Justin Mason’s Baseball Chat – June 29, 2026
Here is today’s chat transcript:
| 11:50 |
: Chat will begin at the top of the hour. In the meantime, please follow me on all my social media’s (twitter, tiktok, facebook, youtube, bluesky, and instagram) at JustinMasonFWFB! I am doing regular podcasts on the FWFB podcast as well as three episodes a week for the Sleeper and the Bust so definitely make sure you are subscribed there as well! You can also join the Sleeper and the Bust discord! https://discord.gg/ar7XUV9T
|
| 12:00 |
: Clemens or H Ramos? Teel or Alvarez (or keep Salvy)?
|
| 12:00 |
: Ramos. Keep Salvy
|
| 12:00 |
: The SP planner from Friday didn’t have Zebby listed as a 2 starter. I’m definitely skipping NYY, but how you feeling about @HOU for Ottoneu?
|
| 12:00 |
: Im skipping both
You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed.
We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member.
1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other.
2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off.
3. Dark mode and Classic mode!
4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them.
5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects.
6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.)
7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only.
8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO.
9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members.
10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features!
We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it.
|
| 12:00 |
: You starting McClanahan @KC or Warren vDET? 12 tm roto, standard w/ QS instead of W if that matters. Both guys have been struggling recently
|
| 12:00 |
: Warren
|
| 12:01 |
: Over the last month, CJ Abrams has a ~.250 OBP but still slugging >.400. Any concern here after such a strong start?
|
| 12:02 |
: I dont think there is. Just a cold stretch. He will get hot again at some point. His tendency to swing outside the zone will lead to these cold spells.
|
| 12:02 |
: Saves+Holds format…pls rank…B KIng, Speier, Jansen, J Webb, Yates
|
| 12:02 |
: Jansen, Webb, King, Yates, Speier
|
| 12:03 |
: Heliot Ramos is back from your Giants. Worth an add in a 4 OF mixed Roto , especailly this week in AZ &Coors ?
|
| 12:03 |
: I think so. He should get a lot of playing time.
|
| 12:03 |
: Roman Anthony – have held him since the draft in a 10-team H2H OBP league. Think he’ll ever get healthy and will he play well?
|
| 12:03 |
: I think in a redraft league, he is a drop. In dynasty or keeper, buy low.
|
| 12:03 |
: Should I Dropp Roupp or let Weathers Wither to activate Boyd in a QS league? Or just say Bye to Boyd?
|
| 12:03 |
: Drop Roupp
|
| 12:04 |
: A few not-quite-prospects getting PT. Do you like any of them (AL OBP league)? Alejandro Osuna, Vic Mesa Jr., Anthony Seigler, Jacob Gonzalez?
|
| 12:06 |
: Not really. Seigler might be the most interesting to me because there is some playing time and I think there is a world where he keeps it, but none of these guys are much for fantasy.
|
| 12:06 |
: 12 tm roto dynasty (OBP/TB instead of AVG/HR), I need some 3B support while I wait to see if Bregman can turn it around. Managed to pick up Willi Castro…should I continue to pursue a trade for Bichette, or do you think that might be a waste of assets? Any optimism for a 2nd half Bregman?
|
| 12:08 |
: I feel like this may just be a lost season for Bregman. I know some smart people in the industry stay away from guy in the first year of a new contract and he just has struggled to adjust to a new environment. I believe he will rebound at some point here, but it may be too late to counteract what he has done previously.
|
| 12:08 |
: whats your interest level in Josh Lowe ROS for mixed leagues?
|
| 12:08 |
: It’s very Lowe
|
| 12:08 |
: Drop Marsee for Ingle or E. Valdez?
|
| 12:08 |
: No
|
| 12:09 |
: Pick two for last two pitching slots: M. Meyer (@COL), J. Bennett (@LAA), L. Roupp (@ARZ), B. Young (@CIN).
|
| 12:09 |
: Meyer and Young
|
| 12:10 |
: How encouraged are you over Flaherty’s start yesterday? And do you think that may encourage the Tigers to stay the course? They have the pieces to make a run but are having a hard time getting it started…
|
| 12:11 |
: There schedule isnt great until the All-Star Break, but if they can even gain two games on the division in that time, I think there is an argument that they should hold or buy at the deadline.
|
| 12:11 |
: ROS: Gabriel Moreno or Endy Rodriguez?
