Outfield ADP Market Report: 12/31/21
With drafts beginning to ramp up, it is important to monitor where players are being drafted on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day. You can find all the pieces in this series here.
Top 100 Players Rising
Bryan Reynolds (+9.78)- Reynolds’ rise is interesting. He is coming off of a great season in which he hit .302 with 24 home runs and five stolen bases. Typically a player like him won’t get the credit he deserves because he plays on such a bad team and had such a bad season in 2020. However, he is going to hit third in an improving lineup and is one of the few everyday players outside of the top 75 that you can bank on an elite average while not hurting you in other categories.
Top 100 Players Falling
Eloy Jiménez (-5.54)- It is a bit surprising to see Eloy falling here. It may be a matter of a lack of speed lowering him or just others jumping up. It was mostly a lost season for him, but there is no reason to think he cant get back to where he was prior to getting injured, which was a 30+ home run hitter with a good average.
Top 200 Players Rising
Chris Taylor (+13.63)- Taylor’s rise isn’t surprising since he was able to resign in Los Angeles. Taylor is coming off of a great season and with Corey Seager leaving for Texas, Taylor should be in line for everyday at bats and a repeat of his great 2021 season.
Avisaíl García (+14.62)- Garcia’s rise is also due to his signing a long term deal. That being said, I don’t love the landing spot in Miami. The park and lineup are a downgrade for him, but on the plus side, he will get everyday at bats Right now the price is fine, but if he continues to rise, I will likely begin to fade him.
Top 200 Players Falling
Cody Bellinger (-10.93)- I am actually a little surprised to see Bellinger dropping. He is coming off of a huge postseason where he hit .353/.436/.471 and usually there would be some helium from that. That being said, I am with the crowd here. Bellinger was atrocious in the regular season to the point that the Dodgers began to platoon him. The talent is still there, but it is so hard to pay a top 100 price even if he has top 10 upside.
Adolis Garcia (-16.52)- Garcia’s drop isn’t surprising considering how he struggled in the second half. Garcia has power and speed, but the contact issues will lend to huge streaks. On the plus side, there is not much in terms of competition in Texas’ outfield so he should get plenty of run even when he struggles. He is a nice boom/bust player if he continues to drop in drafts.
Top 300 Players Rising
Josh Rojas (+18.45)- Check this series article on shortstops.
Seiya Suzuki (+77.23)- Clearly the price is rising due to the posting of Suzuki. I am excited for him too, but I learned my lesson with Sugano last season by drafting him before he signed and then getting burned when he didn’t. With the CBA up in the air, it wouldn’t surprise me if he stays another year in Japan.
Enrique Hernandez (+21.93)- I think Hernandez’s rise has a lot to do with his huge postseason where he hit .408/.423/.837 with five home runs in 11 games. The problem is I don’t know where the added value comes from with him. He got 585 plate appearances and hit 20 home runs with a .250 average and one stolen base which feels about right. The multi-positional eligibility is great, but it’s a boring profile.
Mark Canha (+15.32)- Canha’s rise comes from his signing a long term deal in New York. It is an interesting fit for him. The park change is pretty neutral, but I am a bit worried about where he hits in the lineup and whether he is going to be allowed to run as much if he is hitting sixth like Roster Resource has him projected to.
Marcell Ozuna (+128.38)- Ozuna is rising after the news that his suspension will be counted as time served and he should be eligible to play at the beginning of the season. Considering he was a top 50-75 pick last year, it won’t be long before his price is inside to top 150-200.
Max Kepler (+15.41)- I am a bit surprised that Kepler is rising, but I can’t be too surprised as I have already drafted him in my first two drafts of the season. Kepler is coming off of a season where he hit just .211, but in spite of that he did swat 19 home runs and steal 10 bases. He got unlucky on balls in play with a .225 BABIP and I expect that to rebound. I still like the price even if it goes up a little more.
