Outfield 2024 Fantasy Rankings

Kiyoshi Mio-USA TODAY Sports

Updates

  • I quickly reran the rankings with a big boost to Sean Bouchard’s and Estevan Florial’s playing time.

Outfield Overview

The outfield position allows a fantasy manager to a certain player at all points of the draft. Early speed, late speed. Early power late power. Also, there is always a balanced player available.

The big oh-no moment happens around the 90th-ranked outfielder is that strong-side platoons start.  There are around 20 players with at least dual eligibility but that still leaves about 70 good full-timers to draft. In a 12-team, five-outfielder league, the total needed is 60, so the starters are covered, and most of the bench bats. It’s when a league is 15-team or deeper, platoon bats come into play.

With each additional revision, I will expand the list beyond 110 guys and include more writeups. I will put all of the changes here at the beginning so there is no reason to go searching the article for them.


Changelog

  • 3/20/2024 – Possibly the last ranking.
  • 3/11/2024 – Reranked a few guys but not much of a change
  • 2/23/2024 – Boost to Sean Bouchard’s and Estevan Florial’s playing time
  • 2/13/2024 – Jorge Soler and Jurickson Profar signed.
  • 2/8/2024 – Reworked playing time on many guys and wrote a few more evaluations.
  • 1/31/2024 – Added new projections to my base evaluation.
  • 1/22/2024 – Added writeups on a few players and added a few more prospects.
  • 1/15/2024 – Added about a dozen players and included a few more player writeups.
  • 1/8/2024 – Expanded outfield list. Note changes for three traded players and Hernandez signing. Added another tier on part-time players.
  • 1/4/2024 – Harrison Bader signed and a new tier added.
  • 1/4/2024 – First Release

Ranking Methodology

  • ADP is based on 30-day rolling NFBC Draft Champions Leagues.
  • $ Values are based on standard 5×5 12-team league using the FanGraphs Depth Charts and these Auction Calculator settings. They default to a player’s most valuable position, so if the first base list includes a catcher, it will show that player’s value at catcher.
  • ADP and $ Values are updated as of the last update date on this post.
  • 5-game eligibility was used for these lists to cast the widest net.

Five-Category Studs

These hitters provide value in every aspect of the game with speed, power, and batting average. There are no flaws in their game.
Five-Category Studs
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Ronald Acuna Jr. ATL OF 1 $56
2 Kyle Tucker HOU OF 7 $33
3 Julio Rodriguez SEA OF 3 $33
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. SDP OF 8 $34
5 Aaron Judge NYY OF 12 $33
6 Mookie Betts LAD 2B/SS/OF 5 $29
7 Corbin Carroll ARI OF 6 $29

Fernando Tatis Jr. disappointed last season by being good, not great. It’ll be interesting to see if he kicks the rust off this season. He didn’t show any signs of it last season with a 1H .871 OPS and a .660 OPS in the 2H.

If someone is looking for an early sleeper, it’s Aaron Judge. If healthy for a full season, he could easily be the best hitter in 2024. One red flag is his Sprint Speed dropping from 27.3 ft/s to 26.6 ft/s.

Mookie Betts is the only elite hitter with position flexibility.

On June 29th, Corbin Carroll injured his shoulder. Before the injury, he had a .926 OPS with 17 HR. From then on, he posted a .808 OPS with 8 HR. The elite production didn’t return in the postseason where he hit a .773 OPS with 2 HR.

Four-Category Studs

Some of these hitters may be better real-life players than those in the above tier but are lacking in one roto category, usually steals.
Four-Category Studs
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
8 Juan Soto NYY OF 10 $31
9 Yordan Alvarez HOU OF 16 $31

Yordan Alvarez may be the best true hitter in the game right now, but he can’t steal a base thereby being his own tier.

Five-Category Pillars

These hitters are good across the board but don’t match up to those in the first tier.
Five-Category Pillars
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
10 Luis Robert CHW OF 33 $24
11 Michael Harris II ATL OF 29 $22
12 Randy Arozarena TBR OF 44 $17
14 Adolis Garcia TEX OF 46 $16
15 Cody Bellinger CHC 1B/OF 60 $16
17 Nolan Jones COL 1B/OF 56 $16
18 George Springer TOR OF 122 $12
19 Christian Yelich MIL OF 78 $13
21 Bryan Reynolds PIT OF 91 $13

Luis Robert finally started in more than 100 games and showed his true talent with 38 HR and 20 SB. Can he repeat the health?

Michael Harris II stumbled out of the gates by hitting .174/.260/.266 with 2 HR and 5 SB until June 1st. From then on, he hit .326/.352 /.535 with 16 HR and 15 SB.

Randy Arozarena is a good hitter (.260 AVG, 20 HR, 25 SB) with little upside or downside.

