin: Say a nice thing about Colby Rasmus and his start being sustainable

3:04
Paul Sporer: he’s always had mad power

3:04
Turbo: Dynasty league–trade Gallo to get Votto? Worried about Votto’s cold as ice start and age

3:04
Paul Sporer: Def and no.

3:05
Paul Sporer: I get he’s older, but I think dynasty leaguers as a whole are too future-focused. Still gotta crown a winner this year

3:05
Turbo: Should I trade Felix to get VV in a dynasty? 12 teamer

3:05
Paul Sporer: Ehh, prob not

3:05
Kevin: Looking to sell high on Trumbo…does this qualify: Trumbo and Cueto for Harvey? Or should I shoot for the moon and go for Price?

3:06
Paul Sporer: Yes it does. (though I really like Cueto. Any other SP you can pair w/Trumbo?)

3:06
Shawn: Would you drop J.McGee for either J. Smith or Colome, or just hold McGee?

3:06
Paul Sporer: Hold

3:06
r.: Carlos Gomez, no power, doesn’t walk, too many swings and misses. Is he done or a good buy low?

3:06
Michael: Final line for Piscotty something like .280/80/25/75/5?

3:06
Paul Sporer: I can def see it

3:06
Paul Sporer: He’s so good

3:06
Austin Vegan: Think Rodon can make any strides this year? Top 25 SP by 2017?

3:09
Paul Sporer: Yes on strides. Been excellent outside of one bad inning v. LAA. I can see top-25 by next year for sure.

3:09
Paul Sporer: This was my favorite song for a long time when it came out.

3:10
Young Jeezy: Everyone’s worried about Greinke, Kluber, Archer & Harvey. But have you guys seen Scherzer? What do you make of this? He should be steamrolling the teams he has faced thus far.

3:10
Paul Sporer: I haven’t seen him this year. The HRs are alarming because we saw it last August, too. Still not TOO worried based on the numbers. But again, no eyes on him so far this year, sorry

3:11
Paul Sporer: Like, I know you think you’re funny “PAULLLLY”, but you’re just a douche

3:11
Domingo: Are you buying Harvey as a legit ace ROS? Stuff looked back but command was wavering last night

3:11
Paul Sporer: Yes, I am. I believe the mechanical flaw/stamina issue excuses and think they’re fixable

3:11
Paul Sporer: Maybe not top-3 overall like I had him coming in, but still fantasy ace

3:11
fresh basil: Yasmany Tomas. Real?

3:11
Paul Sporer: He does exist, yes

3:12
Paul Sporer: Looks like a different guy than who I saw in Spring last year. I’m coming around, not quite 100% sold

3:14
John: Thanks for the Ranking. Follow-up on Cody Reed: what are your thoughts on his upside long term?

3:14
Paul Sporer: Seems to have a ton, like a #2 potential. But I have limited views of him, so I’m mostly going off of research of others’ work

3:14
Samoan Randy J: Is Manaea Mania here to stay? Or is he likely to be replaced by Alvarez or Hahn at some point?

3:15
Paul Sporer: please leave

3:16
MikeE: Did Podhorzer’s piece change your thoughts on Pineda at all?

3:16
Paul Sporer: No. I was aware of those numbers.

3:16
Nate: Jed Lowrie is owned in only 8% of ESPN leagues. Does he not get enough love?

3:17
Paul Sporer: Ehh, they cater to 10-teamers so I get it. He’s fine, but not special

3:17
Paul Sporer: Also 32. Feels younger, but been around a while

3:17
Young Jeezy: Panik or Pedoria ROS?

3:18
Paul Sporer: Panik for me, if only for the 7 years of age

3:19
Michael: Khris Davis or Chris Carter ROS?

3:19
Paul Sporer: Davis barely

3:19
John: Re: Cody Reed – read ben badler’s piece today.

3:19
Paul Sporer: Link?