Top 300 Players Falling
Andrew Vaughn (-14.16)- Vaughn’s drop is a bit weird, but it is not out of the ordinary that the fantasy community devalues former top prospects if they don’t succeed right away. Vaughn struggled most of the season and really fell apart down the stretch. That being said, even with the struggles, he only struck out 21.5% of the time and there is power in the profile. He is not a huge target of mine, but I think there is some real upside in the bat.
Kyle Lewis (-26.69)- There is no doubt about the talent with Lewis, it is all about health. Lewis had a setback late in the season and was never able to get back on the field. I love the talent, but until we see he is healthy, I am fading him.
Others of Note
Connor Joe (+19.65)- Who doesn’t like a good cup of Joe? Joe was great when he was on the field, hitting .285/.379/.469 with eight home runs in 211 plate appearances. As of right now, he is projected to have a full time role and lead off the Rockies. That being said, it is the Rockies and we can’t really trust them like we might another team. Joe is an interesting upside play because if he plays regularly, he could be a really big contributor and right now the price is great.
Yoshi Tsutsugo (+149.46)- Tsutsugo’s rise is due to him resigning in Pittsburgh. While that might be a negative for some players, he was really good after landing with the Pirates. He has multi-positional eligibility, is projected to hit second and play everyday which makes him a gamble as long as he is going outside of the top 300 picks.
Clint Frazier (129.09)- Frazier’s rise has everything to do with his move to Chicago where he is expected to compete for an every day role. The talent is apparent, but he has struggled to stay on the field and until we see that, it is hard to bank on him.
| 11/15/21-12/31/21 | Player | Team | Position(s) | 10/1/21-11/14/21 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.88 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | SD | SS, OF | 1.67 | -0.21 |
| 3.88 | Juan Soto | WAS | OF | 3.61 | -0.27 |
| 10.66 | Bryce Harper | PHI | OF | 12.11 | 1.45 |
| 11.91 | Kyle Tucker | HOU | OF | 12.83 | 0.92 |
| 12 | Ronald Acuna Jr. | ATL | OF | 12.67 | 0.67 |
| 15.09 | Mookie Betts | LAD | OF | 11.72 | -3.37 |
| 15.44 | Mike Trout | LAA | OF | 15.44 | 0 |
| 18.49 | Luis Robert | CWS | OF | 18.78 | 0.29 |
| 28.37 | Starling Marte | NYM | OF | 27.61 | -0.76 |
| 28.96 | Cedric Mullins | BAL | OF | 26.61 | -2.35 |
| 30.62 | Whit Merrifield | KC | 2B, OF | 34 | 3.38 |
| 33.49 | Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | OF | 36.83 | 3.34 |
| 34.78 | Yordan Alvarez | HOU | OF | 36.39 | 1.61 |
| 41.57 | Aaron Judge | NYY | OF | 41.44 | -0.13 |
| 50.34 | Tyler O’Neill | STL | OF | 52.44 | 2.1 |