Adolis Garcia’s value hinges on him getting back to mid-teens stolen bases after stealing just nine in 2023. His Sprint Speed has been on a slow decline (29.1 Ft/s to 28.4 to 28.0 to 27.3) and now he’s just a league-average runner (49th percentile).

Cody Bellinger remains a free agent and his value will change once he signs.

The 25-year-old Nolan Jones had a breakout season with 20 HR, 20 SB, and a .297 AVG. Some AVG regression should be expected as his .401 BABIP drops. One other obvious issue is that the Rockies are horrible and his Runs and RBI numbers are lower than similar hitters. He’s one of the few Rockies who won’t need to be sat when on the road.

George Springer took advantage of the new rules and posted a career-high 20 stolen bases (5 CS) in his age 33 season. He stole those bases with his sprint speed dropping from 28.3 ft/s to 27.8 ft/s (62th percentile). His power is down for the second straight year as seen by his average Exit Velocity (89.4 to 88.7 to 88.3), Isolated Power (.291 to .205 to .147), and home run per flyball (21% to 16$ to 12%). Springer needed nearly 700 PA to get 21 HR last season. I’d not be surprised if his home run total ends up in the mid-teens.

While Christian Yelich no longer hits close to 40 HR, he continues to provide three-category production (19 HR, 28 SB, .278 AVG in 2023). Currently, there are no signs of him slowing down with his Sprint Speed steady at 28.1 ft/s (70th percentile).

Elite Power Bat, Nothing Else

Kyle Schwarber gets his own tier because he doesn’t fit in elsewhere.
Elite Power Bat, Nothing Else
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
13 Kyle Schwarber PHI OF 92 $15

While most of the heavily shifted lefties saw a batting average boost, Kyle Schwarber’s tanked to .197. He will provide real-life value with his 18% BB% and 47 HR but if he continues to lead off, his 720 plate appearances of a sub-.200 AVG is a category killer.

Good Hitters, Major Injury Risks

These hitters have the chance to join the top two tiers, but just can’t find a way to stay on the field. If a fantasy manager is looking for a breakout, attack this grouping. From now on, the talent flattens out with the next six tiers filled with flawed regulars.
Good Hitters, Major Injury Risks
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
16 Jazz Chisholm Jr. MIA OF 71 $16
20 Mike Trout LAA OF 69 $19
54 Starling Marte NYM OF 218 $10

Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s on-the-field talent is through the roof, but he just can’t stay on the fielder. His games played over the past three seasons have been 124, 60, and 97. Prorating his 19 HR and 22 SB from 2023 to 600 PA makes him a star. He can’t put up elite numbers on the IL.

Here are Mike Trout’s plate appearance totals over the past three seasons: 146, 499, 362. And here are his stolen bases: 2, 1, 2. Also, in 2023, he posted a .858 OPS, the first time it has been under .900 since 2011. I feel bad to see him this low, but there is nothing in his profile pointing upward. I remember Miguel Cabrera’s decline and the 32-year-old Trout is starting his decline.

Injuries have derailed Starling Marte’s career. Over the past three seasons, he has played in over 120 games. The injury and age have started to take a toll on the 35-year-old’s production. Last season, his ISO dropped under .100 for the first time in his career. His .625 OPS was also a career low. Marte was considered a steal source but his Sprint speed has dropped from 28.4 ft/s to 28.0 to 27.1 over the past two seasons.

Balanced 2nd Division Bat (Pick Your Poison Tiers)

This tier and the next four tiers comprise the point in the draft where the talent starts to level off and fantasy managers can focus on category specialists. Some of the unbalanced bats may provide some other category juice but most of their value is wrapped up in a single category. I’m still working on how to exactly rank these six tiers. This is another balanced tier but, in these instances, their trait is not being a drag in any category. They won’t allow a manager to catch up in any category.
Balanced 2nd Division Bat (Pick Your Poison Tiers)
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
24 Chas McCormick HOU OF 168 $6
25 Lane Thomas WSN OF 122 $10
28 Teoscar Hernandez LAD OF 120 $15
29 Josh Lowe TBR OF 90 $4
30 Ian Happ CHC OF 167 $9
32 Seiya Suzuki CHC OF 110 $10
36 Brandon Nimmo NYM OF 199 $6
37 Spencer Steer CIN 1B/2B/3B/OF 115 $6
40 Jordan Walker STL OF 126 $7
43 Taylor Ward LAA OF 227 $7
44 Riley Greene DET OF 167 $7
64 Sean Bouchard COL OF 451 -$8
66 Luis Rengifo LAA 2B/3B/SS/OF 239 $1
69 Mark Canha DET 1B/OF 420 -$2
72 Lars Nootbaar STL OF 230 $0
75 Tommy Pham OF 359 -$5
96 Andrew McCutchen PIT OF 582 -$7
99 Eddie Rosario WSN OF 473 -$10
101 Brendan Donovan STL 1B/2B/3B/OF 291 -$1

If someone is looking for a sleeper, Chas McCormick could be it. In three seasons, he’s never played in over 119 games but Dusty Baker is gone as the Astros manager. In just over 450 PA last season, McCormick produced 22 HR, 19 SB, and a .273 AVG. The batting average might regress to his career .259 AVG but the counting stats could jump up if he plays in 145+ games.