3:19
Center City: Is Scooter worth stashing on DL in 12tm, or should I cut bait and stash Travis instead?

3:20
Paul Sporer: I’d go travis just bc he’s on the way back and Scoots just got hurt. #centercityforlife

3:20
Paul Sporer:

3:20
Mike: Jarrod Saltalamygodwhydidiwasteapickuponhim

3:20
Paul Sporer: LOL Jarrod BecauseALcatcherissoimpossiblybad

3:21
Paul Clapper: Paul you’re great even WITH all the chatspeak!

3:21
Paul Sporer: LOL, what do you mean? What’s chatspeak? Like “Def” “bc” and “lol”?

3:21
Pops: Not really a hip – hop head, but enjoyed the new Drake song you posted. What album should I download to get in on him?

3:22
Paul Sporer: His latest (before tonight’s new album) If You’re Reading This It’s Too Late is so good IMO

3:22
Pat the Bat: How many questions do people average on here? Think I need to bulk up

3:22
Paul Sporer: A pretty good amount. We’ve got 230 readers according to the chat app. And one douchey spammer

3:22
Brett Lawrie’s Empty Redbull Can: Which yet-to-be-called-up pitcher (other than Giolito) will have the biggest fantasy impact?

3:23
Paul Sporer: I’d have said Fulmer a day ago. Hmm…. Jose De Leon

3:23
Young Jeezy: Piscotty or Myers ROS?

3:23
Paul Sporer: Piscotty. Myers’ health record is sketchy

3:23
Matt Damon: MATT. DAMON.

3:24
Paul Sporer: Do you listen to Jake & Amir’s podcast If i were You? They have a hilarious running bit around Matt Damon

3:24
Crappy Barber: Better hair? Sean “The Thrown’ Samoan” Manaea or Ice Harper

3:24
Paul Sporer: I like Manaea’s, but I mean Harper’s is about as good as he is

3:24
David: McHugh is just meh. I drop him for Conley or Manaea or Gausman, right?

3:24
Paul Sporer: yeah I think McHugh can rebound but I’d gamble elsewhere for now since this seems like a 10-12 teamer

3:24
Austin : Any changes to your thoughts on Gausman after one start?

3:25
Paul Sporer: I’ve always been a huge fan. I remain so, but I just worry about Baltimore’s development track record

3:25
thomas: avg/obp/slg league: I get Pederson/Rendon/Corbin; I give Price/Zobrist. Z is my 2b and my Util is currently manned by Matt Holliday’s backup. I also have Matt Holliday.

3:25
Paul Sporer: I’m close on that. I wish I had some encouraging signs from Corbin and it’d be a slam dunk. But I’ll say yes

3:25
Steve : Thoughts on Wainright? Buy low or sell?

3:26
Paul Sporer: Lots of worry about him coming in for folks and it looks justified early. I’m reluctant to say he’s 100% done, but the walks… where the hell is that coming from?! I’d still buy low in a lot of league formats bc the price is nothing

3:26
Paul Sporer: 10-teamer, pass on buying low, but I’d still hold for a little longer

3:27
The Kid: Thoughts on Cole Hamels ROS? Seems like he has avoided disaster in at least a couple of his early starts. Should I look to sell him while he has the 2.50ish ERA? If so, what should I look for in return in a 10-team keeper?

3:27
Paul Sporer: I think Hamels is a beast, I’d’ hold unless you get something to fill needs

3:27
Jean Segura: I know my BABIP is REALLY high, but can I sustain a BA around .300 and go 12/25?

3:28
Paul Sporer: hey we found a player I don’t love. And he’s making me look stupid for it. I’m still skeptical that he’s GREAT, but even 12 HR, 35 SBs with a .260 is excellent at SS, so let’s buy

3:28
Drizzy: Will Aroldis will step back in as closer immediately? Miller has been redonk

3:28
Paul Sporer: I think so. I think they knew Miller would be redonk.

3:28
Brett Lawrie’s Empty Redbull Can: More likely to bounce back in 2016 – Grichuk or Schoop?