|
| 12:12 |
: Moreno
|
| 12:12 |
: Logan Henderson rehab start went well yesterday. Should be back at/ahead of the ASB. What’s your level of confidence there?
|
| 12:12 |
: Low but not as Lowe as Josh Lowe
|
| 12:12 |
: Morning Justin! NL-only. Who would you go with ROS among this SP group: G Holmes, T Mahle, C Scott?
|
| 12:12 |
: Scott, Mahle, Holmes
|
| 12:13 |
: After seeing some of the league’s first overtures on the next CBA, I’m wondering if it makes sense to start scouting Savannah Bananas games for the 2027 SB draft. And if so, how many points do you give for doing a backflip while making a catch?
|
| 12:13 |
: All the points.
|
| 12:13 |
: Points awarded
|
| 12:13 |
: Do you think Prielipp maybe turned the corner last week?
|
| 12:14 |
: Im not ready to say that but I am encouraged by the week. I need to see him to continue to attack the zone. Ive been a fan of his so I want him to do well.
|
| 12:14 |
: General question: how much thought/effort do you put into “escape plans” for players on IL? Example would be Henderson looks great and may only need one more rehab start, so I’m thinking now as to who the drop would be when that day comes. Do you plan ahead or let Future You sort it out?
|
| 12:15 |
: I usually let future me decide because often these things work themselves out by themselves. For instance I got a lot of questions last week about should I drop this player or that player or Marcus Semien. ultimately, Semien gets hurt and your decision is made for you.
|
| 12:15 |
: 3B fill ins for mixed — how do you rank Blaze Jordan, Max Muncy (Ath), and Denzer G?
|
| 12:15 |
: Jordan, Muncy, Guzman
|
| 12:15 |
: Do you trust Tolle enough against Washington this week? Shallow H2H so I don’t strictly need the start. Could replace with O’Brien or Helsley.
|
| 12:15 |
: I do
|
| 12:16 |
: If Grant Holmes is “The Realtor”, we have to agree that Clay Holmes is “The Adobe Realtor”, right?
|
| 12:16 |
: Point awarded
|
| 12:16 |
: Is JJ Bleday starting to look like a drop in a 12T 5×5 OPS league? Some decent bats on the wire like Domingez, Ewing and even Austin Riley is hanging around the wire…would you take any of those over JJ?
|
| 12:16 |
: I would grab Riley on upside alone.
|
| 12:16 |
: In a league were my best chance to make up ground is in the R and HR categories: I have the following outfielders: Greene, Abreu, Crews, Carrigg, and thankfully Schwarber. With Teoscar coming off the DL, who should I drop?
|
| 12:16 |
: Carrigg
|
| 12:17 |
: I know dynasty isn’t necessarily your wheelhouse but with an offense of cisco alvarez, troy johsnton, Travis B, Karros, masyn winn, jacob wilson, Nick G, Guzman, Heriberto, Evan Carter, PCA, Volpe, Mccarthy, Doyle, Simpson, Mauricio, Casas, Lawlar, Henry Davis and no notable offensive prospects am I supposed to break PCA into a lesser piece and prospects??
|
| 12:20 |
: So in these types of situations, I look for really young prospects. In a really deep league where I needed to rebuild back in 2017, I traded a young, cheap correa into:
OF Soto, Juan 0.5 10/25/1998 WAS All these guys were like 19 years old and super far away and while really only Soto hit, it was worth it for me. Look for guys that have massive upside but are super far away and try and get a package for the future. |
| 12:21 |
: btw, that draft pick turned into Jordan Groshans so not great either lol
|
| 12:21 |
: By July 31, which of the following should be getting the majority of save opportunities: Dylan Lee, Lange, Kilian, Mitch Williams, or Jacob Webb?
|
| 12:22 |
: Killian
|
| 12:22 |
: who is Mitch Williams?
|
| 12:22 |
: Tough injury for KC’s Nick Loftin in Chicago this weekend. Think he’ll be able to avoid the Non-Paternity List?
|
| 12:22 |
: Point awarded
|
| 12:22 |
: Seranthony will have ____ saves the rest of the season.
|
| 12:23 |
: 11
|
| 12:23 |
: Please rank ROS: Volpe, J Duran, E Duran, Manzardo
|
| 12:23 |
: Jarren Duran, Manzardo, Volpe, E. Duran
|
| 12:23 |
: what are your thoughts on cavanaugh coming up for San Fran. Any chance he pl
|
| 12:24 |
: probably not. Just a short term fill in until other guys get back
|
| 12:24 |
: Would you trade Painter for Langford in a dynasty league? Both are similar contract situation. Wondering if Langford might be a safer investement
|
| 12:24 |
: yes, absolutely I would
|
| 12:24 |
: Do you think Sproat has turned the corner? Like him over Melton or Scott ROS?