Lane Thomas got a chance to play every day, and he took advantage of it with 28 HR, 20 SB, and a .268 AVG. A great target when building a balanced team.

Teoscar Hernandez is on a slow decline with ISO down three straight seasons (.289 to .227 to .224 to .178) and K% up the last two (25% to 28% to 31%). In 2023, it was the first time he played it over 145 games and got over 600 PA. Cap his plate appearances at 525. Where he fits into the Dodgers lineup will go a long way to setting his value. If everyone is healthy, the highest he’ll hit is 5th but could hit as low as eighth.

Josh Lowe doesn’t play against lefties (career .534 OPS vs LHP, .827 OPS vs RHP) nor should he. His plate appearances are capped around 500 since he will enter games to pinch hit.

After posting a .713 OPS for the first four months of the season, Seiya Suzuki took a break before posting a 1.072 OPS over the last two months. Over those two months, he hit 12 of his 20 home runs. He just flipped a switch with his power up (.170 ISO to .317 ISO) and strikeouts down (23% K% to 17% K%). If someone wants a sleeper, prorate out Suzuki’s final two months.

Spencer Steer’s talent projections are decent (20 HR, 10 SB, .255 AVG) but his real value is being qualified at three to four positions (OF, 1B, 2B, 3B) depending on the league’s rules.

The 21-year-old Jordan Walker shined in Spring Training (.277/.299/.492 with 3 HR). He ended the season with some OK numbers (16 HR, 7 SB, .276 AVG) with a chance to take a step forward in 2024.

Taylor Ward’s ranking might be a bit aggressive. The 30-year-old has only played over 100 games once in his career.

Power and Average but zero Speed (Pick Your Poison Tiers)

The major contribution from these hitters is home runs and batting average but no stolen bases.
Power and Average but zero Speed (Pick Your Poison Tiers)
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
33 Eloy Jimenez CHW OF 229 $14
45 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ARI OF 234 $4
53 Austin Hays BAL OF 316 $5

While Eloy Jimenez is in the Power-only tier, he does provide an above-average batting average

Power Focused (Pick Your Poison Tiers)

The major contribution from these hitters is home runs.
Power Focused (Pick Your Poison Tiers)
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
22 Nick Castellanos PHI OF 110 $10
23 Anthony Santander BAL 1B/OF 144 $13
39 Jorge Soler SFG OF 170 $8
48 Max Kepler MIN OF 280 $4
49 Brent Rooker OAK OF 299 $1
51 Kerry Carpenter DET OF 233 $1
59 Nelson Velazquez KCR OF 291 -$10
61 Bryan De La Cruz MIA OF 277 $3
67 Seth Brown OAK 1B/OF 480 -$2
68 Mitch Haniger SEA OF 390 -$1
78 Hunter Renfroe KCR 1B/OF 380 -$8
86 Michael Conforto SFG OF 421 -$4
94 Ryan Noda OAK 1B/OF 423 -$8
103 Kevin Kiermaier TOR OF 537 -$10
108 Joey Gallo WSN 1B/OF 512 -$12
113 Jurickson Profar SDP 1B/OF 646 -$14
126 Hunter Goodman COL 1B/OF ▼11 530 -$19
139 Adam Duvall ATL OF ▼47 460 -$15

Somehow in Nick Castellanos’s age-31 season, he stole more bases (11) than in any previous season. The stolen bases are needed with his strikeouts heading up for the second straight season (21% to 23% to 28%). He struggled with spin. The swinging-strike rate on his curve jumped from 17% to 31%, 24% to 27% on his slider, and 16% to 21% on cutters. The seasons of being a batting average contributor may be coming to a close.

I looked around to find anything interesting to adjust the projections on Anthony Santander. What you see is what you get … about 30 HR and a .250 AVG.

Kerry Carpenter posted a .278 AVG with 20 HR and 6 SB last season in just 459 PA. The problem is that there is no prorating out the numbers because he struggled against lefties. So far in his career, he has a .643 OPS against lefties (2 HR) and a .843 OPS against righties (18 HR). On the upside though, he bumped his Sprint Speed up to 28.1 ft/sec from 17.3 ft/sec in 2022. Last season, hitters who had a similar Sprint Speed attempted 17 steals.