3:29
Paul Sporer: similar profiles, right? killer power, major swing-and-miss, same age. I’ll say Schoop but I’m not convicted on separating the two.

3:29
mario mendoza: Farnsworth was pretty bullish on Michael Reed… is he a better NL-only stash than, say, Peter OBrien?

3:29
Paul Sporer: I’m unfamiliar with Michael Reed, I’m sorry

3:30
Joey: What are your thoughts on Joe Panik so far? Could he be a .300 BA, 15HR, 10 SB, 85 run, 50 RBI guy this year?

3:30
Paul Sporer: I think he’s great and I can see him developing beyond his minor league expectations. Your line is a high end kind of thing, but it’s not unrealistic

3:31
Paul Sporer: let’s .280-11-6 and hope for your line

3:31
Heisenberg: Conley a good streamer tomorrow against the Brewers?

3:31
Paul Sporer: Yeah

3:31
Old Witch: Trade Jaime Garcia for DJ LeMahieu?

3:31
Paul Sporer: If you need 2B, sure

3:31
Nate: Is it inappropriate to root for injuries for reasons of making roster decisions easier?

3:32
Paul Sporer: Very. Don’t be a ghoul!

3:32
Sam: Hanley’s shoulder still an issue? Dude is hitting for no power and has no patience at the plate. The steals are nice though.

3:32
Paul Sporer: Could be. Let’s wait a little longer to see if the pop comes

3:32
Pops: Abreu and Pineda too much for Arrieta in a H2H Points league? Have Votto to fill in at first.

3:32
Paul Sporer: Probably not enough, tbh but try it!

3:32
66666: Summer Sixteen isn’t on the album but Hotline Bling is? Yikes.

3:33
Paul Sporer: That really surprised me. I had a couple weeks for “Bling” was enjoyable, but I’m kinda over it. Summer Sixteen still goin hard for me

3:33
Paul Sporer: In fact,

3:33
Opie: Have Mazara with Choo on the DL. 12 team redraft with short benches. Will both get consistent PT?

3:33
Paul Sporer: They’ll try if Maz keeps raking

3:34
Paul Sporer: Choo isn’t just gonna sit

3:34
Mike: Is Prince (Fielder) gonna bounce back soon? OBP down and also been unlucky so far with .206 babip – but are teams shifting him more? Or just early season non-worries?

3:34
Paul Sporer: Don’t they already shift a lot? (legit asking, not being smarmy). Even still, I think he’ll get on track

3:34
Dave: would you drop dickerson for odubel?

3:35
Paul Sporer: how many teams? probably so unless power is your only need

3:35
ctw: if you had xander and kang on the DL, would you be shopping eugenio now or wait and see how kang does? I could use a solid reliever (holds+saves) and tho I like eugenio, I’d like to get a reliable closer. you think a Rosenthal or britton type is aiming too high?

3:35
Paul Sporer: it’s a risk bc of Kang, but i like the idea. shoot high with Suarez, he’s v good at a premium position. And Rosy/Britton have less value w/Holds counting

3:36
David: Nothing like a chat to keep me from working!!!

3:36
Paul Sporer: LOL

3:36
Bobby Mc: Iglesias a buy low candidate?

3:36
Paul Sporer: which one?

3:37
Young Metro Dont Trust Me: Rather have Grichuk or Myers ROS? The first is has improved BB and k rates while the latter got worse but im still torn!

3:37
Paul Sporer: Myers

3:37
Mike: Piggybacking on your Hammel comment, is he worth considering starting over Greinke or Keuchel if they continue to struggle?

3:37
Paul Sporer: I wouldn’t go that far just yet. Gotta be someone else you can bench

3:37
Kiki: Steven Souza: bullish or bearish?

3:37
Paul Sporer: Bearish. That’s the bad one, right? Still K’ing too much

3:37
DuffCalifornia: Gimme both your top-five and most underrated Drizzy tracks.