|
| 12:24 |
: The last start was really impressive. Need to see him continue to attack the zone and show good command. Jury is still out, but I picked him back up where I dropped him in leagues.
|
| 12:24 |
: drop Manaea for Sheehan? Buehler? redraft
|
| 12:25 |
: seems lateral
|
| 12:25 |
: Do you think Trevor Rogers has figured it out again? Keeping Imanaga for this 2-step but if he blows one of them, is he droppable for Rogers, Imai or Buehler?
|
| 12:25 |
: I think he is figuring it out. I am starting both Rogers and Imanaga this week, but I would have no problem dropping Imanaga in leagues after this week if it goes poorly again.
|
| 12:26 |
: Trevor Larnach has been cooking this month. Do you think this is a 29 year old breakout? Or a flash in the pan?
|
| 12:27 |
: Feels mostly like a hot streak. Underlying numbers are any better than they have been for the season.
|
| 12:27 |
: With H. Greene about to come back, I need to cut one of my depth starters. Lodolo, Ray, Bieber, Roupp, Early. I’m in 1st in my HTH so I can think a little about who’s most likely to help me come playoff time. Who would you cut?
|
| 12:27 |
: Probably Roupp
|
| 12:27 |
: Have you watched Mitch Bratt’s delivery?!
|
| 12:28 |
: I love it! such a weird. Reminds me of a kid learning how to pitch lol;
|
| 12:28 |
: first oh man i really wanted groshans to work out now you’ve just made me sad justin. 2nd Is it too early to consider Gage Jump stadium(excluding gimmick vegas road trip)-proof?
|
| 12:28 |
: oh there are so many names I have wanted to pan out.
|
| 12:29 |
: I really like Jump, but I cant buy in that he is Sacramento proof yet. This is a tough test this week. I hope he proves me wrong.
|
| 12:29 |
: 13 team mixed 6×6 redraft using QS and K/9…please rank ROS: Sproat, Melton, Buehler, Sheehan, C Scott
|
| 12:29 |
: Scott, Melton, Sproat, Sheehan, Buehler
|
| 12:29 |
: I was offered a $6 Liam Doyle for a $4 Cam Smith in Ottoneu. What are you thoughts? In a vacuum, I like it, but I just have real hesitation about paying a prospect $6
|
| 12:30 |
: I think its a decent offer. I lean towards the hitter tho
|
| 12:30 |
: I know questions like these are the equivalent of herding kittens, but which OF for this week – only one of them? (1) Adell (@SEA, BOS); (2) Marsee (@COL, @ATH); or Heriberto Hernandez (@COL, @ATH). I was going to say Marsee, but four lefties lined up. Thanks!
|
| 12:32 |
: I am going to lean Hernandez with the lefties on the docket
|
| 12:32 |
: drop A Vaughn for Schanuel or G Sheets? Vaughn has > .900 OPS but MIL sits him or pinch hits for him vs some RHPs
|
| 12:32 |
: I would drop for sheets which makes me sad because Vaughn has hit so well when in. He needs another trade.
|
| 12:33 |
: Who are a few potential July call-ups that have your attention?
|
| 12:34 |
: Joshua Baez, Max Clark, Walker Jenkins
|
| 12:35 |
: Can we trust Walbert Urena @Sea this week?
|
| 12:35 |
: I think so. Seattle hasnt been great offensively recently
|
| 12:35 |
: Miss those podcasts with Dave – Less than Dave / RunDmCd
|
| 12:35 |
: I know. Ive been just too busy. I will try to get back to it after the all-star break
|
| 12:36 |
: Emerson Hancock and Eli Willits too much for Crews? Ten Team Dynasty and fighting for first place with an outfield that is a dumpster fire
|
| 12:36 |
: I think its a bit too much especially with how Willits has turned things around in the minors.
|
| 12:36 |
: 12-team OBP/SLG league: Down Jose Ramirez at 3B, I’m filling in with Royce Lewis and am underwhelmed. Switch him out for Curtis Mead?
|
| 12:38 |
: Lewis is hitting .278/.326/.494 with four home runs and two stolen bases since his return from the minors. Why drop him? I like Mead, but Lewis has the higher upside.