Kansas City should give Nelson Velazquez plenty of at-bats and be a nice home run source.

Mitch Haniger has played in over 61 games since 2021 while his skills are on a major decline. His ISO has been on a three-year decline (.244 to .232 to .183 to .156). Over the past two seasons, he’s only stolen two bases. He just doesn’t do much anymore.

Follow Hunter Goodman’s playing time chances as the season nears. He’s a talented bat but the team is loaded with too many DH types.

Speed Focused (Pick Your Poison Tiers)

The major contribution of these hitters is stolen bases.
Speed Focused (Pick Your Poison Tiers)
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
26 T.J. Friedl CIN OF 171 -$4
27 Cedric Mullins II BAL OF 152 $9
46 Esteury Ruiz OAK OF 127 $6
47 Jarren Duran BOS OF 150 $3
55 Leody Taveras TEX OF 273 $2
56 Willi Castro MIN 2B/3B/SS/OF 296 -$8
76 Tommy Edman STL 2B/SS/OF 204 -$1
104 Whit Merrifield PHI 2B/OF 276 -$11
109 Jon Berti MIA 2B/3B/SS/OF 447 -$10
120 Myles Straw CLE OF 630 -$15
134 Isiah Kiner-Falefa TOR 3B/OF 502 -$12
137 Victor Robles WSN OF 556 -$9
143 Jake McCarthy ARI OF 486 -$30

T.J. Friedl would sit or get buried in the lineup against lefties but he hit them better than righties. There is a chance Friedl hits first or second all season, gets 650+ PA, and ends up a top-50 hitter.

Cedric Mullins II has struggled against lefties (.657 OPS vs .792 OPS) over his career. At times, the struggles have cost him playing time. He dealt with a mid-season quad/groin injury. After the injury, he stole just 6 bases and hit .209/.249/.386. The 29-year-old has some nice upside if he can stay healthy and take advantage of the new rules that allow more stolen bases.

Esteury Ruiz was hitting so poorly to start the 2023 season (.640 OPS in the 1H), that Tony Kemp started stealing playing time from him. While Ruiz can steal a ton of bags (68 SB in 533 career PA), he’s a horrible real-life hitter (career .640 OPS). Even the A’s have some standards

In 102 games, Jarren Duran became a nice fantasy asset with his .295 AVG and 24 SB. He made major gains with this strikeout rate dropping from 36% to 28% to 25% over the past two seasons. One issue that hasn’t gone away is his struggles with lefties, especially getting to any power. In his career, he has a .570 OPS against lefties and .762 against rightes. Of the last 15 lefty starters the team faced before he went on the IL, he only faced two of them, Austin Cox (Royals) and Sam Long (A’s) who were both openers (total 3 IP).

The 25-year-old Leody Taveras has been making significant improvements since making it to the majors with his OPS increasing from .477 to .675 to .733. While he was known as a speedster coming through the minors, he’s become a more balanced player (14 HR, 14 SB, .266 AVG in 2023). With decent prospects in the Rangers minor league system, Taveras might get platooned. Last season he posted just .638 OPS against lefties (.643 in ’22).

For now, Willi Castro will play a ton of centerfield.

Tommy Edman was getting buried at the bottom of the Cards lineup against righties (.686 OPS vs RHP over the past three seasons). If it wasn’t for Edman’s great defense, he would be at risk of being benched since he’s a .700 OPS talent.

Where Whit Merrifield signs will go a long way in determining his role.

The Marlins shortstop situation is up in the air but if Jon Berti wins the job expect his value to jump to near the top-50 batters.

Average Focused (Pick Your Poison Tiers)

The major contribution from these hitters is batting average.
Average Focused (Pick Your Poison Tiers)
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
38 Steven Kwan CLE OF 211 $5
41 Masataka Yoshida BOS OF 192 $9
58 Jeff McNeil NYM 2B/OF 315 $3
62 Andrew Benintendi CHW OF 362 $2
82 Alex Verdugo NYY OF 313 -$3
88 Charlie Blackmon COL OF 430 $0
136 Dominic Fletcher CHW OF 609 -$13

Steven Kwan is the first AVG specialist with a ton of plate appearances (>700 in 2023).

Masataka Yoshida performed as expected with a stellar .289 AVG and some power (15 HR) and (8 SB). His season can be divided into two halves based on getting hit on the leg on July 1st where he missed a couple of days. Before the hit-by-pitch, he was hitting .305/.377/.477 with an 89.6 mph avgEV and 11% K%. After the event, he posted a .271/.292/.411 with an 88.3 avgEV and 17% K%. Don’t be surprised if he stops stealing bases with just a 26.2 ft/s Sprint Speed.

Andrew Benintendi might provide the emptiest 600 PA possible (5 HR, 13 SB, .262 AVG), especially the 45 RBI.