| 57.01 | George Springer | TOR | OF | 55.11 | -1.9 |
| 58 | Randy Arozarena | TB | OF | 56.94 | -1.06 |
| 60.26 | Nick Castellanos | CIN | OF | 61.67 | 1.41 |
| 64.1 | Eloy Jimenez | CWS | OF | 58.56 | -5.54 |
| 66.84 | Byron Buxton | MIN | OF | 67.78 | 0.94 |
| 83.26 | Tommy Edman | STL | 2B, OF | 82.89 | -0.37 |
| 84.37 | Ketel Marte | ARZ | 2B, OF | 83.72 | -0.65 |
| 86.34 | Kris Bryant | SF | 3B, OF | 92.28 | 5.94 |
| 87.85 | J.D. Martinez | BOS | OF | 89.67 | 1.82 |
| 96.26 | Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | OF | 100.61 | 4.35 |
| 97.44 | Bryan Reynolds | PIT | OF | 107.22 | 9.78 |
| 99.4 | Daulton Varsho | ARZ | C, OF | 102.44 | 3.04 |
| 103.71 | Cody Bellinger | LAD | OF | 92.78 | -10.93 |
| 104.41 | Christian Yelich | MLW | OF | 103.5 | -0.91 |
| 107.71 | Mitch Haniger | SEA | OF | 106.28 | -1.43 |
| 108.31 | Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | 1B, OF | 115.61 | 7.3 |
| 109.29 | Jesse Winker | CIN | OF | 106.33 | -2.96 |
| 122.65 | Kyle Schwarber | BOS | OF | 122.61 | -0.04 |
| 129.6 | Trent Grisham | SD | OF | 127 | -2.6 |
| 132.78 | Austin Meadows | TB | OF | 129.39 | -3.39 |
| 132.93 | Jarred Kelenic | SEA | OF | 137.28 | 4.35 |
| 134.82 | Myles Straw | CLE | OF | 139.61 | 4.79 |
| 144.72 | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | TOR | OF | 144.83 | 0.11 |
| 147.37 | Chris Taylor | LAD | 2B, SS, OF | 161 | 13.63 |
| 151.57 | Alex Verdugo | BOS | OF | 162.39 | 10.82 |
| 158.54 | Dylan Carlson | STL | OF | 154.78 | -3.76 |
| 161.13 | Akil Baddoo | DET | OF | 167.06 | 5.93 |
| 162.19 | Adolis Garcia | TEX | OF | 145.67 | -16.52 |
| 162.91 | Eddie Rosario | ATL | OF | 172.39 | 9.48 |
| 172.85 | Alex Kirilloff | MIN | 1B, OF | 178.17 | 5.32 |
| 174.93 | Robbie Grossman | DET | OF | 168.67 | -6.26 |
| 176.29 | Hunter Renfroe | MLW | OF | 174.56 | -1.73 |
| 177.88 | Avisail Garcia | MIA | OF | 192.5 | 14.62 |
| 185.54 | Joey Gallo | NYY | OF | 177.11 | -8.43 |
| 187.25 | Michael Conforto | NYM | OF | 188.67 | 1.42 |
| 192.37 | Ian Happ | CHC | OF | 187.83 | -4.54 |
| 194.5 | Jorge Soler | ATL | OF | 195.94 | 1.44 |
| 202.81 | Andrew Benintendi | KC | OF | 209.67 | 6.86 |
| 206.13 | Austin Hays | BAL | OF | 204 | -2.13 |
| 220.99 | Adam Duvall | ATL | OF | 215.78 | -5.21 |
| 221.15 | AJ Pollock | LAD | OF | 209.56 | -11.59 |
| 225.21 | Seiya Suzuki | FA | OF | 302.44 | 77.23 |
| 225.79 | Enrique Hernandez | BOS | 2B, OF | 247.72 | 21.93 |
| 226.34 | Marcell Ozuna | ATL | OF | 354.72 | 128.38 |
| 229.04 | Ramon Laureano | OAK | OF | 216.56 | -12.48 |
| 230.22 | Josh Rojas | ARZ | 2B, SS, OF | 248.67 | 18.45 |
| 231.1 | Andrew Vaughn | CWS | OF | 216.94 | -14.16 |
| 238.1 | Harrison Bader | STL | OF | 251.72 | 13.62 |