|
| 12:38 |
: If Ryan Jeffers is healthy. Drop Salvy Perez for him ? One C mix roto
|
| 12:38 |
: nah
|
| 12:38 |
: Am I alone in thinking that a lot of people are sleeping on the great season Byron Buxton is having? He’s only tied for the AL lead in homers…
|
| 12:39 |
: Its just overshadowed by how bad Minnesota is. I would love to see him get traded to a contender.
|
| 12:39 |
: In a dynasty league so there are some age considerations but what are your thoughts on me trading for Nimmo and Rodon and trading away some other pieces and picks centered around Delauder
|
| 12:39 |
: Love delauter, but if you are trading the older guys, I want to be getting picks back with him not trading them away
|
| 12:39 |
: I’ve stubbornly held on to Cole Ragans this long. With exploratory surgery scheduled for Wednesday I’m pot committed to sticking it out until the inevitable bad news comes out, right? The chances of this being some sort of scar tissue problem that clears up in three more weeks are almost 0% right?
|
| 12:40 |
: I think you should drop him.
|
| 12:40 |
: Dynasty 6×6 league (OBP) – I have both A.J. Ewing and Cole Carrigg for CF. Who’s going to be the keeper between the 2?
|
| 12:40 |
: Ewing
|
| 12:40 |
: In an H2H roto league with strict move limits, if you had less than 15(!) add/drops left for the rest of your season, would you replace any of Jump, BYoung, Manaea, Scott with Bennett, Buehler or Sproat? Like… I need to make moves that I have some level of confidence in. Can’t really take any flyers. And yes, it hurts my head too.
|
| 12:40 |
: not with that few pick ups for the season
|
| 12:40 |
: I so want Crews to be good. Is there still hope? Or is expecting him to hit his potential a bit like expecting Langford to stay healthy?
|
| 12:42 |
: I still think there is talent, but he swings so much outside the zone it wont come through enough. Temu Michael Harris until he learns the strikezone better.
|
| 12:42 |
: I’ve been slowly picking up shares of Lake Bachar in my nfbc leagues. He’s been one of the best openers the last month or so but he also recently picked up a save as well. Do you think being such a reliable opener procludes him from potentially overtaking the trash at the back of the pen?
|
| 12:43 |
: I think he unlikely to get meaningful innings with the way the bullpen is constructed. Good for ratios and ks but not much else
|
| 12:43 |
: Who would you start in a weekly h2h points league, Moniak or Bazzana? Both have 7 game weeks, Moniak all 7 @ Coors v just 1 LHP but he’s ice cold off the IL. Bazzana faces 2 LHP + 1 L opener today.
|
| 12:43 |
: I am riding with Moniak. 7 in coors is just too good of a setup
|
| 12:43 |
: Lile or Antonacci this week in a standard 5×5?
|
| 12:45 |
: Antonacci
|
| 12:45 |
: Debating what to do with Bradish in AL only. Apart from yesterday vs nats, has been decent of late, but I see the innings cap coming. What do you think is a realistic pitching target for Bradish ROS?
|
| 12:46 |
: I dont think there is a reason for the Orioles to cap his innings. I think if I am looking to trade him, I would look for a hitter that has been disappointing but should turn it around down the stretch. Maybe Machado type?
|
| 12:46 |
: I spelled Kahlil Watson wrong for the hundredth time this year there, and just came up with a mnemonic for it. H before A except after K!
|
| 12:47 |
: I keep doing this same thing. Its killing me lol
|
| 12:47 |
: point awarded
|
| 12:47 |
: How are we feeling about Khalil Watson’s hot start? He’s gonna strike out plenty, but he hits the ball so goddamn hard when he doesn’t. Isn’t chasing like crazy either. I’ve got him happily in my AL-only keeper, but wondering how you feel in something like a 15-teamer mixed situation?
|
| 12:48 |
: I worry he loses his spot if he goes cold which will happen more than likely given his history with the hit tool. That being said, I would ride the hot streak because there were some contact improvements in the minors this year.
|
| 12:48 |
: Is Ragans droppable in deep dynasty leagues (we’re 14t)? I traded for him last April and clearly haven’t gotten my returns worth in giving up Chandler and Pepiot for him
|
| 12:48 |
: yes
|
| 12:48 |
: Follow-up to Bradish question. Would you drop him for Kade Anderson if he gets the call?