3:37
Paul Sporer: Too hard.

3:37
Paul Sporer: Lemme see

3:38
Paul Sporer: wish I used iTunes still bc I’d just sort by Play Count

3:41
Paul Sporer: I’ll just name a handful that I really love (plus the ones I’ve posted already): 6 Man, I’m Goin In, November 18th, Crew Love, Cameras, Energy, Uptown, Preach, HYFR

3:41
schmesh: Thoughts on Kang coming back?

3:41
Paul Sporer: I’m excited. I’m hoping he’s healthy, but he will prob need some ramp up time so don’t panic after a week or two

3:41
Pat the Bat: Paul? Are you speaking with Dave about bird protection?

3:41
Paul Sporer: Huh?

3:42
Paul Sporer:

3:42
DanL: Hey, this Jake Arrieta guys is pretty good, huh?

3:42
Paul Sporer: Not too shabby, lol!

3:43
Paul Sporer: My *only* concern was/is injury bc of his history. Skills are fire.

3:43
Jeff: Power guys, OBP league: Chris Carter or Park. Kind of leaning Carter…

3:43
Paul Sporer: I kinda like the shiny new toy on that one, but I get it. They’re close.

3:43
Dan: Drop Victor Martinez for Freeman?

3:43
Paul Sporer: Yeah. I can’t believe someone cut Freeman, but yeah

3:43
Austin : Joc or Soler in keeper?

3:43
Paul Sporer: Joc

3:45
Arodys Vizcaino: Standard 5×5 redraft, who is a fair pitcher I could get straight up for Conforto?

3:46
Paul Sporer: Not to cop out, but these questions are impossible. It’s league and manager specific. What I’d pay, someone else might think is insane. But I won’t leave you empty-handed. Try Odorizzi.

3:46
Holla Gram: If you had the choice of adding AJ Reed or Josh Bell in a OBP keeper league which would you choose?

3:46
Paul Sporer: Reed by a sliver

3:47
CW: Contreras a speculative pick-up in a keep forever league (15 keepers total), even with the call-up not happening just yet? Would drop the likes of Soler, D. Santana, or a Joe Smith closer

3:47
Paul Sporer: Willson Contreras? I wouldn’t d it

3:47
Shawn: What goes on the “Paul Sporer” taco?

3:47
Paul Sporer: Can I just copy the Washingtonian from Torchy’s this month? Ooh that reminds me, April is almost done. I need to go get one more tomorrow

3:47
Repairman Man: fowler + hill for archer. which side wins this season, next 3 seasons

3:48
Paul Sporer: Prob the Archer side, but I’m not confident projecting SPs that far out. It’s a plausible offer if your’e trying to buy Archer

3:48
Derek: In a shallow 10 team 5×5, I traded Sano and Osuna for Greg Polanco and Chris Archer. Already had Harper and Puig as my Other two OFers. Am I a clear winner or is that even?

3:49
Paul Sporer: No you’re not the clear winner, but that shouldn’t be your goal anyway. You want to improve your team so it really matters how they help your club. That said, I do like your side

3:49
Nate: My league doesn’t have OBP, is Odubel Herrera still a viable option?

3:49
Paul Sporer: Def

3:49
Paul Sporer: speed-power w/good AVG

3:49
rolltide: 12 team Avg and OPS league. Got Tulowitzki, Eugenio Suarez, and Kang. Who do I keep and who do I try to trade?

3:49
Paul Sporer: Gonna have to take a loss on Tulo or Kang, so sell Suarez

3:49
Anthony: Chris Archer. Buy, sell or hold? I can get Tulo for him in a OBP Roto.

3:50
Paul Sporer: I’m OK with that deal. But I’d hold if you were really into him coming into the year

3:50
Paul Sporer:

3:50
Paul Sporer: I think I took care of Spammy McDildo

3:50
Bill: Have you used the Pat Venditte on MLB The Show ?