| 238.53 | Jesus Sanchez | MIA | OF | 227.06 | -11.47 |
| 241.07 | Jo Adell | LAA | OF | 246.28 | 5.21 |
| 244.81 | Anthony Santander | BAL | OF | 249.67 | 4.86 |
| 246.97 | Charlie Blackmon | COL | OF | 254.61 | 7.64 |
| 252.07 | Mark Canha | NYM | OF | 267.39 | 15.32 |
| 252.9 | Michael Brantley | HOU | OF | 248.78 | -4.12 |
| 264.79 | Lane Thomas | WAS | OF | 274.61 | 9.82 |
| 270.51 | Tommy Pham | SD | OF | 275.83 | 5.32 |
| 272.69 | Mike Yastrzemski | SF | OF | 282.06 | 9.37 |
| 275.22 | Raimel Tapia | COL | OF | 277.94 | 2.72 |
| 276.37 | Max Kepler | MIN | OF | 291.78 | 15.41 |
| 279.04 | Wil Myers | SD | OF | 281.11 | 2.07 |
| 285.75 | Kyle Lewis | SEA | OF | 259.06 | -26.69 |
| 287.03 | Garrett Hampson | COL | 2B, OF | 280.11 | -6.92 |
| 288.37 | Julio Rodriguez | SEA | OF | 279.78 | -8.59 |
| 292.88 | Eric Haase | DET | C, OF | 265.11 | -27.77 |
| 294.91 | Vidal Brujan | TB | OF | 281.33 | -13.58 |
| 298.34 | Brandon Nimmo | NYM | OF | 287.39 | -10.95 |
| 300.01 | Luis Arraez | MIN | 2B, 3B, OF | 341.67 | 41.66 |
| 304.53 | LaMonte Wade Jr. | SF | 1B, OF | 301.33 | -3.2 |
| 307.16 | Riley Greene | DET | OF | 305.78 | -1.38 |
| 314.41 | Jeff McNeil | NYM | 2B, OF | 294.56 | -19.85 |
| 316.87 | Rafael Ortega | CHC | OF | 313.72 | -3.15 |
| 335.96 | Andrew McCutchen | PHI | OF | 329.67 | -6.29 |
| 345.66 | Hunter Dozier | KC | 3B, OF | 332.44 | -13.22 |
| 348.28 | Tyler Naquin | CIN | OF | 346.06 | -2.22 |
| 359.79 | Sam Hilliard | COL | OF | 349.28 | -10.51 |
| 360.15 | Randal Grichuk | TOR | OF | 349.17 | -10.98 |
| 364.29 | Connor Joe | COL | OF | 383.94 | 19.65 |
| 364.84 | Pavin Smith | ARZ | 1B, OF | 352 | -12.84 |
| 378.51 | Josh Harrison | OAK | 2B, 3B, OF | 345.72 | -32.79 |
| 378.65 | Yoshi Tsutsugo | PIT | 1B, OF | 528.11 | 149.46 |
| 385.57 | Brandon Marsh | LAA | OF | 335.22 | -50.35 |
| 385.66 | Manuel Margot | TB | OF | 369 | -16.66 |
| 394.84 | Jorge Alfaro | SD | C, OF | 395.61 | 0.77 |
| 395.96 | Dominic Smith | NYM | OF | 343.11 | -52.85 |
| 403.51 | Tony Kemp | OAK | 2B, OF | 390.94 | -12.57 |
| 406.12 | Victor Robles | WAS | OF | 347.5 | -58.62 |
| 408.47 | Clint Frazier | CHC | OF | 537.56 | 129.09 |
| 415.25 | Jarren Duran | BOS | OF | 417.39 | 2.14 |
| 421.07 | Willie Calhoun | TEX | OF | 392.06 | -29.01 |
| 421.25 | Lorenzo Cain | MLW | OF | 405.61 | -15.64 |
| 421.72 | Dylan Moore | SEA | 2B, OF | 387.06 | -34.66 |
| 428.74 | Joc Pederson | ATL | OF | 389.06 | -39.68 |
| 430.71 | Aaron Hicks | NYY | OF | 414.72 | -15.99 |
| 431.31 | Michael A. Taylor | KC | OF | 411.33 | -19.98 |
| 443.18 | Jorge Mateo | BAL | OF | 386.78 | -56.4 |
| 453.44 | Chas McCormick | HOU | OF | 437.17 | -16.27 |
| 454.04 | Kole Calhoun | TEX | OF | 574.22 | 120.18 |
| 459.22 | Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | OF | 399.06 | -60.16 |