There is a chance that Alex Verdugo gets platooned (career .665 OPS vs LHP, .807 OPS vs RHP).

Speed and Power but Average Sink (Pick Your Poison Tiers)

These hitters provide a combination of home runs and stolen bases but a major drag in batting average.
Speed and Power but Average Sink (Pick Your Poison Tiers)
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
31 Daulton Varsho TOR OF 214 $9
34 Tyler O’Neill BOS OF 215 $10
35 James Outman LAD OF 192 $2
42 MJ Melendez KCR C/OF 295 $16
50 Jose Siri TBR OF 280 $2
57 Jack Suwinski PIT OF 240 $0
60 Christopher Morel CHC 2B/3B/OF 187 $6
65 Parker Meadows DET OF 275 -$5
84 Henry Davis PIT OF 236 -$4
87 Estevan Florial CLE OF 584 -$17
91 Jesus Sanchez MIA OF 410 -$4
93 Ramon Laureano CLE OF 447 -$3
100 Chris Taylor LAD 3B/SS/OF 387 -$12
105 Michael A. Taylor PIT OF 601 -$12
114 Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC OF 431 -$19
138 Ji Hwan Bae PIT 2B/OF ▼18 542 -$24

Daulton Varsho’s surprising rank comes from projections pointing to 25 HR and 15 SB in a full season of plate appearances.

Tyler O’Neill needs to lay off the Weight Gain 4000 and try to stay a little limber. The muscle-bound 28-year-old has already spent 284 days on the IL and last season his back strain kept him from holding his newborn daughter. The injuries probably led to his Sprint Speed dropping from 29.8 ft/s to 28.5 ft/s last season.

A cursory look at James Outman projection points to ~20 HR power with ~10 SB. As for his batting average, it’ll be a drain in the range of .230 AVG to .240 AVG. He’ll need a BABIP over .300 for that high of batting average with his career 32% K%. The counting stats aren’t that safe since he was platooned last season. Against lefties, he posted a .664 OPS and .857 OPS against righties. In the minors, he showed the same large split with a .776 OPS against lefties and .911 OPS against righties.

With 10 games at catcher, MJ Melendez’s fantasy value will have wide swings depending on if he’s a catcher in the league. This ranking for him is just as an outfielder (auction value takes catcher into account). The StatCast power metrics love him. with a 96th percentile avgEV and 91% HardHit%. He needs to focus on pulling the ball to take advantage of short corner fences.

Jose Siri was close to being in the Platoon Tier (career .604 OPS vs LHP, .741 OPS vs RHP) but it seems like everyone on the Rays is in a platoon.

Jack Suwinski is a StatCast darling in both speed (81st percentile Spring Speed) and power (94th percentile Barrel%). Strikeouts (career 32% K%) are a major drag leading to a career .226 AVG.

If Christopher Morel remains on the Cubs, he won’t maximize his playing time because of his defensive limitations.

Henry Davis could end up catching and see his value jump quite a bit.

Platoon Bats

These guys are strong-side platoon bats who will max out around 400 to 500 plate appearances.
Platoon Bats
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
71 Sal Frelick MIL OF 272 $0
74 Jake Fraley CIN OF 333 $3
77 Will Benson CIN OF ▲12 293 -$2
79 Evan Carter TEX OF 128 $5
81 Joc Pederson ARI OF 422 -$3
83 Alek Thomas ARI OF 354 $0
85 Jarred Kelenic ATL OF ▼22 222 -$5
89 Mike Yastrzemski SFG OF 514 -$4
90 Harrison Bader NYM OF 359 -$4
92 Ryan O’Hearn BAL 1B/OF 409 -$4
95 LaMonte Wade Jr. SFG 1B/OF 397 -$5
97 Luke Raley SEA 1B/OF 342 -$9
98 Matt Wallner MIN OF 328 -$8
107 Mickey Moniak LAA OF 413 -$6
123 J.J. Bleday OAK OF 566 -$10
124 Joey Wiemer MIL OF 557 -$21
127 Dylan Carlson STL OF 553 -$13
130 Garrett Mitchell MIL OF 387 -$6
135 Connor Joe PIT 1B/OF 594 -$14
147 Austin Slater SFG OF 748 -$19
148 Gavin Sheets CHW 1B/OF 666 -$20

Will Benson to end up on the strong side of a platoon (career .400 OPS vs LHP, .938 vs RHP) in a stacked lineup. He didn’t start against the last eight lefties the Reds faced. A ~30% K% will limit his upside, he provides some speed and power.

Evan Carter will see limited playing time because of the Rangers’ stacked lineup and his inability to hit lefties (.091 OPS vs LHP, 1.238 vs RHP in a small sample).

It’s a make-or-break season for Jarred Kelenic who gets a new start in Atlanta. He’s struggled so far in his career but just has a .566 OPS in about 300 PA against lefties (.696 OPS vs RHP).

