MASH Report (3/7/13)
Bleacher Report’s Will Carroll has released a detailed Health Report for every major league team. Read away.
Recent injury data
• Mark Teixeira is out 8-10 weeks with a strained wrist with Dan Johnson taking over at 1B.
• Rafael Furcal will have Tommy John surgery and is done for the season.
• Cody Ross was shut down for 2-3 weeks because of a lower leg strain. He will likely begin the season on the DL.
• Delmon Young made weight, but will still be out until mid-April after having ankle surgery.
• Craig Breslow will probably start the season on the disabled list.
• Chad Billingsley’s velocity is fine while dealing with a tear in his UCL. On 3/2 he was throwing at 92 mph after averaging 91.5 mph over the last 3 seasons. It will be interesting to see if he can make through the season without have Tommy John surgery to repair the tear. Mike Scioscia’s Tragic Illness looked at pitchers who decided not to get the surgery and determined most of the pitchers eventually ended up needing surgery.
• After two horrible appearances to start the season, Alexi Ogando had a good outing on Wednesday where he struck out six batters and walked only two in 3 IP. His velocity was still down 2 mph and his release point was fairly scattered. Additionally, his fastball location was all over the place as noted by Ron Washington. His progress should continue to be monitored.
• Juan Nicasio, who had micro fracture surgery this off season, averaged 94.2 mph while touching 97 mph. He averaged 93.5 in 2012.
• Aramis Ramirez will be out a couple of weeks with a strained knee with a chance he may miss a few games to start the season.
• Jesse Crain pulled out of the WBC and may not be ready for the start of the season.
• Jenrry Mejia’s thyroid is being looked at in New York.
Player Return Timetables
| Name | Injury | Injury/Surgery Date | Early Return Date | Later Return date | Status | Source(s) |
| Scott Baker | TJS | 4/17/12 | Mid April | May | Throwing off mound | (1) |
| Grant Balfour | Knee | 2/14/13 | Late March | Middle April | Throwing bullpen sessions | (1) |
| Brandon Beachy | TJS | 6/21/12 | Mid June | Mid June | Playing Catch | (1) |
| Lance Berkman | Knee | 10/1/12 | Late March | Mid April | Working out | (1) |
| Jeremy Bonderman | TJS | 04/24/12 | Late March | Late March | Healthy | (1) |
| Craig Breslow | Sore Shoulder | 03/07/13 | April | April | Throwing | (1) |
| Tim Byrdak | Shoulder Surgery | 07/01/12 | Early July | Early July | Bullpen Sessions | (1) |
| Edwar Cabrera (**) | Shoulder | 08/01/12 | Mid March | Unknown | Unknown | (1) |
| Chris Carpenter (**) | Nerve | 02/05/13 | September | Retire | Rest | (1) |
| Andrew Cashner | Thumb laceration | 1/25/13 | Late March | May | Rest | (1) |
| Carl Crawford | TJS | 8/23/12 | Late March | Early April | Swinging | (1) |
| Jesse Crain | Abductor Strain | 3/4/13 | Late March | Early April | Rest | (1) |
| Scott Diamond | Elbow Surgery | 10/1/12 | Early April | Early May | Unknown | (1) |
| Kyle Drabek (**) | TJS | 6/19/12 | Mid Season | Mid Season | Unknown | (1) |
| Danny Duffy | TJS | 6/13/12 | Early June | All Star Game | Throwing | (1) |
| Neftali Feliz | TJS | 8/1/12 | July | August | Playing Catch | (1) |
| Frank Francisco | Elbow | 2/14/13 | Late March | Early April | Throwing | (1) |
| Rafael Furcal | TJS | 3/7/13 | 2014 | 2014 | Rest | (1) |
| Mat Gamel | Knee | 2/18/13 | 2014 | 2014 | Rest | (1) |
| Matt Garza | Strained Lat | 2/21/13 | April | April | Throwing | (1) |
| Curtis Granderson | Right forearm | 2/24/13 | Early May | Middle May | Rest | (1) |
| Corey Hart | Right knee surgery | 1/26/13 | Late April | Late May | Rest | (1) |
| Daniel Hudson (**) | TJS | 7/9/12 | July | July | Playing Catch | (1) |
| Phil Hughes | Bulging Disk | 2/28/13 | Late March | Middle April | Throwing | (1) |