| 471.43 | Nick Senzel | CIN | OF | 464.17 | -7.26 |
| 475.03 | Darin Ruf | SF | 1B, OF | 436.56 | -38.47 |
| 476.76 | Jurickson Profar | SD | 1B, OF | 518.72 | 41.96 |
| 480.19 | Tyler Wade | LAA | 3B, SS, OF | 581.56 | 101.37 |
| 481.38 | David Peralta | ARZ | OF | 465.06 | -16.32 |
| 483.56 | Josh Lowe | TB | OF | 385.06 | -98.5 |
| 486.63 | Tyrone Taylor | MLW | OF | 478.17 | -8.46 |
| 496.57 | Seth Brown | OAK | OF | 534.22 | 37.65 |
| 510.49 | Garrett Cooper | MIA | OF | 460.11 | -50.38 |
| 514.65 | Bradley Zimmer | CLE | OF | 467.17 | -47.48 |
| 517.35 | Leury Garcia | CWS | 2B, OF | 580.5 | 63.15 |
| 518.09 | Kyle Isbel | KC | OF | 480.83 | -37.26 |
| 538.75 | Harold Ramirez | CHC | OF | 545 | 6.25 |
| 541.43 | Trevor Larnach | MIN | OF | 481.28 | -60.15 |
| 542.97 | Leody Taveras | TEX | OF | 487.72 | -55.25 |
| 547.4 | Austin Slater | SF | OF | 501.33 | -46.07 |
| 558.04 | Justin Upton | LAA | OF | 528.72 | -29.32 |
| 560.44 | Lars Nootbaar | STL | OF | 591.33 | 30.89 |
| 564.68 | Jose Siri | HOU | OF | 559 | -5.68 |
| 567.57 | Nick Gordon | MIN | OF | 515.72 | -51.85 |
| 573.6 | Brad Miller | PHI | 1B, OF | 531 | -42.6 |
| 577.69 | Brennen Davis | CHC | OF | 531.5 | -46.19 |
| 577.88 | Steven Kwan | CLE | OF | 653.61 | 75.73 |
| 578.04 | Jace Peterson | MLW | 1B, 2B, OF | 608.61 | 30.57 |
| 588.1 | Victor Reyes | DET | OF | 622.83 | 34.73 |
| 588.56 | Jake Meyers | HOU | OF | 536.28 | -52.28 |
| 594.79 | Edward Olivares | KC | OF | 547.56 | -47.23 |
| 596.78 | Alek Thomas | ARZ | OF | 564.56 | -32.22 |
| 598.37 | Kevin Kiermaier | TB | OF | 583.06 | -15.31 |
| 609.31 | Josh Naylor | CLE | OF | 586.94 | -22.37 |
| 611.9 | Corey Dickerson | TOR | OF | 564.11 | -47.79 |
| 620.25 | Yadiel Hernandez | WAS | OF | 628.33 | 8.08 |
| 628.49 | Matt Beaty | LAD | 1B, OF | 633 | 4.51 |
| 630.07 | Anthony Alford | PIT | OF | 671.67 | 41.6 |
| 630.25 | Phil Gosselin | LAA | 1B, 3B, OF | 542.61 | -87.64 |
| 632.5 | Oscar Mercado | CLE | OF | 600.28 | -32.22 |
| 637.75 | Matt Vierling | PHI | OF | 642.78 | 5.03 |
| 638.65 | Odubel Herrera | PHI | OF | 571.89 | -66.76 |
| 639.44 | Chad Pinder | OAK | OF | 672.94 | 33.5 |
| 641.5 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | BOS | OF | 694.67 | 53.17 |
| 644.12 | Ben Gamel | PIT | OF | 741.11 | 96.99 |
| 651.07 | Jake Fraley | SEA | OF | 578.06 | -73.01 |
| 654.26 | Mauricio Dubon | SF | 2B, SS, OF | 576 | -78.26 |
| 655.81 | Alex Dickerson | SF | OF | 588.78 | -67.03 |
| 662.24 | Cristian Pache | ATL | OF | 650 | -12.24 |
| 662.25 | Kevin Pillar | NYM | OF | 576.61 | -85.64 |
| 669.09 | Steven Duggar | SF | OF | 659.17 | -9.92 |
| 671.65 | Zach McKinstry | LAD | 2B, OF | 632.44 | -39.21 |
| 672.85 | Brett Phillips | TB | OF | 644.89 | -27.96 |
