MASH (9/23/13)
Decent information is getting thin as the season winds down. This may be my last MASH for the regular season. For the offseason, I will be posting a weekly-ish article (probably on Thursday). I will update the players who will likely miss time in 2014. Also, I will go back can look at 2013 PAIN, SLOW, HURT and Zone% leaders. Also, any suggestion will be taken.
• Edward Mujica is dealing with fatigue and it doesn’t seem manager Matheny and him are on the same page. First from Mujica (Source for both quotes):
“My body feels like a little bit tired, and my release point is getting a little bit up,” Mujica said. “My thinking in my mind I’ve set it to get to the playoffs. One more month. Right now, I don’t want to think about (fatigue). Let’s finish it off, these nine games, and then if we make the playoffs think about the playoffs.”
And Matheny:
“Physically he said he’s fine. That’s all we can go off of,” Matheny said. “I don’t want to go there (with fatigue). I don’t want him going there. It’s something that is naturally talked about whenever you see a difference in anybody’s performance. He can control putting that out of his mind and go back to, ‘I’m going to make my pitch. I’m going to make my pitch one at a time.’ … We trust him every time he gets on the mound that he’s going to get the job done.”
The signs for fatigue/injury are there. In the PAIN leader board below, it shows his fastball velocity is down 1.7 mph and Zone% is down 10% points (54% to 44%). I think it may be smart for the Cards to rest him for a bit, but it looks like Matheny will keep pushing on with him.
• Just saw this weekend, but nothing has followed (that I can find). It will be interesting to see what the actual charges are.
A group of current and former MLB players to file suit for damages stemming from Tommy John surgery. Stay tuned
— PHIL ISAAC (@iBMGSPORTS) September 20, 2013
• Edwin Encarnacion is out with wrist surgery. Wrist injuries are rumored to sap a player’s power and I have even made the statement in the past. I no longer think wrist injuries sap power doing a more detailed study. I would not be worried about E-5
PAIN (Pitcher Abuse INdex) Rankings (min 50 pitches in Sept with min of 10 for the rest of the 2013 season)
Any player with a PAIN value over 100 (red) has the traits of a pitcher likely to be hurt.
| Name | Pain | Velocity (Apr to Aug) | Zone% (Apr to Aug) | Velocity (Sep) | Velocity (Sep) |
| Steve Cishek | 341.8 | 92.4 | 52.5% | 91.3 | 34.4% |
| Cesar Ramos | 261.5 | 91.1 | 46.8% | 91.3 | 31.4% |
| Ramon Troncoso | 239.1 | 93.2 | 50.1% | 91.0 | 41.7% |
| Edward Mujica | 225.8 | 88.9 | 54.2% | 87.2 | 44.0% |
| Oliver Perez | 221.4 | 92.5 | 54.3% | 91.0 | 43.8% |
| Luke Putkonen | 201.1 | 94.1 | 54.3% | 94.0 | 41.2% |
| Charlie Morton | 188.4 | 92.8 | 47.3% | 92.4 | 37.8% |
| Burch Smith | 186.2 | 92.6 | 58.1% | 91.3 | 48.1% |
| Dane de la Rosa | 175.8 | 93.9 | 55.0% | 94.5 | 40.9% |
| Clay Buchholz | 175.6 | 90.8 | 48.3% | 89.4 | 42.1% |
| Aaron Harang | 174.1 | 89.8 | 49.5% | 88.9 | 41.3% |
| Carter Capps | 171.9 | 95.4 | 51.3% | 95.8 | 39.0% |
| Dale Thayer | 171.8 | 92.8 | 54.7% | 92.7 | 43.2% |
| Ryan Pressly | 167.6 | 92.9 | 48.4% | 93.6 | 36.4% |
| Addison Reed | 167.5 | 92.8 | 54.1% | 92.6 | 43.2% |
| Roy Halladay | 167.4 | 87.6 | 45.7% | 86.1 | 40.8% |
| Luis Mendoza | 166.5 | 91.5 | 42.4% | 91.0 | 35.8% |
| Preston Claiborne | 164.0 | 92.8 | 46.1% | 91.7 | 40.3% |
| Craig Breslow | 160.3 | 89.7 | 43.7% | 90.3 | 33.9% |
| Kevin Gregg | 156.1 | 89.6 | 46.1% | 89.0 | 39.3% |
| Jerry Blevins | 154.7 | 89.9 | 46.4% | 88.9 | 40.7% |
| Mike Leake | 154.3 | 89.4 | 50.2% | 89.8 | 39.1% |
| Nick Tepesch | 150.9 | 90.9 | 48.4% | 91.7 | 36.8% |
| Dan Jennings | 148.4 | 92.0 | 44.9% | 91.8 | 37.6% |
| Josh Outman | 147.6 | 92.4 | 47.0% | 91.9 | 40.0% |
| Jake Dunning | 145.5 | 90.5 | 49.1% | 89.8 | 42.1% |
| Rob Wooten | 139.0 | 87.0 | 45.1% | 86.7 | 38.6% |
| Trevor Cahill | 135.1 | 89.4 | 45.8% | 89.7 | 37.7% |
| Roberto Hernandez | 130.9 | 91.5 | 49.8% | 90.9 | 43.3% |
| Drew Smyly | 127.2 | 89.0 | 47.8% | 88.7 | 41.1% |
| J.C. Ramirez | 127.1 | 94.2 | 55.2% | 93.3 | 48.2% |
| Kevin Chapman | 121.7 | 92.2 | 52.4% | 92.6 | 42.9% |
| Brandon Gomes | 121.5 | 89.1 | 47.9% | 89.3 | 40.2% |
| Paul Clemens | 121.5 | 93.7 | 49.6% | 91.0 | 49.6% |
| Lucas Harrell | 119.4 | 91.9 | 40.4% | 91.0 | 38.0% |
| J.P. Howell | 115.5 | 87.3 | 43.1% | 87.4 | 37.1% |
| David Carpenter | 115.4 | 95.0 | 53.6% | 95.3 | 44.2% |
| Neil Wagner | 114.9 | 95.8 | 51.6% | 95.7 | 44.2% |
| Stephen Fife | 114.0 | 89.3 | 52.6% | 89.0 | 45.4% |
| Luis Avilan | 111.2 | 93.1 | 42.9% | 92.6 | 39.0% |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 109.5 | 96.2 | 55.1% | 96.4 | 45.8% |
| Danny Duffy | 109.0 | 93.4 | 51.4% | 93.3 | 44.4% |
| Gonzalez Germen | 107.5 | 92.8 | 41.9% | 93.1 | 36.4% |
| Boone Logan | 106.1 | 93.6 | 44.4% | 93.6 | 39.2% |
| Ivan Nova | 105.8 | 93.3 | 44.9% | 91.8 | 43.8% |
| Rob Scahill | 105.2 | 94.4 | 58.7% | 93.8 | 51.2% |
| Rex Brothers | 104.3 | 93.3 | 46.2% | 92.9 | 41.6% |
| Danny Farquhar | 102.6 | 92.1 | 48.0% | 91.5 | 43.4% |
Players on the DL
(*) 15 Day Disabled List
(**) 60 Day Disabled List
(***) 7 Day Concussion List
(****) Free Agent
Red colored entries are updates since last report.
Unofficial DL List
Official DL List
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
I’m sure this has been asked before, but do you know of any teams checking your MASH or PAIN indicators, or do you expect any are?
None that I know of. I do know teams will look even more indepth than I do. I basically use them to locate possible hurt players and then try to verify.