| Drew Hutchison | TJS | 08/08/12 | August | October | Rehabilitation | (1) |
| Derek Jeter | Fractured Left Ankle | 10/1/12 | Late March | Late March | Fielding | (1) |
| Ryan Kalish (**) | Shoulder Surgery | 1/25/13 | Early April | Unknown | Rest | (1) |
| Jeff Karstens | Shoulder | 2/1/13 | Late March | April | Batting Practice | (1) |
| Matt Kemp | Shoulder | 8/1/12 | Late March | Late March | Light Training | (1) |
| Colby Lewis | Elbow Surgery | 7/1/12 | Late May | June | Throwing | (1) |
| Francisco Liriano | Broken humerus | 12/1/12 | Early April | Late May | Rest | (1) |
| Cory Luebke | TJS | 5/23/12 | July | July | Unknown | (1) |
| Ryan Madson | TJS | 04/11/12 | April | May | Rest | (1) |
| Nick Masset | Shoulder Surgery | 09/07/12 | Unknown | Unknown | Throwing | (1) |
| Jeff Mathis | Broken Collarbone | 02/23/13 | Mid March | Mid March | Rest | (1) |
| Brian McCann | Torn labrum | 7/4/12 | April | April | Batting Practice | (1) |
| Logan Morrison | Knee | 9/1/12 | Late March | Late April | Light Training | (1) |
| Charlie Morton | TJS | 06/21/12 | June | Unknown | Throwing | (1) |
| David Ortiz | Achilles | 03/03/13 | Late March | April | Hitting | (1) |
| Juan Oviedo | TJS | 09/06/12 | September | 2014 | Rest | (1) |
| Felipe Paulino (**) | TJS | 7/3/12 | Early July | Early July | Throwing | (1) |
| Carl Pavano | Ruptured spleen | 1/25/13 | Late March | Mid April | Rest | (1) |
| Mike Pelfrey | TJS | 05/01/12 | Late March | Late March | Throwing | (1) |
| Chris Perez | Strained Shoulder | 03/01/13 | Late March | Early April | Rest | (1) |
| Luis Perez (**) | TJS | 7/1/12 | Early July | Early September | Rest | UNK |
| Martin Perez | Broken Forearm | 03/03/13 | Late April | Late May | Rest | (1) |
| Michael Pineda | Shoulder Surgery | 5/1/12 | June | Early July | Rest | (1) |
| Aramis Ramirez | Strained Knee | 3/5/13 | Middle March | Late March | Rest | (1) |
| Wilson Ramos | ACL | 5/1/12 | Late March | Late March | Catching | (1) |
| Alex Rodriguez (**) | Hip surgery | 1/16/13 | Early July | 2014 season | Rest | (1) |
| Cody Ross | Strained Leg | 1/6/13 | Late March | Early April | Rest | (1) |
| CC Sabathia | Bone Spur | 10/1/12 | Late March | Late March | Throwing | (1) |
| Johan Santana | Back | 2/25/13 | Late March | Middle April | Throwing off mound | (1) |
| George Sherrill | TJS | 5/1/11 | Late April | May | Bullpen Sessions | (1) |
| Joakim Soria | TJS | 4/2/12 | Late May | Early June | Playing Catch | (1) |
| Eric Surkamp | TJS | 07/24/12 | Late July | September | Unknown | (1) |
| Mark Teixeira | Strained Wrist | 03/06/13 | Early May | Late May | Rest | (1) |
| Tsuyoshi Wada | TJS | 05/11/12 | May | June | Throwing off mound | (1) |
| Josh Tomlin (**) | TJS | 08/22/12 | August | 2014 | Rest | (1) |
| Joe Wieland (**) | TJS | 07/27/12 | Early August | 2014 | Catch | (1) |
| Brian Wilson | TJS | 4/19/12 | Unknown | Unknown | Not ready to pitch | (1) |
| Randy Wolf | TJS | 10/30/12 | 2014 | 2014 | Rest | (1) |
| Delmon Young | Right ankle | 10/1/12 | Mid April | Early May | Rest | (1) |
Pitchers with Velocity Drops
| Name | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 |
| Jeremy Bonderman | 87.0 | 89.8 | ||
| John Danks | 87.0 | 90.1 | 91.6 | 91.7 |
| Kelvin Herrera | 95.9 | 98.5 | 96.2 | |
| Greg Holland | 93.0 | 96.1 | 94.9 | 95.8 |
| Roy Halladay | 87.0 | 90.6 | 92.0 | 92.6 |
| Joe Nathan | 91.9 | 94.0 | 92.3 | |
| Alexi Ogando | 94.9 | 96.9 | 95.0 | 96.2 |
| Mike Pelfrey | 88.0 | 93.5 | 92.2 | 92.0 |
| Oliver Perez | 90.7 | 93.7 | 88.0 | 90.0 |
| Stephen Pryor | 93.9 | 96.6 | ||
| Addison Reed | 92.5 | 94.6 | 94.9 | |
| Clayton Richardson | 88.5 | 90.7 | 90.4 | 91.3 |
| Joe Saunders | 84.0 | 88.9 | 89.6 | 90.5 |
For reference, fastball speeds stabilize quickly and spring training values are on average 0.6 mph slower than the regular season.