| 683.31 | Jason Heyward | CHC | OF | 679.67 | -3.64 |
| 690.18 | Lewis Brinson | MIA | OF | 584.5 | -105.68 |
| 692.04 | Gregory Polanco | PIT | OF | 628.94 | -63.1 |
| 694.44 | Yonathan Daza | COL | OF | 702.33 | 7.89 |
| 696.38 | Miguel Andujar | NYY | OF | 659.78 | -36.6 |
| 699.43 | Adam Engel | CWS | OF | NA | NA |
| 705.63 | Aristides Aquino | CIN | OF | 690.61 | -15.02 |
| 708.88 | Austin Martin | TOR | OF | 668.06 | -40.82 |
| 710.29 | Stephen Piscotty | OAK | OF | 720.72 | 10.43 |
| 714.97 | Greg Allen | PIT | OF | 647.11 | -67.86 |
| 716.01 | Nelson Velazquez | CHC | OF | 709.22 | -6.79 |
| 721.21 | Heliot Ramos | SF | OF | 689.11 | -32.1 |
| 725.51 | Taylor Ward | LAA | OF | 709.61 | -15.9 |
| 726.24 | Taylor Trammell | SEA | OF | 685.56 | -40.68 |
| 726.82 | Ryan Vilade | COL | OF | 741.33 | 14.51 |
| 729.26 | Scott Kingery | PHI | OF | 740.94 | 11.68 |
| 729.68 | Pedro Leon | FA | OF | 694.11 | -35.57 |
| 730.82 | Daz Cameron | DET | OF | 708.22 | -22.6 |
| 733.31 | Brent Rooker | MIN | OF | 673.78 | -59.53 |
| 734.1 | TJ Friedl | CIN | OF | 744.17 | 10.07 |
| 735.78 | DJ Stewart | BAL | OF | NA | NA |
| 736.1 | Jake McCarthy | ARZ | OF | 722.78 | -13.32 |
| 738.65 | Andrew Stevenson | WAS | OF | 734.89 | -3.76 |
| 738.97 | Jordan Luplow | ARZ | OF | 724 | -14.97 |
| 739.49 | Drew Waters | ATL | OF | 688.33 | -51.16 |
| 740.04 | Derek Hill | DET | OF | 697.61 | -42.43 |
| 740.9 | Brian Goodwin | CWS | OF | 734.83 | -6.07 |
| 741.88 | David Dahl | TEX | OF | 726.61 | -15.27 |
| 741.93 | Billy McKinney | TEX | OF | 745.28 | 3.35 |
| 741.97 | Jake Bauers | SEA | 1B, OF | 746.11 | 4.14 |
| 742.29 | Brett Gardner | NYY | OF | 729.11 | -13.18 |
| 742.44 | Shin-Soo Choo | FA | OF | NA | NA |
| 742.76 | Orlando Arcia | ATL | OF | 750.06 | 7.3 |
| 743.51 | Ryan O’Hearn | KC | 1B, OF | 733.22 | -10.29 |
| 744.21 | Jared Oliva | PIT | OF | 731.06 | -13.15 |
| 745.63 | Max Schrock | CIN | OF | 698.83 | -46.8 |
| 746.22 | Michael Hermosillo | CHC | OF | 750.22 | 4 |
| 746.51 | Cooper Hummel | ARZ | OF | 746.39 | -0.12 |
| 746.53 | Khalil Lee | NYM | OF | 739.28 | -7.25 |
| 746.62 | Franchy Cordero | BOS | OF | 734.5 | -12.12 |
| 746.72 | Tim Locastro | BOS | OF | 739.89 | -6.83 |
| 746.94 | Mickey Moniak | PHI | OF | 749.5 | 2.56 |
| 747.46 | Corey Ray | MLW | OF | NA | NA |
| 747.75 | Shogo Akiyama | CIN | OF | NA | NA |
| 748.16 | Ender Inciarte | CIN | OF | NA | NA |
| 748.37 | Jarrod Dyson | TOR | OF | NA | NA |
| 749.1 | Tyler Nevin | BAL | OF | 741 | -8.1 |
| 749.24 | Zac Veen | FA | OF | 725.72 | -23.52 |
| 749.37 | Kyle Stowers | FA | OF | NA | NA |
| 749.54 | Magneuris Sierra | MIA | OF | 743.28 | -6.26 |
| 749.71 | Billy Hamilton | CWS | OF | 743.11 | -6.6 |