|
| 12:48 |
: yes
|
| 12:48 |
: Rate the trade (12T H2H): Kurtz for Freddie Freeeman + Mookie
|
| 12:48 |
: C
|
| 12:48 |
: Rate another trade (12T H2H): Max Meyer for Altuve + Framber
|
| 12:49 |
: C+
|
| 12:49 |
: What do you think about Eury? Not this week obviously, but do you think that he can pitch like an ace?
|
| 12:50 |
: I think he lost a year of development with the TJ and we just had too high of hopes for him considering he lost that year. I think he could still turn into an ace, but it will likely be 2027 or 2028
|
| 12:50 |
: NL only: Jared Young 제러드, Ty France or Griff Conine
|
| 12:50 |
: Young
|
| 12:50 |
: One more (12T H2H): JRam for Yamamoto, Rasmussen, and M Muncy (LAD)
|
| 12:50 |
: A
|
| 12:50 |
: In a H2H league are you ever looking forward to the rookies who might be on innings limits during playoffs? For instance, I’m wondering if Tolle will be shut down with the Sox out of contention. I might be able to get something for him in a trade now.
|
| 12:53 |
: Its so hard to know. What I typically look at is how many innings they threw the previous season and then add 25%. That would put Tolle at 134 or so. He’s currently at 71 in the majors and 15 in the minors, so good chance he gets limited down the stretch.
|
| 12:53 |
: Eury has a two start week, @COL and @SAC…good to bench?
|
| 12:53 |
: yeah, I would not be using him if I had other options.
|
| 12:53 |
: Please rank these catchers ROS (OBP league)- Realmuto, Mack, Ruiz, Jeffers. Thanks you!
|
| 12:53 |
: Jeffers, Mack, Realmuto, Ruiz
|
| 12:53 |
: Drop Michael Busch for Royce Lewis?
|
| 12:53 |
: I dont have a problem with that
|
| 12:54 |
: I have made it through all my questions! Got about five minutes left so fire some away
|
| 12:54 |
: Rank the following waiver wire bats in terms of highest ceiling ROS (12T H2H 5×5): Royce Lewis, Cam Smith, Blaze Alexander, Colton Cowser Matt McLain
|
| 12:54 |
: Lewis, Cowser, Smith, McLain, Alexander
|
| 12:55 |
: 12-team NL-only 5×5, keeper and need saves. rank under-the-radar closer in waiting JMart, Morillo, Herget, Mason Montgomery, or others?
|
| 12:55 |
: Justin Martinez, Herget, Morillo, Montgomery
|
| 12:55 |
: Would you drop J.Duran for Bolte with games all week here in Sactown.
|
| 12:55 |
: Sure
|
| 12:56 |
: While I wait for more questions… please follow me on all my social media’s (twitter, tiktok, facebook, youtube, bluesky, and instagram) at JustinMasonFWFB! I am doing regular podcasts on the FWFB podcast as well as three episodes a week for the Sleeper and the Bust so definitely make sure you are subscribed there as well! You can also join the Sleeper and the Bust discord! https://discord.gg/ar7XUV9T
|
| 12:56 |
: Speaking of innings limits, drop McClanahan for Detmers? Worried TBay keeps McC from regularly reaching 5 innings in the 2nd half.
|
| 12:56 |
: I wouldnt do that
|
| 12:57 |
: Related to the innings Q – I’ve been offered Machado for Tolle. I have a bunch of injuries and underperformance so acquiring a guy like him is a bit of a concern, but it seems like good value, right?
|
| 12:57 |
: I feel like it is
|
| 12:57 |
: when Diaz gets back will he close right away?
|
| 12:58 |
: I think he will. They may work him in slowly, but thats his job once he’s healthy
|
| 12:58 |
: If Bradrish keeps walking 5 per start , he’ll take care of that innings limit himself.
|
| 12:58 |
: Point awarded
|
| 12:58 |
: Thanks, Justin. How about adding Detmers and dropping Sasaki then? Points league. Really need my SP qualifying for the W.
|
| 12:58 |
: yeah, I would do that
|
| 12:59 |
: Must bench 1 of B Miller, B Woo, and K Harrison this week (points) – which do you bench?
|
| 12:59 |
: Woo
|
| 12:59 |
: Thats my time! Thank yall for chatting with me!
|
Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as other periodic articles. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.
Pretty sure that point awarded at 12:16 should actually go to Nick Pollack, who has been calling Grant “The Real Estate Broker” and Clay “The Adobe” for, like, forever.