Players Returning From Injury
No information yet.
Players Playing Through Injuries
| Name | Injury | Source |
| Hanley Ramirez | Shoulder | (1) |
| Will Middlebrooks | Wrist | (1) |
| Nolan Riemold | Shoulder | (1) |
| Russell Martin | Shoulder | (1) |
Here is the list of players who should exceed their power projections for 2013:
Ryan Zimmerman, Ryan Howard, Cameron Maybin, Trevor Plouffe, Justin Upton, Paul Konerko, Dustin Pedroia, Luke Scott, Matt Kemp, Joey Votto, Mike Moustakas, Pablo Sandoval, Carl Crawford, Giancarlo Stanton, Jacoby Ellsbury, Evan Longoria, and Troy Tulowitzki. New additions: Dustin Ackley, Matt LaPorta and Howie Kendrick
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Regrettably, I think you mean Dan Johnson, not Nick Johnson, will be taking over for Teix. The Yankees wish they had a healthy Nick Johnson to replace MT.
I was about to comment on this, since Nick just retired… I was so excited for him when he signed with the Yankees to DH a few years back. Definitely one of the greatest ‘what-ifs’ in recent memory, him and Grady Sizemore.
Why is Ackley added? Any news or just your projection?
Ackley played through a bone spur in his ankle last year that he got cleaned up during the off season.
Zimmerman, Kemp, Tulowitzki, Crawford, Maybin, and Ackley are all playing through injuries right now… you think they’re going to beat their power projections?
Who do you have as playing through injuries as of now that we will see decreased power from? I think you should have:
OF Jose Bautista (wrist)
OF Matt Kemp (shoulder)
SS Hanley Ramirez (shoulder)
1B Albert Pujols (knee)
SS Troy Tulowitzki (groin)
3B Ryan Zimmerman (shoulder)
3B Aramis Ramirez (knee)
C Victor Martinez (knee)
2B/SS Danny Espinosa (shoulder)
OF Nelson Cruz (chest)
C/1B Mike Napoli (hip)
3B Will Middlebrooks (wrist)
DH David Ortiz (achilles)
OF Cameron Maybin (wrist)
2B Chase Utley (knee)
2B Neil Walker (back)
C Russell Martin (shoulder)
1B/3B Kevin Youkilis (oblique)
OF Colby Rasmus (shoulder)
C Alex Avila (knee)
C Jarrod Saltalamacchia (back)
OF Nolan Reimold (neck/shoulder)
OF Andy Dirks (intercostal strain)
OF Jonny Gomes (knee)
OF Justin Ruggiano (back)
2B Daniel Murphy (side)
OF Carlos Quentin (knee)
SS Derek Jeter (ankle)
2B Dustin Ackley (ankle)
Tulo had surgery in season in 2012 to clear up scar tissue affecting a nerve in his groin (this came from an older injury). He never played again during the season, and the underlying problem was removed. So, how is he playing through an injury exactly?
No, hitters who played through injuries last season should exceed projections this season. If a hitter has an injury, and plays through it, their production will be reduced this season.
Also, I am going to wait until the regular season to see if they “play” through them. When I have run the numbers, it was with players who played through them for a significant amount of time.
shouldn’t we expect ogando’s velocity this year to be much lower than where it was when he was a reliever last year? if he’s at 94.9, that’s essentially the same as the 95.0 he had as a starter in 2011
I haven’t seen this point brought up yet and would be interested in a response
Nice catch, I will remove him in the next report.
I Love the comment that Ogando had “only” 2 BBs in 3 IP… that’d be a BB/9 of only 6 lol
Where did you find velocity data for those pitchers?
For the velocity data, I either read it in an article.
or
Goto Brooksbaseball.net, look for games where Texas/KC or SanDiego/Seattle are at home and those games have velocities.
Sergio Santos and his ailing tricep in the surgically repaired arm has had his next ST appearance pushed back from Saturday to Monday or Tuesday….2nd delay….worth a mention?
Any notable jumps in velocity?