3:50
Paul Sporer: Not yet. Is there a way to switch him back n forth on handedness

3:51
Kvn: 10 team AL Roto 4×4, no bench/only DL+minors, no innings limit. I have a rare and probably exclusive ability to dump McHugh right now due to Berrios’ promotion. Otherwise I have to wait until the FAAB period begins in July. Should I do it? I can promote Berrios without dropping anyone of note if I choose (have Jarrod Parker sitting in an SP slot as a “dead” pitcher).

3:51
Paul Sporer: I think you have to hang onto McHugh in an AL only and just wait

3:52
Paul Sporer: Man oh man that’s tough. Metrics say McHugh not nearly this bad, even w/lowered K%

3:52
CW: Thoughts on EE- will he come around? Target Abreu? Keeper league, what’s his value? Keep forever league

3:52
Paul Sporer: If you can get Abreu, do it. But yeah I think EE comes around. He had lulls every year that freak us out

3:52
Eldridge Cleaver: Khris Davis or Marcel Ozuna?

3:52
Paul Sporer: Davis by a smidge

3:52
buttstuff: Any good DUI stories recently?

3:52
Paul Sporer: lol, hate you

3:53
ctw: piscotty or BH Park in a triple slash keeper. It’s possible I’d be able to stash BH Park in the minors at end of year and not burn a keeper spot on him (600 PAs)

3:53
Paul Sporer: Piscotty

3:53
White Hair πŸ˜‰: Would you trade Sterling Marte for Braun if you need power and have Dee Gordon?

3:54
Paul Sporer: Ooh that’s tough. I say hold Marte. His power might not be tooo far off of Braun’s, plus Braun still has health risks

3:54
Paul Sporer:

3:54
Hannah Hochevar: Time to quit on “All about that” Bassit?

3:54
Paul Sporer: yeah, I never really got in on that too much

3:54
fresh basil: Have to cut one CI. Castellanos or Yunel Escobar?

3:54
Paul Sporer: Escobar

3:54
Max: Is puig a buy low or is this who he is?

3:55
Paul Sporer: If you can buy low, yes. few guys get more overreactions to each ebb and flow of the season

3:55
Bartleby: Adam Jones is playing hurt right? Would you try to buy low? His numbers are ugly (including defensive stats).

3:55
Paul Sporer: I’m staying away

3:55
Nate: I have Sale, Kluber, Cueto, Felix in an 8 mn h2h… should I move Chris Sale for Kris Bryant? My 3B options are Seager and Longo.

3:55
Paul Sporer: Ya you’ve got enough pitching star power. Get Bryant

3:56
Larry David: Rank these 2, Pineda, Cashner. KIDDING.

3:56
Paul Sporer: Prettay prettaaaay, pretty good

3:56
DW: Catcher Desperation!! Ruiz, Barnhart, Ross or Plawecki?? Please rank.

3:56
Paul Sporer: Hot hand? Go Ruiz then Barn

3:56
Mike: Brandon Moss or Khris Davis as lineup flex option (don’t have to start’em).

3:57
Paul Sporer: Y’all are asking about Davis with a lot of similar dudes meaning they’re all in this same kinda group where it becomes preference. Nothing separates these two, really. Age is about it. I’d prob still take Moss even as the older dude

3:58
Andrew Ca$hner: Do you hate me because I’m beardiful?

3:58
Paul Sporer: Leave

3:58
Paul Sporer: I might’ve already posted this, I can’t remember

3:58
CW: OBP keeper league- Odubel, D. Santana, Soler- rank ’em

3:58
Paul Sporer: You just did

3:58
Austin : Thoughts on Piscotty in keeper leagues? Top 25 OF?

3:58
Paul Sporer: Seriously? πŸ™‚

3:58
CJ03: I have Carlos Gomez and Justin Upton on my team. Give me some glimmer of hope?

3:59
Jon Boy: Michael Pineda – yasssss let the hate flow through you. AL East related -Tillman is forril?