By signing with the Mets, Bader projects to be a weak-side platoon bat on a mediocre team. While his plus defense helps to keep him on the field, he could lose at-bats to DJ Stewart who hits righties.

Luke Raley fits into the role of a streamer option with a low batting average (career .233 AVG) and inability to hit lefties (career .580 OPS vs LHP, .783 OPS vs RHP).

Time Shares

These bats aren’t sitting because they can’t a certain handedness of pitcher, it’s because there isn’t enough playing time for everyone.
Time Shares
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
102 Wilyer Abreu BOS OF 388 -$18
110 Jake Bauers MIL 1B/OF 635 -$22
115 Jason Heyward LAD 1B/OF 552 -$11
116 Nick Senzel WSN 2B/3B/OF 433 -$15
117 Kyle Isbel KCR OF 526 -$6
118 Patrick Wisdom CHC 1B/3B/OF 589 -$11
121 Edward Olivares PIT OF ▼21 451 -$13
122 Matt Vierling DET 3B/OF 460 -$13
125 Cavan Biggio TOR 1B/2B/3B/OF 457 -$14
128 Aaron Hicks LAA OF 626 -$10
129 Dominic Canzone SEA OF 654 -$10
131 Drew Waters KCR OF 530 -$19
133 Harold Ramirez TBR 1B/OF 611 -$20
140 Lawrence Butler OAK OF 578 -$14
141 Trent Grisham NYY OF 522 -$17
142 Tyrone Taylor NYM OF 595 -$10
144 Gabriel Arias CLE 1B/3B/SS/OF 563 -$12
146 Jesse Winker WSN OF 718 -$17

Jake Bauers is probably just a strong side platoon bat with a career .606 OPS versus left-handed pitching.

Kyle Isbel spent most of the season in a platoon with Drew Waters

Matt Vierling sports some nice StatCast numbers for power and speed but he hasn’t been able to pull everything together. Last season, he was six for 12 on the bases.

Tyrone Taylor is out of minor league options so he’ll need to remain on the Braves MLB roster or pass through waivers if demoted.

Defensive Specialist

The only reason these guys are playing is because of their defense. They should only contribute in Runs and RBI … maybe.
Defensive Specialist
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
63 Johan Rojas PHI OF 366 -$11
70 Brenton Doyle COL OF 375 -$2
73 Brandon Marsh PHI OF 379 -$2
111 Ceddanne Rafaela BOS SS/OF 348 $4

Johan Rojas is a great fielder and he might need that safety net to stay on the field this season. He rode a .410 BABIP to some respectful stats (.302/.342/.430) last year, but when the BABIP regresses downward, he might struggle to be a replacement-level hitter.

Gold glove-winning Brenton Doyle is going to play centerfield every day for the Rockies.

Previous All-Star Talent with Major Injury Risk

These bats just can’t stay on the field and their injuries have severely degraded their talent. There is a small chance one catches fire and wins the “Comeback Player of the Year” award.
Previous All-Star Talent with Major Injury Risk
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
52 Kris Bryant COL 1B/OF 273 $5
80 Giancarlo Stanton NYY OF 293 -$3
112 Alex Kirilloff MIN 1B/OF 345 -$9

I can’t recommend Kris Bryant until he gets over his plantar fasciitis. I won’t trust that it’s over until he plays an entire season.

Giancarlo Stanton’s performance continues to degrade with his OPS on a 4 year decline from .894 in 2019 to just .695 this past season. While he never stole many bases, his batting average is now a sink (.202 AVG over the past two seasons). Let someone else draft the headache.

Alex Kirilloff is valued at 350 PA and that might be too high.

Bench Bat

As I was working down the rankings, I ran into my first bench bat and figured I had gone far enough.
Bench Bat
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
106 Jake Meyers HOU OF ▲13 567 -$11
119 Ezequiel Duran TEX 2B/3B/SS/OF 337 -$19
132 Luis Matos SFG OF 511 -$26
145 Manuel Margot MIN OF 620 -$13
149 Mauricio Dubon HOU 2B/SS/OF 484 -$15
150 Zach McKinstry DET 2B/3B/SS/OF 445 -$15

Ezequiel Duran should be an MLB regular but is on a loaded Rangers team. If he gets the opportunity for a full-time role, immediately buy-in.