| 749.76 | Adam Haseley | PHI | OF | NA | NA |
| 750.03 | Travis Demeritte | ATL | OF | 744.06 | -5.97 |
| 750.03 | Gilberto Celestino | MIN | OF | NA | NA |
| 750.41 | Shed Long Jr. | SEA | OF | NA | NA |
| 750.51 | Luis Barrera | OAK | OF | NA | NA |
| 750.54 | Adam Eaton | LAA | OF | 665.28 | -85.26 |
| 750.56 | Estevan Florial | NYY | OF | 730.11 | -20.45 |
| 750.69 | Monte Harrison | MIA | OF | NA | NA |
| 750.76 | Jake Lamb | TOR | OF | 749.61 | -1.15 |
| 750.78 | Mallex Smith | SEA | OF | 727.5 | -23.28 |
| 750.78 | Ehire Adrianza | ATL | OF | NA | NA |
| 750.82 | Chris Owings | COL | OF | 747.61 | -3.21 |
| 750.82 | Alfonso Rivas | CHC | OF | 749.78 | -1.04 |
| 750.84 | Josh Reddick | ARZ | OF | NA | NA |
| 750.84 | Nomar Mazara | DET | OF | NA | NA |
| NA | DJ Stewart | BAL | OF | 736.67 | #VALUE! |
| NA | Stuart Fairchild | ARZ | OF | 742.56 | #VALUE! |
| NA | Roman Quinn | PHI | OF | 743.89 | #VALUE! |
| NA | Trayce Thompson | CHC | OF | 746.22 | #VALUE! |
| NA | Henry Ramos | ARZ | OF | 747.17 | #VALUE! |
| NA | Danny Santana | BOS | OF | 747.72 | #VALUE! |
| NA | Delino DeShields | CIN | OF | 749.17 | #VALUE! |
| NA | Jake Cave | MIN | OF | 749.67 | #VALUE! |
| NA | Jake Marisnick | SD | OF | 749.78 | #VALUE! |
| NA | Guillermo Heredia | ATL | OF | 750.06 | #VALUE! |
Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as other periodic articles. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.
Justin, these are really helpful and I appreciate them a lot. That said, I would disagree that Jimenez is someone with a “good average.” He ran an elevated BABIP in 2020 that didn’t come with any real improvements (faster speed, more line drives, fewer infield flies). He did have a slightly lower pull percentage, so maybe he hit groundballs into the shift a bit less?
Otherwise, outside of that anomalous season, he has had a career .260ish average. It’s fine, but certainly not “good.”
The power is definitely there, and there may be some improvements with a return to full health, but I wouldn’t bet on any more .290 averages. If anything, he has slowed even more, with his SPD score dropping to 355 out of 362 hitters with more than 200 plate appearances. And 253 out of 557 in Statcast HP to 1B time. So he’s not likely to get many additional infield hits.
League average the last two years was .245 and .244 and there were only 23 qualified hitters who hit .290, the vast majority of whom are not power hitters comparable to Eloy. So, I guess it depends how you define “good,” but I’d call it good if he hits .260 or above.
That’s a good point. I find it hard to recalibrate my idea about what is average in the new environment. Fair point though. If he hits .260ish with upside for .290, that probably does qualify as “good” now.