3:59
Paul Sporer: Heh, don’t hate him. Just don’t get why he’s a must-keep in 10-teamers right now.

3:59
Paul Sporer: Tilly is GOAT obv

3:59
Blanton’s Salty Ham Saucers: I have Tulo & Story in a 14 team keep 4 eva. Very much competing this year. Which one am I shopping to look for an SP upgrade?

Also worth mentioning that there is a possibility that neither would be kept because of my roster construction, keeper limitations.

3:59
Paul Sporer: Story gonna draw more on the market in most cases rn

3:59
Scooby: Thanks for your time, Paul! Would love to have your ROS rankings of these SPs in a shallow 12-team mixed: Conley, Pomeranz, Kazmir, Severino, Eovaldi. Thanks!

4:00
Paul Sporer: You’re welcome. Doing rankings tomorrow, but off the top (subject to change in tomorrow’s piece of NL ranks) – Pomy, Eovaldi, Conley, Kazmir, Severino

4:00
fresh basil: Worse hair? Jaso’s head or Cashner’s face?

4:00
Paul Sporer: LOL

4:00
Paul Sporer: Jaso

4:00
Paul Sporer:

4:01
Paul Sporer:

4:01
3 wood stinger: Drop Ellsbury for Odubel?

4:01
Paul Sporer: I’m OK with that

4:01
Hannah Hochevar: Can Back to Back become the official song of said feat at all baseball stadiums?

4:01
Paul Sporer: It really should be. Man, he ethered Meek so hard

4:02
ctw: souza over alex Gordon in a 10 team avg/obp/slg? I love souza but i got burned a little last year. Gordon is just so meh

4:02
Paul Sporer: Gordon is meh so I can understand going for Souza in a 10-teamer just in case he breaks out, though I did caution on his K% earlier in this very chat

4:02
Holla Gram: I noticed Berrios blowing into his hands a lot last night between pitches. Do you think his command troubles last night had a little to do with the cold weather?

4:02
Paul Sporer: And the rain delay and nerves, all of it.

4:03
Paul Sporer: I kinda love it, though. It drives down the price for this weekend’s bidding

4:15
Steven Souza Sr.: My son or Josh Reddick. 10-team mixed

4:15
Paul Sporer: LOL. Reddick.

4:16
Guiseppe: Paul…I need to tell u something…

4:16
Austin : Any chance Gausman out performs Odorizzi this year? Maybe in keeper?

4:16
Paul Sporer: Possible, yes. But I go Odorizzi still

4:16
Pat: Is it crazy to go without a catcher in 10tm H2H league right now?

4:16
Paul Sporer: I mean, yeah. Get someone in there

4:16
Joe: Who do I drop when Revere comes back? Grichuk or Souza?

4:17
Paul Sporer: Souza. Lotsa Souza questions.

4:17
Pat: Piscotty or Domingo ROS?

4:17
Paul Sporer: Pisc. Feel like that was covered

4:17
Paul Sporer: Ok we’re done with Piscotty and Souza.

4:17
Dr J: People still play 8 mans? barf

4:17
Paul Sporer: hey man, let’s not league shame. I used to do that shiz. Fantasy baseball can be enjoyed a million different ways.

4:18
Paul Sporer: if you only have 7 peeps wanting to play, you roll with 8. Just a different skill set than a 15-teamer.

4:18
Gabbo: Bassitt, Tropeano or Greene (assuming short DL stint) in 4×4 10 team AL only?

4:18
Paul Sporer: Trop wins right now. Greene when he gets back

4:18
GeauxTigers: As a Tigers fan your duty is to ignore anyone calling themselves rolltide

4:18
Paul Sporer: Not those Tigers

4:18
Pop: Gerardo parra or Matt holiday

4:18
Paul Sporer: Parra

4:19
Paul Sporer: Oh and Odubel questions. And Carlos Gomez and Justin Upton. Y’all are allowed to read the other questions and answers, ya know? πŸ™‚

4:19
Make WAR not Love: Want to trade the King for elite RP + a SP. What kind of SP should I target to pair with a top 5 closer?