Top Prospects, No MLB Experience

These hitters are prospects with no major league experience. Some wouldn’t be ranked with the other outfielders but I want to include some options.
Top Prospects, No MLB Experience
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
247 Zac Veen COL OF
248 Yanquiel Fernandez COL OF
249 Joey Loperfido HOU OF -$32
250 Andy Pages LAD OF

Full Rankings Without Tiers

No tiers. Just the rankings.
Full Rankings Without Tiers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Ronald Acuna Jr. ATL OF 1 $56
2 Kyle Tucker HOU OF 7 $33
3 Julio Rodriguez SEA OF 3 $33
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. SDP OF 8 $34
5 Aaron Judge NYY OF 12 $33
6 Mookie Betts LAD 2B/SS/OF 5 $29
7 Corbin Carroll ARI OF 6 $29
8 Juan Soto NYY OF 10 $31
9 Yordan Alvarez HOU OF 16 $31
10 Luis Robert CHW OF 33 $24
11 Michael Harris II ATL OF 29 $22
12 Randy Arozarena TBR OF 44 $17
13 Kyle Schwarber PHI OF 92 $15
14 Adolis Garcia TEX OF 46 $16
15 Cody Bellinger CHC 1B/OF 60 $16
16 Jazz Chisholm Jr. MIA OF 71 $16
17 Nolan Jones COL 1B/OF 56 $16
18 George Springer TOR OF 122 $12
19 Christian Yelich MIL OF 78 $13
20 Mike Trout LAA OF 69 $19
21 Bryan Reynolds PIT OF 91 $13
22 Nick Castellanos PHI OF 110 $10
23 Anthony Santander BAL 1B/OF 144 $13
24 Chas McCormick HOU OF 168 $6
25 Lane Thomas WSN OF 122 $10
26 T.J. Friedl CIN OF 171 -$4
27 Cedric Mullins II BAL OF 152 $9
28 Teoscar Hernandez LAD OF 120 $15
29 Josh Lowe TBR OF 90 $4
30 Ian Happ CHC OF 167 $9
31 Daulton Varsho TOR OF 214 $9
32 Seiya Suzuki CHC OF 110 $10
33 Eloy Jimenez CHW OF 229 $14
34 Tyler O’Neill BOS OF 215 $10
35 James Outman LAD OF 192 $2
36 Brandon Nimmo NYM OF 199 $6
37 Spencer Steer CIN 1B/2B/3B/OF 115 $6
38 Steven Kwan CLE OF 211 $5
39 Jorge Soler SFG OF 170 $8
40 Jordan Walker STL OF 126 $7
41 Masataka Yoshida BOS OF 192 $9
42 MJ Melendez KCR C/OF 295 $16
43 Taylor Ward LAA OF 227 $7
44 Riley Greene DET OF 167 $7
45 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ARI OF 234 $4
46 Esteury Ruiz OAK OF 127 $6
47 Jarren Duran BOS OF 150 $3
48 Max Kepler MIN OF 280 $4
49 Brent Rooker OAK OF 299 $1
50 Jose Siri TBR OF 280 $2
51 Kerry Carpenter DET OF 233 $1
52 Kris Bryant COL 1B/OF 273 $5
53 Austin Hays BAL OF 316 $5
54 Starling Marte NYM OF 218 $10
55 Leody Taveras TEX OF 273 $2
56 Willi Castro MIN 2B/3B/SS/OF 296 -$8
57 Jack Suwinski PIT OF 240 $0
58 Jeff McNeil NYM 2B/OF 315 $3
59 Nelson Velazquez KCR OF 291 -$10
60 Christopher Morel CHC 2B/3B/OF 187 $6
61 Bryan De La Cruz MIA OF 277 $3
62 Andrew Benintendi CHW OF 362 $2
63 Johan Rojas PHI OF 366 -$11
64 Sean Bouchard COL OF 451 -$8
65 Parker Meadows DET OF 275 -$5
66 Luis Rengifo LAA 2B/3B/SS/OF 239 $1
67 Seth Brown OAK 1B/OF 480 -$2
68 Mitch Haniger SEA OF 390 -$1
69 Mark Canha DET 1B/OF 420 -$2
70 Brenton Doyle COL OF 375 -$2
71 Sal Frelick MIL OF 272 $0
72 Lars Nootbaar STL OF 230 $0
73 Brandon Marsh PHI OF 379 -$2
74 Jake Fraley CIN OF 333 $3
75 Tommy Pham OF 359 -$5
76 Tommy Edman STL 2B/SS/OF 204 -$1
77 Will Benson CIN OF ▲12 293 -$2
78 Hunter Renfroe KCR 1B/OF 380 -$8
79 Evan Carter TEX OF 128 $5
80 Giancarlo Stanton NYY OF 293 -$3
81 Joc Pederson ARI OF 422 -$3
82 Alex Verdugo NYY OF 313 -$3
83 Alek Thomas ARI OF 354 $0
84 Henry Davis PIT OF 236 -$4
85 Jarred Kelenic ATL OF ▼22 222 -$5
86 Michael Conforto SFG OF 421 -$4
87 Estevan Florial CLE OF 584 -$17
88 Charlie Blackmon COL OF 430 $0
89 Mike Yastrzemski SFG OF 514 -$4
90 Harrison Bader NYM OF 359 -$4
91 Jesus Sanchez MIA OF 410 -$4
92 Ryan O’Hearn BAL 1B/OF 409 -$4
93 Ramon Laureano CLE OF 447 -$3
94 Ryan Noda OAK 1B/OF 423 -$8
95 LaMonte Wade Jr. SFG 1B/OF 397 -$5
96 Andrew McCutchen PIT OF 582 -$7
97 Luke Raley SEA 1B/OF 342 -$9
98 Matt Wallner MIN OF 328 -$8
99 Eddie Rosario WSN OF 473 -$10
100 Chris Taylor LAD 3B/SS/OF 387 -$12
101 Brendan Donovan STL 1B/2B/3B/OF 291 -$1
102 Wilyer Abreu BOS OF 388 -$18
103 Kevin Kiermaier TOR OF 537 -$10
104 Whit Merrifield PHI 2B/OF 276 -$11
105 Michael A. Taylor PIT OF 601 -$12
106 Jake Meyers HOU OF ▲13 567 -$11
107 Mickey Moniak LAA OF 413 -$6
108 Joey Gallo WSN 1B/OF 512 -$12
109 Jon Berti MIA 2B/3B/SS/OF 447 -$10
110 Jake Bauers MIL 1B/OF 635 -$22
111 Ceddanne Rafaela BOS SS/OF 348 $4
112 Alex Kirilloff MIN 1B/OF 345 -$9
113 Jurickson Profar SDP 1B/OF 646 -$14
114 Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC OF 431 -$19
115 Jason Heyward LAD 1B/OF 552 -$11
116 Nick Senzel WSN 2B/3B/OF 433 -$15
117 Kyle Isbel KCR OF 526 -$6
118 Patrick Wisdom CHC 1B/3B/OF 589 -$11
119 Ezequiel Duran TEX 2B/3B/SS/OF 337 -$19
120 Myles Straw CLE OF 630 -$15
121 Edward Olivares PIT OF ▼21 451 -$13
122 Matt Vierling DET 3B/OF 460 -$13
123 J.J. Bleday OAK OF 566 -$10
124 Joey Wiemer MIL OF 557 -$21
125 Cavan Biggio TOR 1B/2B/3B/OF 457 -$14
126 Hunter Goodman COL 1B/OF ▼11 530 -$19
127 Dylan Carlson STL OF 553 -$13
128 Aaron Hicks LAA OF 626 -$10
129 Dominic Canzone SEA OF 654 -$10
130 Garrett Mitchell MIL OF 387 -$6
131 Drew Waters KCR OF 530 -$19
132 Luis Matos SFG OF 511 -$26
133 Harold Ramirez TBR 1B/OF 611 -$20
134 Isiah Kiner-Falefa TOR 3B/OF 502 -$12
135 Connor Joe PIT 1B/OF 594 -$14
136 Dominic Fletcher CHW OF 609 -$13
137 Victor Robles WSN OF 556 -$9
138 Ji Hwan Bae PIT 2B/OF ▼18 542 -$24
139 Adam Duvall ATL OF ▼47 460 -$15
140 Lawrence Butler OAK OF 578 -$14
141 Trent Grisham NYY OF 522 -$17
142 Tyrone Taylor NYM OF 595 -$10
143 Jake McCarthy ARI OF 486 -$30
144 Gabriel Arias CLE 1B/3B/SS/OF 563 -$12
145 Manuel Margot MIN OF 620 -$13
146 Jesse Winker WSN OF 718 -$17
147 Austin Slater SFG OF 748 -$19
148 Gavin Sheets CHW 1B/OF 666 -$20
149 Mauricio Dubon HOU 2B/SS/OF 484 -$15
150 Zach McKinstry DET 2B/3B/SS/OF 445 -$15
247 Zac Veen COL OF
248 Yanquiel Fernandez COL OF
249 Joey Loperfido HOU OF -$32
250 Andy Pages LAD OF





Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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hdawg45
3 months ago

Will Benson being ignored is all kinds of mentally inept

Paul Sporermember
3 months ago
Reply to  hdawg45

Or accidentally left off… but sure, let’s turn it into an insult for no reason whatsoever. That’s cool, too, I guess.

Ashburn Alley
3 months ago
Reply to  hdawg45

You seem very personally invested? Is he your son or partner?

Smiling Politelymember
3 months ago
Reply to  Ashburn Alley

“Signed ‘Benson’s Mother'”

Jason Bmember
3 months ago

The much lesser known sequel to “Sylvia’s Mother”

montrealmember
3 months ago
Reply to  hdawg45

Hey dawg….you are at minus 22. Guess you are not as clever as you thought.