4:20
Paul Sporer: It’s not gonna be THAT great if you’re getting a beast RP. Eovaldi?

4:20
Trombone: 12 team H2H league someone dropped Eugenio Suarez, who do you drop to pick him up Nick Castellanos or Odubel Herrera? Thanks!

4:21
Paul Sporer: I said no more! oh wait, this was in before the moratorium. Either way, I’ve answered enough about all three that you can prob guess

4:21
Lance: We still feeling good about Miguel Cabrera?

4:21
Paul Sporer: Why wouldn’t we?

4:21
Cybo: How far away is Glasnow?

4:21
Paul Sporer: From? Pittsburgh? A couple hundred miles

4:21
Mike: Andrew Miller has been SO good, do they yanks HAVE to replace him with chappie when he gets back from his “i’m a horrible person” suspension?

4:22
Paul Sporer: I totally get what you’re saying. Maybe don’t reward Chapman for being awful, but I think they’re gonna

4:22
Bill: Dexter Fowler career yearing?

4:22
Paul Sporer: Could well be

4:22
schmesh: 3/4 your buy low hitters are on my team πŸ™ πŸ™ πŸ™ πŸ™ πŸ™

4:22
Paul Sporer: Hey that means things will be looking up soon!

4:22
DanL: How much does being the nephew of Mark “Twin Peaks” Frost impact Giolito’s ceiling?

4:22
Paul Sporer: Substantially. took him from a #4 to ace upside

4:23
Kari Faux: I don’t care how much Story K’s, but if he starts getting benched, that makes me sad-mad. Would you drop him for Semien? 10tm mixed

4:23
Paul Sporer: No, I wouldn’t

4:23
thomas: keeper obp: trade kemp for moore?

4:23
Paul Sporer: I think Kemp should bring back… more. With one O

4:23
fresh basil: Neil Walker good for 30 bombs this year?

4:24
Paul Sporer: not necessarily, no

4:24
Bob: Ho-Park or Meyers ROS? 5×5

4:24
Paul Sporer: Myers

4:24
Junichi Tazawa’s Tiny Hat: Hey Paul…I cut Conley for a shot at Manaea. Did I make a mistake?

4:24
Paul Sporer: No, not necessarily

4:24
Charles Metsfanimus: Piscotty and Hanley on the waiver wire. Utility spot. Points league. Who you taking? (Thanks for the chat btw)

4:24
Paul Sporer: You’re welcome. We’ve talked a lot about these two today. I feel like my Piscotty love is established

4:24
Mike: I can’t grasp the buy-low. How do you propose a buy-low trade that doesn’t make you look like you’re trying to swindle someone? Would a hot Chris Carter get me either Abreu or Votto? Do you have to prey on the lesser informed players? Would Conforto be too high an offer?

4:25
Paul Sporer: I can’t imagine that would work with Carter. And no, Conforto isn’t too high. He’s more plausible, but likely still doesn’t work. Those were 2nd-3rd rd guys. So maybe try a 7-10 round guy. Your last rd or waiver guy isn’t gonna work

4:25
Max: In shallow 10-team, better to shoot for the moon with the rookie callups like Berrios and Manaea or stick with safer plays like Hammel and Odorizzi?

4:26
Paul Sporer: the general premise is right, the players aren’t. I think Hammel and Odorizzi still have more upside

4:26
Minty: If Gallo is blocked at 3B and they won’t play him in the OF, so when will they transition him to first or trade him?

4:27
Paul Sporer: These things always figure themselves out.

4:27
Larry: Jorge Soler worth hanging on to in 10-team?

4:27
Paul Sporer: Not necessarily. If you like someone better, make the move

4:27
Yoyo: Fiers or Fulmer ROS for roto?

4:27
Paul Sporer: Team count?

4:27
Nate: Should I be starting Kolten Wong or Jed Lowrie at 2B?

4:27
Paul Sporer: Lowrie has been much better thus far, so ride the hot hand here

4:27
rent: Will Rajai Davis get any playing time with Brantley back?

4:29
Paul Sporer: Yeah, Chis and Naquin aren’t blocking anyone off

4:29
Bob Dobalina : Need steals badly. I have a Revere coming back soon. This injury affect his SBs initially?

4:30
Paul Sporer: Prob, but he’ll run

4:30
Brian: What happened to liriano’s control?

4:30
Paul Sporer: What control?

4:30
Rollie: Jose Quintana having a breakout year, or is he the same guy?

4:30
Paul Sporer: Prob same guy, but that’s still very good. Gonna finally get double digit Ws!!!

4:30
Paul Sporer: (maybe)

4:30
Anthony Rendon: Why do you believe in me?

4:31
Paul Sporer: Better question, why shouldn’t I? Injury a pretty clear reason behind ’15. Great pedigree, tremendous hitter, what’s not to like?

4:31
Noel: Michael Wacha: any cause for concern?

4:33
Paul Sporer: Has one bad start. Ks light, but otherwise fine

4:33
Paul Sporer:

4:33
Kari Faux: They need to give you a “block” button for clowns

4:33
Paul Sporer: I figured it out!

4:33
David: I know you mentioned you are really coming around on Eickhoff – can you give a little more context? Top 40 SP RoS?

4:34
Paul Sporer: Not quite that high. More like top 60. He was drafted 88th so it’s a jump

4:34
Justin: Mike Leake or Shelby MIller ROS?

4:34
Paul Sporer: Ugh.

4:35
Paul Sporer: Still think Miller has more upside, but honestly I might look beyond both in the short-term. How many tms, who else is avaialble?

4:35
Ringo: When you said GET OUT on Addison Russell for Diaz, I wasn’t clear on your preference. Get out with that crazy offer, get out of owning russell?

4:35
Paul Sporer: C’mon. I’ve been all over Russell all offseason. I’m not cutting him for a fast-start outta-nowhere Diaz

4:35
Charles Metsfanimus: Wow. Love your piscotty support. Is he just as viable in a points league?

4:36
Paul Sporer: Probably more so (only answered this bc it was slightly different, but still pretty obvious that I’d say yes)

4:36
degrassi high: what is life like living an hour behind us on the east coast?

4:36
Paul Sporer: Way better. I hate Eastern time zone for sports

4:36
Matt: Time to cut bait with Kolten Wong?

4:36
Paul Sporer: Depends on league size, but I can hear it

4:36
BigTimeNW: Cletus going against the Braves tonight…Who has more HRs? ATL tonight or ATL’s 3 total this year

4:36
Paul Sporer: LOL. He’ll prob shut ’em out

4:37
Saul: When does Gallo replace Moreland? They can’t leave him crushing AAA forever, can they?

4:38
Paul Sporer: If Gallo keeps the K% in check, he’ll get his chance

4:39
Paul Sporer: OK y’all, I gotta get going

4:39
Paul Sporer: Great chat as always (save that spammer clown). I appreciate y’all coming out and supporting me. Back at it again next week, same time!

4:39
fresh basil: Is this a regularly scheduled chat? Best one out there

4:39
Paul Sporer: It is in fact

4:39
Paul Sporer: 2pm Central on Thursdays

4:40
Paul Sporer:

4:40
BigTimeNW: Thanks Paul!

4:40
Pat: Piscotty!

4:40
fresh basil: Word

4:40
Paul Sporer: If you like MLB the Show 16, you can come by my Twitch and talk some more baseball tonight twitch.tv/psporer24

4:41
Paul Sporer: Thanks again! Byeeeeeeeeeeeee





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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PaulyG
7 years ago

This guy has to be the biggest nerd on the planet.